Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Flash Flood Watches in 2018

Flash Flood Watch 13, NWS State College, PA

August 1, 201828 counties in Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this flash flood watch at Aug 1, 2018, 4:06 AM EDT for 28 counties in Pennsylvania. It took effect at Aug 1, 2018, 12:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 68 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 1, 2018, 4:06 AM EDT (08:06 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 1, 2018, 12:00 PM EDT
Expired
Aug 4, 2018, 7:45 AM EDT
In force
68 hr
Issued by
NWS State College, PA
Flood severity
None
All 28 counties

Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, York County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 00:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2018-08-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 704 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2018-08-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 35 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
704 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
777 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

914 
WGUS61 KCTP 010806
FFACTP

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service State College PA
406 AM EDT Wed Aug 1 2018

...Periods of heavy to excessive rain expected Today into
Friday...

.An extensive plume of tropical moisture will combine with a warm
front over the region to focus several rounds of showers and 
thunderstorms today into early Friday. Some of the thunderstorms
could train northeast over the same areas, elevating the threat 
for Flash Flooding. 

PAZ012-017>019-024>028-033>036-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>058-
063-064-020100-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FF.A.0013.180801T1600Z-180803T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-
Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-
Franklin-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-
Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Cumberland-Adams-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, 
State College, Johnstown, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, 
Lewistown, Mifflintown, Somerset, Bedford, McConnellsburg, 
Chambersburg, Trout Run, Laporte, Lock Haven, Williamsport, 
Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, 
Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Carlisle, 
and Gettysburg
406 AM EDT Wed Aug 1 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...

The National Weather Service in State College has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for a portion of central Pennsylvania, 
  including the following areas, Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, 
  Clearfield, Columbia, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton, 
  Huntingdon, Juniata, Mifflin, Montour, Northern Centre, 
  Northern Clinton, Northern Lycoming, Northumberland, Perry, 
  Schuylkill, Snyder, Somerset, Southern Centre, Southern 
  Clinton, Southern Lycoming, Sullivan, and Union. 

* From noon EDT today through Friday morning

* Several rounds of moderate to heavy showers, and the potential
  for localized training of thunderstorms across the same
  locations, could lead to excessive rainfall rates of 1 to 2
  inches in less than an hour, and bring the threat of flash 
  flooding.
 
* Flood prone roads adjacent to streams could be eroded and washed
  out by high, fast-moving water. If you encounter water over the
  roads turn around and seek and alternate route. Washed out roads
  and the depth of water over the roads is especially difficult to
  discern at night. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Review flood safety and preparedness information at
weather.gov/flood.

&&

$$

Lambert/Steinbugl
10 follow-up statements
035 
WGUS61 KCTP 011413
FFACTP

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service State College PA
1013 AM EDT Wed Aug 1 2018

...Periods of heavy to excessive rain expected Today into
Friday...

.An extensive plume of tropical moisture will combine with a warm
front over the region to focus several rounds of showers and
thunderstorms today into early Friday. Some of the thunderstorms
could train northeast over the same areas, elevating the threat
for Flash Flooding.

PAZ037-059-065-066-012215-
/O.EXA.KCTP.FF.A.0013.180801T1600Z-180803T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Tioga-Lebanon-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Lebanon, York, 
and Lancaster
1013 AM EDT Wed Aug 1 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The National Weather Service in State College has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include a portion of central 
  Pennsylvania, including the following areas, Lancaster, 
  Lebanon, Tioga, and York. 

* Through Friday morning

* Several rounds of moderate to heavy showers, and the potential
  for localized training of thunderstorms across the same
  locations, could lead to excessive rainfall rates of 1 to 2 
  inches in less than an hour, and bring the threat of flash 
  flooding. 

* Flood prone roads adjacent to streams could be eroded and 
  washed out by high, fast-moving water. If you encounter water 
  over the roads turn around and seek and alternate route. 
  Washed out roads and the depth of water over the roads is 
  especially difficult to discern at night. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Review flood safety and preparedness information at
weather.gov/flood.

&&

$$

PAZ012-017>019-024>028-033>036-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>058-
063-064-012215-
/O.CON.KCTP.FF.A.0013.180801T1600Z-180803T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-
Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-
Franklin-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-
Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Cumberland-Adams-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, 
State College, Johnstown, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, 
Lewistown, Mifflintown, Somerset, Bedford, McConnellsburg, 
Chambersburg, Trout Run, Laporte, Lock Haven, Williamsport, 
Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, 
Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Carlisle, 
and Gettysburg
1013 AM EDT Wed Aug 1 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following 
  areas, Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Clearfield, Columbia, 
  Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata, 
  Mifflin, Montour, Northern Centre, Northern Clinton, Northern 
  Lycoming, Northumberland, Perry, Schuylkill, Snyder, Somerset, 
  Southern Centre, Southern Clinton, Southern Lycoming, 
  Sullivan, and Union. 

* Through Friday morning

* Several rounds of moderate to heavy showers, and the potential 
  for localized training of thunderstorms across the same 
  locations, could lead to excessive rainfall rates of 1 to 2 
  inches in less than an hour, and bring the threat of flash 
  flooding. 

* Flood prone roads adjacent to streams could be eroded and 
  washed out by high, fast-moving water. If you encounter water 
  over the roads turn around and seek and alternate route. 
  Washed out roads and the depth of water over the roads is 
  especially difficult to discern at night. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Review flood safety and preparedness information at
weather.gov/flood.

&&

$$
525 
WGUS61 KCTP 020130
FFACTP

Flood Watch
National Weather Service State College PA
930 PM EDT Wed Aug 1 2018

...Periods of heavy to excessive rain expected into Friday...

PAZ012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
063>066-021200-
/O.CON.KCTP.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-180803T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-
Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-
Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-
Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, 
State College, Johnstown, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, 
Lewistown, Mifflintown, Somerset, Bedford, McConnellsburg, 
Chambersburg, Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run, Laporte, 
Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, 
Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, 
Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, 
and Lancaster
930 PM EDT Wed Aug 1 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following 
  areas, Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Clearfield, Columbia, 
  Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata, 
  Lancaster, Lebanon, Mifflin, Montour, Northern Centre, 
  Northern Clinton, Northern Lycoming, Northumberland, Perry, 
  Schuylkill, Snyder, Somerset, Southern Centre, Southern 
  Clinton, Southern Lycoming, Sullivan, Tioga, Union, and York. 

* Through Friday morning

* Several rounds of moderate to heavy showers, and the potential 
  for localized training of thunderstorms across the same 
  locations, could lead to excessive rainfall rates of 1 to 2 
  inches in less than an hour, and bring the threat of flash 
  flooding. 

* Flood prone roads adjacent to streams could be eroded and 
  washed out by high, fast-moving water. If you encounter water 
  over the roads turn around and seek and alternate route. 
  Washed out roads and the depth of water over the roads is 
  especially difficult to discern at night. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Review flood safety and preparedness information at
weather.gov/flood.

&&

$$

DeVoir
273 
WGUS61 KCTP 020932
FFACTP

Flood Watch
National Weather Service State College PA
532 AM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...Periods of heavy to excessive rain expected today into 
Friday...

PAZ012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
063>066-022100-
/O.CON.KCTP.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-180803T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-
Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-
Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-
Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, 
State College, Johnstown, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, 
Lewistown, Mifflintown, Somerset, Bedford, McConnellsburg, 
Chambersburg, Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run, Laporte, 
Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, 
Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, 
Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, 
and Lancaster
532 AM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following 
  areas, Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Clearfield, Columbia, 
  Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata, 
  Lancaster, Lebanon, Mifflin, Montour, Northern Centre, 
  Northern Clinton, Northern Lycoming, Northumberland, Perry, 
  Schuylkill, Snyder, Somerset, Southern Centre, Southern 
  Clinton, Southern Lycoming, Sullivan, Tioga, Union, and York. 

* Through Friday morning

* Several rounds of moderate to heavy showers, and the potential 
  for localized training of thunderstorms across the same 
  locations, could lead to excessive rainfall rates of 1 to 2 
  inches in less than an hour, and bring the threat of flash 
  flooding. 

* Flood prone roads adjacent to streams could be eroded and 
  washed out by high, fast-moving water. If you encounter water 
  over the roads turn around and seek and alternate route. 
  Washed out roads and the depth of water over the roads is 
  especially difficult to discern at night. 

* The likely occurrence of another few weak waves of low pressure
  riding north ahead of a slow moving cold front, will help to
  trigger additional showers and thunderstorms on Friday. This 
  may prompt the extension of the Flash Flood Watch, at least 
  through the day Friday, with the next update late this morning. 
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Review flood safety and preparedness information at
weather.gov/flood.

&&

$$

Lambert
758 
WGUS61 KCTP 021428
FFACTP

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service State College PA
1028 AM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...Periods of heavy to excessive rain expected today through 
Friday...

PAZ012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
063>066-030330-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-180804T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-
Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-
Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-
Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, 
State College, Johnstown, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, 
Lewistown, Mifflintown, Somerset, Bedford, McConnellsburg, 
Chambersburg, Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run, Laporte, 
Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, 
Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, 
Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, 
and Lancaster
1028 AM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following 
  areas, Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Clearfield, Columbia, 
  Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata, 
  Lancaster, Lebanon, Mifflin, Montour, Northern Centre, 
  Northern Clinton, Northern Lycoming, Northumberland, Perry, 
  Schuylkill, Snyder, Somerset, Southern Centre, Southern 
  Clinton, Southern Lycoming, Sullivan, Tioga, Union, and York. 

* Through Friday evening

* Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected this
  afternoon and evening, and again Friday, especially during the  
  afternoon and evening. Many of these storms will produce heavy 
  rain. If some of these storms repeatedly cross the same 
  locations, it could cause flash flooding. 

* Flood prone roads adjacent to streams could be eroded and washed
  out by high, fast-moving water. If you encounter water over the
  roads turn around and seek and alternate route. It especially
  difficult at night to discern the depth of water over a road,
  and even if that road may be washed out.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Review flood safety and preparedness information at
weather.gov/flood.

&&

$$
378 
WGUS61 KCTP 030259
FFACTP

Flood Watch
National Weather Service State College PA
1059 PM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...Periods of heavy to excessive rain expected through Friday...

PAZ012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
063>066-040200-
/O.CON.KCTP.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-180804T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-
Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-
Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-
Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, 
State College, Johnstown, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, 
Lewistown, Mifflintown, Somerset, Bedford, McConnellsburg, 
Chambersburg, Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run, Laporte, 
Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, 
Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, 
Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, 
and Lancaster
1059 PM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following 
  areas, Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Clearfield, Columbia, 
  Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata, 
  Lancaster, Lebanon, Mifflin, Montour, Northern Centre, 
  Northern Clinton, Northern Lycoming, Northumberland, Perry, 
  Schuylkill, Snyder, Somerset, Southern Centre, Southern 
  Clinton, Southern Lycoming, Sullivan, Tioga, Union, and York. 

* Through Friday evening

* Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected this 
  afternoon and evening, and again Friday, especially during the 
  afternoon and evening. Many of these storms will produce heavy 
  rain. If some of these storms repeatedly cross the same 
  locations, it could cause flash flooding. 

* Flood prone roads adjacent to streams could be eroded and 
  washed out by high, fast-moving water. If you encounter water 
  over the roads turn around and seek and alternate route. It 
  especially difficult at night to discern the depth of water 
  over a road, and even if that road may be washed out. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Review flood safety and preparedness information at
weather.gov/flood.

&&

$$
043 
WGUS61 KCTP 030300
FFACTP

Flood Watch
National Weather Service State College PA
1100 PM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...Periods of heavy to excessive rain expected through Friday...

PAZ012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
063>066-040200-
/O.CON.KCTP.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-180804T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-
Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-
Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-
Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, 
State College, Johnstown, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, 
Lewistown, Mifflintown, Somerset, Bedford, McConnellsburg, 
Chambersburg, Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run, Laporte, 
Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, 
Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, 
Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, 
and Lancaster
1100 PM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following 
  areas, Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Clearfield, Columbia, 
  Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata, 
  Lancaster, Lebanon, Mifflin, Montour, Northern Centre, 
  Northern Clinton, Northern Lycoming, Northumberland, Perry, 
  Schuylkill, Snyder, Somerset, Southern Centre, Southern 
  Clinton, Southern Lycoming, Sullivan, Tioga, Union, and York. 

* Through Friday evening

* Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms overnight and Friday
  afternoon and evening. Many of these storms will produce heavy 
  rain. If some of these storms repeatedly cross the same 
  locations, it could cause flash flooding. 

* Flood prone roads adjacent to streams could be eroded and 
  washed out by high, fast-moving water. If you encounter water 
  over the roads turn around and seek and alternate route. It 
  especially difficult at night to discern the depth of water 
  over a road, and even if that road may be washed out. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Review flood safety and preparedness information at
weather.gov/flood.

&&

$$
719 
WGUS61 KCTP 030725
FFACTP

Flood Watch
National Weather Service State College PA
325 AM EDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...Periods of heavy to excessive rain are expected to fall across
the region through this evening...

PAZ012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
063>066-040200-
/O.CON.KCTP.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-180804T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-
Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-
Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-
Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, 
State College, Johnstown, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, 
Lewistown, Mifflintown, Somerset, Bedford, McConnellsburg, 
Chambersburg, Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run, Laporte, 
Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, 
Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, 
Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, 
and Lancaster
325 AM EDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following 
  areas, Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Clearfield, Columbia, 
  Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata, 
  Lancaster, Lebanon, Mifflin, Montour, Northern Centre, 
  Northern Clinton, Northern Lycoming, Northumberland, Perry, 
  Schuylkill, Snyder, Somerset, Southern Centre, Southern 
  Clinton, Southern Lycoming, Sullivan, Tioga, Union, and York. 

* Through this evening

* Several rounds of moderate to heavy showers this morning are
  expected to bring between one quarter and three quarters of an
  inch of rain to many locations across the Central Mountains, 
  and communities throughout the Susquehanna's West Branch Valley.
  Additional showers and scattered afternoon thunderstorms will 
  bring the threat for more areas of heavy rain this afternoon and
  evening. If some of these thunderstorms repeatedly cross the 
  same locations, flash flooding could occur.
  

* Flood prone roads adjacent to streams could be eroded and 
  washed out by high, fast-moving water. If you encounter water 
  over the roads turn around and seek and alternate route. It 
  especially difficult at night to discern the depth of water 
  over a road, and even if that road may be washed out. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Review flood safety and preparedness information at
weather.gov/flood.

&&

$$

Lambert/Martin
501 
WGUS61 KCTP 032230
FFACTP

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service State College PA
630 PM EDT Fri Aug 3 2018


PAZ017-032330-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-180804T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clearfield-
Including the cities of DuBois and Clearfield
630 PM EDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for Clearfield County has been cancelled. 
Showers remain possible through this evening. However, the threat
of flooding has diminished.

$$

PAZ028-036-042-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-040630-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-180804T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Juniata-Franklin-Sullivan-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-
Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Mifflintown, Chambersburg, Laporte, 
Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, 
Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, 
Pottsville, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
630 PM EDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following
  counties, Adams, Columbia, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, 
  Juniata, Lancaster, Lebanon, Montour, Northumberland, Perry, 
  Schuylkill, Snyder, Southern Lycoming, Sullivan, Union, and 
  York. 

* Through Saturday morning

* Heavy showers and possible thunderstorms are expected to affect
  the area overnight. Locally heavy rain falling on already wet
  ground could result in flash flooding in a few locations.
 
* If you encounter water over the road, turn around and seek an
  alternate route. It is especially difficult at night to discern
  the depth of water over a road, or if that road may be washed 
  out. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Review flood safety and preparedness information at
weather.gov/flood.

&&

$$

PAZ012-018-019-024>027-033>035-037-041-045-040200-
/O.CON.KCTP.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-180804T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-
Huntingdon-Mifflin-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Tioga-
Northern Lycoming-Southern Clinton-
Including the cities of Renovo, Philipsburg, State College, 
Johnstown, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, Somerset,
Bedford, McConnellsburg, Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run, 
and Lock Haven
630 PM EDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following
  counties, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Fulton, Huntingdon, Mifflin,
  Northern Centre, Northern Clinton, Northern Lycoming, Somerset,
  Southern Centre, Southern Clinton, and Tioga. 

* Until 10 PM EDT this evening

* Additional showers are likely across the region this evening. A
  few locations could receive heavy downpours and flash flooding.
  The threat of heavy rain and flooding will shift east of the 
  region by late this evening. 

* If you encounter water over the road, turn around and seek an
  alternate route. It is especially difficult at night to discern
  the depth of water over a road, or if that road may be washed 
  out. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Review flood safety and preparedness information at
weather.gov/flood.

&&

$$
348 
WGUS61 KCTP 040658
FFACTP

Flood Watch
National Weather Service State College PA
258 AM EDT Sat Aug 4 2018



PAZ028-036-042-046-049>053-056-063-064-040800-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-180804T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Juniata-Franklin-Sullivan-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Cumberland-Adams-
Including the cities of Mifflintown, Chambersburg, Laporte, 
Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, 
Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Carlisle, and Gettysburg
258 AM EDT Sat Aug 4 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of central Pennsylvania has
been cancelled. 

Heavy rain has ended over the area. Creeks and streams will
continue to run high for several hours due to earlier rains, but
the threat for flash flooding has diminished.

$$

PAZ057>059-065-066-041200-
/O.CON.KCTP.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-180804T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon,
York, and Lancaster
258 AM EDT Sat Aug 4 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following 
  areas, Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, Schuylkill, and York. 

* Until 8 AM EDT this morning

* Heavy showers and possible thunderstorms are expected to
  continue through about sunrise before tapering off and moving
  away from the area. Locally heavy rain falling on already wet 
  ground could result in flash flooding in a few locations. 

* If you encounter water over the road, turn around and seek an 
  alternate route. It is especially difficult at night to 
  discern the depth of water over a road, or if that road may be 
  washed out. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Review flood safety and preparedness information at
weather.gov/flood.

&&

$$
853 
WGUS61 KCTP 041145
FFACTP

Flood Watch
National Weather Service State College PA
745 AM EDT Sat Aug 4 2018

PAZ057>059-065-066-041245-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-180804T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon,
York, and Lancaster
745 AM EDT Sat Aug 4 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The threat of additional heavy rain and potential for new areas 
of flash flooding has ended. Therefore, the Flash Flood Watch for
a portion of south central Pennsylvania has been cancelled. 

Inundation flooding in urban, low-lying and poor drainage areas
will continue this morning across portions of the lower
Susquehanna Valley. Flooding is also expected along some small 
streams and creeks. 

$$
MS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Aug 1, 1:21 AM EDT, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 1, 1:21 AM EDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
121 AM EDT Wed Aug 1 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front to our south and a plume of tropical moisture
being lifted up and over it will bring another extended, cloudy
and showery period that will last through the rest of this
work week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
Deep layer moisture continues to increase from S to N late this
evening in broad southwest flow aloft. Classic cool air damming
kept most of my area stable with low clouds locked in east of
the Alleghenies into this evening. Shortwaves rotating around
long wave trof lifting NE into the central GLAKS acting on the
deep moisture will keep a chance of showers going overnight
across especially the southern half of central PA.

Lows will be in the 60s to lower 70s, which will average around
10 deg warmer than normal. Dewpoints coming up will start to
make the humidity become noticeable.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
Increasing 925-850MB SSW flow will help to advect even higher
PWAT air north in the commonwealth for tonight and Wednesday.
With the diffuse warm front either moving through the state or
just falling apart, a soupy airmass will be in place for any
weak disturbances embedded in the SW flow aloft to take
advantage of. The 12Z GFS develops CAPEs in the 1000-1600 J
range by mid afternoon over central and eastern areas. The NAM
and ECMWF are even more unstable.

WPC has shifted their ERO Slight Risk pretty much right over the
center of the CWA for Wednesday, so any convection that develops
could be enough to cause flooding issues.

Highs in the 70s to mid 80s will be somewhat closer to normal
for the beginning of August.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Upper level energy drops out of the Pac NW and digs a highly
amplified trough over the Midwest.

Plenty of comparison is beginning to be made between this
upcoming wet period and the soggy, boggy conditions (and in some
cases flooding) that we had just this past week.

It does not look entirely similar, However an upper trough
will be digging and sharpening to our west, leading to an
extensive and deep south to SSW flow across the Appalachians
through much of this upcoming week. PWATS in excess of 2 inches
lurking along the Carolina and SE U.S. coast will eventually get
tapped and help to produce periods of numerous showers/TSRA
over all of Central PA beginning later Monday/Mon Evening as
PWATs climb to near 1 sigma across southern PA. Much higher
PWAT air - between 45-50MM will once again overspread most of
the CWA Tuesday afternoon and night. Any weak disturbances
rippling NNE in the flow aloft will tap this moisture and become
fueled with areas of mdt ML cape to produce areas of high
precip rates. The threat for locally heavy rain and potential
flooding is covered in our most recent HWO/graphical EHWO.

MMEFS river stages indicate potential larger stream/creek levels
exceeding minor flood stage during the mid to late week period.
However, exact crest heights and the timing/sharpness of rises
will be highly dependent on the amount, location and duration of
the rain. As we head through this coming week, flash flood
watches may be needed once again, especially across the SE half
of the state where the most persistent, high PWAT values will be
noted.

PWAT wind anomalies from GEFS solutions only peak around 2" for
a brief time Tues- Wed. The positive PWAT anomaly shifts a
little to the east of the state, and is not fed by the Atlantic
as much as last week. The 8H u (E-W) wind anomalies are never
easterly - another sign of less/no Atlantic moisture being fed
in.

That said...There is a high probability for showers/storms each
afternoon/evening from Monday thru the end of the period. Day8
(Sun) may be the next day that we can go less than seasonal PoP
climatology (25pct NW and 20pct SE for 12 hrs). Most days it's
just about worth a 50 or 60 PoP. Those are lofty numbers for
this forecaster to place in a medium range fcst. The coverage
will be the reason we won't go even higher in this fcst cycle.
The temps do not look terribly hot, but rather seasonable. This
side of the Bermuda sfc high will make the humidity high. It
will feel muggy all week, but likely not oppressive.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
*UNV ATCT tower will transmit manual obs between 10-01Z. Obs
 will be missing from 02-09Z, but the dial-in option is still
 available.

Expect a repeat of diurnal ceiling trends with widespread MVFR
to IFR this morning giving way to MVFR/low-end VFR by the
afternoon. Rounds of showers and scattered thunderstorms will
bring intermittent visibility restrictions. Storms may produce
strong gusty winds across the eastern 1/2 of the airspace. Low
ceilings are most likely to develop across the northwest 1/2 of
the airspace tonight into Thursday morning.

.Outlook...

Thu-Sun...Daily rounds of showers/thunderstorms. MVFR-IFR
ceilings possible especially in the morning and at night.

&&

.CLIMATE...
*Wettest July on record at Harrisburg, Williamsport and State
 College; 4th wettest at Altoona

*4th wettest individual month at Harrisburg and Williamsport

Total monthly rainfall of 12.09" at Harrisburg, 11.99" at
Williamsport, and 9.37" State College ranks as the wettest July
on record. 7.30" at Altoona ranks as the 4th wettest July.

The previous record July rainfall totals were 9.72" at
Harrisburg in 1969, 9.65" inches at Williamsport in 1992, and
7.30" at State College in 2004.

The monthly rainfall totals at Harrisburg and Williamsport are
not only the wettest for July, but more impressively (without
direct influence from a tropical cyclone) rank as the 4th
wettest individual month since records began in 1888 and 1895.

The top 3 wettest months at Harrisburg all had direct help from
a tropical cyclone:

1. 18.55" June 1972 (Agnes)

2. 18.43" September 2011 (Lee)

3. 14.97" September 1975 (Eloise)

4. 12.09" July 2018

5. 11.04" October 2013

5 consecutive days of at least 1" of rain in Harrisburg from
July 21-25 matches the longest stretch on record (Sept. 4-8,
2011 with TS Lee).

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...La Corte
NEAR TERM...DeVoir/La Corte
SHORT TERM...La Corte
LONG TERM...Lambert/Gartner
AVIATION...Steinbugl
CLIMATE...Steinbugl
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 31, 6:36 AM EDT, 21 hours 30 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
636 AM EDT Tue Jul 31 2018

PAZ004-011045-
Warren-
636 AM EDT Tue Jul 31 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ005-006-010-011-017-011045-
McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Clearfield-
636 AM EDT Tue Jul 31 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

A few strong to locally severe thunderstorms with gusty winds and
heavy downpours are possible Wednesday afternoon and evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ012-018-019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
063>066-011045-
Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-
Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-
Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-
Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-
Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
636 AM EDT Tue Jul 31 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

A few strong to locally severe thunderstorms with gusty winds are
possible Wednesday afternoon and evening.

Isolated flash flooding and minor small stream and creek flooding
are possible through Friday. Areas that received excessive rainfall
over the past week will be more vulnerable to potential flooding
issues.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

MS

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 31, 8:50 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPBedford, Fulton3 hr
Jul 31, 8:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPFulton35 min
Aug 1, 3:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPMontour52 min
Aug 1, 3:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPSullivan35 min
Aug 1, 5:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPBedford43 min
Aug 1, 5:42 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPHuntingdon33 min
Aug 1, 5:56 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPFulton34 min
Aug 1, 6:25 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPHuntingdon3 hr
Aug 1, 6:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPFranklin, Perry35 min
Aug 1, 7:11 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPCumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Perry3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Pennsylvania, 2018Every flash flood watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.