Alert archive / New York / River Flood Warnings in 2018
River Flood Warning 6, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this river flood warning at Jan 12, 2018, 10:43 AM EST for Cattaraugus County, New York. It took effect at Jan 12, 2018, 3:06 PM EST. It was in force for 69 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 12, 2018, 10:43 AM EST (15:43 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 12, 2018, 3:06 PM EST
- Expired
- Jan 15, 2018, 12:35 PM EST
- In force
- 69 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Cattaraugus County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Allegheny River at Olean (OLNN6).
- Action stage
- 10 ft
- Minor stage
- 12 ft
- Moderate stage
- 17 ft
- Major stage
- 23 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03010820, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
664
WGUS41 KBUF 121543
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1043 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018
...The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Flood Warning
for The following rivers in New York...
Genesee River At Portageville
Allegheny River At Olean
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC003-051-121-122143-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0005.180112T1800Z-180113T1232Z/
/PRTN6.1.ER.180112T1800Z.180113T0000Z.180113T0632Z.NO/
1043 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018
The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a
* Flood warning for
the Genesee River At Portageville
* until Saturday morning.
* At 11 AM Friday the stage was 17.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage this
afternoon and crest near 20.9 feet this evening.
* IMPACT...At 19.0 feet...Flood stage, river begins to overflow into
agricultural lands from Belfast to Letchworth. Little damage.
&&
LAT...LON 4241 7822 4262 7805 4260 7796 4242 7807
4236 7803 4233 7816
$$
NYC009-122143-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0006.180112T2200Z-180115T1120Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.180112T2200Z.180114T0600Z.180115T0520Z.NO/
1043 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018
The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a
* Flood warning for
the Allegheny River At Olean
* from this afternoon to Monday morning.
* At 9 AM Friday the stage was 7.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this afternoon and crest near 11.9 feet early Sunday morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, flooding possible on Union
Street in Allegany and East Riverside Drive 1 to 3 miles upstream
of Olean. Some farm lands along the river are also impacted.
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$14 follow-up statements
001
WGUS41 KBUF 122007
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
307 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018
...The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Flood Warning
for The following rivers in New York...
Allegheny River At Salamanca
Allegheny River At Olean
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC009-130207-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.180112T2006Z-180115T1120Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.180112T1811Z.180114T0600Z.180115T0520Z.NO/
307 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Allegheny River At Olean
* until Monday morning.
* At 3 PM Friday the stage was 10.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 11.9 feet
early Sunday morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, flooding possible on Union
Street in Allegany and East Riverside Drive 1 to 3 miles upstream
of Olean. Some farm lands along the river are also impacted.
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$
NYC009-130207-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0007.180113T1200Z-180113T1800Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.180113T1200Z.180113T1200Z.180113T1200Z.NO/
307 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018
The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a
* Flood warning for
the Allegheny River At Salamanca
* from Saturday morning to Saturday afternoon.
* At 3 PM Friday the stage was 10.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near flood stage
Saturday morning.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage Saturday
morning and crest near 12.0 feet Saturday morning.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding along entire
reach in areas unprotected by dikes.
&&
LAT...LON 4218 7880 4218 7859 4208 7858 4208 7880
4200 7890 4200 7906
$$829
WGUS81 KBUF 130201
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
901 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Allegheny River At Olean
Allegheny River At Salamanca
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC009-130801-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180115T1240Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.180112T1811Z.180114T0600Z.180115T0640Z.NO/
901 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018
...Flood warning extended until Monday morning...
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Olean
* until Monday morning.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 11.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 12.4 feet
early Sunday morning.
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$
NYC009-130801-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0007.180113T0201Z-180114T0000Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.180113T0009Z.180113T0600Z.180113T1800Z.NO/
901 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018
...Flood warning extended until Saturday evening...
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Salamanca
* until Saturday evening.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 12.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 12.6 feet
late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding along entire
reach in areas unprotected by dikes.
&&
LAT...LON 4218 7880 4218 7859 4208 7858 4208 7880
4200 7890 4200 7906
$$187
WGUS81 KBUF 130723
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
223 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Allegheny River At Olean
Allegheny River At Salamanca
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC009-131323-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180115T1338Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.180112T1811Z.180114T0600Z.180115T0738Z.NO/
223 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
...Flood warning extended until Monday morning...
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Olean
* until Monday morning.
* At 2 AM Saturday the stage was 11.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 12.5 feet
late tonight.
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$
NYC009-131323-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180114T0240Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.180113T0009Z.180113T0701Z.180113T2040Z.NO/
223 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
...Flood warning extended until this evening...
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Salamanca
* until this evening.
* At 2 AM Saturday the stage was 13.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage late this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding along entire
reach in areas unprotected by dikes.
&&
LAT...LON 4218 7880 4218 7859 4208 7858 4208 7880
4200 7890 4200 7906
$$149
WGUS81 KBUF 131251
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
751 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Oatka Creek At Garbutt
Allegheny River At Salamanca
Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
Black River At Boonville
Allegheny River At Olean
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-065-131851-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-180114T0300Z/
/BOON6.1.ER.180113T0515Z.180113T0817Z.180113T2100Z.NR/
751 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Boonville
* until this evening.
* At 7 AM Saturday the stage was 10.93 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage late this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 11.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread farmland flooding
and road closures all along the river. Some residential flooding in
portions of Carthage and Castorland.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7550 4394 7536 4378 7537 4348 7524
4346 7534 4386 7559
$$
NYC037-055-131851-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-180114T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.180113T1125Z.180113T1800Z.180114T0600Z.UU/
751 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
...Flood warning extended until Sunday morning...
The flood warning continues for
The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* until Sunday morning.
* At 7 AM Saturday the stage was 6.05 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 6.1 feet
this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 6.0 feet...Flood stage, general flooding of agricultural
land begins, some basement flooding in Scottsville and Garbutt.
&&
LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798
4297 7802 4302 7798
$$
NYC009-131851-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180115T1338Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.180112T1811Z.180114T0600Z.180115T0738Z.NO/
751 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Olean
* until Monday morning.
* At 7 AM Saturday the stage was 11.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 12.5 feet
late tonight.
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$
NYC009-131851-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180114T0130Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.180113T0009Z.180113T0816Z.180113T1930Z.NO/
751 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Salamanca
* until this evening.
* At 7 AM Saturday the stage was 13.4 feet and starting to fall.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 14.0 feet...Moderate flood, moderate flooding along
entire reach in areas unprotected by dikes. More widespread
flooding upstream.
&&
LAT...LON 4218 7880 4218 7859 4208 7858 4208 7880
4200 7890 4200 7906
$$
NYC029-037-063-121-131851-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-180113T2157Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.180113T0003Z.180113T0700Z.180113T1557Z.NO/
751 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
* until this afternoon.
* At 7 AM Saturday the stage was 9.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall...and is expected to
drop below flood stage late this morning.
* IMPACT...At 9.0 feet...Flood stage, some flooding in Batavia,
possibly impacting Kibbe Park, Walnut Street, and Law Street.
Flooding in rural areas of Alexander and the lowlands of the
Alabama Swamps with some road closures likely.
&&
LAT...LON 4299 7831 4305 7863 4315 7864 4315 7810
4293 7817 4293 7832
$$355
WGUS81 KBUF 131704
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1204 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for The following rivers in New
York...
Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Oatka Creek At Garbutt
Allegheny River At Salamanca
Allegheny River At Olean
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC037-055-132304-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-180114T1048Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.180113T1125Z.180113T1615Z.180114T0448Z.UU/
1204 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* until late tonight.
* At 11 AM Saturday the stage was 6.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage tonight.
* IMPACT...At 7.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread flooding of
agricultural lands below LeRoy. Significant residential flooding
along creek, especially in Mumford, Wheatland, and Scottsville.
Roadway flooding begins. Some backwater effects possible from
Genesee River near Scottsville.
&&
LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798
4297 7802 4302 7798
$$
NYC009-132304-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180115T1338Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.180112T1811Z.180114T1200Z.180115T0738Z.NO/
1204 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Olean
* until Monday morning.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 11.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 12.5 feet
Sunday morning.
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$
NYC009-132304-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180114T0000Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.180113T0009Z.180113T0816Z.180113T1800Z.NO/
1204 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Salamanca
* until this evening.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 12.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall...and is expected to
drop below flood stage this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding along entire
reach in areas unprotected by dikes.
&&
LAT...LON 4218 7880 4218 7859 4208 7858 4208 7880
4200 7890 4200 7906
$$
NYC029-037-063-121-131734-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-180113T2157Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.180113T0003Z.180113T0700Z.180113T1357Z.NO/
1204 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
The flood warning is cancelled for
The Tonawanda Creek At Batavia.
* At 11 AM Saturday the stage was 8.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage this morning and will
continue to fall to around 5.7 feet by Sunday morning.
* IMPACT...At 9.0 feet...Flood stage, some flooding in Batavia,
possibly impacting Kibbe Park, Walnut Street, and Law Street.
Flooding in rural areas of Alexander and the lowlands of the
Alabama Swamps with some road closures likely.
&&
LAT...LON 4299 7831 4305 7863 4315 7864 4315 7810
4293 7817 4293 7832
$$344
WGUS81 KBUF 132225
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
525 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Allegheny River At Olean
Allegheny River At Salamanca
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Boonville
Black River At Watertown
Oatka Creek At Garbutt
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-065-140425-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-180114T1400Z/
/BOON6.2.ER.180113T0515Z.180113T1547Z.180114T0800Z.NR/
525 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Boonville
* until Sunday morning.
* At 5 PM Saturday the stage was 10.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river has crested and will continue to gradually lower through
the night.
* IMPACT...At 11.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread farmland flooding
and road closures all along the river. Some residential flooding in
portions of Carthage and Castorland.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7550 4394 7536 4378 7537 4348 7524
4346 7534 4386 7559
$$
NYC045-049-140425-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0011.180115T0824Z-180116T1300Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.180115T0824Z.180115T1800Z.180116T0700Z.NO/
525 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* from late Sunday night to Tuesday morning.
* At 5 PM Saturday the stage was 7.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage early
Monday morning and crest near 10.6 feet Monday afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
NYC037-055-140425-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-180114T1048Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.180113T1125Z.180113T1845Z.180114T0448Z.UU/
525 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* until late tonight.
* At 5 PM Saturday the stage was 6.5 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 6.0 feet...Flood stage, general flooding of agricultural
land begins, some basement flooding in Scottsville and Garbutt.
&&
LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798
4297 7802 4302 7798
$$
NYC009-140425-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180115T1200Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.180112T1811Z.180114T0600Z.180115T0600Z.NO/
525 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Olean
* until Monday morning.
* At 5 PM Saturday the stage was 11.7 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will remain steady through at least the first half of
tonight before slowly falling.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, flooding possible on Union
Street in Allegany and East Riverside Drive 1 to 3 miles upstream
of Olean. Some farm lands along the river are also impacted.
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$
NYC009-140425-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180114T0600Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.180113T0009Z.180113T0816Z.180114T0000Z.NO/
525 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
...Flood warning extended until late tonight...
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Salamanca
* until late tonight.
* At 5 PM Saturday the stage was 12.3 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall...and is expected to
drop below flood stage this evening.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding along entire
reach in areas unprotected by dikes.
&&
LAT...LON 4218 7880 4218 7859 4208 7858 4208 7880
4200 7890 4200 7906
$$
RSH358
WGUS81 KBUF 140220
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
920 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for The following rivers in New
York...
Allegheny River At Salamanca
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Boonville
Black River At Watertown
Oatka Creek At Garbutt
Allegheny River At Olean
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-065-140820-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-180114T0953Z/
/BOON6.2.ER.180113T0515Z.180113T1547Z.180114T0353Z.NR/
920 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Boonville
* until late tonight.
* At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 10.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Nonflood flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall...and is expected to
drop below flood stage tonight.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, widespread farmland flooding in
the Flats area. Several roads may be closed in Glenfield,
Martinsburg, and Lowville.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7550 4394 7536 4378 7537 4348 7524
4346 7534 4386 7559
$$
NYC045-049-140820-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0011.180115T1200Z-180116T0000Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.180115T1200Z.180115T1200Z.180115T1800Z.NO/
920 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* from Monday morning to Monday evening.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 8.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
NYC037-055-140820-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-180115T0200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.180113T1125Z.180114T0115Z.180114T2000Z.UU/
920 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
...Flood warning extended until Sunday evening...
The flood warning continues for
The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* until Sunday evening.
* At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 6.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 7.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread flooding of
agricultural lands below LeRoy. Significant residential flooding
along creek, especially in Mumford, Wheatland, and Scottsville.
Roadway flooding begins. Some backwater effects possible from
Genesee River near Scottsville.
&&
LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798
4297 7802 4302 7798
$$
NYC009-140820-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180115T1424Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.180112T1811Z.180113T1031Z.180115T0824Z.NO/
920 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
...Flood warning extended until Monday morning...
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Olean
* until Monday morning.
* At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 11.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 11.8 feet
late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, flooding possible on Union
Street in Allegany and East Riverside Drive 1 to 3 miles upstream
of Olean. Some farm lands along the river are also impacted.
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$
NYC009-140250-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180114T0600Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.180113T0009Z.180113T0816Z.180114T0125Z.NO/
920 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018
The flood warning is cancelled for
The Allegheny River At Salamanca.
* At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 12.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage this evening and will
continue to fall to around 9.5 feet by Monday morning.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding along entire
reach in areas unprotected by dikes.
&&
LAT...LON 4218 7880 4218 7859 4208 7858 4208 7880
4200 7890 4200 7906
$$643
WGUS81 KBUF 140808
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
308 AM EST Sun Jan 14 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
Oatka Creek At Garbutt
Allegheny River At Olean
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-141408-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0011.180115T1200Z-180116T0000Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.180115T1200Z.180115T1200Z.180115T1800Z.NO/
308 AM EST Sun Jan 14 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* from Monday morning to Monday evening.
* At 2 AM Sunday the stage was 8.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
NYC037-055-141408-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-180115T0200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.180113T1125Z.180114T0445Z.180114T2000Z.UU/
308 AM EST Sun Jan 14 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* until this evening.
* At 2 AM Sunday the stage was 6.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage late this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 7.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread flooding of
agricultural lands below LeRoy. Significant residential flooding
along creek, especially in Mumford, Wheatland, and Scottsville.
Roadway flooding begins. Some backwater effects possible from
Genesee River near Scottsville.
&&
LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798
4297 7802 4302 7798
$$
NYC009-141408-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180115T1424Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.180112T1811Z.180113T1031Z.180115T0824Z.NO/
308 AM EST Sun Jan 14 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Olean
* until Monday morning.
* At 3 AM Sunday the stage was 11.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 11.8 feet
this morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, flooding possible on Union
Street in Allegany and East Riverside Drive 1 to 3 miles upstream
of Olean. Some farm lands along the river are also impacted.
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$
TMA395
WGUS81 KBUF 141353
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
853 AM EST Sun Jan 14 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
Allegheny River At Olean
Oatka Creek At Garbutt
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-141953-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0011.180115T1200Z-180115T1800Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.180115T1200Z.180115T1200Z.180115T1200Z.NO/
853 AM EST Sun Jan 14 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* from Monday morning to Monday afternoon.
* At 8 AM Sunday the stage was 8.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
NYC037-055-141953-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-180115T0200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.180113T1125Z.180114T0445Z.180114T2000Z.UU/
853 AM EST Sun Jan 14 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* until this evening.
* At 8 AM Sunday the stage was 6.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall below flood stage
this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 6.0 feet...Flood stage, general flooding of agricultural
land begins, some basement flooding in Scottsville and Garbutt.
&&
LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798
4297 7802 4302 7798
$$
NYC009-141953-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180115T1520Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.180112T1811Z.180113T1031Z.180115T0920Z.NO/
853 AM EST Sun Jan 14 2018
...Flood warning extended until Monday morning...
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Olean
* until Monday morning.
* At 8 AM Sunday the stage was 11.4 feet and slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage early Monday morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, flooding possible on Union
Street in Allegany and East Riverside Drive 1 to 3 miles upstream
of Olean. Some farm lands along the river are also impacted.
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$122
WGUS81 KBUF 141823
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
123 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
Allegheny River At Olean
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-150023-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0011.180115T1200Z-180116T0000Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.180115T1200Z.180115T1200Z.180115T1800Z.NO/
123 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2018
...Flood warning extended until Monday evening...
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* from Monday morning to Monday evening.
* At 12 PM Sunday the stage was 9.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter. Minor flooding will continue
upstream along the river through Castorland and the flats near
Lowville.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
NYC009-150023-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180115T1520Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.180112T1811Z.180113T1031Z.180115T0920Z.NO/
123 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Olean
* until Monday morning.
* At 1 PM Sunday the stage was 11.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall...and is expected to
drop below flood stage early Monday morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, flooding possible on Union
Street in Allegany and East Riverside Drive 1 to 3 miles upstream
of Olean. Some farm lands along the river are also impacted.
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$
HITCHCOCK590
WGUS81 KBUF 150000
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
700 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
Allegheny River At Olean
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-150600-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0011.180115T1200Z-180116T0000Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.180115T1200Z.180115T1200Z.180115T1800Z.NO/
700 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* from Monday morning to Monday evening.
* At 6 PM Sunday the stage was 9.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter. In addition, minor flooding may be
occurring upstream as far as Lowville.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
NYC009-150600-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180115T1520Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.180112T1811Z.180113T1031Z.180115T0920Z.NO/
700 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Olean
* until Monday morning.
* At 7 PM Sunday the stage was 10.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 11.2 feet
this evening.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, flooding possible on Union
Street in Allegany and East Riverside Drive 1 to 3 miles upstream
of Olean. Some farm lands along the river are also impacted.
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$
WOOD140
WGUS81 KBUF 150552
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1252 AM EST Mon Jan 15 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
Allegheny River At Olean
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-151152-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0011.180115T1200Z-180115T1800Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.180115T1200Z.180115T1200Z.180115T1200Z.NO/
1252 AM EST Mon Jan 15 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* from this morning to this afternoon.
* At 12 AM Monday the stage was 9.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near flood stage this
morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter. In addition, minor flooding may be
occurring upstream as far as Lowville.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
NYC009-151152-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180115T1912Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.180112T1811Z.180113T1031Z.180115T1312Z.NO/
1252 AM EST Mon Jan 15 2018
...Flood warning extended until this afternoon...
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Olean
* until this afternoon.
* At 1 AM Monday the stage was 10.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall...and is expected to
drop below flood stage this morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, flooding possible on Union
Street in Allegany and East Riverside Drive 1 to 3 miles upstream
of Olean. Some farm lands along the river are also impacted.
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$
TMA483
WGUS81 KBUF 151149
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
649 AM EST Mon Jan 15 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
Allegheny River At Olean
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-151749-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0011.180115T1200Z-180115T1800Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.180115T1200Z.180115T1200Z.180115T1200Z.NO/
649 AM EST Mon Jan 15 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* until this afternoon.
* At 6 AM Monday the stage was 9.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near flood stage this
morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter. In addition, minor flooding may be
occurring upstream as far as Lowville.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
NYC009-151749-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180115T1912Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.180112T1811Z.180113T1031Z.180115T1312Z.NO/
649 AM EST Mon Jan 15 2018
The flood warning continues for
The Allegheny River At Olean
* until this afternoon.
* At 7 AM Monday the stage was 10.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall...and is expected to
drop below flood stage this morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, flooding possible on Union
Street in Allegany and East Riverside Drive 1 to 3 miles upstream
of Olean. Some farm lands along the river are also impacted.
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$
TMA498
WGUS81 KBUF 151735
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1235 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
Allegheny River At Olean
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-151805-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180115T1800Z/
/ARTN6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1235 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018
The flood warning is cancelled for
The Black River At Watertown.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 9.8 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river crested below flood stage at 9.8 feet. The
river will Continue to fall to around 8.2 feet by Tuesday morning.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
NYC009-151805-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180115T1912Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.180112T1811Z.180113T1031Z.180115T1701Z.NO/
1235 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018
The flood warning is cancelled for
The Allegheny River At Olean.
* At 12 PM Monday the stage was 9.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage early this
afternoon and will continue to fall to around 6.6 feet by
Tuesday morning.
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$
HITCHCOCKWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 12, 5:09 AM EST, 5 hours 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 12, 5:09 AM EST, 5 hours 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
509 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
A wealth of sub tropical moisture will stream across our area ahead
of an approaching cold front this morning. The moderately heavy rain
will combine with already swollen tributaries fed by melting snows
to produce local flood problems...particularly where ice jams are
common. Our attention will then turn to a winter storm that will
produce significant snowfall across the vast majority of western and
north central New York tonight and Saturday morning.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A strong cold front across the central Great Lakes/Ohio Valley will
continue to track eastward while high pressure persists well off the
Mid-Atlantic coast this morning. Between these two airmasses, a 50-
60kt LLJ will continue to transport anomalously high PWATs into the
eastern Great Lakes this morning. A long swath of moderate to heavy
rain stretches from the eastern Ohio River Valley into Quebec
Providence. The axis of heaviest rainfall has occurred from Allegany
county to the North Country this past evening and overnight.
Additional rain will spread across Western NY this morning and will
be moderate at times. This will exacerbate rivers, streams and
creeks that are in flood and likely put more over. See Hydrology
section below for more details regarding flooding.
The cold front will enter western NY late this morning and move west
to east through the afternoon. Rain will lighten up ahead of the
frontal passage however another round of moisture will move into the
region along and behind the front this afternoon. A sudden wind
shift and drop in temperatures is expected as the front passes by
today. Temperatures may drop more than 10 degrees in an hour as the
front passes by. As temperatures to plummet to below freezing from
west to east across the forecast area, rain will begin to transition
to a freezing rain/sleet mix to snow. The afternoon/evening commute
will likely be impacted by this transition and slippery conditions
are expected. A Winter Weather Warning begins this afternoon.
The upper level trough driving this system will become negatively
tilted this evening when all precipitation will be snow across the
forecast area. Vertical motion will be enhanced as the entrance
region of a upper level jet moves overhead. Widespread snow is
expected across the forecast area tonight into Saturday morning. A
elongated surface low will continue to deepen along the cold front
from DC to NYC by midnight tonight. Models are depicting a
deformation zone forming across western/central NY resulting in a
period of heavy accumulating snow. Dry northwest flow will cause a
sharp cut-off on the northwest side of this system. This will result
in a sharp cut-off for snow totals in the vicinity of far western NY
including the City of Buffalo and Niagara Falls. Storm total
snowfall amounts will range from 6-12 inches across far Western NY
to 8-16 inches across Rochester metro and western Finger Lakes to
the North Country.
After a very mild period, temperatures will be back in the teens
by Saturday morning.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
The synoptic snows will be winding down Saturday as the surface low
shifts father off the New England seaboard and the synoptic moisture
diminishes. However, by this time temperatures will have cooled
considerably, enough for some lake enhancement south of Lake
Ontario. Snow ratios or fluff factor will improve, and an additional
few inches of snow will be possible along the south shore of Lake
Ontario. Highs on Saturday will only be in the teens.
Lake effect snows will tapper off or end Saturday night south of
Lake Ontario under a drying, cold north-northwest flow. A very cold
night is expected with overnight lows from zero to 5 above along the
lake plains and from zero to 10 below across the North Country and
portions of the Southern Tier.
Sunday and Sunday night, a narrow ridge of high pressure over the
Great Lakes will allow any lingering lake effect snow to contract
back to the shoreline/over the lake under a light wind flow before
completely ending. Partly cloudy skies for the remainder of Sunday
and cold with highs in the teens. Another very cold night is
expected Sunday night with overnight lows from 5 above to 5 below
zero across much of the area, but as cold as 15 below across the
North Country.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Monday will largely remain dry, but a shortwave and next synoptic
snow system will be bearing down upon us. This fast moving clipper
will bring snow into Western New York Monday afternoon and
evening...with the snow reaching east of Lake Ontario Monday night
and Tuesday morning. This system may linger over the region Tuesday
as a deep upper level low drops across the Great Lakes. Through time
northwest winds will develop and this will allow for lake effect
snow potential Wednesday and Thursday.
&&
.AVIATION /10Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A 50 to 60 knot low level jet will cross western and north central
New York early this morning...with the strongest winds aloft being
found east of the Finger Lakes...including at KART and KGTB where
winds of up to 70 knots will be possible around 2k ft. The most
significant gradient will be found between 500 and 1500 feet
though...so pilots should be alert for issues caused by these strong
southerly winds aloft.
Rain will continue across the terminals this morning with embedding
moderate to heavy rain causing VSBYs to drop to IFR. Prevailing VFR
CIGS are expected with periods of MVFR this morning. A cold front
will cross the terminals from west to east this afternoon. A brief
lull in rain will occur ahead of the front and VFR/MVFR
conditions are expected. Rain will move back into the region
this afternoon before transitioning to a sleet/freezing rain mix
to all snow which will bring conditions down to IFR through
Saturday morning.
Outlook...
Saturday...Widespread IFR or lower conditions likely in snow
tapering off through the day.
Saturday night and Sunday...MVFR with
possible IFR in a chance of snow showers.
Monday and Tuesday...Mainly VFR with a chance of snow showers.
&&
.MARINE...
A steady 10-20kt southerly wind will continue on the waters through
this morning. A brief lull in the winds will occur later this
morning before NW winds increase behind a cold front. Small Craft
Advisories will drop on the eastern end of Lake Erie this morning.
SCA will continue on the southern and eastern shore of Lake Ontario
through tonight.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
A Flood Watch remains in effect for the entire forecast area as
additional rainfall along with extensive snowmelt makes into
the area waterways.
Several flood warnings are now also in effect due to runoff from
rain and extensive snowmelt. These include an areal flood
warning for the Buffalo area creeks (Buffalo, Cazenovia, Cayuga,
and Cattaraugus). Ice jam flooding will need to continue to be
monitored through today.
Rain will continue to stream across the forecast area this
morning with the heaviest rainfall seen from Allegany County to
Oswego/Lewis Counties. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected to
continue early this morning as another slug of moisture moves
northward from PA. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.25 to 0.5
inches are expected through the morning. Total rainfall amounts
will likely range from three-quarters to one inch across much of
western NY with a swatch of one and a half to possibly greater
than two inches from Allegany County northeast toward the Tug
Hill Plateau Region.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Flood Watch through late tonight for NYZ001>008-010>014-
019>021-085.
Winter Storm Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 PM EST
Saturday for NYZ002>008-011>014.
Winter Storm Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST
Saturday for NYZ001-010-019>021-085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for LEZ040-
041.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Saturday for
LOZ043>045.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 6 AM EST
Saturday for LOZ042.
&&
SYNOPSIS...HSK
NEAR TERM...HSK
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...TMA
AVIATION...HSK/RSH
MARINE...HSK
HYDROLOGY...APFFEL/HSK/SMITH/TMAHazardous weather outlook, Jan 12, 5:31 AM EST, 5 hours 12 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 531 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018 NYZ002>008-011>014-131045- Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-Genesee- Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario- 531 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST SATURDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ001-010-019>021-085-131045- Niagara-Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie- 531 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-131045- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- Lower Niagara River- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 531 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 12, 7:31 AM EST, 3 hours 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
731 AM EST FRI JAN 12 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0720 AM FLOOD BUFFALO 42.89N 78.86W
01/12/2018 ERIE NY SOCIAL MEDIA
WBEN TWITTER SHOWING PICTURES OF FLOODING...AND HOUSES
SURROUNDED BY WATER...AT FIELDS AND ZITTLE AS WELL AS
ZITTLE AND PRIRCHARD IN SOUTH BUFFALO.
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1800063
DPKLocal storm report, Jan 12, 7:41 AM EST, 3 hours 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
741 AM EST FRI JAN 12 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0730 AM FLOOD BUFFALO 42.89N 78.86W
01/12/2018 ERIE NY TRAINED SPOTTER
WATER OVER ROAD NEAR SOUTHSIDE ELEMENTARY IN SOUTH
BUFFALO.
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1800064
DPKLocal storm report, Jan 12, 8:27 AM EST, 2 hours 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
827 AM EST FRI JAN 12 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0702 AM FLOOD 1 W FREWSBURG 42.06N 79.18W
01/12/2018 CHAUTAUQUA NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
RT 62 CLOSED NORTH AND SOUTH DUE TO FLOODING.
0745 AM FLOOD 4 SE HINSDALE 42.11N 78.34W
01/12/2018 CATTARAUGUS NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
CREEK ROAD CLOSED DUE TO WATER OVER ROAD.
0745 AM FLOOD 1 SW FRANKLINVILLE 42.33N 78.47W
01/12/2018 CATTARAUGUS NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
RT 98 CLOSED DUE TO WATER OVER ROAD.
0745 AM FLOOD CUBA 42.22N 78.28W
01/12/2018 ALLEGANY NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
RT 446 CLOSED IN CUBA DUE TO WATER OVER ROAD.
0800 AM FLOOD LOWVILLE 43.79N 75.49W
01/12/2018 LEWIS NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
RT 12 CLOSED IN LOWVILLE DUE TO WATER AND MUD FLOWING
OVER ROAD.
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1800065
EVENT NUMBER BUF1800066
EVENT NUMBER BUF1800067
EVENT NUMBER BUF1800068
EVENT NUMBER BUF1800069
DPKLocal storm report, Jan 12, 10:22 AM EST, 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1022 AM EST FRI JAN 12 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0920 AM FLOOD BUFFALO 42.89N 78.86W
01/12/2018 ERIE NY SOCIAL MEDIA
BUFFALO MAYOR BROWN REPORTS ABOUT 100 HOMES IN SOUTH
BUFFALO ARE EXPERIENCING FLOODING.
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1800070
DPKLocal storm report, Jan 12, 10:31 AM EST, 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1031 AM EST FRI JAN 12 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1029 AM FLOOD 1 SSW CHAFFEE 42.55N 78.47W
01/12/2018 ERIE NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
GENESEE RD EAST OF ROUTE 16 FLOODED NEAR COUNTY LINE.
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1800071
SMITHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 1:14 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Monroe | 44 hr |
| Jan 12, 2:34 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Wyoming | 12 hr |
| Jan 12, 3:41 AM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 48 hr | |
| Jan 12, 4:05 AM EST | River Flood Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Wyoming | 21 hr |
| Jan 12, 4:05 AM EST | River Flood Warning | BUF | Genesee, Wyoming | 11 hr |
| Jan 12, 7:49 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua | 12 hr |
| Jan 12, 7:57 AM EST | River Flood Warning | BUF | Erie | 13 hr |
| Jan 12, 7:57 AM EST | River Flood Warning | BUF | Erie, Wyoming | 14 hr |
| Jan 12, 8:11 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego | 12 hr |
| Jan 12, 8:34 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Cayuga, Erie, Genesee, Livingston, Monroe, Ontario and 2 more | 12 hr |
| Jan 12, 10:43 AM EST | River Flood Warning | BUF | Allegany, Livingston, Wyoming | 21 hr |
| Jan 12, 2:26 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 22 hr | |
| Jan 12, 3:07 PM EST | River Flood Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus | 30 hr |
| Jan 12, 6:32 PM EST | River Flood Warning | BUF | Erie, Genesee, Niagara, Wyoming | 18 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in New York, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.