Alert archive / Ohio / River Flood Warnings in 2018
River Flood Warning 14, NWS Cleveland, OH
NWS Cleveland, OH issued this river flood warning at Feb 20, 2018, 1:44 AM EST for Lorain County, Ohio. It took effect at Feb 20, 2018, 4:45 AM EST. It was in force for 21 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 20, 2018, 1:44 AM EST (06:44 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 20, 2018, 4:45 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 21, 2018, 2:13 AM EST
- In force
- 21 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Cleveland, OH
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Lorain County, OH
The radar
The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Black River at Elyria (ELRO1). The gauge peaked at 10.02 ft at Feb 20, 2018, 5:00 PM EST.
- Action stage
- 7 ft
- Minor stage
- 9.5 ft
- Moderate stage
- 17 ft
- Major stage
- 20 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04200500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
285
WGUS41 KCLE 200644
FLWCLE
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
144 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
...The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a flood
warning for the following rivers in Ohio...
Black River At Elyria
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
OHC093-201444-
/O.NEW.KCLE.FL.W.0014.180220T1012Z-180221T0226Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.180220T1012Z.180220T1200Z.180220T2026Z.NO/
144 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Black River At Elyria
* from early this morning to this evening.
* At 1 AM the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage early this morning to around
9.6 feet this morning. The river will slowly fall this afternoon
falling below flood stage by this evening.
* At 9.5 feet...Flooding begins south of Elyria in Carlisle Township
along Woodside Drive.
&&
LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
4128 8220 4140 8212
$$5 follow-up statements
333
WGUS81 KCLE 200956
FLSCLE
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
456 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...
Portage River At Woodville
Black River At Elyria
Eagle Creek Above Findlay
Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
OHC143-173-201756-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0013.180220T0945Z-180223T0936Z/
/WDVO1.1.ER.180220T0912Z.180222T1200Z.180223T0336Z.NO/
456 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Portage River At Woodville
* until at least late Thursday night.
* At 4:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise slowly above flood stage this
morning eventually cresting about 9.7 feet Thursday morning.
* At 10.5 feet...Water is encroaching on State Route 105 in Sandusky
County northeast of U.S. 23. Water is in the backyard of residents
on Bierley, Bridge, and Water Streets in Pemberville.
&&
LAT...LON 4136 8354 4148 8334 4143 8334 4135 8349
$$
OHC093-201755-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0014.180220T0945Z-180221T0226Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.180220T0818Z.180220T1200Z.180220T2026Z.NO/
456 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Black River At Elyria
* until this evening.
* At 4:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest about 9.7 feet this morning.
The river will fall below flood stage this evening.
* At 9.5 feet...Flooding begins south of Elyria in Carlisle Township
along Woodside Drive.
&&
LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
4128 8220 4140 8212
$$
OHC075-169-201755-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180224T2000Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.180216T0732Z.180217T0800Z.180224T1400Z.NO/
456 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
* until farther notice.
* At 4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 16.2 feet this
afternoon and then stay in a range from about 15.5 and 16.2 feet
into the weekend.
* At 17.0 feet...Private property on Water Street in the Village of
Killbuck flooded. Several county and local roads impassable
including State Route 16 and 60 north, and County Road 621.
&&
LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
4045 8202 4067 8202
$$
OHC063-201533-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-180220T1533Z/
/FECO1.1.ER.180220T0330Z.180220T0800Z.180220T0933Z.UU/
456 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Eagle Creek Above Findlay
* until this morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...Eagle Creek has crested and will fall below flood stage
this morning.
&&
LAT...LON 4104 8366 4104 8363 4087 8366 4087 8370
$$232
WGUS81 KCLE 201644
FLSCLE
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1144 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...
Portage River At Woodville
Black River At Elyria
Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
Mahoning River At Leavittsburg
Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
OHC143-173-210044-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-180223T0200Z/
/WDVO1.1.ER.180220T0912Z.180220T1800Z.180222T2000Z.NO/
1144 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Portage River At Woodville
* until Thursday evening.
* At 11:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 10.0 feet by this afternoon.
The river will fall below flood stage Thursday afternoon.
* At 10.5 feet...Water is encroaching on State Route 105 in Sandusky
County northeast of U.S. 23. Water is in the backyard of residents
on Bierley, Bridge, and Water Streets in Pemberville.
&&
LAT...LON 4136 8354 4148 8334 4143 8334 4135 8349
$$
OHC093-210044-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180221T0900Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.180220T0818Z.180220T1800Z.180221T0300Z.NO/
1144 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Black River At Elyria
* until late tonight.
* At 11:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 10.0 feet by this afternoon.
The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding begins in low lying areas near the river in
Elyria. Flooding along the East Branch of the Black River on Foster
Road in Penfield Township.
&&
LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
4128 8220 4140 8212
$$
OHC075-169-210044-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180224T1200Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.180216T0732Z.180217T0800Z.180224T0600Z.NO/
1144 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
* until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 16.0 feet by this afternoon.
The river will fall below flood stage early Saturday morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Private property on Water Street in the Village of
Killbuck flooded. Several county and local roads impassable
including State Route 16 and 60 north, and County Road 621.
&&
LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
4045 8202 4067 8202
$$
OHC155-210044-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0016.180220T2000Z-180221T0631Z/
/LEAO1.1.ER.180220T2000Z.180221T0000Z.180221T0031Z.NO/
1144 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Mahoning River At Leavittsburg
* from this afternoon to late tonight...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 11:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and rise
to near 10.2 feet by this evening. The river will fall below flood
stage by this evening.
* At 11.0 feet...Flood waters may begin to affect operations in
industrial low lying areas in town.
&&
LAT...LON 4123 8100 4124 8092 4129 8084 4121 8086
4116 8100
$$
OHC155-210044-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.180220T1225Z.180222T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1144 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* The creek is expected to rise near 10.7 feet this afternoon and fall
near flood stage by Wednesday morning. Additional rain will cause the
creek to rise again to near 13.0 feet by Wednesday evening.
* At 14.0 feet...Several homes will become threatened with
evacuations possible in the Town of Braceville. Eagle Creek,
McConnell East, and Braceville Robinson Roads will be impassable.
&&
LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
4124 8095 4125 8100
$$846
WGUS81 KCLE 210044
FLSCLE
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
744 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...
Black River At Elyria
Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station
Portage River At Woodville
Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
OHC143-173-210844-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-180223T0200Z/
/WDVO1.1.ER.180220T0912Z.180221T0030Z.180222T2000Z.NO/
744 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Portage River At Woodville
* until Thursday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by Thursday
afternoon.
* At 11.0 feet...Water over State Route 105 in Sandusky County. Water
near homes on Water, Bierley, and Bridge Streets in Pemberville.
The river floods Trail Marker Park up to Erie Street in Woodville.
&&
LAT...LON 4136 8354 4148 8334 4143 8334 4135 8349
$$
OHC093-210844-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180221T1545Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.180220T0818Z.180220T2345Z.180221T0945Z.NO/
744 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Black River At Elyria
* until Wednesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by early
Wednesday morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding begins in low lying areas near the river in
Elyria. Flooding along the East Branch of the Black River on Foster
Road in Penfield Township.
&&
LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
4128 8220 4140 8212
$$
OHC075-169-210844-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180224T1200Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.180216T0732Z.180217T0800Z.180224T0600Z.NO/
744 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
* until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by early
Saturday morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying areas west of Water Street in the Village
of Killbuck are flooded. Flooded roads include County Road 621,
State Route 60 north, as well as local low lying roads. Holmes
county fairgrounds inundated.
&&
LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
4045 8202 4067 8202
$$
OHC155-210844-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-180223T0400Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.180220T1225Z.180222T0200Z.180222T2200Z.UU/
744 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station
* until Thursday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 11.2 feet by Wednesday
night. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday afternoon.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road, McConnell East, and Knowlton
Roads will be flooded and impassable.
&&
LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
4124 8095 4125 8100
$$
Sefcovic910
WGUS81 KCLE 210346
FLSCLE
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1046 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...
Portage River At Woodville
Black River At Elyria
Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
OHC143-173-211146-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-180223T1100Z/
/WDVO1.1.ER.180220T0912Z.180221T0600Z.180223T0500Z.NO/
1046 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Portage River At Woodville
* until Friday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 10.7 feet by late tonight.
The river will fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Water over State Route 105 in Sandusky County. Water
near homes on Water, Bierley, and Bridge Streets in Pemberville.
The river floods Trail Marker Park up to Erie Street in Woodville.
&&
LAT...LON 4136 8354 4148 8334 4143 8334 4135 8349
$$
OHC093-211145-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180221T1424Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.180220T0818Z.180220T2345Z.180221T0824Z.NO/
1046 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Black River At Elyria
* until Wednesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by early
Wednesday morning.
* At 9.5 feet...Flooding begins south of Elyria in Carlisle Township
along Woodside Drive.
&&
LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
4128 8220 4140 8212
$$
OHC075-169-211145-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180225T2100Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.180216T0732Z.180217T0800Z.180225T1500Z.NO/
1046 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
* until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 16.2 feet by Friday morning.
The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Private property on Water Street in the Village of
Killbuck flooded. Several county and local roads impassable
including State Route 16 and 60 north, and County Road 621.
&&
LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
4045 8202 4067 8202
$$
OHC155-211145-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-180223T0730Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.180220T1225Z.180220T2115Z.180223T0130Z.UU/
1046 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station
* until late Thursday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by Thursday
evening.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road, McConnell East, and Knowlton
Roads will be flooded and impassable.
&&
LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
4124 8095 4125 8100
$$
Sefcovic860
WGUS81 KCLE 210713
FLSCLE
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
213 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018
...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Ohio...
Black River At Elyria
Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
OHC093-210743-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180221T1424Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.180220T0818Z.180220T2345Z.180221T0452Z.NO/
213 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018
* At 1:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* No flooding is currently forecast. However additional rainfall
later today may cause water levels to rise once again.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* At 9.5 feet...Flooding begins south of Elyria in Carlisle Township
along Woodside Drive.
&&
LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
4128 8220 4140 8212
$$
OHC155-210743-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-180223T0730Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.180220T1225Z.180220T2115Z.180223T0130Z.UU/
213 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018
* At 2:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is possible by early Thursday morning.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river has fallen below flood stage and should
remain that way through the afternoon. However additional
rainfall this afternoon and evening may cause the river to
exceed the flood stage by early Thursday morning.
* At 9.5 feet...Barclay Messerly Road south of the Warren Airport in
Braceville floods. Knowlton Road will be threatened.
&&
LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
4124 8095 4125 8100
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 20, 12:12 AM EST, 1 hour 32 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 20, 12:12 AM EST, 1 hour 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1212 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure will move northeast across Lake Huron early Wednesday
pulling a trailing cold front across Ohio. High pressure will move
east across the Great Lakes Wednesday night and Thursday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Have really trimmed precip chances back overnight and Tuesday
as precip the next 24 hours should be mainly confined to NW OH.
Temps have climbed into the 60s most areas and little drop is
expected overnight. Have made other adjustments as well.
Previous...Most of the area has received between 0.50-1.00 of
rain today causing soggy conditions and rises on rivers. The
area of rain overhead will lift north this evening as the warm
front continues to lift north with an area of low pressure
oriented from the southern Plains across lower Michigan. Rain
will end across much of the area this evening, with the
exception being across northwest Ohio and perhaps across far
northern areas near Lake Erie. These areas will seen additional
lighter rainfall overnight as waves of showers being driven by
shortwave energy moving around the ridge continue. Expanded the
Flood Watch to include Hancock, Sandusky, and Seneca Counties
that will be closer to the axis of rainfall and may receive
another 0.25 or more through Tuesday, followed by additional
rain with the frontal passage late Tuesday night into Wednesday.
Temperatures will be mild overnight and will not drop off much.
Warming trend continues on Tuesday with near record temperatures
for all areas with breezy southerly flow and a ridge building
aloft. The high at Toledo is a little more questionable and
will depend on the coverage of showers. Drier air aloft moves
over the eastern two thirds of the area during the afternoon on
Tuesday with clouds trying to scatter out late. Will continue
with a mostly cloudy forecast but their is a chance of sun
peeking through across NE Ohio and NW Pennsylvania late in the
day.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A cold front will move into northwest Ohio late Tuesday night and
move southeast across the area through Wednesday morning.
Temperatures ahead of the front will be warm with temperatures
generally in the middle and upper 50s. Temperatures will drop off
quickly behind the front will falling temperatures expected through
the day Wednesday.
Widespread rain will be associated with this front with an
additional 0.5 to 1 inch of rain expected for the western two-thirds
of the area and around a half inch expected across the eastern
third. With grounds already saturated it won't take much The flood
watch remains in effect for northwest Ohio through Wednesday
afternoon.
Rain will come to an end during the afternoon hours Wednesday across
northwest Ohio. The rain may come to an end for much of the area by
late Wednesday evening, but even if it does there will be another
surge of moisture that moves in Wednesday night into Thursday
morning. This will bring rain and some snow/sleet/freezing rain
showers back into the forecast for much of the area. The
precipitation may not make it all the way into northwest Ohio, but
will still keep chance PoPs in for now. By late Wednesday night into
Thursday morning precipitation should change over to a mix of rain
and snow with possibly all snow and/or some light freezing rain
across northern areas. Little to no snow/ice accumulation is
expected. Will not mention freezing rain in the forecast at this
time as temperatures are marginal and there remains a lot of
uncertainty. A change over back to all rain is expected by Thursday
afternoon as the precipitation ends from northwest to southeast.
Another surface low and cold front will move across the area Friday
bringing more widespread rain to the region. Temperatures ahead of
the front will warm into the 50s across a majority of the CWA. Far
northwest Ohio could be stuck in the upper 40s.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A large area of upper level high pressure persists over the
southeastern United States Friday night while an upper level trough
axis rotates east and becomes negatively tilted by Sunday morning
across the area. The upper level ridge in the southeast weakens
into a ridge during the same time period. A secondary upper level
shot of positive vorticity maximum along with the shortwave trough
moves east across the area Monday. This feature will be moisture
starved as it reaches our area. This is contrary to the initial
trough that moves east across the area over the weekend where an
extensive area of moisture streams northeast and then east across
the area. Polar jet appears it will remain north of the forecast
area through the duration of the extended period with no strong cold
air outbreaks expected during this time. Unfortunately, it appears
the mild temperatures will be short lived heading into the last
several days of February and early March as the Arctic and North
Atlantic Oscillations are trending well below normal. A signal that
signifies much colder air will return.
The resultant surface high pressure centered off the coast of the
Carolinas will keep a return southwest flow across the forecast area
over the weekend. Meanwhile, surface low pressure will develop over
southern Texas and will move northeast along a stationary front
across Ohio and northwestern Pennsylvania by Saturday night. As the
low pressure system moves Northeast of the area, a trailing cold
front will sweep east across the forecast area Sunday morning.
Moisture associated with the storm system and upper level trough
system will move East of the area Sunday. High pressure will move
Northeast toward the area Sunday night into Monday. The high will
bring a return back to fair weather once again Monday.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/...
VFR should tend to dominate thru 06z tonight as the front stays off
to the NW. The exception will probably be TOL which may see sct shra
and possible tsra affecting the site almost anytime during the
period. Surface winds will continue to increase into midday today so
the threat of fog appears minimal. Gusts in the afternoon will
likely be in a 25 to 35 knot range.
OUTLOOK...A period of Non-VFR expected late tonight and Wed with
frontal passage then again Fri and Sat with the net front.
&&
.MARINE...
Strong southerly winds will continue into tonight, increasing
further tomorrow afternoon ahead of a cold front. South winds are
expected to be around 20 knots with gusts to 30 knots. As the cold
front moves through Wednesday morning winds will shift to the
northwest and then north. Northeast winds around 10 knots will
settle in by Thursday morning with winds continuing to veer around
to the east by Thursday night. Light southerly winds return for
Friday.
&&
.CLIMATE...
Record high temperatures are possible on Tuesday, February 20th.
Here are record high temperatures for climate sites for that date:
Climate Site Record High Year
Cleveland (CLE) 69 1930
Akron-Canton (CAK) 67 2016
Youngstown (YNG) 65 2016 and 1939
Mansfield (MFD) 66 2016 and 1930
Toledo (TOL) 66 1930
Erie, PA (ERI) 66 2016 and 1930
Temperatures on Tuesday, February 20th are forecast to be close to
all time record highs for the month of February. Here are the all
time daily record high temperatures for the month:
Climate Site Record High Date
Cleveland (CLE) 77 2/24/2017
Akron-Canton (CAK) 76 2/24/2017
Youngstown (YNG) 75 2/24/2017
Mansfield (MFD) 74 2/24/2017
Toledo (TOL) 71 2/24/2017 (Tie with 4 dates)
Erie, PA (ERI) 77 2/24/2017
Temperatures on Tuesday, February 20th are also forecast to be
close to all time record highs for the meteorological winter season
(December - February). Here are the all time daily record high
temperatures for the winter season:
Climate Site Record High Date
Cleveland (CLE) 77 2/24/2017
Akron-Canton (CAK) 76 2/24/2017 and 12/3/1982
Youngstown (YNG) 76 12/3/1982
Mansfield (MFD) 74 2/24/2017
Toledo (TOL) 71 2/24/2017 (Tie with 6 dates)
Erie, PA (ERI) 77 2/24/2017
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for OHZ003-006>008-017-
018.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
SYNOPSIS...KEC
NEAR TERM...KEC/Kubina
SHORT TERM...Mottice
LONG TERM...Lombardy
AVIATION...Kubina
MARINE...Mottice
CLIMATE...SefcovicHazardous weather outlook, Feb 19, 4:56 PM EST, 8 hours 48 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Cleveland OH 456 PM EST Mon Feb 19 2018 LEZ149-OHZ009>014-019>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-202200- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-Erie-Lorain- Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage- Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning- Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- Southern Erie- 456 PM EST Mon Feb 19 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Moderate to locally heavy rain may occur today but no significant flooding is expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Additional rain is expected Tuesday night into Wednesday, then again Friday through Sunday. There is the potential for flooding. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. OHZ003-006>008-017-018-202200- Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Hancock-Seneca- 456 PM EST Mon Feb 19 2018 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. LEZ061-142>148-162>169-202200- Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH- Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH- Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH- Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH- Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH- Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH- Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH- Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH- Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY- 456 PM EST Mon Feb 19 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Areas of fog are possible on Lake Erie. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Areas of fog are possible on Lake Erie on Tuesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 9:21 PM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Hancock | 13 hr |
| Feb 19, 10:40 PM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Sandusky, Wood | 3 days |
| Feb 20, 7:31 AM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Trumbull | 19 hr |
| Feb 20, 9:34 AM EST | River Flood Warning | CLE | Trumbull | 16 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Ohio, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.