Alert archive / Ohio / Wind Chill Advisories in 2018
Wind Chill Advisory 1, NWS Cleveland, OH
NWS Cleveland, OH issued this wind chill advisory at Jan 1, 2018, 3:18 PM EST for 28 counties in Ohio; Crawford County, Erie County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 43 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 1, 2018, 3:18 PM EST (20:18 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 3, 2018, 10:36 AM EST
- In force
- 43 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Cleveland, OH
All 30 counties
Ashland County, OH, Ashtabula County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Erie County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Portage County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA
The radar
The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1136 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 73 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 34 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 82 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
541 WWUS41 KCLE 012018 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 318 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...Lake Effect and Arctic Chill Continue... .Arctic air continues to flow into northern Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. The flow of air will begin to shift around to westerly direction and then southwest direction tonight pushing the snow bands up to the lake shore. Eventually, the snow will gradually come to an end in the southwest flow Tuesday. PAZ002-020430- /O.NEW.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.180101T2018Z-180103T1700Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180102T0900Z/ Southern Erie- Including the city of Edinboro 318 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow occurring. Very cold wind chills expected. Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the evening commute. Additional localized snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are expected. Expect wind chills to range from 10 to 15 below zero. * WHERE...Southern Erie county. * WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 4 AM EST Tuesday. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until noon EST Wednesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at times. Wind chill temperatures will improve slightly during the afternoon but will quickly drop back during the evening. The cold wind chills will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Use caution when traveling. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001-003-020430- /O.NEW.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.180101T2018Z-180103T1700Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga- Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage- Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning- Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Port Clinton, Fremont, Sandusky, Lorain, Cleveland, Mentor, Chardon, Jefferson, Findlay, Tiffin, Norwalk, Medina, Akron, Ravenna, Warren, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Canton, Youngstown, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, Mount Vernon, Ashtabula, Erie, and Meadville 318 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. The cold wind chills will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 15 to 24 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Pennsylvania and north central, northeast and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...Until noon EST Wednesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind chill temperatures will improve slightly during the afternoon but will quickly drop back during the evening. The cold wind chills will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ Lombardy For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
7 follow-up statements
484 WWUS41 KCLE 020301 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1001 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...Lake Effect and Arctic Chill Continue... .Arctic air continues to flow into northern Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. Light to moderate snow will continue late this evening before diminishing overnight. PAZ002-021115- /O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T1700Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180102T0900Z/ Southern Erie- Including the city of Edinboro 1001 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow occurring. Very cold wind chills expected. Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the evening commute. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches are expected. Expect wind chills to range from 10 to 15 below zero. * WHERE...Southern Erie county. * WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 4 AM EST Tuesday. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until noon EST Wednesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at times. Wind chill temperatures will improve slightly during the afternoon but will quickly drop back during the evening. The cold wind chills will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Use caution when traveling. The latest road conditions can be obtained from the Department of Transportation web site. A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001-003-021115- /O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T1700Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga- Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage- Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning- Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Port Clinton, Fremont, Sandusky, Lorain, Cleveland, Mentor, Chardon, Jefferson, Findlay, Tiffin, Norwalk, Medina, Akron, Ravenna, Warren, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Canton, Youngstown, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, Mount Vernon, Ashtabula, Erie, and Meadville 1001 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. The cold wind chills will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 15 to 24 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Pennsylvania and north central, northeast and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...Until noon EST Wednesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind chill temperatures will improve slightly during the afternoon but will quickly drop back during the evening. The cold wind chills will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
319 WWUS41 KCLE 020850 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 350 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018 PAZ002-021700- /O.CAN.KCLE.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180102T0900Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T1700Z/ Southern Erie- Including the city of Edinboro 350 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. The cold wind chills will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 10 to 20 below zero. * WHERE...Southern Erie county. * WHEN...Until noon EST Wednesday. Wind chills will recover to 0 to 10 below this afternoon before quickly falling back to 10 to 20 below zero this evening through Wednesday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001-003-021700- /O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T1700Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga- Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage- Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning- Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Port Clinton, Fremont, Sandusky, Lorain, Cleveland, Mentor, Chardon, Jefferson, Findlay, Tiffin, Norwalk, Medina, Akron, Ravenna, Warren, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Canton, Youngstown, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, Mount Vernon, Ashtabula, Erie, and Meadville 350 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. The cold wind chills will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 10 to 20 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Pennsylvania and north central, northeast and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...Until noon EST Wednesday. Wind chills will recover to 0 to 10 below this afternoon before quickly falling back to 10 to 20 below zero this evening through Wednesday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
264 WWUS41 KCLE 021407 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 907 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018 OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-022215- /O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T1700Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga- Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage- Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning- Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- Southern Erie- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Port Clinton, Fremont, Sandusky, Lorain, Cleveland, Mentor, Chardon, Jefferson, Findlay, Tiffin, Norwalk, Medina, Akron, Ravenna, Warren, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Canton, Youngstown, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, Mount Vernon, Ashtabula, Erie, Edinboro, and Meadville 907 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. The cold wind chills will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 10 to 20 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Pennsylvania and north central, northeast and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...Until noon EST Wednesday. Wind chills will recover to 0 to 10 below this afternoon before quickly falling back to 10 to 20 below zero this evening through Wednesday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
005 WWUS41 KCLE 022015 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 315 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018 OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-030415- /O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T1700Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga- Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage- Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning- Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- Southern Erie- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Port Clinton, Fremont, Sandusky, Lorain, Cleveland, Mentor, Chardon, Jefferson, Findlay, Tiffin, Norwalk, Medina, Akron, Ravenna, Warren, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Canton, Youngstown, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, Mount Vernon, Ashtabula, Erie, Edinboro, and Meadville 315 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. The cold wind chills will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 10 to 20 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Pennsylvania and north central, northeast and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...Until noon EST Wednesday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
401 WWUS41 KCLE 030200 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 900 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018 OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-031000- /O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T1700Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga- Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage- Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning- Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- Southern Erie- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Port Clinton, Fremont, Sandusky, Lorain, Cleveland, Mentor, Chardon, Jefferson, Findlay, Tiffin, Norwalk, Medina, Akron, Ravenna, Warren, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Canton, Youngstown, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, Mount Vernon, Ashtabula, Erie, Edinboro, and Meadville 900 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Wind chills will plunge to 10 to 20 degrees below zero tonight. Wind chills that cold will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Pennsylvania and northern Ohio. * WHEN...Until noon EST Wednesday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Wind Chills this low may cause frost bite and hypothermia if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
541 WWUS41 KCLE 030828 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 328 AM EST Wed Jan 3 2018 OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-031630- /O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T1700Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga- Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage- Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning- Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- Southern Erie- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Port Clinton, Fremont, Sandusky, Lorain, Cleveland, Mentor, Chardon, Jefferson, Findlay, Tiffin, Norwalk, Medina, Akron, Ravenna, Warren, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Canton, Youngstown, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, Mount Vernon, Ashtabula, Erie, Edinboro, and Meadville 328 AM EST Wed Jan 3 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. The cold wind chills will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 10 to 20 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Pennsylvania and north central, northeast and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...Until noon EST today. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
764 WWUS41 KCLE 031536 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1036 AM EST Wed Jan 3 2018 OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-031645- /O.CAN.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T1700Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga- Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage- Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning- Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- Southern Erie- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Port Clinton, Fremont, Sandusky, Lorain, Cleveland, Mentor, Chardon, Jefferson, Findlay, Tiffin, Norwalk, Medina, Akron, Ravenna, Warren, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Canton, Youngstown, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, Mount Vernon, Ashtabula, Erie, Edinboro, and Meadville 1036 AM EST Wed Jan 3 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Temperatures will continue to warm into the teens and lower 20s today. Wind chill values are forecast to reach the single digits today but will fall back below zero tonight. $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://www.weather.gov/cle
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind chill advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill advisory went out at Jan 1, 1:09 PM EST, 2 hours 9 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 1, 1:09 PM EST, 2 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 109 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018 .SYNOPSIS... A ridge of high pressure will nudge east into the Ohio valley Monday into Tuesday. A weak area of low pressure will move southeast into Lake Superior by Tuesday afternoon where it will begin to deepen and move east across the central lakes Wednesday. This will force a cold front across the area Wednesday evening. High pressure will begin to build back in from the west Thursday into Friday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... Lake effect snow band is moving slowly south allowing a series of multiple bands to develop across northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. Visibilities are dropping to around a half mile in the heavier snow bands and at times down to a quarter mile or less. Will continue to maintain the winter weather advisory for the southern portions of Erie county. Wind chill values have increased due to warmer temperatures enough to go ahead and let the wind chill advisory to expire. Previous discussion... A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for inland Erie County PA for this morning through tonight. General accumulations of 4 to 7 inches with isolated amounts to 9 inches in the typically favored locations are expected. Northwest flow early this morning will become westerly later this morning. This westerly flow is expected to continue through today before becoming a bit more northwest this evening into early tonight. This will favor the heaviest snow falling across inland Erie County PA with sub-advisory amounts (3-6 inches over 24 hours) falling across portions of Lake, northern Geauga, northern Ashtabula, and northern Crawford Counties. The heaviest snow is expected from late this morning through this afternoon. As we head into late tonight/early Tuesday morning the winds will back to the southwest or west southwest, bringing an end to the lake effect as it is forced back out over the lake. It is possible other areas may need an advisory, primarily areas along the Lake/Geauga County border and into northern Ashtabula, but with the bands expected to move around throughout the day, there is not enough confidence to issue any additional headlines at this time. Can't completely rule out a flurry across northwest Ohio this afternoon as the back side of a trough moves through. However, with the downsloping that will be occurring out of Michigan, the odds are small and no flurry of any consequence is expected. Outside of the lake-effect the main story will continue to be the frigid temperatures. Wind chills this morning will range from -5 to -10 degrees in the primary Snowbelt and from -10 to -20 degrees elsewhere. A Wind Chill Advisory remains in effect for areas outside the Primary Snowbelt until noon today. Highs this afternoon will struggle to make it out of the single digits across western areas and will barely make the low 10s elsewhere. Another Wind Chill Advisory will be needed for tonight as low temperatures will range from -6 in the southwest to +10 along the Erie County PA lakeshore. West winds around 10 mph will make for wind chill values ranging from -22F in the southwest to -5 in the northeast. Highs on Tuesday will be perhaps a couple degrees warmer than today. && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... The next cold front is due on Wednesday. There remains some timing differences. The models deepen the trough aloft and it really may be two fronts or a prefrontal trough followed by the front. In any case, it will be breezy ahead of the front on Wednesday. High clouds will increase quickly but the low level moisture does not seem to increase until the upward motion associated with the front arrives later in the day. High temperatures will depend on the timing of the front. Despite the brisk southwest flow, it appears as though temperatures may not get above 20F. Lake effect snow will likely return after the frontal passage and wind shift on Wednesday night. The air mass will be very cold but dry. The lake snow will persist into Friday as the trough aloft deepens in response to the system off the east coast. The long duration of lake effect could result in gradual accumulations but amounts will likely remain relatively modest except where the Lake Huron Fetch is involved. Lake Erie will likely have a lot of ice on the western and central basin by Friday. High temps late in the week will be lucky to get out of the single digits with lows below zero in most areas away from the lake/lake effect. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Heights will rise over the weekend, rebounding as the deep east coast trough lifts out. Ridging will increase across the southeast states ahead of the next progressive trough aloft. The ECMWF is slower with the next trough allowing for a warm up, especially along the east coast by Monday. The GFS and CMC and ensembles are faster and the consensus is for the next cold front to be through the area by the end of the weekend. The air mass will likely be modified Pacific for a time early next week but not sure that temperatures will recover to normal. Nonetheless, some light at the end of the tunnel for a relaxing of the cold, if at least for a day or two. && .AVIATION /18Z Monday THROUGH Saturday/... Lake effect snow band that developed from west to east across northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania this morning has shifted slightly south into the forecast area. The band is evolving into multiple bands. Some lake snow is even extending off Lake Michigan into northwest Ohio and affecting the Toledo area. The snow is expected to lift back north very slowly tonight and gradually weaken as the inversion drops down and drier air works its way into the local area. Winds will be on the increase late tonight into tomorrow afternoon to 15 to 25 knots with briefly higher gusts. OUTLOOK...Non-VFR possible Wednesday night, lingering across northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania Thursday through Friday and possibly Saturday. && .MARINE... Another weak reinforcing cold front will cross Lake Erie this morning and winds will pick up again from the west. Small craft advisories will go into effect this morning and freezing spray will be an issue with the increased winds and higher waves. Winds will back to southwest on Tuesday ahead of the next front and small craft advisories will remain in effect through at least Wednesday morning. The next cold front will drop across the lake later Wednesday and winds will veer northwest. The ice modelers tell us that much of the central basin of the lake may be ice covered by Thursday night. && .CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. PA...Winter Weather Advisory until 4 AM EST Tuesday for Pas. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Wednesday for LEZ147>149. && SYNOPSIS...Lombardy/Mottice NEAR TERM...Mottice SHORT TERM...Kosarik LONG TERM...Kosarik AVIATION...Lombardy MARINE...Kosarik
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 1, 12:29 PM EST, 2 hours 49 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1229 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018 OHZ003-006>011-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-021730- Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Hancock-Seneca-Huron- Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland- Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox- 1229 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast Ohio and northwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Wind chill temperatures are expected to drop to less than 10 below zero again tonight as arctic air prevails across the region. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. LEZ142>145-162>165-021730- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH- Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH- Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH- Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH- Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH- 1229 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. LEZ061-146>149-166>169-021730- Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY- Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH- Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH- Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH- Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY- 1229 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. PAZ002-021730- Southern Erie- 1229 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001-003-021730- Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- Crawford- 1229 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Wind chill temperatures could drop to less than 10 below zero tonight as arctic air prevails across the region. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 1, 9:54 AM EST, 5 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
954 AM EST MON JAN 01 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW CAMBRIDGE SPRINGS 41.82N 80.10W
01/01/2018 M2.5 INCH CRAWFORD PA SNOW SPOTTER
12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
0830 AM SNOW 7 ENE AQUILLA 41.59N 81.05W
01/01/2018 M2.7 INCH GEAUGA OH COCORAHS
24 HOUR SNOWFALL.
0945 AM SNOW AMITY TWP 41.94N 79.78W
01/01/2018 M2.5 INCH ERIE PA SNOW SPOTTER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL.
&&
BMLocal storm report, Jan 1, 9:58 AM EST, 5 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
958 AM EST MON JAN 01 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0954 AM SNOW MADISON-ON-THE-LAKE 41.83N 81.05W
01/01/2018 M2.5 INCH LAKE OH SNOW SPOTTER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL.
&&
BMLocal storm report, Jan 1, 10:45 AM EST, 4 hours 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1045 AM EST MON JAN 01 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW 4 SSE MADISON 41.71N 81.04W
01/01/2018 M3.0 INCH GEAUGA OH COCORAHS
24 HOUR SNOWFALL.
0700 AM SNOW 3 WNW SPRINGBORO 41.83N 80.45W
01/01/2018 M2.0 INCH CRAWFORD PA CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL.
1013 AM SNOW PIERPONT 2SE 41.74N 80.54W
01/01/2018 M2.3 INCH ASHTABULA OH SNOW SPOTTER
12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
&&
BMSpecial weather statement, Jan 1, 12:59 PM EST, 2 hours 19 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1259 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018 OHZ010>014-020>023-033-089-PAZ001>003-012200- Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Medina-Summit- Portage-Trumbull-Mahoning-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- Southern Erie-Crawford- Including the cities of Lorain, Cleveland, Mentor, Chardon, Jefferson, Medina, Akron, Ravenna, Warren, Youngstown, Ashtabula, Erie, Edinboro, and Meadville 1259 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018 Multiple lake effect snow bands will continue to affect the whole snowbelt area the rest of the afternoon producing visibilities below a half a mile at times. Additional accumulation during the afternoon should range from a dusting to 2 to 4 inches in favored higher terrain areas of the snowbelt east of Cleveland into Northwest Pennsylvania. Many roadways will be snow covered and slippery.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 1:27 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | CLE | Erie | 26 hr |
Nearby
Wind Chill Advisories in Ohio, 2018Wind Chill Advisories in Pennsylvania, 2018Every wind chill advisory in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.