Small Craft Advisory 66, NWS Cleveland, OH

994 
WHUS71 KCLE 131404
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
904 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

LEZ147>149-132215-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0066.181113T1404Z-181114T1600Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-
the Lake OH-Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
904 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northwest 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners... especially those operating smaller 
vessels...should stay in port during these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ145-146-132215-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0066.181113T1404Z-181114T1200Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
904 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northwest 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots.

* WAVES...3 to 6 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners... especially those operating smaller 
vessels...should stay in port during these conditions.

&&

$$

783 
WHUS71 KCLE 132006
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
306 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

LEZ147>149-140415-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-181114T1500Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-
the Lake OH-Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
306 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northwest 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners... especially those operating smaller
vessels...should stay in port during these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ145-146-140415-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-181114T1200Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
306 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northwest 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots.

* WAVES...3 to 5 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners... especially those operating smaller
vessels...should stay in port during these conditions.

&&

$$

657 
WHUS71 KCLE 140058
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
758 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018


LEZ143-144-140900-
/O.EXB.KCLE.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-181114T0900Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
758 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a Small
Craft Advisory, which is in effect until 4 AM EST Wednesday.

* WINDS...Northwest 15 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...2 to 4 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory is issued when waves of 4 feet or more are
expected or wind speeds reach 21 to 33 knots which may produce
hazardous conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels...should stay in port
during these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ145-146-140900-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-181114T1500Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
758 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northwest 15 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...3 to 5 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners... especially those operating smaller
vessels...should stay in port during these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ147>149-140900-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-181114T1500Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-
the Lake OH-Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
758 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Northwest 15 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...4 to 6 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners... especially those operating smaller
vessels...should stay in port during these conditions.

&&

$$

378 
WHUS71 KCLE 140900
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
400 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018


LEZ143-144-141000-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-181114T0900Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
400 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM EST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

Northwest winds of 10 to 20 knots will continue to decrease 
through the afternoon. Waves of 1 to 3 feet will decrease this
morning. 

$$

LEZ145>149-141500-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-181114T1500Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-
the Lake OH-Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
400 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...Northwest 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to 5 to 15 knots
  this afternoon.

* WAVES...3 to 6 feet decreasing to 2 to 4 feet this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners... especially those operating smaller
vessels...should stay in port during these conditions.

&&

$$

226 
WHUS71 KCLE 141446
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
946 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

LEZ145>147-141600-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-181114T1500Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-
the Lake OH-
946 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has cancelled the Small
Craft Advisory.

$$

LEZ148-149-142000-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-181114T2000Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
946 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 20 knots.

* WAVES...3 to 5 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller 
vessels...should stay in port during these conditions.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
118 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure over the northern Gulf Coast will move northeast
to the coast of New Jersey by Tuesday morning. High pressure to
the lee of the Rockies will build east toward the local area
extending a ridge east over the region Tuesday afternoon through
Tuesday night. High pressure will develop over the region
Wednesday and move northeast to Maine by Wednesday night.
Another area of low pressure will develop over Florida and move
northeast along the coast to Maine by the end of the work week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
A lot of dry air to overcome across the area to get the
precipitation to reach the surface. Made some adjustments to
POPs across the area to account for lack of precipitation at
this time. Clouds will persist through the rest of the night and
made a few adjustments to temperatures.

Original...
Another round of light snow and snow showers is on the way for
northern Ohio into northwest Pennsylvania. A sharp upper level
trough is moving through the Great Lakes Region over the next
24 hours. A surface cold front is moving westward across the
Midwest will be pushing through northern Ohio late tonight and
Tuesday morning.

Models have back off somewhat on moisture availability with the
synoptic system moving overhead tonight and early on Tuesday.
The light QPF will be favoring areas of northwest Ohio and areas
of east central Ohio. We are seeing radar echoes slowly filling
in and developing but this precipitation is initially fighting
some dry area closer to the surface with dewpoint depressions a
little high at this time. Eventually by mid to late evening, we
will see light precip begin to reach the ground in the form of
light rain or rain/snow mix changing to all snow as the night
goes along. We will mention the possibility of a dusting to up
to 1 inch of snowfall area wide tonight into Tuesday morning
with the best chance of an inch will be northwest Ohio near the
Toledo area and across the Snowbelt Region.

The synoptic system pulls away during the day on Tuesday with
northwest winds ushering in colder air. Lake effect clouds and
scattered snow showers will be a common theme for Tuesday
especially for the Snowbelt areas. The High-Res models show lake
effect snow bands organizing and impacting far northeast Ohio
into northwest Pennsylvania tomorrow afternoon through early on
Wednesday. Additional 3 to 6 inches will be possible for these
areas under the persistent bands. We will likely need a winter
weather advisory for later tomorrow into tomorrow night and will
allow the overnight shift to take a closer look at the timing,
locations, and fine tune the amounts. Otherwise cold weather
Tuesday with highs only in the 30s and much colder for Tuesday
night with lows in the lower to middle 20s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Could see some lingering snow showers in the snowbelt Wednesday
morning, with the 850mb temps still around -12c.  But much drier air
pushes in quickly as a large area of high pressure moves into the
Lower Lakes.  The high will slide east across the Lower Lakes and
move off the New England Coast early Thursday.   Although models
differ some on the exact track and timing of the next system, the
trends are the same.  A coastal low will track up the east coast
with a weak low or trough lifting north across the forecast area
late Thursday into Thursday night.  Precip will likely start as a mix
then transition to snow Thursday evening/night.  Snow gradually ends
Friday as high pressure moves into the Upper Ohio Valley/Lower
Lakes.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
The progressive pattern continues into the long term forecast.  The
high over the Lower Lakes sags SE allowing a clipper like system to
track across the Great Lakes Saturday.  Although low stays north of
forecast area does drag another weak cold front across the area.
Timing of the front still in doubt.   GFS moves the front through
Saturday while the ECMWF holds off until Saturday evening.  After
that another area of high pressure tracks east across the Lower
Lakes, giving us a couple of days of dry conditions.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/...
Air mass over the local area is pretty dry in the lower levels
and this will limit precipitation threat across the area
overnight. Pulled back a bit on the precipitation during the
overnight hours and morning. Low ceilings continue to be
troublesome at Toledo and Findlay while the eastern sites are
still VFR at this time. As low pressure system pulls out to the
northeast, the low will pull some of the lower ceilings east
into the rest of the forecast area. As the synoptic
precipitation pulls out to the northeast, lake effect will
develop across northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania later
today and continue into Wednesday morning. Drier air will begin
to push into the region Wednesday and bring an end to the
lake effect snow. Winds will be increasing through the day as
high pressure builds east toward the area.

OUTLOOK...Non-VFR through Wednesday northeast Ohio and
northwest Pennsylvania. Non-VFR possible again Thursday night
and Friday.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds turn to the NW tonight as a weak cold front pushes across the
Lake. A small craft advisory will be needed Tuesday as the
winds increase to 15 to 25 knots as a coastal low tracks NE off
the Mid Atlantic Coast. Small craft will likely continue into
Wednesday, when coastal low tracks into Nova Scotia and high
pressure builds across the Lower Lakes. Another small craft
advisory likely Thursday as second coastal low tracks NE along
the Mid Atlantic Coast.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Griffin
NEAR TERM...Griffin/Lombardy
SHORT TERM...DJB
LONG TERM...DJB
AVIATION...Lombardy
MARINE...DJB

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
329 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

OHZ011>014-089-PAZ001>003-132030-
Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore-
Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford-
329 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio and northwest
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Light snow will spread across the area tonight but could become mixed
with rain at times early. The rain/snow mix will change over to all
snow late this evening. Light snow accumulations of a dusting to 1
inch is expected tonight into Tuesday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Lake effect snow is expected to develop in the wake of low pressure
moving up the East Coast on Tuesday. The snow will continue Tuesday
night into Wednesday. Accumulating snow that will pose a hazard to
travel can be expected. Several inches of snow is effect where snow
bands are persistent late Tuesday into Tuesday night in the primary Snowbelt
areas.

Additional accumulating snowfall is expected Thursday into Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ003-006>010-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-132030-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-
Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-
Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
329 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Light snow will spread across the area tonight but could become mixed
with rain at times early. The rain/snow mix will change over to all
snow late this evening. Light snow accumulations of a dusting to 1
inch is expected tonight into Tuesday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Additional accumulating snowfall is expected Thursday into Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-132030-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
329 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.