Areal Flood Warning 21, NWS Dodge City, KS

466 
WGUS83 KDDC 100741
FLSDDC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
241 AM CDT WED OCT 10 2018

KSC151-100749-
/O.EXP.KDDC.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-181010T0745Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pratt KS-
241 AM CDT WED OCT 10 2018

...THE FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 245 AM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL PRATT
COUNTY...

Flood waters have receded, and are no longer expected to pose a 
threat to life or property. Water may still be covering portions of 
a few secondary roads near South Fork Ninnescah River near Pratt 
early this morning. Please continue to heed any road closures and do 
not drive into water that does cover the road.


LAT...LON 3767 9847 3765 9847 3765 9860 3762 9867
      3763 9877 3765 9877 3764 9868 3766 9864
      3767 9855

$$

RBURG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
123 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...updated discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 123 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The synoptic trof that has brought days of rains with significant rainfall
has finally started to move out of the region. Rain and clouds will
exit the FA through this evening from the south to the north. A ridge
of high pressure will build in its wake. There will be weak cold air
advection associated with this. Do have a freeze warning for 4 counties
across the NW. Main fly in the ointment for this is cloud cover. Models
do show partial clear and with weak CAA in place, temperatures could
get near freezing. The area that is in the freeze warning is just climo
for their first freeze and along low lying areas such as near the Ark
river basin. Otherwise, lows to the east should be warmer with additional/lingering
cloud cover. For Wednesday, high pressure will be in control and the
area should dry out. Highs should be mainly in the 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 123 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

Will have to watch for the freezing potential for Thursday morning.
High pressure is just to our north and winds are weaker. In addition,
not much in the way of clouds are expected through the overnight period.
A large area of the NW and N zones may get close to freezing. Will
defer a headline for now as we have hydro concerns and freezing concerns
already during the short term period. The GFS and EC disagree with
the slight chance of showers on Thursday. A better chance at precip
is still indicated by long range models next weekend. Here the synoptic
wave driving the weather is strong than compared to the Thursday system.
In addition, there is more in the way of boundary layer moisture as
well. The EC does have cold enough 850-hPa temperatures for some mixed
precipitation and even snow on Sunday. Confidence in the thermal fields
is low at this point. The EC is still advertising cold air moving in
the wake of the system and a freeze or even a hard freeze may be possible
Monday morning for much of the FA.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

MVFR/IFR flight conditions will improve to VFR later this evening as
the storm system exits the region. Showers will continue to move out
of the area through this afternoon with KHYS clearing last. Otherwise,
winds will be NW/N 15-30 kt decreasing 10-20 kt later tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  47  35  55  35 / 100  10   0  10
GCK  44  34  53  33 / 100  20   0  10
EHA  46  33  56  35 /  90  10   0  10
LBL  49  34  56  34 /  80  10   0  10
HYS  45  36  52  31 / 100  40   0   0
P28  63  41  58  40 / 100  10   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...C
Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ030-031-045-046-
064>066-079-081-090.

Freeze Warning from 2 AM CDT /1 AM MDT/ to 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/
Wednesday for KSZ043-061-062-074.

&&

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Sugden

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
424 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-101000-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
424 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018 /324 AM MDT Tue Oct 9 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Showers and thunderstorms, heavy at times, can be expected across
western and central Kansas today. A Flood Watch is currently in
effect. Please see the latest Flood Watch product for more
information.

Temperatures tonight are expected to fall back into the low to mid
30s with frost possible west of highway 283. A Freeze Watch is
currently in effect for late tonight. Please see the latest Freeze
Watch product for more information.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Flooding: Extreme risk
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
* Fog: Limited risk
* Freeze: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

A Freeze Watch is currently in effect for early Wednesday
morning. Please see the latest Freeze Watch product for more
information.

Temperatures falling in to 32 degrees or lower are expected
across portions of western Kansas this weekend.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Freeze: Significant risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Friday
  No hazards.

* Saturday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Freeze: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Freeze: Extreme risk
  - Snow: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Freeze: Significant risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1236 PM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1235 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MEDICINE LODGE          37.29N 98.58W
10/09/2018                   BARBER             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL ROADS UNDER WATER. MEDICINE LODGE
            CITY PARK SUBMERGED.

&&