Alert archive / Pennsylvania / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 71, NWS State College, PA

September 11, 2018Dauphin County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this river flood warning at Sep 11, 2018, 5:12 AM EDT for Dauphin County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Sep 11, 2018, 11:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 43 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 11, 2018, 5:12 AM EDT (09:12 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 11, 2018, 11:00 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 13, 2018, 6:19 AM EDT
In force
43 hr
Issued by
NWS State College, PA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Dauphin County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Swatara Creek at Middletown (MTLP1). The gauge peaked at 11.75 ft at Sep 12, 2018, 11:00 AM EDT.

actionminormoderate5101509/1109/1209/1309/14
Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
11 ft
Moderate stage
15 ft
Major stage
18 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01573600, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

574 
WGUS41 KCTP 110912
FLWCTP
Bulletin - Immediate Broadcast Requested
Flood Warning
National Weather Service State College PA
512 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

...The National Weather Service in State College, PA has issued a 
flood warning for the following rivers in Pennsylvania...

  Juniata River At Lewistown
  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Pennsylvania...

  West Branch Susquehanna At Williamsport

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Pennsylvania...

  West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued by late morning.

&&

PAC081-112112-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0064.180911T1300Z-180912T1251Z/
/WILP1.2.ER.180911T1300Z.180912T0000Z.180912T0651Z.NO/
512 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
 
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The West Branch Susquehanna At Williamsport
* from this morning to Wednesday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was...18.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  morning and crest near 21 feet this evening.  The river will 
  fall below flood stage after midnight tonight.
* At 21.0 feet...A number of residences and roads in the area outside
  the levee system are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4125 7715 4127 7702 4128 7689 4123 7690
      4121 7699 4119 7714             

$$

PAC081-112112-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0065.180911T1600Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.2.ER.180911T1600Z.180912T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
512 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
 
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy
* from this afternoon until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was...17.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage around noon 
  and crest between 22 and 23 feet this evening.
* At 23.0 feet...The Sprout Bauer plant is affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4128 7689 4125 7677 4118 7678 4119 7683
      4121 7685 4123 7690             

$$

PAC067-087-112112-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FL.W.0070.180911T1000Z-180912T0228Z/
/LWSP1.1.ER.180911T1000Z.180911T1400Z.180911T2028Z.NO/
512 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The National Weather Service in State College, PA has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Juniata River At Lewistown
* until this evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was...21.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage this morning and
  crest near 24 feet late this morning.  The river will fall 
  below flood stage late this afternoon.
* At 24.5 feet...FEMA 10% Annual Chance Flood Level (10-year flood).

&&

LAT...LON 4050 7776 4067 7754 4058 7735 4052 7741
      4058 7751 4045 7771             

$$

PAC043-112112-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FL.W.0071.180911T2300Z-180913T1800Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180911T2300Z.180912T1800Z.180913T1200Z.UU/
512 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The National Weather Service in State College, PA has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown
* from this evening to Thursday afternoon...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was...8.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and
  crest just under 12 feet early afternoon Wednesday. The river will 
  fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* At 12.0 feet...Both banks overflow upstream of the Vine Street 
  Bridge and several basements are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$

Martin
10 follow-up statements
930 
WGUS81 KCTP 110939
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  West Branch Susquehanna At Lock Haven
  West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery
  West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton
  West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg
  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg
  Juniata River At Huntingdon
  Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg
  Penns Creek Near Penns Creek
  Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown
  Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  West Branch Susquehanna At Williamsport
  West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy
  West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown
  Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station
  Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek
  Juniata River At Lewistown
  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued by late morning.

&&

PAC027-035-112139-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BECP1.3.ER.180910T1653Z.180911T0901Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest this morning and fall to around 13 feet 
  Thursday morning.
* At 15.0 feet...Homes in the cottage area are cutoff by high water 
  and directly affect homes in this area.

&&

LAT...LON 4110 7765 4112 7756 4114 7752 4110 7742
      4107 7749 4104 7758             

$$

PAC013-061-112139-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-180912T0000Z/
/WIBP1.3.ER.180909T2334Z.180910T2300Z.180911T1800Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is ongoing.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage this 
  afternoon.
* At 15.0 feet...Many homes on the right, or south bank will be 
  affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$

PAC035-112139-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-180912T0525Z/
/LHVP1.2.ER.180911T0809Z.180911T1400Z.180911T2325Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Lock Haven.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 21.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest between 23 and 24 feet by late this morning.
  The river will fall below flood stage this evening.
* At 23.0 feet...Considerable flooding would occur if the levee 
  system was not in place.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7746 4117 7740 4119 7735 4113 7734
      4111 7745 4114 7754             

$$

PAC081-112139-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0064.180911T1300Z-180912T1251Z/
/WILP1.2.ER.180911T1300Z.180912T0000Z.180912T0651Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Williamsport.
* from this morning to Wednesday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage this morning and 
  crest near 21 feet this evening. The river will fall below 
  flood stage after midnight tonight.
* At 21.0 feet...A number of residences and roads in the area outside
  the levee system are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4125 7715 4127 7702 4128 7689 4123 7690
      4121 7699 4119 7714             

$$

PAC081-112139-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0065.180911T1600Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.2.ER.180911T1600Z.180912T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy.
* from this afternoon until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 17.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon 
  and crest between 22 and 23 feet this evening.
* At 23.0 feet...The Sprout Bauer plant is affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4128 7689 4125 7677 4118 7678 4119 7683
      4121 7685 4123 7690             

$$

PAC081-097-119-112139-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0066.180911T1352Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.1.ER.180911T1352Z.180912T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery.
* from this morning until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 12 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  morning and crest between 23 and 24 feet this evening.
* At 24.0 feet...Several homes on Broad and Second streets are 
  affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7683 4118 7678 4113 7686 4114 7692
      4119 7688                       

$$

PAC097-119-112139-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.1.ER.180911T2250Z.180912T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown.
* At 12 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and
  crest between 23 and 24 feet this evening.
* At 23.0 feet...The park on the left, or east bank floods. Roadway 
  flooding occurs at a few low lying areas on both sides of the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4114 7692 4113 7686 4110 7684 4106 7683
      4105 7689 4109 7690             

$$

PAC097-119-112139-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0068.180911T1232Z-180913T0021Z/
/ILTP1.2.ER.180911T1232Z.180912T0000Z.180912T1821Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton.
* from this morning to Wednesday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and
  crest between 22 and 23 feet this evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage early afternoon tomorrow.
* At 22.0 feet...Homes on South Water Street in Milton are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4105 7689 4106 7683 4102 7682 4099 7684
      4099 7686 4102 7688             

$$

PAC097-119-112139-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0069.180911T1236Z-180913T0000Z/
/LWBP1.1.ER.180911T1236Z.180912T0000Z.180912T1800Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg.
* from this morning to Wednesday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and
  crest near 21 feet by this evening. The river will fall below 
  flood stage early afternoon tomorrow.
* At 21.0 feet...The left, or east bank experiences substantial 
  overflow.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 7689 4099 7684 4096 7684 4093 7683
      4090 7687 4095 7693             

$$

PAC013-061-112139-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-180912T0100Z/
/SPKP1.2.ER.180910T0748Z.180910T2230Z.180911T1900Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage this 
  afternoon.
* At 10.0 feet...Homes are affected on both banks. Several roads are 
  also affected including Route 45.

&&

LAT...LON 4066 7818 4063 7812 4059 7803 4057 7811
      4059 7816 4064 7822             

$$

PAC061-112139-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-180912T1000Z/
/HUJP1.2.ER.180910T1325Z.180911T0615Z.180912T0400Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Juniata River At Huntingdon.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage after 
  midnight tonight.
* At 15.0 feet...A number of homes outside the protective works and 
  along Standing Stone Creek will flood. Backwater on Standing Stone 
  Creek also affects the athletic field.

&&

LAT...LON 4054 7806 4055 7800 4050 7799 4047 7797
      4046 7799 4048 7803             

$$

PAC067-087-112139-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0070.180911T1000Z-180912T0228Z/
/LWSP1.1.ER.180911T1000Z.180911T1400Z.180911T2028Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Juniata River At Lewistown.
* until this evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 21.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and
  crest near 24.0 feet by late this morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* At 24.5 feet...FEMA 10% Annual Chance Flood Level (10-year flood).

&&

LAT...LON 4050 7776 4067 7754 4058 7735 4052 7741
      4058 7751 4045 7771             

$$

PAC061-111800-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-180911T1800Z/
/SLYP1.2.ER.180910T0501Z.180910T1945Z.180911T1200Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage this 
  morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Aughwick Creek at Shirleysburg exceeds its banks. 
  Several homes are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 7789 4036 7782 4030 7783 4023 7788
      4025 7795 4032 7791             

$$

PAC109-119-112139-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-180912T0100Z/
/PNCP1.1.ER.180911T0120Z.180911T1200Z.180911T1900Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Penns Creek Near Penns Creek.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.5 feet and cresting.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will start to fall very soon and fall below flood stage
  late this afternoon.
* At 8.0 feet...The left, or north bank overflows downstream of the 
  Route 104 bridge. A campground is affected. A number of secondary 
  roads in the Penns Creek drainage are affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4089 7712 4089 7705 4089 7698 4086 7698
      4085 7706 4086 7711             

$$

PAC041-112139-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180912T2200Z/
/HGSP1.1.ER.180910T1645Z.180911T1200Z.180912T1600Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.0 feet and cresting.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will begin to fall shortly and will fall below flood 
  stage early afternoon tomorrow.
* At 10.0 feet...Some residences in the vicinity of Erb's Bridge 
  Road, Prowell Road, Stone Spring Lane, and Oyster Mill Road are 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7747 4028 7713 4031 7692 4023 7689
      4020 7715 4015 7748             

$$

PAC041-133-112100-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-180911T2100Z/
/CPHP1.1.ER.180910T0401Z.180910T1700Z.180911T1500Z.UU/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage this morning.
* At 7.0 feet...Low lying areas in the Green Lane Farms development 
  on the right bank of Yellow Breeches Creek begin to flood. A mobile
  home park near Williams Grove is also affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7686 4023 7685 4016 7689 4015 7693
      4018 7695 4023 7692 4023 7689   

$$

PAC043-112139-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0071.180911T2300Z-180913T1800Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180911T2300Z.180912T1800Z.180913T1200Z.UU/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* from this evening to Thursday afternoon...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and
  crest between 11 and 12 feet by early afternoon Wednesday. The
  river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* At 12.0 feet...Both banks overflow upstream of the Vine Street 
  Bridge and several basements are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$

Martin/Dangelo
238 
WGUS81 KCTP 111415
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  West Branch Susquehanna At Lock Haven
  West Branch Susquehanna At Williamsport
  West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy
  West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton
  West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg
  Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station
  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg
  Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek
  Juniata River At Huntingdon
  Juniata River At Lewistown
  Penns Creek Near Penns Creek
  Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown
  Swatara Creek Above Middletown
  West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery
  West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued this afternoon.
&&

PAC027-035-120215-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-180913T1800Z/
/BECP1.3.ER.180910T1653Z.180911T1231Z.180913T1200Z.NR/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by Thursday 
  morning.
* At 15.0 feet...Homes in the cottage area are cutoff by high water 
  and directly affect homes in this area.

&&

LAT...LON 4110 7765 4112 7756 4114 7752 4110 7742
      4107 7749 4104 7758             

$$

PAC035-120043-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-180912T0043Z/
/LHVP1.1.ER.180911T0809Z.180911T1317Z.180911T1843Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Lock Haven.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 21.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* At 21.0 feet...The right, or south bank overflows in areas not 
  protected by the levee system.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7746 4117 7740 4119 7735 4113 7734
      4111 7745 4114 7754             

$$

PAC081-120215-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-180912T0645Z/
/WILP1.2.ER.180911T1304Z.180911T1800Z.180912T0045Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Williamsport.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 20.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 21.0 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage this evening.
* At 21.0 feet...A number of residences and roads in the area outside
  the levee system are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4125 7715 4127 7702 4128 7689 4123 7690
      4121 7699 4119 7714             

$$

PAC081-120215-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0065.180911T1732Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.1.ER.180911T1732Z.180911T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy.
* from this afternoon until further notice...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon 
  and crest near 20.6 feet by this evening.
* At 21.0 feet...Old Route 147 is inundated north of Muncy.

&&

LAT...LON 4128 7689 4125 7677 4118 7678 4119 7683
      4121 7685 4123 7690             

$$

PAC081-097-119-120215-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.1.ER.180911T1315Z.180911T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 20.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 20.9 feet by late this afternoon then 
  begin falling.
* At 20.0 feet...Ellis Parkway floods, limiting access to the 
  Riverside Campground office and the campground.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7683 4118 7678 4113 7686 4114 7692
      4119 7688                       

$$

PAC097-119-120215-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.1.ER.180911T2207Z.180911T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and
  crest near 23.3 feet by this evening.
* At 23.0 feet...The park on the left, or east bank floods. Roadway 
  flooding occurs at a few low lying areas on both sides of the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4114 7692 4113 7686 4110 7684 4106 7683
      4105 7689 4109 7690             

$$

PAC097-119-120215-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-180912T1600Z/
/ILTP1.1.ER.180911T2100Z.180912T0000Z.180912T1000Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  afternoon and crest near 19.5 feet by this evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* At 19.0 feet...River Road on the right, or west bank in West Milton
  floods. The left bank overflows in the vicinity of Milton.

&&

LAT...LON 4105 7689 4106 7683 4102 7682 4099 7684
      4099 7686 4102 7688             

$$

PAC097-119-120215-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-180912T1400Z/
/LWBP1.1.ER.180911T2000Z.180912T0000Z.180912T0800Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 17.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  afternoon and crest near 18.3 feet by this evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by early tomorrow morning.
* At 18.0 feet...The left, or east bank overflows. Low lying areas 
  will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 7689 4099 7684 4096 7684 4093 7683
      4090 7687 4095 7693             

$$

PAC013-061-120100-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-180912T0100Z/
/WIBP1.3.ER.180909T2334Z.180910T2300Z.180911T1900Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.
* At 15.0 feet...Many homes on the right, or south bank will be 
  affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$

PAC061-120215-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-180912T0400Z/
/HUJP1.2.ER.180910T1325Z.180911T0615Z.180911T2200Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Juniata River At Huntingdon.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* At 14.5 feet...Approximate level of the FEMA 10% Annual Chance 
  Flood level (10-year flood).

&&

LAT...LON 4054 7806 4055 7800 4050 7799 4047 7797
      4046 7799 4048 7803             

$$

PAC067-087-120000-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-180912T0000Z/
/LWSP1.1.ER.180911T1800Z.180911T1800Z.180911T1800Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Juniata River At Lewistown.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 22.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise to near flood stage this afternoon.
* At 23.0 feet...Basements of a few homes in the lowest lying areas 
  will flood. Backwater on Kishacoquillas Creek will affect the 
  athletic fields.

&&

LAT...LON 4050 7776 4067 7754 4058 7735 4052 7741
      4058 7751 4045 7771             

$$

PAC013-061-112300-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-180911T2300Z/
/SPKP1.2.ER.180910T0748Z.180910T2230Z.180911T1700Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* At 8.0 feet...The left, or north bank overflows, affecting several 
  homes.

&&

LAT...LON 4066 7818 4063 7812 4059 7803 4057 7811
      4059 7816 4064 7822             

$$

PAC109-119-120040-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-180912T0040Z/
/PNCP1.1.ER.180911T0120Z.180911T0915Z.180911T1840Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Penns Creek Near Penns Creek.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* At 8.0 feet...The left, or north bank overflows downstream of the 
  Route 104 bridge. A campground is affected. A number of secondary 
  roads in the Penns Creek drainage are affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4089 7712 4089 7705 4089 7698 4086 7698
      4085 7706 4086 7711             

$$

PAC041-120215-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180912T1500Z/
/HGSP1.1.ER.180910T1645Z.180911T1346Z.180912T0900Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by early 
  tomorrow morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Some residences in the vicinity of Erb's Bridge 
  Road, Prowell Road, Stone Spring Lane, and Oyster Mill Road are 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7747 4028 7713 4031 7692 4023 7689
      4020 7715 4015 7748             

$$

PAC043-120215-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0071.180911T1500Z-180913T0600Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180911T1500Z.180911T1500Z.180913T0000Z.UU/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* until late Wednesday night...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise to near flood stage late this 
  morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding begins near the Vine Street 
  Bridge downstream to the Susquehanna River.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$

PAC041-133-111445-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-180911T2100Z/
/CPHP1.1.ER.180910T0401Z.180910T1700Z.180911T1247Z.UU/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 6.9 feet and falling.
* The river fell below flood stage at 9 AM Tuesday.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue falling to 4.2 feet by Thursday morning.
* At 7.0 feet...Low lying areas in the Green Lane Farms development 
  on the right bank of Yellow Breeches Creek begin to flood. A mobile
  home park near Williams Grove is also affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7686 4023 7685 4016 7689 4015 7693
      4018 7695 4023 7692 4023 7689   

$$

CR
230 
WGUS81 KCTP 111959
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  West Branch Susquehanna At Lock Haven
  West Branch Susquehanna At Williamsport
  West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton
  West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg
  Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station
  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg
  Juniata River At Huntingdon
  Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown
  West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy
  West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery
  West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown
  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued this evening.

&&

PAC027-035-120757-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-180913T1300Z/
/BECP1.3.ER.180910T1653Z.180911T1231Z.180913T0700Z.NR/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The creek will continue falling to below flood stage by Thursday 
  morning.
* At 14.0 feet...Homes in the cottage area are cutoff by high water 
  from Bald Eagle Creek.

&&

LAT...LON 4110 7765 4112 7756 4114 7752 4110 7742
      4107 7749 4104 7758             

$$

PAC035-120152-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-180912T0152Z/
/LHVP1.1.ER.180911T0809Z.180911T1317Z.180911T1952Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Lock Haven.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by early this 
  evening.
* At 21.0 feet...The right, or south bank overflows in areas not 
  protected by the levee system.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7746 4117 7740 4119 7735 4113 7734
      4111 7745 4114 7754             

$$

PAC081-120757-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-180912T0800Z/
/WILP1.2.ER.180911T1304Z.180911T1901Z.180912T0200Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Williamsport.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage tonight.
* At 21.0 feet...A number of residences and roads in the area outside
  the levee system are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4125 7715 4127 7702 4128 7689 4123 7690
      4121 7699 4119 7714             

$$

PAC081-120757-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.1.ER.180911T1500Z.180912T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 21.5 feet by this evening then begin 
  falling.
* At 22.0 feet...A number of homes are flooded. Route 405 is affected
  between Muncy and Montgomery.

&&

LAT...LON 4128 7689 4125 7677 4118 7678 4119 7683
      4121 7685 4123 7690             

$$

PAC081-097-119-120757-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.1.ER.180911T1315Z.180911T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery.
* At 2 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 21.7 feet by late this afternoon then 
  begin falling.
* At 22.0 feet...South Main Street and Ellis Parkway are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7683 4118 7678 4113 7686 4114 7692
      4119 7688                       

$$

PAC097-119-120757-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.1.ER.180912T0200Z.180912T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise to near flood stage tonight.
* At 23.0 feet...The park on the left, or east bank floods. Roadway 
  flooding occurs at a few low lying areas on both sides of the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4114 7692 4113 7686 4110 7684 4106 7683
      4105 7689 4109 7690             

$$

PAC097-119-120757-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-180912T1821Z/
/ILTP1.1.ER.180911T1715Z.180912T0000Z.180912T1221Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 19.8 feet this evening. The river will
  fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* At 19.0 feet...River Road on the right, or west bank in West Milton
  floods. The left bank overflows in the vicinity of Milton.

&&

LAT...LON 4105 7689 4106 7683 4102 7682 4099 7684
      4099 7686 4102 7688             

$$

PAC097-119-120757-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-180912T1800Z/
/LWBP1.1.ER.180911T1724Z.180912T0000Z.180912T1200Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 19.0 feet by this evening. The river will
  fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* At 19.0 feet...Route 405 is affected downstream of the Lewisburg 
  Bridge.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 7689 4099 7684 4096 7684 4093 7683
      4090 7687 4095 7693             

$$

PAC013-061-120311-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-180912T0311Z/
/WIBP1.3.ER.180909T2334Z.180910T2300Z.180911T2111Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg.
* At 2 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by early this 
  evening.
* At 13.0 feet...Sections of route 866 from Williamsburg to Ganister 
  are covered by flood waters.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$

PAC061-120159-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-180912T0159Z/
/HUJP1.2.ER.180910T1325Z.180911T0615Z.180911T1959Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Juniata River At Huntingdon.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by early this 
  evening.
* At 12.0 feet...High water will begin to affect the Ames Plaza on 
  the right, or south bank.

&&

LAT...LON 4054 7806 4055 7800 4050 7799 4047 7797
      4046 7799 4048 7803             

$$

PAC041-120757-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180912T1600Z/
/HGSP1.1.ER.180910T1645Z.180911T1446Z.180912T1000Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by tomorrow 
  morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Some residences in the vicinity of Erb's Bridge 
  Road, Prowell Road, Stone Spring Lane, and Oyster Mill Road are 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7747 4028 7713 4031 7692 4023 7689
      4020 7715 4015 7748             

$$

PAC043-120757-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-180913T0600Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180911T2200Z.180911T2200Z.180913T0000Z.UU/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise to near flood stage this evening.
* At 11.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding begins near the Vine Street 
  Bridge downstream to the Susquehanna River.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$
743 
WGUS81 KCTP 120145
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
945 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  West Branch Susquehanna At Williamsport
  West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton
  West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg
  Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown
  Swatara Creek Above Middletown
  West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy
  West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery
  West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown
  Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued later tonight. 

&&

PAC027-035-121345-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-180913T1300Z/
/BECP1.3.ER.180910T1653Z.180911T1231Z.180913T0700Z.NR/
945 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek will continue falling to below flood stage by Thursday 
  morning.
* At 13.0 feet...Homes in the cottage area are isolated by high water
  from Bald Eagle Creek.

&&

LAT...LON 4110 7765 4112 7756 4114 7752 4110 7742
      4107 7749 4104 7758             

$$

PAC081-121225-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-180912T1225Z/
/WILP1.2.ER.180911T1304Z.180911T2130Z.180912T0625Z.NO/
945 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Williamsport.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by after 
  midnight tonight.
* At 21.0 feet...A number of residences and roads in the area outside
  the levee system are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4125 7715 4127 7702 4128 7689 4123 7690
      4121 7699 4119 7714             

$$

PAC081-121345-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.1.ER.180911T1500Z.180912T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
945 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 21.7 feet tonight then begin falling.
* At 22.0 feet...A number of homes are flooded. Route 405 is affected
  between Muncy and Montgomery.

&&

LAT...LON 4128 7689 4125 7677 4118 7678 4119 7683
      4121 7685 4123 7690             

$$

PAC081-097-119-121345-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.1.ER.180911T1315Z.180911T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
945 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery.
* At 5 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.8 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will remain near 21.8 feet before falling later tonight.
* At 22.0 feet...South Main Street and Ellis Parkway are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7683 4118 7678 4113 7686 4114 7692
      4119 7688                       

$$

PAC097-119-121345-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.1.ER.180912T0200Z.180912T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
945 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown.
* At 5 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near flood stage this evening and fall tonight.
* At 23.0 feet...The park on the left, or east bank floods. Roadway 
  flooding occurs at a few low lying areas on both sides of the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4114 7692 4113 7686 4110 7684 4106 7683
      4105 7689 4109 7690             

$$

PAC097-119-121345-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-180913T0100Z/
/ILTP1.1.ER.180911T1715Z.180912T0600Z.180912T1900Z.NO/
945 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 20.6 feet tonight. The 
  river will fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* At 21.0 feet...River Road in West Milton floods. Low lying areas in
  Milton are inundated.

&&

LAT...LON 4105 7689 4106 7683 4102 7682 4099 7684
      4099 7686 4102 7688             

$$

PAC097-119-121345-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-180912T2100Z/
/LWBP1.1.ER.180911T1724Z.180912T0600Z.180912T1500Z.NO/
945 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 19.2 feet this evening. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by late morning tomorrow.
* At 19.0 feet...Route 405 is affected downstream of the Lewisburg 
  Bridge.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 7689 4099 7684 4096 7684 4093 7683
      4090 7687 4095 7693             

$$

PAC041-121345-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180912T1900Z/
/HGSP1.1.ER.180910T1645Z.180911T1446Z.180912T1300Z.NO/
945 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was 8.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by late 
  morning tomorrow.
* At 8.0 feet...Low lying areas in the vicinity of Erbs Bridge Road, 
  Prowell Road, Stone Spring Lane, and Oyster Mill Road are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7747 4028 7713 4031 7692 4023 7689
      4020 7715 4015 7748             

$$

PAC043-120900-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-180912T0900Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180912T0300Z.180912T0300Z.180912T0300Z.UU/
945 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise to near flood stage tonight.
* At 11.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding begins near the Vine Street 
  Bridge downstream to the Susquehanna River.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$
889 
WGUS81 KCTP 120628
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
228 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued later this morning.

&&

PAC043-121828-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-180913T0600Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180912T0800Z.180912T1700Z.180913T0000Z.UU/
228 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* At 2 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage early this 
  morning and crest just above 11 feet this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage this evening.
* At 11.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding begins near the Vine Street 
  Bridge downstream to the Susquehanna River.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$
742 
WGUS81 KCTP 120752
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
352 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton
  Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy
  West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery
  West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown
  West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg
  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued later this morning.

&&

PAC081-121952-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.1.ER.180911T1500Z.180912T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
352 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy.
* At 2 AM Wednesday the stage was 20.8 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will start to fall this morning and will fall below 
  flood stage late this afternoon or evening. 
* At 21.0 feet...Old Route 147 is inundated north of Muncy.

&&

LAT...LON 4128 7689 4125 7677 4118 7678 4119 7683
      4121 7685 4123 7690             

$$

PAC081-097-119-121952-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.1.ER.180911T1315Z.180911T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
352 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery.
* At 5 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.8 feet.  
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will start to fall this morning and will fall below 
  flood stage late this afternoon or evening. 
* At 20 feet, Ellis Parkway floods, limiting access to the Riverside 
  Campground office and the campground.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7683 4118 7678 4113 7686 4114 7692
      4119 7688                       

$$

PAC097-119-121952-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.U.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
352 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown.
* At 5 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.8 feet.  
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will start to fall this morning and will fall below 
  flood stage late this afternoon or evening. 
* At 23 feet, the park on the left, or east bank floods. Roadway 
flooding occurs at a few low lying areas on both sides of the river.

&&

LAT...LON 4114 7692 4113 7686 4110 7684 4106 7683
      4105 7689 4109 7690             

$$

PAC097-119-121952-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-180913T0024Z/
/ILTP1.1.ER.180911T1715Z.180912T0516Z.180912T1824Z.NO/
352 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton.
* At 3 AM Wednesday the stage was 20.5 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage this 
  afternoon.
* At 21.0 feet, River Road in West Milton floods. Low lying areas in
  Milton are inundated.

&&

LAT...LON 4105 7689 4106 7683 4102 7682 4099 7684
      4099 7686 4102 7688             

$$

PAC097-119-121952-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-180912T2100Z/
/LWBP1.1.ER.180911T1724Z.180912T0516Z.180912T1500Z.NO/
352 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg.
* At 3 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.3 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage around Noon.
* At 19.0 feet, Route 405 is affected downstream of the Lewisburg 
  Bridge.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 7689 4099 7684 4096 7684 4093 7683
      4090 7687 4095 7693             

$$

PAC027-035-121600-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-180912T1600Z/
/BECP1.3.ER.180910T1653Z.180911T1231Z.180912T1000Z.NR/
352 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station.
* At 3 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue to fall and be below flood stage later 
  this morning.
* At 11.0 feet...High water levels threaten the cottage area of Mill 
  Hall downstream of Beech Creek Station.

&&

LAT...LON 4110 7765 4112 7756 4114 7752 4110 7742
      4107 7749 4104 7758             

$$

PAC043-121952-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-180913T0600Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180912T0637Z.180912T1700Z.180913T0000Z.UU/
352 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* At 3 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest under 12 feet late this morning or early 
  this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage this evening.
* At 11.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding begins near the Vine Street 
  Bridge downstream to the Susquehanna River.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$
095 
WGUS81 KCTP 121457
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
1057 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Pennsylvania...

  West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers and 
creeks in Pennsylvania...

  West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton
  West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg
  Swatara Creek Above Middletown
  West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued later today.

&&

PAC081-097-119-130257-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.1.ER.180911T1315Z.180911T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery.
* At 9 AM Wednesday the stage was 20.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage this 
  afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...Ellis Parkway floods, limiting access to the 
  Riverside Campground office and the campground.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7683 4118 7678 4113 7686 4114 7692
      4119 7688                       

$$

PAC097-119-121527-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-180912T1457Z/
/WATP1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown.
* At 7 AM Wednesday the stage was 21.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* The river has crested and will continue to fall.
* At 21.0 feet...River interests are encouraged to monitor conditions
  for further rises. A few roads in the vicinity of Watsontown are 
  affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4114 7692 4113 7686 4110 7684 4106 7683
      4105 7689 4109 7690             

$$

PAC097-119-130100-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-180913T0100Z/
/ILTP1.1.ER.180911T1715Z.180912T0516Z.180912T1900Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.
* At 19.0 feet...River Road on the right, or west bank in West Milton
  floods. The left bank overflows in the vicinity of Milton.

&&

LAT...LON 4105 7689 4106 7683 4102 7682 4099 7684
      4099 7686 4102 7688             

$$

PAC097-119-122200-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-180912T2200Z/
/LWBP1.1.ER.180911T1724Z.180912T0516Z.180912T1600Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.
* At 19.0 feet...Route 405 is affected downstream of the Lewisburg 
  Bridge.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 7689 4099 7684 4096 7684 4093 7683
      4090 7687 4095 7693             

$$

PAC043-130257-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-180914T0100Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180912T0637Z.180912T1800Z.180913T1900Z.UU/
1057 AM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.7 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek will crest near 11.8 feet this afternoon. The creek 
  will fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Both banks overflow upstream of the Vine Street 
  Bridge and several basements are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$

CJE/CHR
770 
WGUS81 KCTP 121955
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
355 PM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued late this evening.
&&

PAC043-130755-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-180914T0700Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180912T0637Z.180912T1745Z.180914T0100Z.UU/
355 PM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* At 3 PM Wednesday the stage was 11.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek will continue falling to below flood stage by late 
  evening tomorrow.
* At 12.0 feet...Both banks overflow upstream of the Vine Street 
  Bridge and several basements are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$

PAC097-119-122025-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-180912T2200Z/
/LWBP1.1.ER.180911T1724Z.180912T0516Z.180912T1905Z.NO/
355 PM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg.
* At 4 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.9 feet and falling.
* The river fell below flood stage at 3 PM Wednesday.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue falling to 14.0 feet by Friday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...The left, or east bank overflows. Low lying areas 
  will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 7689 4099 7684 4096 7684 4093 7683
      4090 7687 4095 7693             

$$
635 
WGUS81 KCTP 130135
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
935 PM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued by morning tomorrow.

&&

PAC043-131335-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-180914T0000Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180912T0637Z.180912T1745Z.180913T1800Z.UU/
935 PM EDT Wed Sep 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 11.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  afternoon tomorrow.
* At 12.0 feet...Both banks overflow upstream of the Vine Street 
  Bridge and several basements are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$
394 
WGUS81 KCTP 131019
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
619 AM EDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive cars through flooded areas! Turn Around Don't Drown!

&&

PAC043-131049-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-180914T0000Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180912T0637Z.180912T1745Z.180913T0940Z.UU/
619 AM EDT Thu Sep 13 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* At 6 AM Thursday the stage was 10.9 feet and falling.
* The river fell below flood stage at 6 AM Thursday.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue falling to around 10 feet on Friday.
* At 11.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding begins near the Vine Street 
  Bridge downstream to the Susquehanna River.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 11, 2:34 AM EDT, 2 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 11, 2:34 AM EDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
234 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
An occluded front trailing off the remnant low of Gordon is
inching eastward through Central PA this morning. The front will
drag it's feet and stall just to the southeast of the state
tonight. High pressure nosing in from the northwest will not be
able to completely clear out the clouds and showers from all of
Central PA.

There is the potential for the region to be impacted by
Hurricane Florence by the end of the week or next weekend,
though the biggest impacts look to remain south of the state.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Train of light to moderate showers seems to have an end over the
Laurels right now, but redevelopment seems to occur every time
it appears we will lose the showers. Will keep the forecast a
little pessimisstic and hold showers in the forecast through
sunrise for many places. There is even a little instability just
to the SE of the CWA. Have opted to keep T out of the forecast
for the CWA until later in the day when NAM and GFS LI's go
negative to the east of the main stem Susq. NAM even cranks up
some convective precip over the far ern counties and slides it
NE. The clouds are pretty stubborn. Have made only slow
improvements and allowed for some breaks over the NC & NWrn
counties today. Those breaks could lead to an isold SHRA in the
N, though. Temps will be cool again today, but not as chilly as
the past few days. Will be revisiting maxes again, but have
taken a deg or two off them for now. That puts them 3-5F below
normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
We keep promising that high pressure will build in and make it
all nice. I think it's time to stop making promises. The front
going through the region today will hang up very close to our
SErn border. The SE flow off the Atlantic only relaxes for a
short time, but keeps on going, and perhaps gets stronger mid-
week. Thus, the close proximimty of the front and rising air
over our heads will make it unsettled like we had before this
Gordon deluge. Expect occasional showers roaming SW-NE. In our
recent spate, we had very little success trying to time these
showers by placing higher POPs in the afternoons than other
times of day. NAM and GFS both bubble showers up into the area
from the south later tonight, and make almost categorical POPs
for the 12-hr period covering Wed daylight over the SE half of
the CWA. The best chance of staying dry Wed will be NW of a line
from Clearfield to Mansfield.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Sprawling high pressure off to our north promises to create a
persistent easterly maritime flow of moist air for mid week
onward.

The strength of the upper ridge will be all important in how
far north and west Florence will go. With the wet summer we
have had, any additional heavy rains coming out of the tropics
would be a challenge for all involved.

Latest guidance has Florence going ashore near Wilmington NC
Thursday evening before slowing down as it moves inland. It
remains to be seen how much of a direct influence this will have
locally, or if some sort of frontal interaction with the
tropical moisture can develop north of the storm. All eyes will
certainly be on this potentially very dangerous hurricane.

Temperatures will begin to rebound by the Tuesday through
Thursday timeframe. As mentioned above, with the influence of
Florence so uncertain, the forecast for the end of the period is
a rather bland mention for small chances of showers.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Not a lot of change for the 06Z TAF package.

Compared to recent nights, visibility is down across
the region.

A small band of rain is right across the office here.

Anyway, looking at mainly IFR conditions this morning.

Earlier discussion below.

A slow moving frontal boundary, combined with a moist easterly
flow off of the Atlantic Ocean, will result in widespread low
cigs, occasional drizzle and scattered showers tonight.
Observations at 03Z are showing cig heights mostly between
500-1000ft and model soundings support the idea of lowering
stratus overnight, with predominantly ifr/lifr conditions
overnight.

Improving flying conditions are anticipated Tuesday, as high
pressure builds in from the Grt Lks. SREF/HREF prob charts
indicate improvement will come first across the central portion
of the state (KAOO/KUNV/KIPT), where cigs should improve to
mvfr or low vfr by late morning. Improvement could take longer
along the spine of the Appalachians (KBFD/KJST) and near the
exiting front over southeast Pa (KMDT/KLNS). However, even there
improvement appears likely by afternoon. Can't rule out an
afternoon thunderstorm at KLNS in vicinity of stalled cold
front.

.Outlook...

Wed...AM low cigs/fog possible, mainly northern mountains.
Isold PM tsra impacts possible southeast Pa.

Thu-Fri...Patchy AM fog possible. Isold PM tsra impacts
possible.

Sat...Patchy AM fog possible. PM rain/low cigs possible southern
Pa.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
The heaviest of the rain is over from Gordon, and we can relax a
little as there will be no heavy rain over the CWA today. The
spotty showers today should not allow for renewed rises. There
is a tiny chc of some TS in the far Ern fringe of the CWA.
However, it is tiny, and thankfully, they have not been hit the
hardest. Many small streams and creeks are still experiencing
at least minor flooding, with many of the larger rivers in
various stages of flooding. Some of the faster-reacting points
are falling, and some falling below flood stage. However, the
West Branch Susq R is still going to be rising significantly
today and Wed. The Juniata basin is easily the hardest hit area
right now, with moderate to major flooding on-going. Beech Creek
(West Branch basin) is still rising and well into Major flood
category. Much of that water did an end-around the Sayers Dam,
falling in the Marsh Creek and Beech Creek basins. Many of
those points are near crest and should be falling soon.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Dangelo
NEAR TERM...Dangelo
SHORT TERM...Dangelo/RXR
LONG TERM...La Corte/Tyburski
AVIATION...Fitzgerald/Martin
HYDROLOGY...Dangelo
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 11, 4:43 AM EDT, 29 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
443 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-063>066-120845-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-
Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-
Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-
Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-
Adams-York-Lancaster-
443 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 10, 9:19 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPCentre, Clearfield3 hr
Sep 10, 10:44 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPCentre, Clinton8 hr
Sep 10, 10:44 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPClinton31 hr
Sep 10, 10:44 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPLycoming36 hr
Sep 10, 10:44 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPLycoming34 hr
Sep 10, 10:44 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPLycoming, Northumberland, Union38 hr
Sep 10, 10:44 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPNorthumberland, Union36 hr
Sep 10, 10:44 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPNorthumberland, Union40 hr
Sep 10, 10:44 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPNorthumberland, Union49 hr
Sep 11, 12:13 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPCentre, Clearfield3 hr
Sep 11, 5:12 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPJuniata, Mifflin17 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.