Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2018

Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

February 8, 2018Lewis County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special weather statement at Feb 8, 2018, 10:12 PM EST for Lewis County, New York. It was in force for 93 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 8, 2018, 10:12 PM EST (03:12 UTC)
Expired
Feb 8, 2018, 11:45 PM EST
In force
93 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

County Lewis County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 210 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2018-02-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2018-02-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 60 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1116 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
70 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Feb 8, 9:20 PM EST, 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 8, 9:20 PM EST, 52 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 8, 4:38 PM EST, 5 hours 34 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
438 PM EST Thu Feb 8 2018

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-092145-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Southern Erie-
438 PM EST Thu Feb 8 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

The chance for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Accumulating snow is expected Friday through most of the weekend...
during which time there could be enough to snow to warrant winter
weather advisories.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006>008-092145-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
438 PM EST Thu Feb 8 2018

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-092145-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
438 PM EST Thu Feb 8 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake
Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 8, 4:21 PM EST, 5 hours 51 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
421 PM EST THU FEB 8 2018

NYZ006>008-082245-
Jefferson-Oswego-Lewis-
421 PM EST THU FEB 8 2018

...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN JEFFERSON...WEST
CENTRAL LEWIS AND NORTHEASTERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...

A band of lake effect snow will intensify late this afternoon,
producing snow fall rates of 2 inches per hour. This band will
meander between the city of Watertown and Sandy Creek through 600
PM. This will impact the evening commute, especially on Interstate
81 and the Watertown area. Motorists should be prepared for rapidly
changing visibility and very difficult travel continues.

The band will shift slightly southward this evening, focusing
squarely on the Tug Hill near the Jefferson and Oswego county line,
or between Pulaski and Adams.

Locations impacted include...
Watertown, Sandy Island Beach State Park, Fort Drum, Stony Point,
Adams, Dexter, Glen Park, Herrings, Adams Center and Henderson
Harbor.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 37 and 48.

LAT...LON 4408 7569 4380 7555 4366 7567 4358 7623
      4366 7626 4369 7626 4378 7629 4381 7633
      4400 7614

Apffel
Special weather statement, Feb 8, 5:43 PM EST, 4 hours 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
543 PM EST THU FEB 8 2018

NYZ006>008-090015-
Jefferson-Oswego-Lewis-
543 PM EST THU FEB 8 2018

...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN JEFFERSON...
WESTERN LEWIS AND NORTHEASTERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...

At 540 PM EST, A band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates
of 2 to 3 inches per hour will be between Watertown and Pulaski,
extending inland across the Tug Hill to Lowville. This band will
consolidate into a single intense band this evening and settle near
the Jefferson and Oswego county line. Expect travel to become
difficult to impossible through this band as snowfall rates
increase. Visibility will be near zero in this heavy lake effect
snow band tonight.

Locations impacted include...
Watertown, Sandy Island Beach State Park, Stony Point, Carthage,
Lowville, Pulaski, West Carthage, Adams, Herrings and Selkirk Shores
State Park.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 36 and 44.

LAT...LON 4351 7631 4356 7632 4356 7628 4358 7626
      4369 7626 4378 7629 4382 7635 4390 7636
      4391 7632 4390 7633 4391 7629 4406 7547
      4363 7534

Apffel
Special weather statement, Feb 8, 7:14 PM EST, 2 hours 58 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
714 PM EST THU FEB 8 2018

NYZ006>008-090145-
Jefferson-Oswego-Lewis-
714 PM EST THU FEB 8 2018

...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN JEFFERSON...LEWIS
AND NORTHEASTERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...

An area of lake effect snow will consolidate into a singular band of
intense snow producing snow fall rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour
this evening. Expect a brief burst of heavy snow from Watertown to
Carthage through 745 PM. After this the band will settle near the
Jefferson and Oswego county border between Pulaski and Adams. The
band will extend inland across the Tug Hill to near Lowville.

Expect travel to become difficult to impossible through this band
with visibility near zero.

Locations impacted include...
Watertown, Sandy Island Beach State Park, Carthage, Lowville,
Pulaski, West Carthage, Adams, Adams Center, Henderson Harbor and
Barnes Corners.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 36 and 44.

LAT...LON 4354 7616 4389 7632 4408 7518 4371 7513

Apffel
Special weather statement, Feb 8, 8:52 PM EST, 1 hour 20 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
852 PM EST THU FEB 8 2018

NYZ006>008-090315-
Jefferson-Oswego-Lewis-
852 PM EST THU FEB 8 2018

...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON...
LEWIS AND NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...

An area of moderate to heavy lake effect snow has consolidated into
a singular band of intense snow producing snowfall rates of 2 to 4
inches per hour this evening. The center of the band has settled to
near the Jefferson and Oswego County border between Pulaski and
Adams. The band extends well inland to the western Adirondacks in
central Lewis County.

Expect travel to be difficult to impossible through this band with
visibility near zero.

Locations impacted include...
Sandy Island Beach State Park, Stony Point, Lowville, Pulaski, Adams,
Redfield, Selkirk Shores State Park, Highmarket, Mexico Point State
Park and Adams Center.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 35 and 43.

Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be
prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra
time when traveling.

LAT...LON 4352 7530 4349 7580 4349 7657 4356 7645
      4356 7631 4358 7626 4378 7629 4387 7639
      4384 7635 4387 7635 4394 7515 4361 7511

Mitchell
Special weather statement, Feb 8, 10:12 PM EST, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 8, 7:14 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis91 min
Feb 8, 8:52 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis83 min
Feb 9, 3:35 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more66 hr
Feb 9, 5:07 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego113 min
Feb 9, 8:45 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson, Lewis90 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New York, 2018Every special weather statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.