Small Craft Advisory 67, NWS Cleveland, OH

663 
WHUS71 KCLE 160244
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
944 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018


LEZ142>144-161045-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.181116T1100Z-181117T0800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
944 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO
3 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots.

* WAVES...3 to 5 feet...occasionally 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory is issued when waves of 4 feet or more are
expected or wind speeds reach 21 to 33 knots which may produce
hazardous conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels...should stay in port
during these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ145>149-161045-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.181116T1100Z-181117T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-
the Lake OH-Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
944 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO
4 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots.

* WAVES...6 to 10 feet...and occasionally to 13 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory is issued when waves of 4 feet or more are
expected or wind speeds reach 21 to 33 knots which may produce
hazardous conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels...should stay in port
during these conditions.

&&

$$

116 
WHUS71 KCLE 160935
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
435 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

LEZ142>144-161745-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.181116T1100Z-181117T0800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
435 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots.

* WAVES...3 to 5 feet...occasionally 7 feet. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory is issued when waves of 4 feet or more are
expected or wind speeds reach 21 to 33 knots which may produce
hazardous conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels...should stay in port
during these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ145>149-161745-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.181116T1100Z-181117T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-
the Lake OH-Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
435 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots.

* WAVES...Building to 6 to 10 feet...occasionally to 13 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory is issued when waves of 4 feet or more are
expected or wind speeds reach 21 to 33 knots which may produce
hazardous conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels...should stay in port
during these conditions.

&&

$$

118 
WHUS71 KCLE 161158
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
658 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018


LEZ142>144-162000-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-181117T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.181116T1200Z-181117T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
658 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a Low Water
Advisory, which is in effect until 10 PM EST this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots.

* Water Levels...At 7 AM the water level at Toledo was 23 inches
  above low water datum or 5 inches above the critical mark for
  safe navigation. Water levels are forecast to fall to about
  another foot through early afternoon. Water levels are expected
  to return to near normal levels this evening. 

* WAVES...3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 7 feet. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Low Water Advisory is issued when water levels are expected to
be below the critical mark for safe navigation. Vessels may
become grounded. Contact the Coast Guard for the latest water
level. Mariners should use extreme caution or consider waiting
until water levels rise.

A Small Craft Advisory is issued when waves of 4 feet or more are
expected or wind speeds reach 21 to 33 knots which may produce
hazardous conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels...should stay in port
during these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ162>164-162000-
/O.NEW.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.181116T1200Z-181117T0300Z/
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
658 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a Low Water
Advisory, which is in effect until 10 PM EST this evening.

* Water Levels...At 7 AM the water level at Toledo was 23 inches 
  above low water datum or 5 inches above the critical mark for 
  safe navigation. Water levels are forecast to fall to about 
  another foot through early afternoon. Water levels are expected 
  to return to near normal levels this evening. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Low Water Advisory is issued when water levels are expected to
be below the critical mark for safe navigation. Vessels may
become grounded. Contact the Coast Guard for the latest water
level. Mariners should use extreme caution or consider waiting
until water levels rise.

&&

$$

LEZ145>149-162000-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-181117T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-
the Lake OH-Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
658 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots.

* WAVES...6 to 9 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory is issued when waves of 4 feet or more are
expected or wind speeds reach 21 to 33 knots which may produce
hazardous conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels...should stay in port
during these conditions.

&&

$$

715 
WHUS71 KCLE 161419
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
919 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018



LEZ142>144-162230-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-181117T0300Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-181117T0800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
919 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots.

* Water Levels...At 9 AM the water level at Toledo was 23 inches 
  above low water datum or 5 inches above the critical mark for 
  safe navigation. Water levels are forecast to fall to about 
  another foot through early afternoon. Water levels are expected 
  to return to near normal levels this evening. 

* WAVES...3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Low Water Advisory is issued when water levels are expected to
be below the critical mark for safe navigation. Vessels may
become grounded. Contact the Coast Guard for the latest water
level. Mariners should use extreme caution or consider waiting
until water levels rise.

A Small Craft Advisory is issued when waves of 4 feet or more are
expected or wind speeds reach 21 to 33 knots which may produce
hazardous conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels...should stay in port
during these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ162>164-162230-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-181117T0300Z/
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
919 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* Water Levels...At 9 AM the water level at Toledo was 23 inches 
  above low water datum or 5 inches above the critical mark for 
  safe navigation. Water levels are forecast to fall to about 
  another foot through early afternoon. Water levels are expected 
  to return to near normal levels this evening. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Low Water Advisory is issued when water levels are expected to
be below the critical mark for safe navigation. Vessels may
become grounded. Contact the Coast Guard for the latest water
level. Mariners should use extreme caution or consider waiting
until water levels rise.

&&

$$

LEZ145>149-162230-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-181117T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-
the Lake OH-Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
919 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots.

* WAVES...6 to 9 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory is issued when waves of 4 feet or more are
expected or wind speeds reach 21 to 33 knots which may produce
hazardous conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels...should stay in port
during these conditions.

&&

$$

572 
WHUS71 KCLE 162011
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
311 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018


LEZ142>144-170415-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-181117T0300Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-181117T0800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
311 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots.

* Water Levels...At 3 PM the water level at Toledo was 22 inches
  above low water datum or 4 inches above the critical mark for
  safe navigation. Water levels are forecast to fall near the
  critical water level. Water levels are expected to return to 
  near normal levels later this evening. 

* WAVES...3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Low Water Advisory is issued when water levels are expected to
be below the critical mark for safe navigation. Vessels may
become grounded. Contact the Coast Guard for the latest water
level. Mariners should use extreme caution or consider waiting
until water levels rise.

A Small Craft Advisory is issued when waves of 4 feet or more are
expected or wind speeds reach 21 to 33 knots which may produce
hazardous conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels...should stay in port
during these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ162>164-170300-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-181117T0300Z/
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
311 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* Water Levels...At 3 PM the water level at Toledo was 22 inches
  above low water datum or 4 inches above the critical mark for
  safe navigation. Water levels are forecast to fall near the
  critical water level. Water levels are expected to return to 
  near normal levels later this evening. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Low Water Advisory is issued when water levels are expected to
be below the critical mark for safe navigation. Vessels may
become grounded. Contact the Coast Guard for the latest water
level. Mariners should use extreme caution or consider waiting
until water levels rise.

&&

$$

LEZ145>149-170415-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-181117T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-
the Lake OH-Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
311 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots.

* WAVES...6 to 9 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory is issued when waves of 4 feet or more are
expected or wind speeds reach 21 to 33 knots which may produce
hazardous conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels...should stay in port
during these conditions.

&&

$$

532 
WHUS71 KCLE 170127
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
827 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018


LEZ142>144-170800-
/O.CAN.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-181117T0300Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-181117T0800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
827 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
SATURDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has cancelled the Low
Water Advisory.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots.

* WAVES...3 to 5 feet.

* WATER LEVELS...At 8 PM, the water level at Toledo was 31 inches
  above low water datum or 13 inches above the critical mark for
  safe navigation. Winds are expected to continue to slowly
  decrease overnight allowing water levels to continue rising.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory is issued when waves of 4 feet or more are
expected or wind speeds reach 21 to 33 knots which may produce
hazardous conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels...should stay in port
during these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ162>164-170230-
/O.CAN.KCLE.LO.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-181117T0300Z/
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
827 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has cancelled the Low
Water Advisory.

At 8 PM, the water level at Toledo was 31 inches above low water
datum or 13 inches above the critical mark for safe navigation.
Winds are expected to continue to slowly decrease overnight
allowing water levels to continue rising.

$$

LEZ145>149-170930-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-181117T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-
the Lake OH-Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
827 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...West 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots.

* WAVES...6 to 9 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory is issued when waves of 4 feet or more are
expected or wind speeds reach 21 to 33 knots which may produce
hazardous conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels...should stay in port
during these conditions.

&&

$$

902 
WHUS71 KCLE 170859
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
359 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

LEZ145>149-171700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-181117T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-
the Lake OH-Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
359 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...West 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots.

* WAVES...3 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory is issued when waves of 4 feet or more are
expected or wind speeds reach 21 to 33 knots which may produce
hazardous conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels...should stay in port
during these conditions.

&&

$$

884 
WHUS71 KCLE 171437
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
937 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

LEZ145>149-172100-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-181117T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-
the Lake OH-Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
937 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...West 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest at 10 to 20
  knots.

* WAVES...3 to 6 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory is issued when waves of 4 feet or more are
expected or wind speeds reach 21 to 33 knots which may produce
hazardous conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels...should stay in port
during these conditions.

&&

$$

213 
WHUS71 KCLE 171952
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
252 PM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

LEZ145-146-172100-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-181117T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
252 PM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has cancelled the Small
Craft Advisory.

Winds and waves have subsided enough to be able to cancel the
Small Craft Advisory.

$$

LEZ147>149-180000-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-181118T0000Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-
the Lake OH-Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
252 PM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...Northwest 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots.

* WAVES...3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory is issued when waves of 4 feet or more are
expected or wind speeds reach 21 to 33 knots which may produce
hazardous conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels...should stay in port
during these conditions.

&&

$$

734 
WHUS71 KCLE 172353
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
653 PM EST Sat Nov 17 2018


LEZ147>149-180100-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-181118T0000Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-
the Lake OH-Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
653 PM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...



$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
944 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A closed upper level low over southern Illinois this morning
will move along the Ohio River today. A surface area of low
pressure will move into northern Ohio and a second deeper low
will intensify off the east coast. The result will be a wintery
mix across the region today.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
The -fzra now south of a FDY-CAK line with surface temps
hovering between 32-30f across forecast area. Everything from
Columbus area south has now transitioned to rain. With the dew
points now saturating into lower 30s surface temps will start
rising above freezing from the south by noon. Colder air over
Michigan has reached toledo area. Surface low now on KY/WV
border with 3 hour ht falls just north of PBZ. As low tracks NE
NE this afternoon the colder air will sag SE.

6am update
Hazardous travel conditions expected due to a mix of rain, snow,
and freezing rain. Precip shield advancing on the lakeshore
counties at the time of this issuance. Mixed precip reports are
coming in with some reports of glazing on roads in counties
along the US 30 corridor. Radar indicates areas of higher precip
rates which extend from Columbus into Fort Wayne IN. Ice storm
warnings are in place for neighboring offices for these
locations. Ice accumulations are not expected to be as
significant in the local area though some locations could see
upwards of a tenth of an inch. Road temperatures should
diurnally warm above freezing by 11 am for most of the area
apart from NW PA and some portions of NE OH. Snow will be slow
to accumulate due to warm surface temperatures and the amount of
mixed precip types. NW PA could see upwards of 5 inches of snow
due to the colder ground temperatures and longer duration.
Elsewhere around 1 inches with a localized higher amounts. Most
of the area is expected to warm above freezing today with the
most efficient precip between 15-21Z.

Prev Discussion...
Focus is on the wintery mix of precipitation with potential for
accumulating snow and ice. Forecast appears on track as the
storm system drifts into the area this morning. Current
temperatures around 30F will remain steady through daybreak and
then slowly rise starting in the south. Temperatures will climb
to the mid 30s for all but NW OH and NW PA where it will
struggle to break above freezing. Surface temperatures will play
a critical role in the precipitation type with concerns for
freezing rain. Freezing rain is being observed upstream in
southern Ohio and advancing northeast. Not expecting as much
impact locally as surface temperatures will begin the diurnal
warming at the arrival time of the precip. Precip will
initialize as snow, possibly mixed with sleet as a warm nose of
+1 to +2C moves into central OH. Will watch this transition zone
closely as it makes it trek north towards the lake by late
morning. Have trended towards the cooler guidance in
anticipation of evaporative cooling chipping away at the warm
core aloft. Central areas will see little if any snow
accumulation due to melting during expected afternoon rain.
There will be a transition period between 14-18Z of possible
freezing rain or sleet. Only light coating of ice possible due
to surface temperatures expected above freezing in the
afternoon. Main concern is the 8 hours or so of potential
freezing rain/snow/sleet in the higher terrains of NW PA.
Believe the mixed precip type will keep total ice/snow
accumulations below warning criteria. Raised qpf amounts from
previous forecast which now projects snow totals of 2-4" in NW
PA.

Conditions will slowly improve overnight as the energy with the
system is shifted to the east coast. As the upper level trough
moves east around 06Z, the mid levels begin to show a fair
amount of drying including in the DGZ. Without ice crystals
present we could see a brief window of light rain/freezing
rain. Added moisture from the lake should keep support ongoing
snow east, with a mix of rain near the warmer lakeshore. For
Friday the colder air aloft will support marginal instability
over the lake. Flow will become favorable for the primary
snowbelt in the afternoon. Surface temperatures will likely be
above freezing in most areas, so not expecting more than an
inch or two of snow accumulation in the higher terrain of NW
PA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Deeper moisture strips away quickly on Friday night with lingering
precipitation mainly confined to NW PA. By this point precipitation
will be light but there is some question with regards to precip type
given moisture depth of only about 5000 feet. Could see liquid or
snow and have included a chance of freezing drizzle inland after
midnight just as precipitation is tapering off.

Another shortwave trough slides across the Upper Great Lakes on
Saturday. At the surface, low level convergence will increase ahead
of the trough with scattered light rain/snow settling south into the
snowbelt with the cold front bringing a wind shift to the northwest.
Chances of rain/snow expand across the area on Sunday as a shortwave
rides out of the Plains, enhancing lift along the 850-700mb front.
Most areas will not see any accumulation during the day on Sunday
with temperatures in the mid 30s but could see up to an inch of
snow, mainly east of I-71 on Sunday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Below normal temperatures continue through the extended with cool
northwest flow over the region. Monday will be the coolest with
temperatures in the lower to mid 30s again followed by gradual
warming Tuesday and Wednesday. Could see some lake effect snow
showers on Tuesday as deeper moisture returns across mainly eastern
portions of the snowbelt but only looks like a quick shot.
Sufficient southwest flow develops by Tuesday night to push
precipitation east up the lake into New York.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/...
Precipitation this morning is rapidly deteriorating ceilings
and visibilities. Look for a quick turn around from VFR to IFR
as mixed precipitation moves over the terminals. Freezing rain
will linger primarily through midday at which time surface
temperatures climb above freezing. IFR conditions will be most
prevalent in bursts of snow showers which will continue into
tonight as the trough moves east. IFR cigs will persist
overnight.

OUTLOOK...Non-VFR likely tonight area wide and in the northeast
Friday. Non-VFR again Saturday through Sunday.

&&

.MARINE...
Easterly winds of 10-20 knots early this morning will veer to
southeast by this afternoon and eventually southwest tonight as weak
low pressure lifts north across Lake Erie. Winds will ramp up on
Friday ahead of a cold front that will move east across the lake
towards midday. Winds on the lake will increase to 30 knots. Can not
rule out that a few reports of near Gale conditions may occur on the
east end of the lake but looks brief and will keep the winds at 30
knots for now. The Small Craft will be needed through Friday night
before winds back to the southwest allowing waves in the nearshore
waters to drop off.

Winds will be light Sunday then shift to the northwest and increase
with the passage of another cold front. Small Craft Advisories may
be needed again east of Cleveland.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for OHZ003-
     006>013-017>023-027>033-036>038-047.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 3 AM EST Friday for OHZ014-089.
PA...Winter Weather Advisory until 3 AM EST Friday for PAZ001>003.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Jamison
NEAR TERM...DJB/Jamison
SHORT TERM...KEC
LONG TERM...KEC
AVIATION...Jamison
MARINE...KEC

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
428 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

OHZ014-089-PAZ001>003-160930-
Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
Crawford-
428 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 3 AM
EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio and northwest
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ009>013-019>023-027>033-036>038-047-160930-
Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-
Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-
Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
428 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-160930-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
428 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ003-006>008-017-018-160930-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Hancock-Seneca-
428 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
127 PM EST THU NOV 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1253 PM     FREEZING RAIN    4 ENE MARION            40.62N  83.06W
11/15/2018  M0.17 INCH       MARION             OH   ASOS

            STORM TOTAL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CLE1800080

BM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
130 PM EST THU NOV 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1253 PM     FREEZING RAIN    3 ESE SOUTH AMHERST     41.34N  82.18W
11/15/2018  M0.08 INCH       LORAIN             OH   ASOS

            STORM TOTAL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CLE1800081

BM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
132 PM EST THU NOV 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1256 PM     FREEZING RAIN    2 WNW SMITHVILLE        40.87N  81.89W
11/15/2018  M0.17 INCH       WAYNE              OH   ASOS

            STORM TOTAL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CLE1800082

BM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
134 PM EST THU NOV 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1254 PM     FREEZING RAIN    2 WNW LAKEMORE          41.04N  81.47W
11/15/2018  M0.20 INCH       SUMMIT             OH   ASOS

            STORM TOTAL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CLE1800083

BM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
136 PM EST THU NOV 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1251 PM     FREEZING RAIN    YOUNGSTOWN REGIONAL AIR 41.26N  80.67W
11/15/2018  M0.16 INCH       TRUMBULL           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CLE1800084

BM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
138 PM EST THU NOV 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1253 PM     FREEZING RAIN    5 NE JEFFERSON          41.78N  80.70W
11/15/2018  M0.03 INCH       ASHTABULA          OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CLE1800085

BM