Severe Thunderstorm Warning 237, NWS Dodge City, KS

414 
WWUS53 KDDC 222315
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
615 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

KSC195-222324-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0237.000000T0000Z-180622T2345Z/
Trego KS-
615 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN TREGO COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the 
warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3870 9904 3877 9959 3897 9956 3912 9958
      3913 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 277DEG 40KT 3912 9948 3895 9945 3883 9956 

$$

KSC051-222345-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0237.000000T0000Z-180622T2345Z/
Ellis KS-
615 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT
FOR ELLIS COUNTY...

At 614 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 8 miles south of Zurich to 3 miles northwest of
Yocemento to 7 miles south of Ellis, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Hays, Ellis, Victoria, Walker, Catherine, Emmeram, Yocemento, Toulon,
Munjor and Antonino.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3870 9904 3877 9959 3897 9956 3912 9958
      3913 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 277DEG 40KT 3912 9948 3895 9945 3883 9956 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

UMSCHEID

998 
WWUS53 KDDC 222333
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
633 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

KSC051-222345-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0237.000000T0000Z-180622T2345Z/
Ellis KS-
633 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN ELLIS COUNTY...

At 632 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles southwest of Codell to Catherine to 3 miles
south of Munjor, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Hays, Victoria, Walker, Catherine, Emmeram, Toulon and Munjor. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3870 9904 3875 9936 3892 9933 3912 9935
      3913 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 2332Z 276DEG 38KT 3912 9924 3892 9923 3875 9927 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

UMSCHEID

673 
WWUS53 KDDC 222341
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
641 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

KSC051-222351-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0237.000000T0000Z-180622T2345Z/
Ellis KS-
641 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN ELLIS COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 645 PM CDT...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds are still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3870 9904 3875 9936 3892 9933 3912 9935
      3913 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 2341Z 271DEG 41KT 3912 9913 3892 9912 3875 9916 

$$

UMSCHEID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
603 PM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

Widespread thunderstorms across the area expected this evening
into the early overnight. Two areas of concern with the storms
will be from northeast Colorado and southeast Colorado. The
northeast Colorado storms (which at the time of this forecast
discussion have formed just east of the Denver airport) should
move in to the northwest zones by late afternoon with the primary
threat of damaging winds and some hail. The southeast Colorado
storms will have the greater threat of being initially discrete
as they move into southwest Kansas and the Oklahoma and Texas
panhandle. Development for these storms should be shortly after
4pm. The environment ahead of the development of the southeast
Colorado storms continues to be the most favorable for the higher
impact severe storms. CAPE values of ~3000 J/kg with bulk shear
values in the 50 kt range and right curved hodographs for Elkhart,
Liberal, and Garden City will suggest any discrete cell capable
of producing destructive hail and isolated tornadoes. Both areas
should eventually converge into one long squall line and become
primarily a damaging wind threat east of highway 283.

Most of the thunderstorms should be out of the forecast area by
sunrise and Saturday looks quiet for most of the day. An outside
chance of an isolated thunderstorm could develop in the late
afternoon and evening as a 500-700 mb shortwave moves out of
eastern Colorado.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

Primary threat is coming on Sunday with an enhanced risk in place
for much of central and southwest Kansas. Newest updates with the
NAM and GFS continue to show widespread area of ~4000 J/kg CAPE
and bulk shear values increasing through the day. An upper level
low will move from Montana into Nebraska during the day and will
eject a strong shortwave out of eastern Colorado in the afternoon.
Areas of convection could develop earlier in the day along the
I-70 corridor (around noon) and convection will develop towards
the mid afternoon for areas to the south. Given the very unstable
environment the likelihood of a line of severe storms looks to be
the case however if any of the storms can stay discrete for an
hour or two large hail will be a threat. The biggest threat with
the storms should be damaging straight line winds and flash
flooding. Thunderstorm activity should be out of the area by
Monday morning.

Afterwards through the rest of the week, an upper level ridge will
move into the central plains providing warmer temperatures.
Shortwaves are still being suggested by the GFS so storms can't be
ruled out...but it does look like the weather pattern should be
more quiet.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 600 PM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

Strong to severe thunderstorms will spread eastward across west
central and southwest Kansas into central Kansas through late this
evening. This will increase the potential for brief MVFR/IFR
conditions in the vicinity of all TAF sites generally 00Z TO 03Z
this evening. Outside of gusty winds resultant of thunderstorm
produced outflow, prevailing southerly winds around 10 to 20kt
early this evening are expected to become relatively light and
variable overnight in wake of advancing thunderstorms as surface
high pressure fills in across the Western High Plains.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  61  88  66  89 /  50   0  10  50
GCK  60  88  65  88 /  70   0  10  40
EHA  59  89  64  92 /  50   0  10  20
LBL  61  88  66  91 /  60   0  10  30
HYS  63  88  65  84 /  60  10  10  60
P28  65  88  68  92 /  80  10   0  40

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Tatro
LONG TERM...Tatro
AVIATION...JJohnson

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
249 AM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-231000-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
249 AM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018 /149 AM MDT Fri Jun 22 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Severe thunderstorms will be possible late today and early
tonight across western Kansas. Baseball size hail or larger along
with wind gusts in excess of 60 mph and periods of heavy rainfall
will be the main hazards. There will also be a chance for a few
tornadoes late today or early this evening.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Lightning: Elevated risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
* Fire weather: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Strong to Severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday night. Hail
two inches or large, strong damaging winds, and heavy rainfall
currently appears to be the main hazards.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Significant risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed after 2 pm west of highway 83.
Spotter activation may then be required after 5 pm for the
remainder of western Kansas.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
454 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

KSZ084-222245-
Morton KS-
454 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN MORTON COUNTY UNTIL 545
PM CDT...

At 454 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm very
near Elkhart, moving east at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Elkhart and Wilburton.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3708 10204 3711 10160 3699 10159 3699 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 264DEG 18KT 3700 10188

TATRO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
503 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

KSZ061-062-074-222245-
Stanton KS-Kearny KS-Hamilton KS-
503 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HAMILTON...SOUTHWESTERN KEARNY...
NORTHWESTERN GRANT AND NORTHEASTERN STANTON COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM
CDT/445 PM MDT/...

At 502 PM CDT/402 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorms in northeast Prowers County in eastern Colorado. These
storms will be moving into Hamilton county shortly

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Syracuse, Coolidge and Kendall.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT/1000
PM MDT/ for southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3826 10204 3826 10154 3774 10152 3773 10153
      3774 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 286DEG 42KT 3812 10204

TATRO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
537 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

KSZ062-063-222300-
Finney KS-Kearny KS-
537 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN KEARNY AND WEST
CENTRAL FINNEY COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

At 536 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 17
miles south of Leoti, moving east at 35 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Kearny
and west central Finney Counties.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3826 10112 3801 10094 3813 10144 3826 10144
TIME...MOT...LOC 2236Z 288DEG 30KT 3823 10131

TATRO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
550 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

KSZ031-222345-
Ellis KS-
550 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ELLIS COUNTY UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

At 550 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 12 miles south of Hill City to 2 miles
southeast of Trego Center. Movement was east at 40 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Hays, Ellis, Victoria, Walker, Catherine, Schoenchen, Emmeram,
Yocemento, Pfeifer, Toulon, Munjor and Antonino.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3870 9904 3870 9958 3913 9959 3913 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 2250Z 284DEG 36KT 3919 9982 3886 9986

UMSCHEID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
557 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NE GRIGSTON           38.49N 100.70W
06/22/2018  E60 MPH          SCOTT              KS   PUBLIC

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
557 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

KSZ074-075-084-085-230000-
Stanton KS-Stevens KS-Grant KS-Morton KS-
557 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN MORTON...SOUTHERN
GRANT...SOUTHEASTERN STANTON AND NORTHERN STEVENS COUNTIES UNTIL 700
PM CDT...

At 557 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles north of Feterita, moving east at 15 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Hugoton, Moscow, Woods, Ryus and Cave.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3720 10173 3739 10166 3754 10110 3714 10110
TIME...MOT...LOC 2257Z 280DEG 12KT 3729 10146

TATRO