Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

912 
WGUS74 KCRP 192002
FFSCRP

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
302 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

TXC355-192030-
/O.CON.KCRP.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180619T2030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Nueces TX-
302 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL NUECES COUNTY...

At 300 PM CDT, emergency management reported heavy rain has lead to 
several streets being impacted by flood waters across the Corpus 
Christi metro area. Although the heavy rains have let up...it will 
take awhile for flood waters to subside. Additional heavy rainfall 
may occur again later today and tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as
well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.

&&

LAT...LON 2780 9728 2762 9736 2764 9748 2786 9741

$$

HART

894 
WGUS74 KCRP 192029
FFSCRP

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
329 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

TXC355-192038-
/O.EXP.KCRP.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180619T2030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Nueces TX-
329 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NUECES COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 330 PM CDT...

The heavy rain has ended as water continues to recede from area 
roadways. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 2780 9728 2762 9736 2764 9748 2786 9741

$$

Heavener

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1248 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Update for 18Z Aviation Discussion

&&

.AVIATION...

Widespread showers with occasional thunderstorms have been
ongoing this morning and will continue this afternoon. A few
breaks in the clouds this morning has allowed for additional
showers and thunderstorms to develop across the southern Coastal
Bend, up to the Victoria Crossroads. VFR conditions will prevail
for the rest of the afternoon. However, MVFR cigs are likely with
the passing of any heavy downpour or thunderstorm. Included TEMPO
groups at all sites through the evening hours to account for
ongoing convection. Activity will wane a bit after we lose daytime
heating but expect showers and thunderstorms to develop again
late tonight/early Wednesday morning closer to the coast and
spreading inland during the day. Ceilings are expected to drop to
MVFR overnight, mainly at CRP before VFR conditions return.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 1028 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018/

DISCUSSION...

The biggest change this morning was to expand the Flash Flood
Watch to include Duval county. Radar estimates show totals ranging
from 2-4" across the eastern Brush Country. Depending on the
placement of the heaviest rainfall this afternoon and tonight, the
watch may be expanded to include Webb county but will hold off on
it for now.

The heaviest rainfall, so far this morning, has been observed
across Jim Wells. The Alice Airport was received just over 9
inches as of 10 am. There have been reports of road closures and
summer school closing across the area. We have seen additional
rainfall of 2-4" across much of South Texas and are still
expecting additional rainfall throughout the day and continue into
tomorrow.

Due to increasing winds across the nearshore waters, went ahead
and extended the Small Craft Advisory through this afternoon.
Conditions should begin to subside throughout the day over the
waters but will extend if needed.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 642 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018/

DISCUSSION...

See .AVIATION discussion for 12Z TAFs.

AVIATION...

Convection on-going will last a few hours over the eastern
terminals, with mainly seeing showers but could have some thunder.
The first few hours of the forecast is based on current radar
trends, then generally going with a blend of persistence
(convection waning in the afternoon then develop later tonight
eastern terminals) as well as model omega fields. Once again,
should see mainly VFR conditions outside of thunder, with MVFR if
not IFR conditions with the heavier rains. Did include rain
overnight at KCRP and KVCT with no rainfall expected farther west
overnight (and VFR conditions). Generally am expecting east to
southeast winds today, more southeast during the late
morning/afternoon then backing overnight. Could have some variable
winds proximate or in convection.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 419 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018/

SHORT TERM (Today through Wednesday)...

This will be short and sweet, given the on-going heavy rainfall in
portions of the area. Overall, the potential for heavy rainfall
will continue through Wednesday, with gradual lowering of rain
chances afterwards. Based on NWS QPF rainfall average amounts
through Wednesday, have issued a FFA (did that around 1 AM this
morning) for all but the western four counties in the CWA where
given the drier conditions the soils should be able to handle. FFA
is through Wednesday afternoon, and later shifts can decide if it
will be extended in time or in areal coverage. Could once again
see some 90s along the Rio Grande today as well as Wednesday,
perhaps a bit farther east given that the rain chances may begin
to diminish later in the afternoon. Overall, did a blend of raw
guidance, Superblend and short blend guidance for temperatures
today through Wednesday, nudging them up a degree or so over a
few areas for today and tonight.

Other things going on is the potential for high rip currents
through most of tonight. Have kept the Coastal Flood Advisory
too, and based on the expected rainfall amounts near the coast
through tonight, have decided to extend it for tonight. Reasoning
is that, given the minor tidal overflow combined with the heavy
rainfall near the coast, some access roads could become flooded
and possibly some people could be isolated and cut off. In short,
not the best of days to go to the beach today and tonight. Things
will get better with time so avoid going to the beach until things
settle down.

MARINE (Today through Wednesday)...

Based on the forecast wave heights and winds, have decided to end
the SCA for the nearshore by 15Z and for the offshore at 22Z.
Scattered to widespread rain and thunderstorms, mainly today and
diminishing later in the afternoon, but likely developing again
especially near, north and east of Port Aransas tonight. Rain
should taper off by late Wednesday.

LONG TERM (Wednesday night through Monday)...

Moderate to heavy rainfall will continue into Wednesday night, with
high moisture and the upper level low/inverted trough over the
region. Confidence though has gone down a bit in the amount of
showers/storms that will occur on Thursday.  The GFS more quickly
shifts this system further south and west away from South Texas,
while the ECMWF keeps a closed low over the region and a surface
coastal trough over the region longer through Thursday morning
before also shifting to the southwest. Still anticipating rainfall
to occur on Thursday, but given discrepancies and lack of confidence
in how much moisture will still be over the region, have lowered
down to chance PoPs for the daytime on Thursday.  Rainfall will
quickly tapper off Thursday night into Friday.  Over the weekend
conditions will remain fairly dry, with only an isolated seabreeze
storm possible near the coastal areas.

More mildly warm temperatures will occur on Thursday with highs in
the mid 80s to low 90s.  As rain clears the area temperatures will
begin to warm up again, with highs back in the 90s to near 100
degrees over the weekend into early next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    77  87  77  88  77  /  70  70  50  50  30
Victoria          77  85  75  89  75  /  80  80  50  50  30
Laredo            76  93  77  92  76  /  50  50  30  30  30
Alice             76  89  76  91  75  /  60  70  50  50  30
Rockport          78  85  79  87  79  /  80  80  50  50  30
Cotulla           75  92  76  94  75  /  50  50  30  20  20
Kingsville        77  89  77  90  77  /  60  70  50  50  30
Navy Corpus       80  86  79  86  80  /  80  80  50  50  30

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon For the following
     zones: Aransas Islands...Bee...Calhoun Islands...Coastal
     Aransas...Coastal Calhoun...Coastal Kleberg...Coastal
     Nueces...Coastal Refugio...Coastal San Patricio...Duval...
     Goliad...Inland Calhoun...Inland Kleberg...Inland Nueces...
     Inland Refugio...Inland San Patricio...Jim Wells...Kleberg
     Islands...Live Oak...Nueces Islands...Victoria.

     High Rip Current Risk through late tonight For the following
     zones: Aransas Islands...Calhoun Islands...Kleberg
     Islands...Nueces Islands.

     Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 AM CDT Wednesday For the
     following zones: Aransas Islands...Calhoun Islands...
     Kleberg Islands...Nueces Islands.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM CDT this afternoon For the
     following zones: Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port
     Aransas out 20 NM...Coastal waters from Port Aransas to
     Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM...Waters from Baffin Bay
     to Port Aransas from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from Port Aransas
     to Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

TC/95...AVIATION

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1033 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

TXZ229>234-239>247-342>347-442-443-447-201545-
La Salle-McMullen-Live Oak-Bee-Goliad-Victoria-Webb-Duval-
Jim Wells-Inland Kleberg-Inland Nueces-Inland San Patricio-
Coastal Aransas-Inland Refugio-Inland Calhoun-Coastal Kleberg-
Coastal Nueces-Coastal San Patricio-Aransas Islands-
Coastal Refugio-Coastal Calhoun-Kleberg Islands-Nueces Islands-
Calhoun Islands-
1033 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect through Wednesday afternoon for
the eastern portions of South Texas, including Duval, Jim Wells
and Live Oak County and all counties east.

Scattered thunderstorms can be expected today and tonight.

There is a high risk of rip currents through tonight over gulf-
facing beaches.

A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect through tonight for gulf
facing beaches due to the higher than normal period swells
combining with excessive rainfall near the coast.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Numerous to widespread thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall
will persist through Wednesday. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect
through Wednesday afternoon.  The Flash Flood Watch may be extended
beyond Wednesday afternoon, or farther west during this time.  The
areal coverage of thunderstorm activity will gradually decrease
Wednesday afternoon through the end of the week.

There is a moderate risk of dangerous rip currents Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to relay reports of heavy rainfall and
flooding. Use hashtags #ccspotter and #txwx

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-201545-
Bays and Waterways from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas-
Bays and Waterways from Port Aransas to Port O'Connor-
Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel out
20 NM-Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to
60 NM-
1033 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for the Middle Texas
Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Small Craft Advisory conditions are expected for the Gulf waters
through this afternoon.

Thunderstorms today will produce heavy rainfall reducing
visibility, with thunderstorm chances decreasing in the afternoon
but returning overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Numerous to widespread thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall
will persist through Wednesday. The areal coverage of thunderstorm
activity will gradually decrease Wednesday afternoon through the end
of the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

TC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1104 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NE O'DONNELL PLACE    28.50N  97.27W
06/19/2018  M7.49 INCH       GOLIAD             TX   LOCAL OFFICIAL

            TEXAS WATER DEVELOPMENT BOARD SITE AT DUKE RANCH 24 HR
            TOTAL...WITH 7.10 INCHES HAVING FALLEN IN THE LAST 12
            HOURS

&&

EVENT NUMBER CRP1800106

HART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1108 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 AM     HEAVY RAIN       7 SSE BEN BOLT          27.55N  98.03W
06/19/2018  M7.86 INCH       KLEBERG            TX   AWOS

            12 HR RAINFALL TOTAL AT KIKG AWOS WITH RAIN STILL
            FALLING AT TIMES

&&

EVENT NUMBER CRP1800107

HART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1115 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1051 AM     HEAVY RAIN       7 SW PREMONT            27.29N  98.20W
06/19/2018  M11.00 INCH      JIM WELLS          TX   COCORAHS

            RAIN GAUGE OVERFLOWING. PICTURES AND VIDEO SUBMITTED OF
            SIGNIFICANT FLOODING SOUTHWEST OF PREMONT

&&

EVENT NUMBER CRP1800108

HART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1129 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 44 SE MATAGORDA ISLAND  27.84N  96.01W
06/19/2018  M49 MPH          GMZ275             TX   AWOS

            BRAZOS PLATFORM AWOS MEASURED A GUST TO 43 KNOTS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CRP1800109

TINSLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1142 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1140 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ORANGE GROVE            27.96N  97.94W
06/19/2018                   JIM WELLS          TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS THAT SIGNIFICANT STREET
            FLOODING CONTINUES TO OCCUR ACROSS ORANGE GROVE

1141 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ORANGE GROVE            27.96N  97.94W
06/19/2018  M7.50 INCH       JIM WELLS          TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

EVENT NUMBER CRP1800110
EVENT NUMBER CRP1800111

HART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
202 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0201 PM     HEAVY RAIN       10 N ALICE              27.90N  98.07W
06/19/2018  M6.11 INCH       JIM WELLS          TX   COCORAHS

&&

EVENT NUMBER CRP1800112

HART