Alert archive / Pennsylvania / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 49, NWS State College, PA

September 9, 2018Blair County, Huntingdon County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this river flood warning at Sep 9, 2018, 9:24 AM EDT for Blair County, Huntingdon County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Sep 9, 2018, 5:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 49 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 9, 2018, 9:24 AM EDT (13:24 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 9, 2018, 5:00 PM EDT
Expired
Sep 11, 2018, 6:01 PM EDT
In force
49 hr
Issued by
NWS State College, PA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

Counties Blair County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Frankstown Branch Juniata River at Williamsburg (WIBP1). The gauge peaked at 16.98 ft at Sep 10, 2018, 7:00 PM EDT.

actionminormoderatemajor5101509/0909/1009/1109/12
Action stage
9 ft
Minor stage
12 ft
Moderate stage
13 ft
Major stage
15 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01556000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

868 
WGUS41 KCTP 091324
FLWCTP
Bulletin - Immediate Broadcast Requested
Flood Warning
National Weather Service State College PA
924 AM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

...The National Weather Service in State College, PA has issued a 
flood warning for the following rivers in Pennsylvania...

  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued this afternoon.

&&

PAC013-061-100123-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FL.W.0049.180909T2100Z-180911T2200Z/
/WIBP1.2.ER.180909T2100Z.180911T0000Z.180911T1600Z.NO/
924 AM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

The National Weather Service in State College, PA has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg
* from this afternoon to Tuesday evening...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 8 AM Sunday the stage was...8.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  afternoon and crest near 14.6 feet by tomorrow evening.  The river 
  will fall below flood stage by early Tuesday afternoon.
* At 15.0 feet...Many homes on the right, or south bank will be 
  affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$
13 follow-up statements
285 
WGUS81 KCTP 092141
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
541 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek
  Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg
  Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill
  Youghiogheny River Near Confluence
  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued by late this evening. 
&&

PAC013-061-100941-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-180911T2200Z/
/WIBP1.2.ER.180909T2200Z.180911T0000Z.180911T1600Z.NO/
541 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Frankstown Branch of The Juniata At Williamsburg.
* At 4 PM Sunday the stage was 11.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and
  crest near 14.6 feet by tomorrow evening. The river will fall below
  flood stage by early Tuesday afternoon.
* At 15.0 feet...Many homes on the right, or south bank will be 
  affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$

PAC111-100941-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0050.180909T2323Z-180911T0920Z/
/CNFP1.2.ER.180909T2323Z.180910T1200Z.180911T0320Z.NO/
541 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Youghiogheny River Near Confluence.
* until late Monday night...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 5 PM Sunday the stage was 9.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and
  crest near 13.9 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall below
  flood stage by late evening tomorrow.
* At 14.0 feet...State Route 3003 is closed due to high water. High 
  water covers the road about one tenth of a mile downstream of the 
  confluence of the Casselman and Youghiogheny Rivers.

&&

LAT...LON 3948 7922 3947 7921 3947 7920
      3949 7920 3949 7921 3949 7921             

$$

PAC013-061-100941-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0053.180910T1300Z-180911T1900Z/
/SPKP1.1.ER.180910T1300Z.180911T0000Z.180911T1300Z.NO/
541 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek.
* from Monday morning to Tuesday afternoon...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 5 PM Sunday the stage was 5.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by morning 
  tomorrow and crest near 9.4 feet by tomorrow evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Tuesday morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Homes are affected on both banks. Several roads are 
  also affected including Route 45.

&&

LAT...LON 4066 7818 4063 7812 4059 7803 4057 7811
      4059 7816 4064 7822             

$$

PAC061-100941-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0052.180910T1100Z-180912T0800Z/
/SLYP1.1.ER.180910T1100Z.180911T0600Z.180912T0200Z.NO/
541 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg.
* from Monday morning to late Tuesday night...Or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At 4 PM Sunday the stage was 6.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning
  and crest near 11.8 feet by Monday night. The creek will 
  fall below flood stage Tuesday night.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood waters from Aughwick Creek cover portions of 
  Gilbo Road, Aughwick Mills Road and Keystone Road in Shirley 
  Township.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 7789 4036 7782 4030 7783 4023 7788
      4025 7795 4032 7791             

$$

PAC041-133-100941-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0051.180910T0300Z-180912T1500Z/
/CPHP1.1.ER.180910T0300Z.180911T0600Z.180912T0900Z.UU/
541 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill.
* from this evening to Wednesday morning...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 5 PM Sunday the stage was 6.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek is forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and 
  crest near 8.8 feet Monday night. The creek will fall 
  below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* At 9.0 feet...A number of homes in the Green Lane Farms development
  are affected by high water. Cedar Cliff Drive on the left bank 
  upstream from the single span bridge on Green Lane Drive is 
  inundated. Creekwood Drive has several feet of water on it, and 
  water is approaching homes.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7686 4023 7685 4016 7689 4015 7693
      4018 7695 4023 7692 4023 7689   

$$
572 
WGUS81 KCTP 100230
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
1030 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg
  Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek
  Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg
  Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill
  Youghiogheny River Near Confluence

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued by tomorrow morning. 

&&

PAC013-061-101430-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-180911T1851Z/
/WIBP1.2.ER.180909T2334Z.180911T0000Z.180911T1251Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 12.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 14.0 feet by tomorrow evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage Tuesday morning.
* At 15.0 feet...Many homes on the right, or south bank will be 
  affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$

PAC013-061-101430-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0053.180910T1312Z-180911T1612Z/
/SPKP1.1.ER.180910T1312Z.180911T0000Z.180911T1012Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek.
* from Monday morning to Tuesday afternoon...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 7.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by morning 
  tomorrow and crest near 9.4 feet by tomorrow evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Tuesday morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Homes are affected on both banks. Several roads are 
  also affected including Route 45.

&&

LAT...LON 4066 7818 4063 7812 4059 7803 4057 7811
      4059 7816 4064 7822             

$$

PAC061-101430-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0052.180910T0636Z-180911T2100Z/
/SLYP1.1.ER.180910T0636Z.180910T1800Z.180911T1500Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg.
* from late tonight to Tuesday afternoon...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 9.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek is forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight 
  tonight and crest near 11.0 feet by early afternoon tomorrow. The 
  creek will fall below flood stage by Tuesday afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood waters from Aughwick Creek cover portions of 
  Gilbo Road, Aughwick Mills Road and Keystone Road in Shirley 
  Township.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 7789 4036 7782 4030 7783 4023 7788
      4025 7795 4032 7791             

$$

PAC041-133-101430-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0051.180910T0320Z-180911T2200Z/
/CPHP1.1.ER.180910T0320Z.180911T0000Z.180911T1600Z.UU/
1030 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill.
* until Tuesday evening...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10 PM Sunday the stage was 6.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage tonight and 
  crest near 7.7 feet by tomorrow evening. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Tuesday afternoon.
* At 9.0 feet...A number of homes in the Green Lane Farms development
  are affected by high water. Cedar Cliff Drive on the left bank 
  upstream from the single span bridge on Green Lane Drive is 
  inundated. Creekwood Drive has several feet of water on it, and 
  water is approaching homes.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7686 4023 7685 4016 7689 4015 7693
      4018 7695 4023 7692 4023 7689   

$$

PAC111-101430-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-180911T1100Z/
/CNFP1.1.ER.180909T2321Z.180910T0600Z.180911T0500Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Youghiogheny River Near Confluence.
* At 10 PM Sunday the stage was 12.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 13.8 feet after midnight tonight. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by early Tuesday morning.
* At 14.0 feet...State Route 3003 is closed due to high water. High 
  water covers the road about one tenth of a mile downstream of the 
  confluence of the Casselman and Youghiogheny Rivers.

&&

LAT...LON 3948 7922 3947 7921 3947 7920
      3949 7920 3949 7921 3949 7921             

$$
869 
WGUS81 KCTP 100429
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
1229 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg
  Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg
  Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill
  Youghiogheny River Near Confluence

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued later this morning.

&&

PAC013-061-101627-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-180911T1700Z/
/WIBP1.2.ER.180909T2334Z.180910T2300Z.180911T1100Z.NO/
1229 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg.
* At 11 PM Sunday the stage was 13.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 14.3 feet by this evening. The river will
  fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* At 15.0 feet...Many homes on the right, or south bank will be 
  affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$

PAC013-061-101627-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0053.180910T1200Z-180911T1830Z/
/SPKP1.1.ER.180910T1200Z.180911T0000Z.180911T1230Z.NO/
1229 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek.
* from this morning to Tuesday afternoon...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 11 PM Sunday the stage was 7.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and
  crest near 9.5 feet by this evening. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Homes are affected on both banks. Several roads are 
  also affected including Route 45.

&&

LAT...LON 4066 7818 4063 7812 4059 7803 4057 7811
      4059 7816 4064 7822             

$$

PAC061-101627-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0052.180910T0636Z-180911T2100Z/
/SLYP1.1.ER.180910T0636Z.180910T1800Z.180911T1500Z.NO/
1229 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg.
* until Tuesday afternoon...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11 PM Sunday the stage was 9.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight 
  this morning and crest near 11.0 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late morning tomorrow.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood waters from Aughwick Creek cover portions of 
  Gilbo Road, Aughwick Mills Road and Keystone Road in Shirley 
  Township.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 7789 4036 7782 4030 7783 4023 7788
      4025 7795 4032 7791             

$$

PAC041-133-101627-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-180911T2200Z/
/CPHP1.1.ER.180910T0401Z.180911T0000Z.180911T1600Z.UU/
1229 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill.
* At 12 AM Monday the stage was 7.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 7.7 feet by this evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage early afternoon tomorrow.
* At 7.0 feet...Low lying areas in the Green Lane Farms development 
  on the right bank of Yellow Breeches Creek begin to flood. A mobile
  home park near Williams Grove is also affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7686 4023 7685 4016 7689 4015 7693
      4018 7695 4023 7692 4023 7689   

$$

PAC111-101627-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-180911T1100Z/
/CNFP1.1.ER.180909T2321Z.180910T0600Z.180911T0500Z.NO/
1229 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Youghiogheny River Near Confluence.
* At 12 AM Monday the stage was 13.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 13.8 feet by after midnight this morning.
  The river will fall below flood stage after midnight tonight.
* At 14.0 feet...State Route 3003 is closed due to high water. High 
  water covers the road about one tenth of a mile downstream of the 
  confluence of the Casselman and Youghiogheny Rivers.

&&

LAT...LON 3948 7922 3947 7921 3947 7920
      3949 7920 3949 7921 3949 7921             

$$
781 
WGUS41 KCTP 100607
FLWCTP
Bulletin - Immediate Broadcast Requested
Flood Warning
National Weather Service State College PA
207 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity for the 
following rivers in Pennsylvania...

  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued later this morning.

&&

PAC013-061-101806-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-180911T2300Z/
/WIBP1.3.ER.180909T2334Z.180911T0000Z.180911T1700Z.NO/
207 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
 
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg
* At 1 AM Monday the stage was...14.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 15.7 feet by this evening.  The river 
  will fall below flood stage early afternoon tomorrow.
* At 15.0 feet...Many homes on the right, or south bank will be 
  affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$
503 
WGUS81 KCTP 100806
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
406 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg
  Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek
  Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg
  Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Youghiogheny River Near Confluence

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued later this morning.

&&

PAC013-061-102005-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-180911T2200Z/
/WIBP1.3.ER.180909T2334Z.180911T0000Z.180911T1600Z.NO/
406 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg.
* At 3 AM Monday the stage was 15.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 16 feet by this evening. The river will
  fall below flood stage early afternoon tomorrow.
* At 15.0 feet...Many homes on the right, or south bank will be 
  affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$

PAC013-061-102005-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0053.180910T1500Z-180911T1617Z/
/SPKP1.1.ER.180910T1500Z.180911T0000Z.180911T1017Z.NO/
406 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek.
* from this morning to Tuesday afternoon or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 4 AM Monday the stage was 8.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 10 feet by this evening. The
  river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Homes are affected on both banks. Several roads are 
  also affected including Route 45.

&&

LAT...LON 4066 7818 4063 7812 4059 7803 4057 7811
      4059 7816 4064 7822             

$$

PAC061-102005-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-180911T0800Z/
/SLYP1.1.ER.180910T0501Z.180910T1200Z.180911T0200Z.NO/
406 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg.
* At 3 AM Monday the stage was 10.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 11 feet later this morning. The river
  will fall below flood stage tonight.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood waters from Aughwick Creek cover portions of 
  Gilbo Road, Aughwick Mills Road and Keystone Road in Shirley 
  Township.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 7789 4036 7782 4030 7783 4023 7788
      4025 7795 4032 7791             

$$

PAC041-133-102005-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-180911T1800Z/
/CPHP1.1.ER.180910T0401Z.180910T1800Z.180911T1200Z.UU/
406 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill.
* At 4 AM Monday the stage was 7.1 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest between 7 and 8 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* At 7.0 feet...Low lying areas in the Green Lane Farms development 
  on the right bank of Yellow Breeches Creek begin to flood. A mobile
  home park near Williams Grove is also affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7686 4023 7685 4016 7689 4015 7693
      4018 7695 4023 7692 4023 7689   

$$

PAC111-102005-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-180911T1100Z/
/CNFP1.1.ER.180909T2321Z.180910T1200Z.180911T0500Z.NO/
406 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Youghiogheny River Near Confluence.
* At 4 AM Monday the stage was 12.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* At 14.0 feet...State Route 3003 is closed due to high water. High 
  water covers the road about one tenth of a mile downstream of the 
  confluence of the Casselman and Youghiogheny Rivers.

&&

LAT...LON 3948 7922 3947 7921 3947 7920
      3949 7920 3949 7921 3949 7921             

$$
144 
WGUS81 KCTP 101205
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
805 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg
  Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek
  Juniata River At Huntingdon
  Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg
  Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill
  Youghiogheny River Near Confluence

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued later this morning.

&&

PAC013-061-110005-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-180912T0000Z/
/WIBP1.3.ER.180909T2334Z.180910T1800Z.180911T1800Z.NO/
805 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg.
* At 7 AM Monday the stage was 16.3 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 16.6 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage early afternoon tomorrow.
* At 17.0 feet...Many homes on the right, or south bank are affected 
  by high water. The south approach to the highway bridge is 
  unundated. A number of other streets and roads in the area are 
  closed.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$

PAC061-110005-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-180911T2100Z/
/SLYP1.2.ER.180910T0501Z.180910T1800Z.180911T1500Z.NO/
805 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg.
* At 7 AM Monday the stage was 11.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 12.1 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage late morning tomorrow.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood waters from Aughwick Creek cover portions of 
  Gilbo Road, Aughwick Mills Road and Keystone Road in Shirley 
  Township.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 7789 4036 7782 4030 7783 4023 7788
      4025 7795 4032 7791             

$$

PAC013-061-110005-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0053.180910T1159Z-180911T1600Z/
/SPKP1.1.ER.180910T0748Z.180910T2300Z.180911T1000Z.NO/
805 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek.
* until Tuesday afternoon...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 8.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 9.7 feet by this evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Homes are affected on both banks. Several roads are 
  also affected including Route 45.

&&

LAT...LON 4066 7818 4063 7812 4059 7803 4057 7811
      4059 7816 4064 7822             

$$

PAC061-110005-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0054.180910T1500Z-180911T2200Z/
/HUJP1.1.ER.180910T1500Z.180911T0500Z.180911T1600Z.NO/
805 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Juniata River At Huntingdon.
* from this morning to Tuesday evening...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 11.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  morning and crest near 12.8 feet by after midnight tonight. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by early afternoon tomorrow.
* At 13.0 feet...Several homes located outside of the levee system 
  will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 4054 7806 4055 7800 4050 7799 4047 7797
      4046 7799 4048 7803             

$$

PAC041-133-110005-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-180911T1800Z/
/CPHP1.1.ER.180910T0401Z.180910T1800Z.180911T1200Z.UU/
805 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 7.3 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 7.5 feet by this evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* At 7.0 feet...Low lying areas in the Green Lane Farms development 
  on the right bank of Yellow Breeches Creek begin to flood. A mobile
  home park near Williams Grove is also affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7686 4023 7685 4016 7689 4015 7693
      4018 7695 4023 7692 4023 7689   

$$

PAC111-110005-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-180911T1100Z/
/CNFP1.1.ER.180909T2321Z.180910T1200Z.180911T0500Z.NO/
805 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Youghiogheny River Near Confluence.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 12.9 feet and near crest.  The river
  fall below flood stage early Tuesday.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* At 14.0 feet...State Route 3003 is closed due to high water. High 
  water covers the road about one tenth of a mile downstream of the 
  confluence of the Casselman and Youghiogheny Rivers.

&&

LAT...LON 3948 7922 3947 7921 3947 7920
      3949 7920 3949 7921 3949 7921             

$$

CR
676 
WGUS81 KCTP 101522
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
1122 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg
  Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek
  Juniata River At Huntingdon
  Penns Creek Near Penns Creek
  Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill
  Youghiogheny River Near Confluence
  Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station
  Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg
  Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued this afternoon.

&&

PAC013-061-110321-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-180912T0000Z/
/WIBP1.3.ER.180909T2334Z.180910T1800Z.180911T1800Z.NO/
1122 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg.
* At 10 AM Monday the stage was 16.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 16.7 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage early afternoon tomorrow.
* At 17.0 feet...Many homes on the right, or south bank are affected 
  by high water. The south approach to the highway bridge is 
  unundated. A number of other streets and roads in the area are 
  closed.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$

PAC061-110321-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-180911T2100Z/
/SLYP1.2.ER.180910T0501Z.180910T1800Z.180911T1500Z.NO/
1122 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg.
* At 10 AM Monday the stage was 12.2 feet and near crest.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 12.3 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage late morning tomorrow.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood waters from Aughwick Creek cover portions of 
  Gilbo Road, Aughwick Mills Road and Keystone Road in Shirley 
  Township.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 7789 4036 7782 4030 7783 4023 7788
      4025 7795 4032 7791             

$$

PAC027-035-110321-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0060.180911T0200Z-180913T1630Z/
/BECP1.1.ER.180911T0200Z.180911T1800Z.180913T1030Z.NO/
1122 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station.
* from this evening to Thursday afternoon...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 10.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and 
  crest near 12.5 feet by early afternoon tomorrow. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* At 13.0 feet...Homes in the cottage area are isolated by high water
  from Bald Eagle Creek.

&&

LAT...LON 4110 7765 4112 7756 4114 7752 4110 7742
      4107 7749 4104 7758             

$$

PAC013-061-110321-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-180911T1600Z/
/SPKP1.1.ER.180910T0748Z.180911T0000Z.180911T1000Z.NO/
1122 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek.
* At 10 AM Monday the stage was 8.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 9.4 feet by this evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Homes are affected on both banks. Several roads are 
  also affected including Route 45.

&&

LAT...LON 4066 7818 4063 7812 4059 7803 4057 7811
      4059 7816 4064 7822             

$$

PAC061-110321-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0054.180910T1518Z-180912T0000Z/
/HUJP1.1.ER.180910T1325Z.180911T0600Z.180911T1800Z.NO/
1122 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Juniata River At Huntingdon.
* from this morning to Tuesday evening...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 12.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 12.9 feet by after midnight tonight. The 
  river will fall below flood stage early afternoon tomorrow.
* At 13.0 feet...Several homes located outside of the levee system 
  will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 4054 7806 4055 7800 4050 7799 4047 7797
      4046 7799 4048 7803             

$$

PAC109-119-110321-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0057.180910T2300Z-180911T1930Z/
/PNCP1.1.ER.180910T2300Z.180911T0600Z.180911T1330Z.NO/
1122 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Penns Creek Near Penns Creek.
* from this evening to Tuesday afternoon...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 6.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and
  crest near 8.3 feet by after midnight tonight. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by late morning tomorrow.
* At 8.0 feet...The left, or north bank overflows downstream of the 
  Route 104 bridge. A campground is affected. A number of secondary 
  roads in the Penns Creek drainage are affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4089 7712 4089 7705 4089 7698 4086 7698
      4085 7706 4086 7711             

$$

PAC041-110321-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0061.180910T1900Z-180912T1600Z/
/HGSP1.1.ER.180910T1900Z.180911T1200Z.180912T1000Z.NO/
1122 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown.
* from this afternoon to Wednesday afternoon...Or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 7.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  afternoon and crest near 8.5 feet by tomorrow morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* At 8.0 feet...Low lying areas in the vicinity of Erbs Bridge Road, 
  Prowell Road, Stone Spring Lane, and Oyster Mill Road are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7747 4028 7713 4031 7692 4023 7689
      4020 7715 4015 7748             

$$

PAC041-133-110321-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-180911T2100Z/
/CPHP1.1.ER.180910T0401Z.180911T0000Z.180911T1500Z.UU/
1122 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 7.5 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 7.5 feet by this evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage late morning tomorrow.
* At 7.0 feet...Low lying areas in the Green Lane Farms development 
  on the right bank of Yellow Breeches Creek begin to flood. A mobile
  home park near Williams Grove is also affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7686 4023 7685 4016 7689 4015 7693
      4018 7695 4023 7692 4023 7689   

$$

PAC111-110321-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-180911T0936Z/
/CNFP1.1.ER.180909T2321Z.180910T1800Z.180911T0336Z.NO/
1122 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Youghiogheny River Near Confluence.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 13.1 feet and near crest.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 13.3 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage tonight.
* At 14.0 feet...State Route 3003 is closed due to high water. High 
  water covers the road about one tenth of a mile downstream of the 
  confluence of the Casselman and Youghiogheny Rivers.

&&

LAT...LON 3948 7922 3947 7921 3947 7920
      3949 7920 3949 7921 3949 7921             

$$

CR
586 
WGUS81 KCTP 102043
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
443 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station
  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg
  Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek
  Juniata River At Huntingdon
  Penns Creek Near Penns Creek
  Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown
  Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill
  Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg
  Youghiogheny River Near Confluence

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued by late this evening. 

&&

PAC013-061-110842-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-180911T2100Z/
/WIBP1.3.ER.180909T2334Z.180910T1915Z.180911T1500Z.NO/
443 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg.
* At 3 PM Monday the stage was 16.9 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* At 17.0 feet...Many homes on the right, or south bank are affected 
  by high water. The south approach to the highway bridge is 
  unundated. A number of other streets and roads in the area are 
  closed.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$

PAC013-061-110842-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-180911T2300Z/
/SPKP1.2.ER.180910T0748Z.180911T0000Z.180911T1700Z.NO/
443 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek.
* At 3 PM Monday the stage was 11.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The creek will crest near 11.8 feet by this evening. The creek will
  fall below flood stage by afternoon tomorrow.
* At 12.0 feet...Homes on both banks are affected by high water. A 
  number of roads are closed.

&&

LAT...LON 4066 7818 4063 7812 4059 7803 4057 7811
      4059 7816 4064 7822             

$$

PAC061-110842-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-180911T2300Z/
/HUJP1.2.ER.180910T1325Z.180910T2000Z.180911T1700Z.NO/
443 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Juniata River At Huntingdon.
* At 4 PM Monday the stage was 13.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by  
  afternoon tomorrow.
* At 13.0 feet...Several homes located outside of the levee system 
  will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 4054 7806 4055 7800 4050 7799 4047 7797
      4046 7799 4048 7803             

$$

PAC061-110842-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-180911T2100Z/
/SLYP1.2.ER.180910T0501Z.180911T0000Z.180911T1500Z.NO/
443 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg.
* At 3 PM Monday the stage was 12.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The creek will crest near 12.7 feet by this evening. The creek will
  fall below flood stage by late morning tomorrow.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood waters from Aughwick Creek cover portions of 
  Gilbo Road, Aughwick Mills Road and Keystone Road in Shirley 
  Township.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 7789 4036 7782 4030 7783 4023 7788
      4025 7795 4032 7791             

$$

PAC027-035-110842-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-180913T2200Z/
/BECP1.1.ER.180910T1653Z.180911T1100Z.180913T1600Z.NO/
443 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station.
* At 4 PM Monday the stage was 12.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek will crest near 12.9 feet by tomorrow morning. The creek 
  will fall below flood stage early Thursday afternoon.
* At 13.0 feet...Homes in the cottage area are isolated by high water
  from Bald Eagle Creek.

&&

LAT...LON 4110 7765 4112 7756 4114 7752 4110 7742
      4107 7749 4104 7758             

$$

PAC109-119-110842-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0057.180910T2330Z-180911T1800Z/
/PNCP1.1.ER.180910T2330Z.180911T0600Z.180911T1200Z.NO/
443 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Penns Creek Near Penns Creek.
* from this evening to Tuesday afternoon...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 4 PM Monday the stage was 7.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and
  crest near 8.3 feet after midnight tonight. The creek will fall 
  below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* At 8.0 feet...The left, or north bank overflows downstream of the 
  Route 104 bridge. A campground is affected. A number of secondary 
  roads in the Penns Creek drainage are affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4089 7712 4089 7705 4089 7698 4086 7698
      4085 7706 4086 7711             

$$

PAC041-110842-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180912T1300Z/
/HGSP1.1.ER.180910T1645Z.180911T0600Z.180912T0700Z.NO/
443 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown.
* At 4 PM Monday the stage was 8.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek will crest near 8.7 feet by after midnight tonight. The 
  creek will fall below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* At 8.0 feet...Low lying areas in the vicinity of Erbs Bridge Road, 
  Prowell Road, Stone Spring Lane, and Oyster Mill Road are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7747 4028 7713 4031 7692 4023 7689
      4020 7715 4015 7748             

$$

PAC041-133-110842-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-180911T1100Z/
/CPHP1.1.ER.180910T0401Z.180910T1700Z.180911T0500Z.UU/
443 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill.
* At 4 PM Monday the stage was 7.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek will continue falling to below flood stage by after 
  midnight tonight.
* At 7.0 feet...Low lying areas in the Green Lane Farms development 
  on the right bank of Yellow Breeches Creek begin to flood. A mobile
  home park near Williams Grove is also affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7686 4023 7685 4016 7689 4015 7693
      4018 7695 4023 7692 4023 7689   

$$

PAC111-110842-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-180911T0936Z/
/CNFP1.1.ER.180909T2321Z.180910T1300Z.180911T0336Z.NO/
443 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Youghiogheny River Near Confluence.
* At 4 PM Monday the stage was 12.5 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by after 
  midnight tonight.
* At 12.0 feet...The right bank of the river overflows downstream of 
  confluence and about 1/4 mile upstream from the gaging station.

&&

LAT...LON 3948 7922 3947 7921 3947 7920
      3949 7920 3949 7921 3949 7921             

$$
344 
WGUS81 KCTP 110307
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
1107 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Youghiogheny River Near Confluence

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg
  Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek
  Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg
  Penns Creek Near Penns Creek
  Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown
  Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued by tomorrow morning. 

&&

PAC013-061-111507-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-180912T0200Z/
/WIBP1.3.ER.180909T2334Z.180910T2300Z.180911T2000Z.NO/
1107 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg.
* At 10 PM Monday the stage was 16.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by tomorrow 
  evening.
* At 17.0 feet...Many homes on the right, or south bank are affected 
  by high water. The south approach to the highway bridge is 
  unundated. A number of other streets and roads in the area are 
  closed.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$

PAC013-061-111507-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-180912T0100Z/
/SPKP1.2.ER.180910T0748Z.180910T2230Z.180911T1900Z.NO/
1107 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek.
* At 10 PM Monday the stage was 11.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by late tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Homes on both banks are affected by high water. A 
  number of roads are closed.

&&

LAT...LON 4066 7818 4063 7812 4059 7803 4057 7811
      4059 7816 4064 7822             

$$

PAC061-111507-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-180911T1600Z/
/SLYP1.2.ER.180910T0501Z.180910T1945Z.180911T1000Z.NO/
1107 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg.
* At 10 PM Monday the stage was 12.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The creek will continue falling to below flood stage by tomorrow 
  morning.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood waters from Aughwick Creek cover portions of 
  Gilbo Road, Aughwick Mills Road and Keystone Road in Shirley 
  Township.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 7789 4036 7782 4030 7783 4023 7788
      4025 7795 4032 7791             

$$

PAC109-119-111507-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-180911T2230Z/
/PNCP1.1.ER.180911T0120Z.180911T1200Z.180911T1630Z.NO/
1107 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Penns Creek Near Penns Creek.
* At 10 PM Monday the stage was 8.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek will crest near 8.3 feet by tomorrow morning. The creek 
  will fall below flood stage early afternoon tomorrow.
* At 8.0 feet...The left, or north bank overflows downstream of the 
  Route 104 bridge. A campground is affected. A number of secondary 
  roads in the Penns Creek drainage are affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4089 7712 4089 7705 4089 7698 4086 7698
      4085 7706 4086 7711             

$$

PAC041-111507-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180912T2100Z/
/HGSP1.1.ER.180910T1645Z.180911T1200Z.180912T1500Z.NO/
1107 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown.
* At 11 PM Monday the stage was 8.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek will crest near 9.0 feet by tomorrow morning. The creek 
  will fall below flood stage late Wednesday morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Some residences in the vicinity of Erb's Bridge 
  Road, Prowell Road, Stone Spring Lane, and Oyster Mill Road are 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7747 4028 7713 4031 7692 4023 7689
      4020 7715 4015 7748             

$$

PAC041-133-111500-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-180911T1500Z/
/CPHP1.1.ER.180910T0401Z.180910T1700Z.180911T0900Z.UU/
1107 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill.
* At 11 PM Monday the stage was 7.3 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek will continue falling to below flood stage by early 
  tomorrow morning.
* At 7.0 feet...Low lying areas in the Green Lane Farms development 
  on the right bank of Yellow Breeches Creek begin to flood. A mobile
  home park near Williams Grove is also affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7686 4023 7685 4016 7689 4015 7693
      4018 7695 4023 7692 4023 7689   

$$

PAC111-110337-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-180911T0936Z/
/CNFP1.1.ER.180909T2321Z.180910T1300Z.180910T2133Z.NO/
1107 PM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Youghiogheny River Near Confluence.
* At 11 PM Monday the stage was 11.0 feet and falling.
* The river fell below flood stage at 6 PM Monday.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue falling to 6.8 feet by Thursday morning.
* At 12.0 feet...The right bank of the river overflows downstream of 
  confluence and about 1/4 mile upstream from the gaging station.

&&

LAT...LON 3948 7922 3947 7921 3947 7920
      3949 7920 3949 7921 3949 7921             

$$
MC/KF
930 
WGUS81 KCTP 110939
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  West Branch Susquehanna At Lock Haven
  West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery
  West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton
  West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg
  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg
  Juniata River At Huntingdon
  Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg
  Penns Creek Near Penns Creek
  Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown
  Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  West Branch Susquehanna At Williamsport
  West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy
  West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown
  Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station
  Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek
  Juniata River At Lewistown
  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued by late morning.

&&

PAC027-035-112139-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BECP1.3.ER.180910T1653Z.180911T0901Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest this morning and fall to around 13 feet 
  Thursday morning.
* At 15.0 feet...Homes in the cottage area are cutoff by high water 
  and directly affect homes in this area.

&&

LAT...LON 4110 7765 4112 7756 4114 7752 4110 7742
      4107 7749 4104 7758             

$$

PAC013-061-112139-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-180912T0000Z/
/WIBP1.3.ER.180909T2334Z.180910T2300Z.180911T1800Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is ongoing.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage this 
  afternoon.
* At 15.0 feet...Many homes on the right, or south bank will be 
  affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$

PAC035-112139-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-180912T0525Z/
/LHVP1.2.ER.180911T0809Z.180911T1400Z.180911T2325Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Lock Haven.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 21.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest between 23 and 24 feet by late this morning.
  The river will fall below flood stage this evening.
* At 23.0 feet...Considerable flooding would occur if the levee 
  system was not in place.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7746 4117 7740 4119 7735 4113 7734
      4111 7745 4114 7754             

$$

PAC081-112139-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0064.180911T1300Z-180912T1251Z/
/WILP1.2.ER.180911T1300Z.180912T0000Z.180912T0651Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Williamsport.
* from this morning to Wednesday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage this morning and 
  crest near 21 feet this evening. The river will fall below 
  flood stage after midnight tonight.
* At 21.0 feet...A number of residences and roads in the area outside
  the levee system are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4125 7715 4127 7702 4128 7689 4123 7690
      4121 7699 4119 7714             

$$

PAC081-112139-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0065.180911T1600Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.2.ER.180911T1600Z.180912T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy.
* from this afternoon until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 17.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon 
  and crest between 22 and 23 feet this evening.
* At 23.0 feet...The Sprout Bauer plant is affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4128 7689 4125 7677 4118 7678 4119 7683
      4121 7685 4123 7690             

$$

PAC081-097-119-112139-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0066.180911T1352Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.1.ER.180911T1352Z.180912T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery.
* from this morning until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 12 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  morning and crest between 23 and 24 feet this evening.
* At 24.0 feet...Several homes on Broad and Second streets are 
  affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7683 4118 7678 4113 7686 4114 7692
      4119 7688                       

$$

PAC097-119-112139-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.1.ER.180911T2250Z.180912T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown.
* At 12 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and
  crest between 23 and 24 feet this evening.
* At 23.0 feet...The park on the left, or east bank floods. Roadway 
  flooding occurs at a few low lying areas on both sides of the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4114 7692 4113 7686 4110 7684 4106 7683
      4105 7689 4109 7690             

$$

PAC097-119-112139-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0068.180911T1232Z-180913T0021Z/
/ILTP1.2.ER.180911T1232Z.180912T0000Z.180912T1821Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton.
* from this morning to Wednesday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and
  crest between 22 and 23 feet this evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage early afternoon tomorrow.
* At 22.0 feet...Homes on South Water Street in Milton are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4105 7689 4106 7683 4102 7682 4099 7684
      4099 7686 4102 7688             

$$

PAC097-119-112139-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0069.180911T1236Z-180913T0000Z/
/LWBP1.1.ER.180911T1236Z.180912T0000Z.180912T1800Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg.
* from this morning to Wednesday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and
  crest near 21 feet by this evening. The river will fall below 
  flood stage early afternoon tomorrow.
* At 21.0 feet...The left, or east bank experiences substantial 
  overflow.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 7689 4099 7684 4096 7684 4093 7683
      4090 7687 4095 7693             

$$

PAC013-061-112139-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-180912T0100Z/
/SPKP1.2.ER.180910T0748Z.180910T2230Z.180911T1900Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage this 
  afternoon.
* At 10.0 feet...Homes are affected on both banks. Several roads are 
  also affected including Route 45.

&&

LAT...LON 4066 7818 4063 7812 4059 7803 4057 7811
      4059 7816 4064 7822             

$$

PAC061-112139-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-180912T1000Z/
/HUJP1.2.ER.180910T1325Z.180911T0615Z.180912T0400Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Juniata River At Huntingdon.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage after 
  midnight tonight.
* At 15.0 feet...A number of homes outside the protective works and 
  along Standing Stone Creek will flood. Backwater on Standing Stone 
  Creek also affects the athletic field.

&&

LAT...LON 4054 7806 4055 7800 4050 7799 4047 7797
      4046 7799 4048 7803             

$$

PAC067-087-112139-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0070.180911T1000Z-180912T0228Z/
/LWSP1.1.ER.180911T1000Z.180911T1400Z.180911T2028Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Juniata River At Lewistown.
* until this evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 21.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and
  crest near 24.0 feet by late this morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* At 24.5 feet...FEMA 10% Annual Chance Flood Level (10-year flood).

&&

LAT...LON 4050 7776 4067 7754 4058 7735 4052 7741
      4058 7751 4045 7771             

$$

PAC061-111800-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-180911T1800Z/
/SLYP1.2.ER.180910T0501Z.180910T1945Z.180911T1200Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Aughwick Creek At Shirleysburg.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage this 
  morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Aughwick Creek at Shirleysburg exceeds its banks. 
  Several homes are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 7789 4036 7782 4030 7783 4023 7788
      4025 7795 4032 7791             

$$

PAC109-119-112139-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-180912T0100Z/
/PNCP1.1.ER.180911T0120Z.180911T1200Z.180911T1900Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Penns Creek Near Penns Creek.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.5 feet and cresting.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will start to fall very soon and fall below flood stage
  late this afternoon.
* At 8.0 feet...The left, or north bank overflows downstream of the 
  Route 104 bridge. A campground is affected. A number of secondary 
  roads in the Penns Creek drainage are affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4089 7712 4089 7705 4089 7698 4086 7698
      4085 7706 4086 7711             

$$

PAC041-112139-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180912T2200Z/
/HGSP1.1.ER.180910T1645Z.180911T1200Z.180912T1600Z.NO/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.0 feet and cresting.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will begin to fall shortly and will fall below flood 
  stage early afternoon tomorrow.
* At 10.0 feet...Some residences in the vicinity of Erb's Bridge 
  Road, Prowell Road, Stone Spring Lane, and Oyster Mill Road are 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7747 4028 7713 4031 7692 4023 7689
      4020 7715 4015 7748             

$$

PAC041-133-112100-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-180911T2100Z/
/CPHP1.1.ER.180910T0401Z.180910T1700Z.180911T1500Z.UU/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill.
* At 5 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage this morning.
* At 7.0 feet...Low lying areas in the Green Lane Farms development 
  on the right bank of Yellow Breeches Creek begin to flood. A mobile
  home park near Williams Grove is also affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7686 4023 7685 4016 7689 4015 7693
      4018 7695 4023 7692 4023 7689   

$$

PAC043-112139-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0071.180911T2300Z-180913T1800Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180911T2300Z.180912T1800Z.180913T1200Z.UU/
539 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* from this evening to Thursday afternoon...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and
  crest between 11 and 12 feet by early afternoon Wednesday. The
  river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* At 12.0 feet...Both banks overflow upstream of the Vine Street 
  Bridge and several basements are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$

Martin/Dangelo
238 
WGUS81 KCTP 111415
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  West Branch Susquehanna At Lock Haven
  West Branch Susquehanna At Williamsport
  West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy
  West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton
  West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg
  Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station
  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg
  Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek
  Juniata River At Huntingdon
  Juniata River At Lewistown
  Penns Creek Near Penns Creek
  Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown
  Swatara Creek Above Middletown
  West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery
  West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued this afternoon.
&&

PAC027-035-120215-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-180913T1800Z/
/BECP1.3.ER.180910T1653Z.180911T1231Z.180913T1200Z.NR/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by Thursday 
  morning.
* At 15.0 feet...Homes in the cottage area are cutoff by high water 
  and directly affect homes in this area.

&&

LAT...LON 4110 7765 4112 7756 4114 7752 4110 7742
      4107 7749 4104 7758             

$$

PAC035-120043-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-180912T0043Z/
/LHVP1.1.ER.180911T0809Z.180911T1317Z.180911T1843Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Lock Haven.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 21.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* At 21.0 feet...The right, or south bank overflows in areas not 
  protected by the levee system.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7746 4117 7740 4119 7735 4113 7734
      4111 7745 4114 7754             

$$

PAC081-120215-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-180912T0645Z/
/WILP1.2.ER.180911T1304Z.180911T1800Z.180912T0045Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Williamsport.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 20.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 21.0 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage this evening.
* At 21.0 feet...A number of residences and roads in the area outside
  the levee system are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4125 7715 4127 7702 4128 7689 4123 7690
      4121 7699 4119 7714             

$$

PAC081-120215-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0065.180911T1732Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.1.ER.180911T1732Z.180911T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy.
* from this afternoon until further notice...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon 
  and crest near 20.6 feet by this evening.
* At 21.0 feet...Old Route 147 is inundated north of Muncy.

&&

LAT...LON 4128 7689 4125 7677 4118 7678 4119 7683
      4121 7685 4123 7690             

$$

PAC081-097-119-120215-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.1.ER.180911T1315Z.180911T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 20.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 20.9 feet by late this afternoon then 
  begin falling.
* At 20.0 feet...Ellis Parkway floods, limiting access to the 
  Riverside Campground office and the campground.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7683 4118 7678 4113 7686 4114 7692
      4119 7688                       

$$

PAC097-119-120215-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.1.ER.180911T2207Z.180911T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and
  crest near 23.3 feet by this evening.
* At 23.0 feet...The park on the left, or east bank floods. Roadway 
  flooding occurs at a few low lying areas on both sides of the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4114 7692 4113 7686 4110 7684 4106 7683
      4105 7689 4109 7690             

$$

PAC097-119-120215-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-180912T1600Z/
/ILTP1.1.ER.180911T2100Z.180912T0000Z.180912T1000Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  afternoon and crest near 19.5 feet by this evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* At 19.0 feet...River Road on the right, or west bank in West Milton
  floods. The left bank overflows in the vicinity of Milton.

&&

LAT...LON 4105 7689 4106 7683 4102 7682 4099 7684
      4099 7686 4102 7688             

$$

PAC097-119-120215-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-180912T1400Z/
/LWBP1.1.ER.180911T2000Z.180912T0000Z.180912T0800Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 17.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  afternoon and crest near 18.3 feet by this evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by early tomorrow morning.
* At 18.0 feet...The left, or east bank overflows. Low lying areas 
  will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 7689 4099 7684 4096 7684 4093 7683
      4090 7687 4095 7693             

$$

PAC013-061-120100-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-180912T0100Z/
/WIBP1.3.ER.180909T2334Z.180910T2300Z.180911T1900Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.
* At 15.0 feet...Many homes on the right, or south bank will be 
  affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$

PAC061-120215-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-180912T0400Z/
/HUJP1.2.ER.180910T1325Z.180911T0615Z.180911T2200Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Juniata River At Huntingdon.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* At 14.5 feet...Approximate level of the FEMA 10% Annual Chance 
  Flood level (10-year flood).

&&

LAT...LON 4054 7806 4055 7800 4050 7799 4047 7797
      4046 7799 4048 7803             

$$

PAC067-087-120000-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-180912T0000Z/
/LWSP1.1.ER.180911T1800Z.180911T1800Z.180911T1800Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Juniata River At Lewistown.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 22.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise to near flood stage this afternoon.
* At 23.0 feet...Basements of a few homes in the lowest lying areas 
  will flood. Backwater on Kishacoquillas Creek will affect the 
  athletic fields.

&&

LAT...LON 4050 7776 4067 7754 4058 7735 4052 7741
      4058 7751 4045 7771             

$$

PAC013-061-112300-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-180911T2300Z/
/SPKP1.2.ER.180910T0748Z.180910T2230Z.180911T1700Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Juniata River At Spruce Creek.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* At 8.0 feet...The left, or north bank overflows, affecting several 
  homes.

&&

LAT...LON 4066 7818 4063 7812 4059 7803 4057 7811
      4059 7816 4064 7822             

$$

PAC109-119-120040-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-180912T0040Z/
/PNCP1.1.ER.180911T0120Z.180911T0915Z.180911T1840Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Penns Creek Near Penns Creek.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* At 8.0 feet...The left, or north bank overflows downstream of the 
  Route 104 bridge. A campground is affected. A number of secondary 
  roads in the Penns Creek drainage are affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4089 7712 4089 7705 4089 7698 4086 7698
      4085 7706 4086 7711             

$$

PAC041-120215-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180912T1500Z/
/HGSP1.1.ER.180910T1645Z.180911T1346Z.180912T0900Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by early 
  tomorrow morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Some residences in the vicinity of Erb's Bridge 
  Road, Prowell Road, Stone Spring Lane, and Oyster Mill Road are 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7747 4028 7713 4031 7692 4023 7689
      4020 7715 4015 7748             

$$

PAC043-120215-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0071.180911T1500Z-180913T0600Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180911T1500Z.180911T1500Z.180913T0000Z.UU/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* until late Wednesday night...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise to near flood stage late this 
  morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding begins near the Vine Street 
  Bridge downstream to the Susquehanna River.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$

PAC041-133-111445-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-180911T2100Z/
/CPHP1.1.ER.180910T0401Z.180910T1700Z.180911T1247Z.UU/
1015 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Yellow Breeches Creek Near Camp Hill.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 6.9 feet and falling.
* The river fell below flood stage at 9 AM Tuesday.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue falling to 4.2 feet by Thursday morning.
* At 7.0 feet...Low lying areas in the Green Lane Farms development 
  on the right bank of Yellow Breeches Creek begin to flood. A mobile
  home park near Williams Grove is also affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7686 4023 7685 4016 7689 4015 7693
      4018 7695 4023 7692 4023 7689   

$$

CR
230 
WGUS81 KCTP 111959
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  West Branch Susquehanna At Lock Haven
  West Branch Susquehanna At Williamsport
  West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton
  West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg
  Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station
  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg
  Juniata River At Huntingdon
  Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown
  West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy
  West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery
  West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown
  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued this evening.

&&

PAC027-035-120757-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-180913T1300Z/
/BECP1.3.ER.180910T1653Z.180911T1231Z.180913T0700Z.NR/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bald Eagle Creek Near Beech Creek Station.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The creek will continue falling to below flood stage by Thursday 
  morning.
* At 14.0 feet...Homes in the cottage area are cutoff by high water 
  from Bald Eagle Creek.

&&

LAT...LON 4110 7765 4112 7756 4114 7752 4110 7742
      4107 7749 4104 7758             

$$

PAC035-120152-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-180912T0152Z/
/LHVP1.1.ER.180911T0809Z.180911T1317Z.180911T1952Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Lock Haven.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by early this 
  evening.
* At 21.0 feet...The right, or south bank overflows in areas not 
  protected by the levee system.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7746 4117 7740 4119 7735 4113 7734
      4111 7745 4114 7754             

$$

PAC081-120757-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-180912T0800Z/
/WILP1.2.ER.180911T1304Z.180911T1901Z.180912T0200Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Williamsport.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage tonight.
* At 21.0 feet...A number of residences and roads in the area outside
  the levee system are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4125 7715 4127 7702 4128 7689 4123 7690
      4121 7699 4119 7714             

$$

PAC081-120757-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.1.ER.180911T1500Z.180912T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Muncy.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 21.5 feet by this evening then begin 
  falling.
* At 22.0 feet...A number of homes are flooded. Route 405 is affected
  between Muncy and Montgomery.

&&

LAT...LON 4128 7689 4125 7677 4118 7678 4119 7683
      4121 7685 4123 7690             

$$

PAC081-097-119-120757-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.1.ER.180911T1315Z.180911T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Montgomery.
* At 2 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 21.7 feet by late this afternoon then 
  begin falling.
* At 22.0 feet...South Main Street and Ellis Parkway are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7683 4118 7678 4113 7686 4114 7692
      4119 7688                       

$$

PAC097-119-120757-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WATP1.1.ER.180912T0200Z.180912T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Watsontown.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise to near flood stage tonight.
* At 23.0 feet...The park on the left, or east bank floods. Roadway 
  flooding occurs at a few low lying areas on both sides of the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4114 7692 4113 7686 4110 7684 4106 7683
      4105 7689 4109 7690             

$$

PAC097-119-120757-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-180912T1821Z/
/ILTP1.1.ER.180911T1715Z.180912T0000Z.180912T1221Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At West Milton.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 19.8 feet this evening. The river will
  fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* At 19.0 feet...River Road on the right, or west bank in West Milton
  floods. The left bank overflows in the vicinity of Milton.

&&

LAT...LON 4105 7689 4106 7683 4102 7682 4099 7684
      4099 7686 4102 7688             

$$

PAC097-119-120757-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-180912T1800Z/
/LWBP1.1.ER.180911T1724Z.180912T0000Z.180912T1200Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Branch Susquehanna At Lewisburg.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 19.0 feet by this evening. The river will
  fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* At 19.0 feet...Route 405 is affected downstream of the Lewisburg 
  Bridge.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 7689 4099 7684 4096 7684 4093 7683
      4090 7687 4095 7693             

$$

PAC013-061-120311-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-180912T0311Z/
/WIBP1.3.ER.180909T2334Z.180910T2300Z.180911T2111Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg.
* At 2 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by early this 
  evening.
* At 13.0 feet...Sections of route 866 from Williamsburg to Ganister 
  are covered by flood waters.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$

PAC061-120159-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-180912T0159Z/
/HUJP1.2.ER.180910T1325Z.180911T0615Z.180911T1959Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Juniata River At Huntingdon.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by early this 
  evening.
* At 12.0 feet...High water will begin to affect the Ames Plaza on 
  the right, or south bank.

&&

LAT...LON 4054 7806 4055 7800 4050 7799 4047 7797
      4046 7799 4048 7803             

$$

PAC041-120757-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180912T1600Z/
/HGSP1.1.ER.180910T1645Z.180911T1446Z.180912T1000Z.NO/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Conodoguinet Creek Near Hogestown.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by tomorrow 
  morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Some residences in the vicinity of Erb's Bridge 
  Road, Prowell Road, Stone Spring Lane, and Oyster Mill Road are 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7747 4028 7713 4031 7692 4023 7689
      4020 7715 4015 7748             

$$

PAC043-120757-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-180913T0600Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180911T2200Z.180911T2200Z.180913T0000Z.UU/
359 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise to near flood stage this evening.
* At 11.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding begins near the Vine Street 
  Bridge downstream to the Susquehanna River.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$
375 
WGUS81 KCTP 112201
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
601 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

&&

PAC013-061-112231-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-180912T0311Z/
/WIBP1.3.ER.180909T2334Z.180910T2300Z.180911T2046Z.NO/
601 PM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Frankstown Branch Of The Juniata At Williamsburg.
* At 5 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.8 feet and falling.
* The river fell below flood stage at 5 PM Tuesday.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue falling to 7.9 feet by Thursday morning.
* At 12.0 feet...The right, or south bank overflows. The Road near 
  the river upstream of Williamsburg is inundated. A few homes 
  experience basement flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4055 7821 4052 7816 4043 7815 4044 7833
      4049 7835 4051 7826             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 9, 7:24 AM EDT, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 9, 7:24 AM EDT, 2 hours before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
724 AM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

.SYNOPSIS...

...LONG DURATION HEAVY RAIN EVENT UNDERWAY...

The remnants of Tropical Depression Gordon will move into
southern Ontario by Monday. The trailing cold front will move
through the region later Monday and Monday night. High pressure
will follow for mid week.

There is the potential for impacts from Hurricane Florence to
affect the region by the end of the week or next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

* Remnants of Gorden to bring a surge of moisture/heavy rain
  into the forecast area.

* Guidance is consistent in showing a heavy rain signal.

The remnant low of Gordon is moving into northern KY as of 3AM.
The system will continue to move slowly NE and is expected to
be near Findlay OH by nightfall, before moving down the St
Lawrence river valley Monday.

The presence of a strong upper jet entrance region just to the
north of the area is helping support a strong and persistent
E-W oriented area of deep layered frontogenetic forcing. MDT-HVY
rain has been falling for the last several hours over much our
SWRN zones with meso reports in excess of 1 inch since
midnight, and 2 day totals of 1.5 to in excess of 2 inches.

This strong forcing is made to progress only slowly northward
today with the moderate to heavy rain eventually spreading into
central and even northern areas by late day and overnight. The
strong ESE LLJ will strengthen and eventually become more SE and
even SLY by this evening and overnight with a real surge
forecast up through the forecast area overnight into Monday
morning.

There isn't much if any convective instability indicated in the
model forecasts, and so far the lightning has been confined
well to the south. But looking aloft, models indicate negative
absolute vorticity upstream and that is made to increase in
areal coverage by later in the day, implying the potential for
some inertial instability/slantwise convection. The mid-upper
level lapse rates are a bit more impressive than through the
low-mid levels, topping 6C/km into the overnight hours.
Wouldn't be surprised if we hear some thunder and get some very
heavy downpours as the LLJ surges through overnight with this
potential for some elevated instability.

As for sensible weather, it will feel like autumn with a cold
rain for most of the region today. Highs will be in the 50s with
some readings around 60 over the SE.

Overnight lows will not drop back appreciably as the storm moves
up to our west and the flow becomes more southerly.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY/...

With the low expected to move down the St. Lawrence, it will
drag a complex frontal system through the area later Monday into
the overnight hours. After an initial period of cold air
damming, the models show hints of some mixing out with milder
air trying to make inroads into at least the SERN zones. We
should see some erosion of stability over these SERN areas
leading to some locally heavier showers and thunderstorms,
adding to what will be by then a multi-day precip total. All
told some 3 day totals exceeding 4 inches still seem reasonable
over much of the western and central forecast area.

While eastern areas will see relatively lighter amounts of
rain, they have seen the wettest conditions this summer, so it
will not take as much rain to cause flooding.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...

The track of Florence will play a role in what eventually
transpires for mid to late week.

Initially we should enjoy at least a brief period of high
pressure and somewhat drier weather for Tuesday into Wednesday.
However the front that will pass through tomorrow night will not
have gone far before hanging up over the the coastal plain from
New England down into the Carolinas. This could loom large with
the approach of soon to be Hurricane Florence. These features
often act as a focus for heavy rain well out in advance of
tropical systems as moisture streaming out ahead of the storm is
squeezed in the convergence zone. There is still much
disagreement on where Florence will go. The GFS shows the storm
approaching Cape Hatteras then dawdling just off shore into the
weekend. The ECMWF and Canadian models show a landfall of a
strong hurricane somewhere on the Carolina coast Thursday or
Thursday night. The ECENS still has a landfalling hurricane, but
with a northward shift toward the Outer Banks vs the SC area
which it favored last night.

It needs to be emphasized that this is still 4-5 days out and
much can change. The strength of the upper ridge will be all
important in how far west Florence will go. With the wet summer
we have had, any additional heavy rains coming out of the
tropics will not be a welcome thing.

Temperatures through at least Monday will be on the cool side
for a change. Readings will begin to rebound by the Tuesday
through Thursday timeframe. With the influence of Florence so
uncertain, the forecast for the end of the period is a rather
bland mention for small chances of showers.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

Looking at a soaking rain today into early Monday, based on
current radar and models.

Expect mainly IFR and MVFR conditions today into Monday. The
main area of VFR conditions will be along the New York border
the next few hours, before the rain moves into that area.

Winds will pick up later today.

Some chance of thunder, but not a lot, given cool air has moved
into the area.

.Outlook...

Mon...Rain/low cigs likely.

Tue...AM low cigs/showers possible. Isold PM tsra impacts
possible southeast Pa.

Wed...Patchy AM fog possible. Isold PM tsra impacts possible
southeast Pa.

Thu...Isold PM tsra impacts possible.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Long duration rain event will likely bring several inches of
rain through Monday. This will bring significant rises on area
streams/rivers filling them to bankfull, and potentially push
some area rivers into flood.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Monday evening for PAZ004>006-010>012-
017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
063>066.

&&

SYNOPSIS...La Corte
NEAR TERM...La Corte
SHORT TERM...La Corte
LONG TERM...La Corte
AVIATION...Martin
HYDROLOGY...RXR
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 9, 4:52 AM EDT, 4 hours 32 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
452 AM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-063>066-100900-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-
Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-
Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-
Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-
Adams-York-Lancaster-
452 AM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 9, 3:52 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPAdams, Bedford, Cambria, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton and 3 more3 hr
Sep 9, 7:37 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPBedford, Blair, Cambria, Fulton, Huntingdon, Somerset3 hr
Sep 9, 9:27 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPAdams, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Lancaster and 1 more63 min
Sep 9, 10:28 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPAdams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Cumberland, Franklin and 6 more24 hr
Sep 9, 11:02 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPSomerset36 hr
Sep 9, 11:21 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPCumberland, York3 days
Sep 9, 1:17 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPHuntingdon42 hr
Sep 9, 3:51 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPBlair, Huntingdon48 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.