Severe Thunderstorm Warning 384, NWS Dodge City, KS

170 
WWUS53 KDDC 010734
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
234 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

KSC057-069-083-010815-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0384.000000T0000Z-180901T0815Z/
Ford KS-Hodgeman KS-Gray KS-
234 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 AM CDT
FOR CENTRAL FORD...SOUTH CENTRAL HODGEMAN AND EAST CENTRAL GRAY
COUNTIES...

At 234 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located very near Dodge
City, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Dodge City, Jetmore, Spearville, Ensign, Howell, Wright, Windhorst
and Ft. Dodge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3751 10019 3772 10033 3811 9991 3775 9957
TIME...MOT...LOC 0734Z 242DEG 46KT 3776 10000 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

FINCH

634 
WWUS53 KDDC 010742
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
242 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

KSC057-069-083-010752-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0384.000000T0000Z-180901T0815Z/
Ford KS-Hodgeman KS-Gray KS-
242 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL FORD...SOUTH CENTRAL
HODGEMAN AND EAST CENTRAL GRAY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However gusty winds are
still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3751 10019 3772 10033 3811 9991 3775 9957
TIME...MOT...LOC 0740Z 230DEG 37KT 3781 9992 

$$

FINCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1237 AM CDT Sat Sep 1 2018

...Updated Aviation Discussion ...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Fri Aug 31 2018

Warm, downslope air flowing into southwest Kansas under mostly
clear skies has caused many locations today to reach in the upper
90s to 100 degrees this afternoon. Luckily, this will be the
hottest day of the extended forecast. Thunderstorm chances
increase this afternoon, especially along the Colorado/Kansas
border where low level convergence has set up along a surface
boundary stretching along far Southwest Kansas into south-central
Nebraska. While the atmosphere is capped with 700mb temperatures
of 14-16C this afternoon, a shortwave ejecting out of Colorado
will aid in providing lift this afternoon. Storms that form this
afternoon will have the chance of becoming severe as they move
into Southwest Kansas along an instability axis. Strong to severe
wind and quarter size hail are the biggest threats with these
storms. Storms will increase in coverage this evening with aid
from a 40-50 knot low level jet overnight. Storm activity this
evening and tonight should generally affect areas northwest of
Highway 56. While tonight's thunderstorm coverage isn't as
impressive as the rest of the weekend, it does mark the beginning
of a wet pattern for Southwest Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Fri Aug 31 2018

Troughing in the western CONUS and ridging in the east will allow
southwest flow over western Kansas for the extended period. The
high pressure that sets up over the Appellations will cause Gulf
moisture to continuously flow into western Kansas. Numerous
shortwaves embedded in the southwest flow will provide chances for
rain each day of the long term.

For Saturday, a surface boundary will set up along southwest
Kansas through northern Kansas, which will be a trigger for storm
development in the afternoon and evening. Instability looks
modest, and therefore severe weather can't be ruled out during
peak heating. A bigger concern may be heavy rain and training
storms as precipitable water values increase. Sunday has a
similar set up for heavy rain. With thunderstorms expected each
day, heavy rain and flooding will be a concern that will have to
be watched.

As for temperatures, Saturday will reach the upper 80s/lower 90s.
Starting on Sunday, each day looks to stay in the 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
Issued at 1233 AM CDT Sat Sep 1 2018

Radar over the past hour indicated ongoing convection over
southwest Kansas as of 05z Saturday was weakening. Models also
indicate a weakening trend but do continue with some widely
scattered storms ongoing over much the same area for a least the
next 4 to 6 hours. Will therefore continue will an extended period
of VCTS at all TAF sites through early Saturday morning. Outside
these storms the winds overnight will be south to southeast at 10
knots or less. BUFR soundings indicating VFR conditions tonight.
A brief break in the scattered precipitation will occur between
12z and 18z Saturday but as another upper level wave approaches
the chance for thunderstorms will return to western Kansas
Saturday afternoon and Saturday night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  70  92  68  88 /  40  30  30  30
GCK  69  88  64  87 /  60  30  60  30
EHA  65  89  64  87 /  60  30  70  20
LBL  69  92  67  88 /  40  30  60  30
HYS  71  89  68  85 /  60  30  60  40
P28  75  96  73  90 /  20  10  20  30

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Reynolds
LONG TERM...Reynolds
AVIATION...Burgert

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
402 AM CDT Fri Aug 31 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-010915-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
402 AM CDT Fri Aug 31 2018 /302 AM MDT Fri Aug 31 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

An isolated thunderstorm or two will be possible this early this morning
across north central Kansas and east of highway 281. Should
thunderstorms develop early this morning they will be capable of
producing hail up to the size of quarters and wind gusts in excess
of 50 mph.

A better chance for strong to severe thunderstorms will occur late
this afternoon and early tonight. Wind gusts of 60 mph and quarter
size hail will be the main hazards from these storms.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Hail: Limited risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Limited risk
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

There will be a chance for thunderstorms each day from Saturday
through Thursday. Thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday may be severe
with hail larger than quarters and wind gusts of 60 mph. Heavy
rainfall can also be expected over the weekend. Periods of heavy
rainfall Saturday and Sunday may cause some localized flooding.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Saturday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required after 7 pm west of highway 283.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1012 PM CDT FRI AUG 31 2018

KSZ030-010345-
Trego KS-
1012 PM CDT FRI AUG 31 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN TREGO COUNTY UNTIL
1045 PM CDT...

At 1011 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 3
miles northwest of Voda, moving northeast at 55 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Collyer and Voda.

LAT...LON 3896 10011 3902 10015 3913 10015 3913 9968
TIME...MOT...LOC 0311Z 240DEG 49KT 3908 10007

TATRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1043 PM CDT FRI AUG 31 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1020 PM     HEAVY RAIN       ULYSSES                 37.58N 101.36W
08/31/2018  M1.28 INCH       GRANT              KS   MESONET

            MESONET STATION ULYSL, ULYSSES.

&&

GT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1056 PM CDT FRI AUG 31 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0806 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 WNW ELKHART           37.04N 101.97W
08/31/2018  M50 MPH          MORTON             KS   MESONET

            MESONET STATION C8810, 4 WNW ELKHART.

&&

RB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1102 PM CDT FRI AUG 31 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 SSE LAKIN             37.89N 101.24W
08/31/2018  M50 MPH          KEARNY             KS   MESONET

            MESONET SITE LKUK1.

&&

GT

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1118 PM CDT FRI AUG 31 2018

KSZ046-065-010500-
Rush KS-Pawnee KS-
1118 PM CDT FRI AUG 31 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE...CENTRAL
RUSH AND SOUTHEASTERN ELLIS COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT...

At 1118 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles south of Nekoma, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
La Crosse, Otis, Bison, Rush Center, Timken, Nekoma and Shaffer.

LAT...LON 3867 9903 3847 9903 3823 9952 3843 9958
      3870 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 0418Z 231DEG 43KT 3835 9946

TATRO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
208 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

KSZ064-077-078-087-010815-
Gray KS-Hodgeman KS-Meade KS-Ford KS-
208 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN FORD...SOUTHWESTERN
HODGEMAN...NORTHERN MEADE AND SOUTHEASTERN GRAY COUNTIES UNTIL 315 AM
CDT...

At 207 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
The Haggard Elev, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Dodge City, Spearville, Ensign, Howell, Wright, The Haggard Elev and
Ft. Dodge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3744 10033 3766 10045 3810 10003 3796 9972
      3764 9984
TIME...MOT...LOC 0707Z 236DEG 33KT 3762 10033

FINCH