Alert archive / Pennsylvania / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 42, NWS State College, PA

August 14, 2018Dauphin County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this river flood warning at Aug 14, 2018, 3:57 AM EDT for Dauphin County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Aug 14, 2018, 5:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 53 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 14, 2018, 3:57 AM EDT (07:57 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 14, 2018, 5:00 PM EDT
Expired
Aug 16, 2018, 9:30 PM EDT
In force
53 hr
Issued by
NWS State College, PA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Dauphin County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Swatara Creek at Middletown (MTLP1). The gauge peaked at 10.83 ft at Aug 16, 2018, 7:00 AM EDT.

actionminormoderate5101508/1408/1508/1608/1708/18
Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
11 ft
Moderate stage
15 ft
Major stage
18 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01573600, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

754 
WGUS41 KCTP 140757
FLWCTP
Bulletin - Immediate Broadcast Requested
Flood Warning
National Weather Service State College PA
357 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

...The National Weather Service in State College, PA has issued a 
flood warning for the following rivers in Pennsylvania...

  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued late this morning.

&&

PAC043-141956-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FL.W.0042.180815T0224Z-180817T0130Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180815T0224Z.180816T0000Z.180816T1930Z.UU/
357 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The National Weather Service in State College, PA has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown
* from this evening into Thursday evening...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 3 AM Tuesday the stage was...8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage this evening and 
  crest near 11.7 feet Wednesday evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage later Thursday.
* At 12.0 feet...Both banks overflow upstream of the Vine Street 
  Bridge and several basements are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$

RXR
8 follow-up statements
391 
WGUS81 KCTP 140806
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
406 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Swatara Creek At Harper Tavern
  Swatara Creek Near Hershey
  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued late this morning.

&&

PAC075-107-142006-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-180816T0730Z/
/HTVP1.2.ER.180813T1242Z.180814T1200Z.180816T0130Z.NO/
406 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek At Harper Tavern.
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.4 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest just below 14.0 feet this morning, and 
  fall below flood stage late Wednesday evening.
* At 14.0 feet...A number of homes along the creek are affected. Some
  evacuations are necessary.

&&

LAT...LON 4059 7648 4052 7639 4037 7647 4034 7659
      4038 7663 4043 7658             

$$

PAC043-075-142006-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-180816T0651Z/
/HERP1.1.ER.180814T0000Z.180815T0000Z.180816T0051Z.NO/
406 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Near Hershey.
* At 3 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 9.2 feet this evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage Wednesday evening.
* At 10.0 feet...A few homes adjacent to the creek upstream of the 
  Route 39 bridge flood.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 7663 4034 7659 4027 7662 4024 7668
      4026 7676 4032 7668             

$$

PAC043-142006-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0042.180815T0224Z-180817T0130Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180815T0224Z.180816T0000Z.180816T1930Z.UU/
406 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown
* from this evening into Thursday evening...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 3 AM Tuesday the stage was...8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage this evening and 
  crest near 11.7 feet Wednesday evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage later Thursday.
* At 12.0 feet...Both banks overflow upstream of the Vine Street 
  Bridge and several basements are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$

RXR
398 
WGUS81 KCTP 141348
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
948 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Swatara Creek At Harper Tavern
  Swatara Creek Above Middletown
  Swatara Creek Near Hershey
  Susquehanna River At Bloomsburg
  Susquehanna River At Danville

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued later this afternoon.

&&

PAC075-107-150148-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-180815T1500Z/
/HTVP1.2.ER.180813T1242Z.180814T0731Z.180815T0900Z.NO/
948 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek At Harper Tavern.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by early 
  tomorrow morning.
* At 12.0 feet...A number of secondary roads are closed, resulting in
  some evacuations. A few homes are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4059 7648 4052 7639 4037 7647 4034 7659
      4038 7663 4043 7658             

$$

PAC043-150148-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0042.180815T0200Z-180817T0300Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180815T0200Z.180815T2300Z.180816T2100Z.UU/
948 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* from this evening to Thursday evening...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and 
  crest near 11.6 feet by tomorrow evening. The river will fall below
  flood stage by Thursday afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Both banks overflow upstream of the Vine Street 
  Bridge and several basements are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$

PAC043-075-150148-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-180815T2000Z/
/HERP1.1.ER.180814T0000Z.180814T1800Z.180815T1400Z.NO/
948 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Near Hershey.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 9.3 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage late morning tomorrow.
* At 10.0 feet...A few homes adjacent to the creek upstream of the 
  Route 39 bridge flood.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 7663 4034 7659 4027 7662 4024 7668
      4026 7676 4032 7668             

$$

PAC037-150148-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0043.180815T0900Z-180816T2030Z/
/BMBP1.1.ER.180815T0900Z.180815T2300Z.180816T1430Z.NO/
948 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Susquehanna River At Bloomsburg.
* from late tonight to Thursday afternoon...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  morning and crest near 20.4 feet by tomorrow evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
* At 20.0 feet...High water affects the fairgrounds and the 
  surrounding area.

&&

LAT...LON 4103 7655 4111 7623 4104 7623 4097 7621
      4089 7647                       

$$

PAC037-093-097-119-150148-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0044.180815T1000Z-180816T2120Z/
/DANP1.1.ER.180815T1000Z.180815T2300Z.180816T1520Z.NO/
948 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Susquehanna River At Danville.
* from Wednesday morning to Thursday afternoon...Or until the warning
  is cancelled.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning
  and crest near 21.4 feet by tomorrow evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
* At 21.0 feet...Basements flood in homes along Mahoning Creek on the
  right bank of the river.

&&

LAT...LON 4098 7670 4103 7655 4089 7647 4087 7670
      4094 7677                       

$$
698 
WGUS81 KCTP 141924
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Susquehanna River At Bloomsburg
  Susquehanna River At Danville
  Swatara Creek Above Middletown
  Swatara Creek Near Hershey

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued later this evening.

&&

PAC037-150723-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0043.180815T0630Z-180816T2224Z/
/BMBP1.1.ER.180815T0630Z.180816T0000Z.180816T1624Z.NO/
324 PM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Susquehanna River At Bloomsburg.
* from late tonight to Thursday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 2 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight 
  tonight and crest near 21.2 feet by tomorrow evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by early Thursday afternoon.
* At 22.0 feet...A number of homes located between the fairgrounds 
  and the river are affected by high water. Several buildings at the 
  airport are also affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4103 7655 4111 7623 4104 7623 4097 7621
      4089 7647                       

$$

PAC037-093-097-119-150723-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0044.180815T0700Z-180816T2327Z/
/DANP1.1.ER.180815T0700Z.180816T0000Z.180816T1727Z.NO/
324 PM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Susquehanna River At Danville.
* from late tonight to Thursday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  morning and crest near 22.3 feet by tomorrow evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by early Thursday afternoon.
* At 23.0 feet...Flooding occurs at the state hospital grounds on the
  east side of town. Backwater produces flooding on Sechler Run in 
  the center of town.

&&

LAT...LON 4098 7670 4103 7655 4089 7647 4087 7670
      4094 7677                       

$$

PAC043-150723-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0042.180814T2100Z-180817T0000Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180814T2100Z.180816T0000Z.180816T1800Z.UU/
324 PM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* until Thursday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 2 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  afternoon and crest near 11.3 feet by tomorrow evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by early Thursday afternoon.
* At 11.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding begins near the Vine Street 
  Bridge downstream to the Susquehanna River.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$

PAC043-075-150723-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-180815T1000Z/
/HERP1.1.ER.180814T0000Z.180814T1615Z.180815T0400Z.NO/
324 PM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Near Hershey.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by after 
  midnight tonight.
* At 10.0 feet...A few homes adjacent to the creek upstream of the 
  Route 39 bridge flood.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 7663 4034 7659 4027 7662 4024 7668
      4026 7676 4032 7668             

$$
913 
WGUS81 KCTP 150243
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
1043 PM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Swatara Creek Near Hershey

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Susquehanna River At Bloomsburg
  Susquehanna River At Danville
  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued Wednesday morning. 

&&

PAC037-151442-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0043.180815T0600Z-180816T2152Z/
/BMBP1.1.ER.180815T0600Z.180816T0000Z.180816T1552Z.NO/
1043 PM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Susquehanna River At Bloomsburg.
* from late tonight to Thursday afternoon...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 10 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage after midnight 
  tonight and crest near 21.4 feet by tomorrow evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
* At 22.0 feet...A number of homes located between the fairgrounds 
  and the river are affected by high water. Several buildings at the 
  airport are also affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4103 7655 4111 7623 4104 7623 4097 7621
      4089 7647                       

$$

PAC037-093-097-119-151442-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0044.180815T0717Z-180817T0040Z/
/DANP1.1.ER.180815T0717Z.180816T0000Z.180816T1840Z.NO/
1043 PM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Susquehanna River At Danville.
* from late tonight to Thursday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 10 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage tonight and crest 
  near 22.5 feet by tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood 
  stage by early Thursday afternoon.
* At 23.0 feet...Flooding occurs at the state hospital grounds on the
  east side of town. Backwater produces flooding on Sechler Run in 
  the center of town.

&&

LAT...LON 4098 7670 4103 7655 4089 7647 4087 7670
      4094 7677                       

$$

PAC043-151442-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-180816T2000Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180816T0900Z.180816T1200Z.180816T1400Z.UU/
1043 PM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* At 10 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek is forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday morning
  and crest near 11.1 feet by Thursday morning. The creek will fall 
  below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding begins near the Vine Street 
  Bridge downstream to the Susquehanna River.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$

PAC043-075-150313-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-180815T1000Z/
/HERP1.1.ER.180814T0000Z.180814T1615Z.180815T0201Z.NO/
1043 PM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Swatara Creek Near Hershey.
* At 10 PM Tuesday the stage was 6.9 feet and falling.
* The creek fell below flood stage at 1015 PM Tuesday.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The creek will continue falling to 3.2 feet by Friday morning.
* At 7.0 feet...The right, or north bank begins to overflow. Several 
  roadways upstream of the gage are affected by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4038 7663 4034 7659 4027 7662 4024 7668
      4026 7676 4032 7668             

$$
MC/KF
032 
WGUS81 KCTP 151829
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
230 PM EDT Wed Aug 15 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Susquehanna River At Bloomsburg
  Susquehanna River At Danville
  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued by Thursday morning. 

&&

PAC037-160628-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-180817T0100Z/
/BMBP1.2.ER.180815T0545Z.180816T0000Z.180816T1900Z.NO/
229 PM EDT Wed Aug 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Susquehanna River At Bloomsburg.
* At 1 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 23.0 feet by this evening. The river will
  fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* At 22.5 feet...FEMA 10% Annual Chance Flood Level (10-year flood).

&&

LAT...LON 4103 7655 4111 7623 4104 7623 4097 7621
      4089 7647                       

$$

PAC037-093-097-119-160628-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-180817T0100Z/
/DANP1.1.ER.180815T1035Z.180816T0000Z.180816T1900Z.NO/
229 PM EDT Wed Aug 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Susquehanna River At Danville.
* At 2 PM Wednesday the stage was 21.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 22.5 feet by this evening. The river will
  fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* At 23.0 feet...Flooding occurs at the state hospital grounds on the
  east side of town. Backwater produces flooding on Sechler Run in 
  the center of town.

&&

LAT...LON 4098 7670 4103 7655 4089 7647 4087 7670
      4094 7677                       

$$

PAC043-160628-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-180816T1800Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180815T2036Z.180815T2300Z.180816T1200Z.UU/
229 PM EDT Wed Aug 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* At 1 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek will crest around 11 feet Thursday morning.
* At 12.0 feet...Both banks overflow upstream of the Vine Street 
  Bridge and several basements are affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$
MS
368 
WGUS81 KCTP 160156
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
956 PM EDT Wed Aug 15 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Susquehanna River At Bloomsburg
  Susquehanna River At Danville

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued tomorrow morning. 

&&

PAC037-161356-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-180817T0018Z/
/BMBP1.2.ER.180815T0545Z.180815T2330Z.180816T1818Z.NO/
956 PM EDT Wed Aug 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Susquehanna River At Bloomsburg.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* At 22.5 feet...FEMA 10% Annual Chance Flood Level (10-year flood).

&&

LAT...LON 4103 7655 4111 7623 4104 7623 4097 7621
      4089 7647                       

$$

PAC037-093-097-119-161356-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-180817T0021Z/
/DANP1.1.ER.180815T1035Z.180816T0600Z.180816T1821Z.NO/
956 PM EDT Wed Aug 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Susquehanna River At Danville.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.3 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will crest near 22.3 feet around midnight tonight. The 
  river will fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* At 23.0 feet...Flooding occurs at the state hospital grounds on the
  east side of town. Backwater produces flooding on Sechler Run in 
  the center of town.

&&

LAT...LON 4098 7670 4103 7655 4089 7647 4087 7670
      4094 7677                       

$$

PAC043-161356-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-180816T1800Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180816T1200Z.180816T1200Z.180816T1200Z.UU/
956 PM EDT Wed Aug 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The creek is forecast to rise to near flood stage tomorrow morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding begins near the Vine Street 
  Bridge downstream to the Susquehanna River.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$
MC/KF
741 
WGUS81 KCTP 160857
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
457 AM EDT Thu Aug 16 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Susquehanna River At Bloomsburg
  Susquehanna River At Danville

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued later this morning.

&&

PAC037-162055-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-180817T0018Z/
/BMBP1.2.ER.180815T0545Z.180815T2330Z.180816T1818Z.NO/
457 AM EDT Thu Aug 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Susquehanna River At Bloomsburg.
* At 4 AM Thursday the stage was 22.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* At 22.0 feet...A number of homes located between the fairgrounds 
  and the river are affected by high water. Several buildings at the 
  airport are also affected.

&&

LAT...LON 4103 7655 4111 7623 4104 7623 4097 7621
      4089 7647                       

$$

PAC037-093-097-119-162055-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-180817T0021Z/
/DANP1.1.ER.180815T1035Z.180816T0345Z.180816T1821Z.NO/
457 AM EDT Thu Aug 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Susquehanna River At Danville.
* At 4 AM Thursday the stage was 22.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* At 23.0 feet...Flooding occurs at the state hospital grounds on the
  east side of town. Backwater produces flooding on Sechler Run in 
  the center of town.

&&

LAT...LON 4098 7670 4103 7655 4089 7647 4087 7670
      4094 7677                       

$$

PAC043-161715-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-180816T1715Z/
/MTLP1.1.ER.180816T0900Z.180816T1100Z.180816T1115Z.UU/
457 AM EDT Thu Aug 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* At 4 AM Thursday the stage was 10.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* At 11.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding begins near the Vine Street 
  Bridge downstream to the Susquehanna River.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$
084 
WGUS81 KCTP 161431
FLSCTP
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service State College PA
1031 AM EDT Thu Aug 16 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Swatara Creek Above Middletown

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  Susquehanna River At Bloomsburg
  Susquehanna River At Danville

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Never drive cars through flooded areas!! The water 
may be too deep to allow safe passage. Most deaths that occur during 
flooding are related to vehicles trying to cross flooded roadways.

An update to this product will be issued this evening.

&&

PAC037-170100-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-180817T0100Z/
/BMBP1.2.ER.180815T0545Z.180815T2330Z.180816T1900Z.NO/
1031 AM EDT Thu Aug 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Susquehanna River At Bloomsburg.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 20.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling and fall below flood stage 
  late this afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...High water affects the fairgrounds and the 
  surrounding area.

&&

LAT...LON 4103 7655 4111 7623 4104 7623 4097 7621
      4089 7647                       

$$

PAC037-093-097-119-170100-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-180817T0100Z/
/DANP1.1.ER.180815T1035Z.180816T0345Z.180816T1900Z.NO/
1031 AM EDT Thu Aug 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Susquehanna River At Danville.
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage was 21.3 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue falling and fall below flood stage 
  late this afternoon.
* At 21.0 feet...Basements flood in homes along Mahoning Creek on the
  right bank of the river.

&&

LAT...LON 4098 7670 4103 7655 4089 7647 4087 7670
      4094 7677                       

$$

PAC043-161501-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-180816T1715Z/
/MTLP1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1031 AM EDT Thu Aug 16 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Swatara Creek Above Middletown.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 10.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river crested below flood stage at 10.9 feet...And will 
  continue falling to 6.8 feet by Saturday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 7676 4024 7668 4019 7669 4016 7672
      4018 7675                       

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Aug 14, 12:57 AM EDT, 3 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 14, 12:57 AM EDT, 3 hours before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
1257 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
An upper low will lift slowly eastward across Pennsylvania
through Tuesday. A ridge of high pressure will build into the
region on Wednesday, followed by the arrival of a weak cold
front late in the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
Flooding issues continue over northeast zones this evening.
Areas of moderate rain remain over Lycoming and Columbia
counties. Spin of upper level low evident on radar so will not
rule out a shower at any time overnight. With the rain lingering
just to our east, development possible overnight.

Trimmed back Flood Watch and Flood Warning after coordination
with county 911 centers. However, the Watch remains through
tomorrow as diurnal activity returns during the heating of the
day.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
Upper low continues to slowly lift newd on Tuesday, producing
another round of convection and locally heavy rainfall,
especially central and eastern areas. Best large scale forcing,
as inferred by model 500-300mb qvec convergence fields, will be
lifting northeast of Pa, so flash flood threat not as great as
today. However, wet ground could leave the eastern counties
susceptible to additional flooding issues Tuesday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Models agree in the current upper low lifting out and weakening
Tuesday night and Wednesday, bringing a short period of dry
weather for a change for midweek.

The respite in the rain will be short lived as a new upper
trough/weak cold front is slated to approach the area Thursday
and Friday. In fact the models have a pair of upper shortwaves
that translate into several more days of at least scattered
showers and thunderstorms, mainly from later Thursday through
Saturday.

Drier weather should arrive for Sunday, but the overall pattern
looks to remain unsettled as the medium range guidance favors
and eastern trough and western ridge pattern through at least
the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
For the 06Z TAFS, some more adjustments.

Still a small cluster of showers near IPT, lifting northward.

Isolated showers near the UNV area, drifting southward toward
AOO.

Main thing overnight will be a wide range of conditions.

Expecte VFR conditions by late morning.

For Tuesday afternoon, went VCSH. Upper low still close by
to the northeast.

Slow improvement late Tuesday into early Wed, as the upper lvl
low moves east of the area.

.Outlook...

Wed...AM fog. Otherwise no six wx.

Thu-Sat...AM fog. Otherwise, scattered showers/tstms will bring
local restrictions.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through this evening for PAZ037-041-042-046-
051>053-058.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DeVoir/Fitzgerald
NEAR TERM...DeVoir/Fitzgerald
SHORT TERM...DeVoir/Fitzgerald/Tyburski
LONG TERM...La Corte
AVIATION...Martin
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 14, 3:49 AM EDT, 8 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
349 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>036-045-049-050-056-057-059-
063>066-150800-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-
Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-
Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Southern Clinton-Union-
Snyder-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
349 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ037-041-042-046-051>053-058-150800-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Lycoming-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
349 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged top relay reports of heavy rain and
flooding to the National Weather Service in State College,
PA.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 13, 10:41 PM EDT, 5 hours 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1041 PM EDT MON AUG 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1041 PM     HEAVY RAIN       PENN VALLEY AIRPORT     40.82N  76.86W
08/13/2018  M1.22 INCH       SNYDER             PA   ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1802194

TYBURSKI
Local storm report, Aug 13, 10:42 PM EDT, 5 hours 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1042 PM EDT MON AUG 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1041 PM     HEAVY RAIN       FT INDIANTOWN GAP       40.44N  76.57W
08/13/2018  M1.54 INCH       LEBANON            PA   ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1802195

TYBURSKI
Local storm report, Aug 13, 10:45 PM EDT, 5 hours 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1045 PM EDT MON AUG 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SE CHERRY MILLS       41.49N  76.44W
08/13/2018  M2.88 INCH       SULLIVAN           PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1802196

TYBURSKI
Local storm report, Aug 13, 10:52 PM EDT, 5 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1052 PM EDT MON AUG 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 N TIMBER HILLS        40.26N  76.48W
08/13/2018  M1.88 INCH       LEBANON            PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1802197

TYBURSKI
Local storm report, Aug 13, 10:57 PM EDT, 5 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1057 PM EDT MON AUG 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NNE UNION             39.85N  76.06W
08/13/2018  M2.56 INCH       LANCASTER          PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1802198

TYBURSKI
Local storm report, Aug 13, 10:58 PM EDT, 4 hours 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1058 PM EDT MON AUG 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0223 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 WSW PINE GROVE        40.55N  76.40W
08/13/2018  M5.16 INCH       SCHUYLKILL         PA   PUBLIC

0228 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 ENE PARADISE          40.57N  76.37W
08/13/2018  M3.40 INCH       SCHUYLKILL         PA   PUBLIC

0229 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NW SWATARA            40.68N  76.38W
08/13/2018  M2.32 INCH       SCHUYLKILL         PA   PUBLIC

0231 PM     HEAVY RAIN       REINERTON               40.59N  76.53W
08/13/2018  M4.99 INCH       SCHUYLKILL         PA   PUBLIC

0232 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NW SHIRKSVILLE        40.44N  76.44W
08/13/2018  M2.43 INCH       LEBANON            PA   PUBLIC

0233 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 WSW CRESSONA          40.62N  76.22W
08/13/2018  M2.02 INCH       SCHUYLKILL         PA   PUBLIC

0234 PM     HEAVY RAIN       MOUNT CARBON            40.67N  76.19W
08/13/2018  M3.54 INCH       SCHUYLKILL         PA   PUBLIC

0235 PM     HEAVY RAIN       MINERSVILLE             40.69N  76.26W
08/13/2018  M2.67 INCH       SCHUYLKILL         PA   PUBLIC

0236 PM     HEAVY RAIN       DREHERSVILLE            40.64N  76.01W
08/13/2018  M3.83 INCH       SCHUYLKILL         PA   PUBLIC

0330 PM     HEAVY RAIN       SUMMER HILL             41.10N  76.26W
08/13/2018  M4.80 INCH       COLUMBIA           PA   PUBLIC

0330 PM     HEAVY RAIN       LIME RIDGE              41.03N  76.34W
08/13/2018  M4.96 INCH       COLUMBIA           PA   PUBLIC

0330 PM     HEAVY RAIN       RINGTOWN                40.86N  76.24W
08/13/2018  M4.99 INCH       SCHUYLKILL         PA   PUBLIC

0330 PM     HEAVY RAIN       MAPLE GROVE             41.18N  76.38W
08/13/2018  M6.74 INCH       COLUMBIA           PA   PUBLIC

0330 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NNE WARRIOR RUN       41.11N  76.80W
08/13/2018  M3.23 INCH       NORTHUMBERLAND     PA   PUBLIC

0330 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NW HUGHESVILLE        41.24N  76.73W
08/13/2018  M4.35 INCH       LYCOMING           PA   PUBLIC

0330 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 E MOUNT JOY           40.11N  76.48W
08/13/2018  M4.35 INCH       LANCASTER          PA   PUBLIC

0330 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SSW UNION WATER WORKS 40.35N  76.53W
08/13/2018  M3.49 INCH       LEBANON            PA   PUBLIC

0330 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 WNW HETLERVILLE       41.02N  76.28W
08/13/2018  M4.24 INCH       COLUMBIA           PA   PUBLIC

0355 PM     HEAVY RAIN       JONESTOWN               41.13N  76.30W
08/13/2018  M7.70 INCH       COLUMBIA           PA   PUBLIC

0405 PM     HEAVY RAIN       ALTAMONT                40.78N  76.23W
08/13/2018  M5.78 INCH       SCHUYLKILL         PA   PUBLIC

0415 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 ESE BARNESVILLE       40.81N  76.01W
08/13/2018  M4.53 INCH       SCHUYLKILL         PA   MESONET

0415 PM     HEAVY RAIN       MONTGOMERY              41.17N  76.88W
08/13/2018  M2.99 INCH       LYCOMING           PA   PUBLIC

0854 PM     HEAVY RAIN       RINGTOWN                40.86N  76.24W
08/13/2018  M4.28 INCH       SCHUYLKILL         PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TWO DAY TOTAL

0930 PM     HEAVY RAIN       ALMEDIA                 41.02N  76.38W
08/13/2018  M4.37 INCH       COLUMBIA           PA   PUBLIC

1030 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 W SYLVAN DELL         41.23N  76.96W
08/13/2018  M2.70 INCH       LYCOMING           PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1030 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SE CHERRY MILLS       41.49N  76.44W
08/13/2018  M2.88 INCH       SULLIVAN           PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1030 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 N TIMBER HILLS        40.26N  76.48W
08/13/2018  M1.88 INCH       LEBANON            PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1030 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NNE UNION             39.85N  76.06W
08/13/2018  M2.56 INCH       LANCASTER          PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1038 PM     HEAVY RAIN       LANCASTER AIRPORT       40.12N  76.29W
08/13/2018  M1.82 INCH       LANCASTER          PA   ASOS

1039 PM     HEAVY RAIN       WILLIAMSPORT REGIONAL   41.24N  76.92W
08/13/2018  M1.79 INCH       LYCOMING           PA   ASOS

1041 PM     HEAVY RAIN       PENN VALLEY AIRPORT     40.82N  76.86W
08/13/2018  M1.22 INCH       SNYDER             PA   ASOS

1041 PM     HEAVY RAIN       FT INDIANTOWN GAP       40.44N  76.57W
08/13/2018  M1.54 INCH       LEBANON            PA   ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1802167 CTP1802168 CTP1802169 CTP1802170 CTP1802171
CTP1802172 CTP1802173 CTP1802174 CTP1802175 CTP1802176 CTP1802177
CTP1802178 CTP1802180 CTP1802181 CTP1802182 CTP1802183 CTP1802184
CTP1802185 CTP1802179 CTP1802186 CTP1802187 CTP1802189 CTP1802190
CTP1802188 CTP1802191 CTP1802196 CTP1802197 CTP1802198 CTP1802192
CTP1802193 CTP1802194 CTP1802195

TYBURSKI

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 13, 8:22 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPJuniata, Perry113 min
Aug 13, 10:22 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPColumbia, Schuylkill9 hr
Aug 14, 3:03 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPCambria117 min
Aug 14, 4:20 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPBlair115 min
Aug 14, 5:46 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPCentre, Huntingdon, Mifflin3 hr
Aug 14, 6:19 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPSullivan3 hr
Aug 14, 6:41 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPLycoming, Sullivan3 hr
Aug 14, 8:08 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPCentre, Clinton, Lycoming, Northumberland, Union3 hr
Aug 14, 9:42 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPSullivan9 hr
Aug 14, 9:47 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPColumbia55 hr
Aug 14, 9:47 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPColumbia, Montour, Northumberland, Union56 hr
Aug 14, 2:11 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPColumbia, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Schuylkill, Tioga3 hr
Aug 14, 3:21 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningCTPLycoming, Sullivan111 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.