Flood Watch 4, NWS Cleveland, OH

863 
WGUS61 KCLE 241433
FFACLE

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
933 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

OHZ017-020-027>031-036>038-047-242245-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180225T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hancock-Medina-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Marion-
Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
Including the cities of Findlay, Medina, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus,
Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, 
and Mount Vernon
933 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of north central Ohio, northeast Ohio, and northwest 
  Ohio, including the following areas, in north central Ohio, 
  Ashland, Crawford, Knox, Marion, Morrow, and Richland. In 
  northeast Ohio, Holmes, Medina, and Wayne. In northwest Ohio, 
  Hancock and Wyandot. 

* Through Sunday morning

* Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches will be possible near and
  south of a line from Findlay to Meadville and lead to flooding.
  It will rain through much of today but the heaviest rainfall
  will likely occur tonight. The ground is very wet across the 
  area which will allow much of the rain that does fall to become 
  runoff. 
 
* Area creeks and streams will see rises through today with the
  greatest impacts likely occurring tonight into Sunday morning.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch is issued when there is a potential for flooding.
Monitor the forecast and remain alert for possible flood
warnings. Those in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should a flood warning be issued or if flooding
develops.

&&

$$

OHZ021>023-032-033-PAZ003-242245-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180225T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Stark-Mahoning-Crawford-
Including the cities of Akron, Ravenna, Warren, Canton, 
Youngstown, and Meadville
933 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania, 
  including the following areas, in northeast Ohio, Mahoning, 
  Portage, Stark, Summit, and Trumbull. In northwest 
  Pennsylvania, Crawford. 

* Through Sunday afternoon

* Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches will be possible near and
  south of a line from Findlay to Meadville and lead to flooding.
  It will rain through much of today but the heaviest rainfall 
  will likely occur tonight into Sunday morning. The ground is 
  very wet across the area which will allow much of the rain that 
  does fall to become runoff. 
 
* Area creeks and streams will see rises through today with the
  greatest impacts likely occurring tonight through Sunday 
  morning.
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch is issued when there is a potential for flooding.
Monitor the forecast and remain alert for possible flood
warnings. Those in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should a flood warning be issued or if flooding
develops.

&&

$$

419 
WGUS61 KCLE 242003
FFACLE

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
303 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

OHZ017-020-027>031-036>038-047-250415-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180225T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hancock-Medina-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Marion-
Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
Including the cities of Findlay, Medina, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus,
Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, 
and Mount Vernon
303 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of north central Ohio, northeast Ohio, and northwest 
  Ohio, including the following areas, in north central Ohio, 
  Ashland, Crawford, Knox, Marion, Morrow, and Richland. In 
  northeast Ohio, Holmes, Medina, and Wayne. In northwest Ohio, 
  Hancock and Wyandot. 

* Through Sunday morning

* Rainfall amounts of 1 to locally 2 inches will be possible near
  and south of a line from Findlay to Meadville and may lead to
  flooding. Even though current rainfall is light, heavier rain
  will return tonight. The ground is very wet across the area 
  which will allow much of the rain that does fall to become 
  runoff. 

* Area creeks and streams will see rises occurring tonight into 
  Sunday morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch is issued when there is a potential for flooding.
Monitor the forecast and remain alert for possible flood
warnings. Those in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should a flood warning be issued or if flooding
develops.

&&

$$

OHZ021>023-032-033-PAZ003-250415-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180225T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Stark-Mahoning-Crawford-
Including the cities of Akron, Ravenna, Warren, Canton, 
Youngstown, and Meadville
303 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania, 
  including the following areas, in northeast Ohio, Mahoning, 
  Portage, Stark, Summit, and Trumbull. In northwest 
  Pennsylvania, Crawford. 

* Through Sunday afternoon

* Rainfall amounts of 1 to locally 2 inches will be possible near
  and south of a line from Findlay to Meadville and may lead to
  flooding. Even though current rainfall is light, heavier rain
  will return tonight. The ground is very wet across the area 
  which will allow much of the rain that does fall to become 
  runoff. 

* Area creeks and streams will see rises occurring later tonight
  and Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch is issued when there is a potential for flooding.
Monitor the forecast and remain alert for possible flood
warnings. Those in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should a flood warning be issued or if flooding
develops.

&&

$$

928 
WGUS61 KCLE 250344
FFACLE

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1044 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018


OHZ017-020-027>031-036>038-047-251145-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180225T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hancock-Medina-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Marion-
Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
Including the cities of Findlay, Medina, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus,
Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Marion, Mount Gilead, Millersburg, 
and Mount Vernon
1044 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of north central Ohio, northeast Ohio, and northwest 
  Ohio, including the following areas, in north central Ohio, 
  Ashland, Crawford, Knox, Marion, Morrow, and Richland. In 
  northeast Ohio, Holmes, Medina, and Wayne. In northwest Ohio, 
  Hancock and Wyandot. 

* Through Sunday morning. 

* Additional rainfall of around an inch overnight may lead to 
  flooding. Locally higher amounts are possible near and south of 
  a line from Marion to Mansfield to Akron. The ground is very wet
  across the area which will allow much of the rain that does 
  fall to become runoff. 

* Area creeks and streams will see rises occurring tonight into 
  Sunday morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch is issued when there is a potential for flooding.
Monitor the forecast and remain alert for possible flood
warnings. Those in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should a flood warning be issued or if flooding
develops.

&&

$$

OHZ021>023-032-033-PAZ003-251145-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180225T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Stark-Mahoning-Crawford-
Including the cities of Akron, Ravenna, Warren, Canton, 
Youngstown, and Meadville
1044 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania, 
  including the following areas, in northeast Ohio, Mahoning, 
  Portage, Stark, Summit, and Trumbull. In northwest 
  Pennsylvania, Crawford. 

* Through Sunday afternoon

* Additional rainfall of around an inch is expected overnight with
  locally higher amounts possible. This could lead to flooding as
  the ground is very wet which will allow much of the rain to run
  off. Locally higher rainfall amounts remain possible. 

* Area creeks and streams will see rises occurring later tonight 
  and Sunday. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch is issued when there is a potential for flooding.
Monitor the forecast and remain alert for possible flood
warnings. Those in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should a flood warning be issued or if flooding
develops.

&&

$$

671 
WGUS61 KCLE 250901
FFACLE

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
401 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

OHZ017-020-027>030-036-037-251015-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180225T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hancock-Medina-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Marion-Morrow-
Including the cities of Findlay, Medina, Upper Sandusky, Bucyrus,
Mansfield, Ashland, Marion, and Mount Gilead
401 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Watch for portions of north central Ohio, northeast Ohio  
and northwest Ohio has been cancelled. The threat for additional heavy
rain has ended. 

$$

OHZ031-038-047-251700-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180225T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wayne-Holmes-Knox-
Including the cities of Wooster, Millersburg, and Mount Vernon
401 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of north central Ohio and northeast Ohio, including 
  the following areas, in north central Ohio, Knox. In northeast 
  Ohio, Holmes and Wayne. 

* Until noon EST today

* Additional rainfall up to a quarter of an inch will be possible
  through the early morning. We will continue to monitor the flow
  of water to area rivers with rises already noted on several of 
  them. 

* Area creeks and streams will see rises through the morning.
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch is issued when there is a potential for flooding.
Monitor the forecast and remain alert for possible flood
warnings. Those in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should a flood warning be issued or if flooding
develops.

&&

$$

OHZ021>023-032-033-PAZ003-251715-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180225T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Stark-Mahoning-Crawford-
Including the cities of Akron, Ravenna, Warren, Canton, 
Youngstown, and Meadville
401 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania, 
  including the following areas, in northeast Ohio, Mahoning, 
  Portage, Stark, Summit, and Trumbull. In northwest 
  Pennsylvania, Crawford. 

* Through this afternoon

* Additional rainfall of a quarter to half inch will be possible
  through mid morning. We will continue to monitor the flow
  of water to area rivers with rises already noted on several of 
  them. 

* Area creeks and streams will see rises through the afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch is issued when there is a potential for flooding.
Monitor the forecast and remain alert for possible flood
warnings. Those in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to
take action should a flood warning be issued or if flooding
develops.

&&

$$

696 
WGUS61 KCLE 251103
FFACLE

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
603 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

...Rain Moved Out of the Area...

.The area of rain that caused rises on rivers and streams across
the area continues to move east and away from the area. No more
appreciable rain is expected for the rest of today.

OHZ031-038-047-251215-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180225T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wayne-Holmes-Knox-
Including the cities of Wooster, Millersburg, and Mount Vernon
603 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Watch for portions of north central Ohio and northeast
Ohio has been cancelled. The rain that fell last night and early
this morning will continue to runoff into streams and creeks.

$$

OHZ021>023-032-033-PAZ003-251215-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180225T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Stark-Mahoning-Crawford-
Including the cities of Akron, Ravenna, Warren, Canton, 
Youngstown, and Meadville
603 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Watch for portions of northeast Ohio and northwest
Pennsylvania has been cancelled. The rain that fell last night
and early this morning will continue to runoff into streams and 
creeks.

$$

Lombardy

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
107 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will finish crossing the area this evening, but
will stall across the Ohio River. A panhandle low will develop
and track across the central Great Lakes bringing a warm front
north late Saturday and finally sweeping a cold front across
the entire region late Saturday night/early Sunday morning. High
pressure will move overhead for early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Added some fog near the lakeshore and across NW PA through the
morning with the cooler air off the lake interacting with the
warm moist air over land.

Otherwise made only minor changes to temperatures to reflect
current trends.

Previous...Rainfall today ended up being slightly less than
thought going into today and that is good news as we head into
the weekend and the next significant round of rainfall. A few
sprinkles or a brief light rain possible early this evening, but
overall a quiet night. There is fog out over the lake as
indicated by a web cam and observation earlier out of Port
Clinton. There is some concern that this fog will push inland
across the east lakeshore and/or hug the coastline this evening.
Have added the mention of fog primarily for Erie PA.

By early Saturday morning winds will be coming around the dial
and will have a north-northeast wind for much of the day. This
will impact temperatures near the lakeshore, especially across
the west half. We will have to wait much of the day for the warm
front to push north. The warmest temperatures of the day across
the area will occur Saturday night into Sunday morning.

Tightened the gradient for the precip chances during the
daytime Saturday, keeping only a slight chance/chance across the
far north. The wave along the front is minor with a more west
to east track/influence. The bigger concern will arrive for
Saturday night.

Held off on any flood watch. Will allow another model run suite
to occur and also try and get a better handle on the convective
nature the precip will likely take on Saturday night. Right now
as it stands, flash flood guidance suggest we can only take
about 1.2 inches of rain in 6 hours to start to cause troubles.
Minor river flooding will be possible too with similar amounts.
Have added the mention of thunderstorms in the forecast for
Saturday night.

After numerous shortwaves working to break down the high across
the Atlantic/SE U.S., this wave Saturday night will fortunately
be the one to finally push a cold front through and out of the
area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
A strong cold front will wrap in from the west on Sunday with
precipitation quickly ending from west to east. In advance of
the front, downsloping southerly winds may be strong in Erie, PA
with gusts of 35-45 mph possible. Then as the front moves
through, some of the stronger winds aloft may try to mix down,
especially in northwest Ohio. The mixing depth will increase
with downward momentum bringing stronger gusts down to the
surface. Southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 35-45 mph
will be possible for a few hours. High temperatures on Sunday
will occur in the morning with temperatures falling behind the
front into the upper 40s to lower 50s.

Skies are expected to clear by Sunday afternoon which raises a
question about fog developing Sunday night. The ground will be very
moist following the recent rainfall and winds will be light as high
pressure builds up the Ohio Valley. Not enough confidence to include
fog in the forecast but will need to be considered over the weekend.

Temperatures remain above normal as the high builds to the east and
southerly return flow develops. Dry conditions expected through mid-
week which will help rivers and high water to recede from the
weekend rainfall.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Models in good agreement Tuesday night, with high pressure centered
off the Mid Atlantic Coast and a ridge across the Eastern Great
Lakes.   After that the trend is continued wet and warm,  but models
definitely out of phase with the upcoming systems.   GFS moves the
next system through late Wednesday into Wednesday night, while the
ECMWF on the other hand is almost a day behind, moving the system
through Wednesday night into Thursday.  Previous forecast similar to
ECMWF timing so I see no reason to flip flop forecast this far out
when so much doubt as to the timing.   Both models hint at a return
of more seasonal conditions by the end of the forecast period. Deep
upper low tracks SE across the Lakes with the 850mb temps dipping to
-7c by 12z Saturday. We will see.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/...
All locations are at least MVFR tonight with areas of IFR
across the south where the deeper moisture is located. Cooler
air advecting off of Lake Erie will likely cause some issues
near the lakeshore through at least sunrise. This may impact
KERI and KCLE with some lower visibilities.

Otherwise we will see ceilings lower everywhere through the
morning as the first ripple of low pressure produces a period
of rain across the area. There should be IFR conditions with
the rain through the morning. We then may see a brief lull
between pieces of jet energy at some point during the
afternoon. Ceilings will likely try to improve but do not think
we will improve beyond MVFR conditions at most locations. This
next wave arrives for the evening and continues into the
overnight with IFR conditions returning with occasionally
moderate rainfall.

Winds will be light through the reminder of the night. Shifting
to a northeasterly direction through the morning. Winds should
gradually shift to the southeast and south overnight and
increase. Gusts above 20 knots may be common by sunrise on
Sunday as a cold front approaches.

OUTLOOK...Non-VFR in rain and low ceilings Wednesday.

&&

.MARINE...
Some open water is starting to develop along the south shore of Lake
Erie. Ice floes may be possible over the weekend as winds increase.
Winds will develop out of the east at 15-25 knots on Saturday
afternoon and night as low pressure tracks from the Plains to the
Midwest. The front will bring a wind shift to the southwest with
winds increasing to 20-30 knots Sunday morning. Winds will drop off
quickly from Sunday night into Monday as high pressure expands into
the Ohio Valley.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Oudeman
NEAR TERM...Kubina/Mullen/Oudeman
SHORT TERM...KEC
LONG TERM...DJB
AVIATION...Mullen
MARINE...KEC

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
336 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027-028-089-PAZ001>003-242045-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-
Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-
Wyandot-Crawford-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
336 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Rain is expected to again spread across the area Saturday into
Sunday. This storm system has a chance for producing adequate
rainfall to cause problems on rivers and streams. Be sure to monitor
the latest forecasts for flooding potential.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ029>033-036>038-047-242045-
Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
336 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio and
northeast Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Rain is expected to spread across the area Saturday into Sunday. A
few thunderstorms are also possible Saturday night. Rainfall amounts
between and inch and an inch and a half are expected through early
Sunday, with locally higher amounts possible where heavier rainfall
persists.

Any additional rainfall will runoff and affect the rivers and
streams across the area, likely prolonging and possibly worsening
any flooding that may occur.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-242045-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
336 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.