Alert archive / Rhode Island / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 1, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

January 13, 2018Kent County, Providence County, Rhode Island

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this river flood warning at Jan 13, 2018, 5:24 AM EST for Kent County, Providence County, Rhode Island. It took effect at Jan 13, 2018, 6:13 AM EST. It was in force for 15 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 13, 2018, 5:24 AM EST (10:24 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 13, 2018, 6:13 AM EST
Expired
Jan 13, 2018, 9:09 PM EST
In force
15 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Kent County, RI, Providence County, RI

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 36 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Pawtuxet River at Cranston (CRAR1). The gauge peaked at 9.69 ft at Jan 13, 2018, 12:00 PM EST.

actionminormoderate51001/1301/1401/15
Action stage
8 ft
Minor stage
9 ft
Moderate stage
11 ft
Major stage
13 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01116500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

435 
WGUS41 KBOX 131024
FLWBOX


BULLETIN...IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
524 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

...The National Weather Service in Taunton, MA has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Rhode Island...Massachusetts...

  Pawtuxet River At Cranston affecting Kent and Providence Counties
  Taunton River Near Bridgewater affecting Bristol and Plymouth 
  Counties
  Wood River At Hope Valley affecting Washington County

Runoff from heavy rain and melting snow will produce minor flooding
on some rivers in Rhode Island and southeast Massachusetts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...A Flood Statement providing the latest information 
in this flood event will be issued within the next 8 hours, or 
earlier if needed.

Safety Message...Do not allow children to play near swollen rivers, 
streams or culverts. Swiftly moving water can pose an imminent threat
to life.



&&

RIC003-007-140051-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FL.W.0001.180113T1113Z-180114T0051Z/
/CRAR1.1.ER.180113T1113Z.180113T1200Z.180113T1851Z.NO/
524 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

The National Weather Service in Taunton, MA has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Pawtuxet River At Cranston.
* until this evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  4:45 AM Saturday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage this morning and crest near
  9.2 feet later this morning. The river will fall below 
  flood stage this afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding will occur along the 
  river as it flows through Warwick and Cranston.

&&

LAT...LON 4178 7156 4180 7139 4172 7137 4170 7155


$$

MAC005-023-140300-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FL.W.0002.180113T1617Z-180114T0300Z/
/BDGM3.1.ER.180113T1617Z.180113T1800Z.180113T2100Z.NO/
524 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

The National Weather Service in Taunton, MA has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Taunton River Near Bridgewater.
* from this morning to this evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  4:45 AM Saturday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage late this morning and crest
  near 8.2 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below
  flood stage late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Backwater flooding from the Taunton River 
  will cause flooding of lower Purchade Brook in Middleboro.  This 
  will cause Woloski Park to become impassable by most vehicles.  
  Beware of the dangers of crossing flooded roadways.  

&&

LAT...LON 4182 7119 4202 7097 4194 7087 4177 7110


$$

RIC009-141025-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FL.W.0003.180113T1536Z-180114T1030Z/
/HOPR1.1.ER.180113T1536Z.180114T0000Z.180114T0430Z.NO/
524 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

The National Weather Service in Taunton, MA has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Wood River At Hope Valley.
* from this morning to late tonight...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  4:15 AM Saturday the stage was 4.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage late this morning and crest 
  near 5.3 feet by this evening. The river will fall below flood
  stage by tonight.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet...In Richmond, floodwaters begin to pond onto 
  Wood River Drive. In Hopkinton off of Main Street, the Wood River 
  begins to flood Dow Park.

&&

LAT...LON 4143 7176 4160 7174 4160 7163 4144 7164


$$
2 follow-up statements
341 
WGUS81 KBOX 131709
FLSBOX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1209 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers in 
Rhode Island...Massachusetts...

  Pawtuxet River At Cranston affecting Kent and Providence Counties
  Taunton River Near Bridgewater affecting Bristol and Plymouth 
  Counties
  Wood River At Hope Valley affecting Washington County

Minor flooding on some rivers in Rhode Island and southeast Massachusetts will 
continue. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...A Flood Statement providing the latest information 
in this flood event will be issued within the next 8 hours, or 
earlier if needed.

Safety Message...Do not allow children to play near swollen rivers, 
streams or culverts. Swiftly moving water can pose an imminent threat
to life.

&&

RIC003-007-140440-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180114T0440Z/
/CRAR1.1.ER.180113T1040Z.180113T1800Z.180113T2240Z.NO/
1209 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pawtuxet River At Cranston.
* until this evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:45 AM Saturday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.7 feet by this 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.5 feet...Parking lots and roads are flooded in low 
  lying areas of Warwick and Cranston near the Pawtuxet River. 
  Impacted roads include River Street, Pioneer Avenue, Bellows Street
  and Venturi Avenue in Warwick.

&&

LAT...LON 4178 7156 4180 7139 4172 7137 4170 7155


$$

MAC005-023-140651-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-180114T0651Z/
/BDGM3.1.ER.180113T1600Z.180113T1800Z.180114T0051Z.NO/
1209 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Taunton River Near Bridgewater.
* until late tonight...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:45 AM Saturday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 8.5 feet by this 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Backwater flooding from the Taunton River 
  will cause flooding of lower Purchade Brook in Middleboro.  This 
  will cause Woloski Park to become impassable by most vehicles for 
  an extended period of time.  Beware of the dangers of crossing 
  flooded roadways. The water may be deeper than you think.  
  Floodwaters have the ability to damage roadways. Heed the advice of
  local officials, and evacuate if asked to do so. 

&&

LAT...LON 4182 7119 4202 7097 4194 7087 4177 7110


$$

RIC009-141708-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180114T2024Z/
/HOPR1.1.ER.180113T1100Z.180114T0000Z.180114T1424Z.NO/
1209 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wood River At Hope Valley.
* until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:15 AM Saturday the stage was 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 6.1 feet by this 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late 
  morning.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...In Richmond, the Wood River renders portions 
  of Wood River Drive and Wood River Circle impassable. In Hopkinton,
  the Wood River floods sections of Dow Park off of Main Street.

&&

LAT...LON 4143 7176 4160 7174 4160 7163 4144 7164


$$
190 
WGUS81 KBOX 140209
FLSBOX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
909 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Connecticut...Rhode Island...

  Connecticut River At Hartford affecting Hartford and Middlesex 
  Counties
  Connecticut River At Middle Haddam affecting Middlesex County
  Pawtuxet River At Cranston affecting Kent and Providence Counties

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers in 
Connecticut...Rhode Island...Massachusetts...

  Pawcatuck River At Westerly affecting New London and Washington 
  Counties
  Taunton River Near Bridgewater affecting Bristol and Plymouth 
  Counties
  Wood River At Hope Valley affecting Washington County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...A Flood Statement providing the latest information 
in this flood event will be issued within the next 8 hours, or 
earlier if needed.

Safety Message...Do not allow children to play near swollen rivers, 
streams or culverts. Swiftly moving water can pose an imminent threat
to life.



&&

CTC003-007-140239-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180116T1400Z/
/HFDC3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
909 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Connecticut River At Hartford.
* At  8:30 PM Saturday the stage was 7.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage with a value of 
  13.5 feet tomorrow late evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4163 7270 4180 7273 4180 7259 4164 7258
      4163 7263 4164 7263            

$$

CTC007-140239-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180114T0209Z/
/MHDC3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
909 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Connecticut River At Middle Haddam.
* At  8:55 PM Saturday the stage was 0.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage with a value of 
  6.2 feet Monday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Flooding is likely in the vicinity of Meadow 
  Road, Route 17A, in the Gildersleeve section of Portland. A portion
  of this roadway will likely be closed. This includes the Exchange 
  Club of Portland Fairgrounds. Boating interests should prepare for 
  a period of swift river flows during this period.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 7269 4164 7258 4129 7225 4126 7239
      4141 7251 4156 7270            

$$

RIC003-007-140239-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180114T0440Z/
/CRAR1.1.ER.180113T1040Z.180113T1745Z.180113T2356Z.NO/
909 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Pawtuxet River At Cranston.
* At  8:45 PM Saturday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  6:56 PM Saturday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 5.3 feet by Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding will occur along the 
  river as it flows through Warwick and Cranston.

&&

LAT...LON 4178 7156 4180 7139 4172 7137 4170 7155


$$

CTC011-RIC009-150209-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180115T0900Z/
/WSTR1.1.ER.180113T1227Z.180114T0600Z.180115T0300Z.NO/
909 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pawcatuck River At Westerly.
* until late Sunday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 7.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 7.6 feet by after
  midnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  late evening.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Floodwaters approach lowest lying homes along
  Hiscox Road in Westerly. Along Route 3, flooding occurs at some 
  homes in French Village in Hopkinton.

&&

LAT...LON 4134 7189 4144 7188 4146 7177 4135 7174
      4131 7185                      

$$

MAC005-023-150209-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-180115T1200Z/
/BDGM3.1.ER.180113T1600Z.180114T0600Z.180115T0600Z.NO/
909 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Taunton River Near Bridgewater.
* until Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 PM Saturday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.0 feet by 
  early Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Backwater flooding from the Taunton River 
  will cause flooding of lower Purchade Brook in Middleboro.  This 
  will cause Woloski Park to become impassable by most vehicles for 
  an extended period of time.  Beware of the dangers of crossing 
  flooded roadways. The water may be deeper than you think.  
  Floodwaters have the ability to damage roadways. Heed the advice of
  local officials, and evacuate if asked to do so. 

&&

LAT...LON 4182 7119 4202 7097 4194 7087 4177 7110


$$

RIC009-150100-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180115T0100Z/
/HOPR1.1.ER.180113T1100Z.180114T0100Z.180114T1900Z.NO/
909 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wood River At Hope Valley.
* until Sunday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:15 PM Saturday the stage was 6.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage 
  sometime Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...In Richmond, the Wood River renders portions 
  of Wood River Drive and Wood River Circle impassable. In Hopkinton,
  the Wood River floods sections of Dow Park off of Main Street.

&&

LAT...LON 4143 7176 4160 7174 4160 7163 4144 7164


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 13, 4:27 AM EST, 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 13, 4:27 AM EST, 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Taunton MA
427 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Heavy rain ends this morning as a bit of ice across western MA with
a flash freeze the main story across the rest of the region as
temperatures crash today.  Mainly dry but very cold weather follows
tonight through Monday. Mainly dry but cold weather is expected
Sunday and Monday. Low pressure diving south from the Canadian
Arctic will bring a chance of snow Tuesday and Wednesday. Dry
weather may return Thursday and Friday. We will be watching a
potential coastal storm that could change that Thursday
forecast.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
***A bit of ice across western MA this morning but the main story
will be a flash freeze today as temperatures crash***

1) Heavy Rain/Flooding And Coastal Wind Early This Morning...

Heavy rain impacting eastern MA/RI where 80+ knot low level jet was
impinging on Pwats 4-5 standard deviations above normal.  Significant
urban street flooding will continue to be an issue in this region
through daybreak.  In addition...the heavy rain and associated
convective elements were tapping some of that low level jet allowing
40 to 50 mph wind gusts along and southeast of the BOS-PVD corridor.
Will continue wind advisory but should see these winds diminish from
west to east by mid morning...as low level jet exits the region.  As
the low level jet shifts east of the region...precipitation will
decrease in areal coverage/intensity dramatically by mid morning.

2) Areas of Dense Fog Along the South Coast/Cape And Islands...

Despite the strong southerly winds...the anomalously high
dewpoint air advecting in over the cold ocean was continuing to
result in areas of dense fog along the south coast/Cape and Islands.
Will continue the dense fog headlines through early to mid
morning...but rapid improvement should occur behind the strong cold
front later this morning and into the afternoon.

3) Western MA Light Icing With Main Impact The Flash Freeze:

Temperatures were mainly in the upper 50s to the lower 60s very
early this morning...but have dropped into the 30s along the east
slopes of the Berks early this morning behind a very strong cold
front.  This cold front will cross western MA by 12z...reach the
Boston to Providence corridor by 15 or 16z and then off the
southeast New England coast by 18z.  Enough precipitation will
remain for a brief period of light freezing rain/sleet across
western MA.  For the rest of the region...the cold air
should come in pretty much after the precipitation has ended.
However...may still see an hour or two of spotty -fzdz as the surge
of cold air initially comes in shallow and there is some left over
low level moisture for a 1 to 3 hour period.

The main concern though  is the expected Flash Freeze and dramatic
drop in temperatures today.  Most of our flash freezes occur when
our winds turn north northeast which prevent drying.  In this
case...the winds will turn northwest which should allow for at least
some drying. However...given the dramatic temperature drop from
readings in the upper 50s to lower 60s very early this morning and
into the 20s in most location by mid afternoon is quite unusual in
this part of the country.  Given all the recent rain/street
flooding/standing water think will see some icing issues and will
continue the winter weather advisory along and northwest of the
Boston to Providence corridor.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY/...
Tonight...

Very cold air will be ushered in on north to northwest winds.
Although we won/t be extremely cold at 850 mb this airmass will come
down shallow and expect overnight low temps to mainly be in the
single digits to lower teens in most locations.  We may even flirt
with wind chill advisory conditions along the east slopes
of the Berks...but it was too marginal to issue at this time.
Meanwhile on the outer-Cape...NNW winds may allow
for some ocean effect snow showers to develop overnight but with
accums of only a dusting to less than 1 inch are expected.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Highlights...

 - Cool and mainly dry except light snow across extreme SE MA.

 - Advisory or even winter storm snow possible Tue into early
   Thu depending on track.

 - Seasonable late week.

Overview and model preferences...
The formation of an upstream Rex-block, signaling a strong
positive PNA, combined with blocking cutoff high pres at H5
near the Azores, allows meandering cutoff to settle near the
Great Lakes early in the week. This is a PV lobe associated with
a current Baffin Island vortex, so it will carry with it
another round of arctic influenced air as it settles just
upstream. The primary focus associated with this cutoff will be
a clipper system initially. However, there is some indication of
secondary development as the trof begins to transition toward a
negative tilt along the coast. While the ECMWF and many of its
ensembles lead the charge, there remains enough uncertainty that
a blend of ensembles from both the ECENS and GEFS is preferred
as it will take into account both the more progressive and more
amplified solutions. As the trof shifts ENE, will maintain this
blend into the weekend.

Details...

Sun through Mon...
Arctic airmass once again settles just to the W of New England,
but not without its impacts. H92 temps dip as low -13C by early
Mon morning. This suggest cool highs each day, mainly in the
20s, although with high pres cresting wind chills should be
limited. Overnight lows, however are primed for radiational
cooling, but will be mitigated by the now lack of a snowpack.
Still will likely see mins fall as low as the single digits in
sheltered valleys to the teens elsewhere. Strong subsidence is
implied in soundings, which suggests mainly dry conditions. H85
temps are warmer under this inversion than temps below. With NNW
flow gradually shifting toward the NNE, the delta-T values from
SST to H85 hovers around 15C, while to H9, it is closer to 20C.
Therefore, although shallow will likely see light (given only
moisture is at the top of the mixed layer) snow showers across
mainly the outer portions of Cape Cod and possibly Plymouth
county Sun night into Mon as the winds take on a slight E
component. Accums should will remain light.

Tue into Thu...
As cutoff sets up near the great lakes and its attendant
longwave trof continues to dig, the final depth and tilt will
ultimately determine the possibility of secondary coastal
development near the mid Atlantic, after a weakening clipper
impacts the region. At this time, ensemble low locations for the
potential coastal low range from non-existent, to an inside
runner to close to Bermuda, with some clustering near the 40/70
benchmark. However, this much spread is likely to continue into
Sun, until the PV anomaly currently wrapped up the arctic
becomes better sampled. The clipper does ingest some moisture on
Tue as it approaches the Atlantic. This does yield decent
moisture in the DGZ, however overall lift is weak, so SLRs are
unlikely to be maximized. So a more progressive solution
favored by the GFS, with QPF ranging only between 0.1-0.25
inches could stay below advisory criteria. Meanwhile, the more
robust solution would quickly follow the clipper with influence
of coastal low pres Wed-Thu with better lift in the DGZ and
overall more latent-heat energy. There is some precedent for
this solution given some of the ensembles and overall
amplification of the pattern, and should it verify, it has
closer to 0.5-1.00 inches of QPF which may warrant winter
storms. Too early to call on totals at this time, especially
since the more amplified solution also introduces warmer air
(H92 temps average +3C across SE MA). Elsewhere, with H92 temps
generally between
-2C and -6C, mainly SN is expected, along with highs closer to
seasonal normals in the upper 20s to low 30s and lows in the
teens to mid 20s. Something to watch especially late weekend
into Mon.

Fri into the weekend...
Enough breakdown of the upstream Rex to signal a transition. As
opening wave transitions E and moderates, temps look to return
to more seasonable levels, along with mainly dry air.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Tonight/...

Through 12z This Morning...Moderate to high confidence. Low end
MVFR to IFR conditions in  rain through 12z with locally
dense fog along the south coast. LLWS along with southerly wind
gusts of 35 to 40 knots expected along and southeast of the BOS-
PVD corridor. Strong cold front should be through western MA by
12z allowing Ptype to change to -FZRA/IP.

After 12z Today...Moderate to high confidence. IFR to MVFR
conditions should improve to mainly VFR from west to east this
afternoon.  Strong cold front reaches the BOS-PVD corridor by
15z-16z and probably off the southeast New England coast by 18z.
Most of the light -FZRA/IP should be confined to western and
north central MA...but a brief period of spotty -fzdz may occur
for an hour or two behind the front across the rest of the
region. Main issue will be a Flash Freeze as temperatures
tumble below freezing and into the 20s in most locations by mid
afternoon.

KBOS Terminal...Moderate to high confidence in TAF.

KBDL Terminal...Moderate to high confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Sunday through Wednesday/...

Sunday: VFR. Breezy.

Sunday Night: VFR.

Martin Luther King Jr Day: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible
along extreme southeast MA in some light SHSN. Breezy.

Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible along extreme
southeast MA in some light SHSN.

Tuesday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance SN.

Tuesday Night: Mainly IFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SN.

Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with areas IFR possible. Breezy. Chance
SN.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Tonight/...

Today...Moderate to high confidence.  Potent southerly low level jet
was allowing for SSW wind gusts up to 40 knots on many of our waters
early this morning...especially in heavier rain which was allowing
some of the stronger winds to mix down.  Winds should drop below
gale force wind gusts from west to east by mid morning as low level
jet exits the region.  However, strong cold front cross the waters
later this morning and early afternoon with NW wind gusts around 25
knots. Gales will need to be converted to small craft headlines.

Tonight...High confidence.  NNW wind gusts around 20 knots in the
cold air advection pattern...but seas will remain above small craft
thresholds even though swell will be on the downward trend.

Outlook /Sunday through Wednesday/...

Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Local
visibility 1 to 3 nm.

Sunday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Slight
chance of snow showers. Local visibility 1 to 3 nm.

Martin Luther King Jr Day: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to
5 ft. Slight chance of snow showers. Areas of visibility 1 to
3 nm.

Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft.

Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of
snow, chance of rain. Visibility 1 to 3 nm.

Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Chance
of snow. Visibility 1 to 3 nm.

Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft. Chance of snow. Visibility 1 to 3 nm.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Record high temps set yesterday:

BOS  61 in 2017,1975
PVD  62 in 2018
BDL  60 in 2018
ORH  59 in 2018

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Flood Watch until 1 PM EST this afternoon for CTZ002>004.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 4 PM EST
     this afternoon for CTZ002>004.
MA...Flood Watch until 1 PM EST this afternoon for MAZ002>024-026.
     Dense Fog Advisory until 5 AM EST early this morning for
     MAZ020-021.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 4 PM EST
     this afternoon for MAZ005>007-013>019.
     Wind Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for MAZ018>024.
     Wind Advisory until 6 AM EST early this morning for MAZ013-
     015>017.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for
     MAZ002-003-008>011.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 4 PM EST
     this afternoon for MAZ004-012-026.
     Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for MAZ022>024.
RI...Flood Watch until 1 PM EST this afternoon for RIZ001>008.
     Dense Fog Advisory until 5 AM EST early this morning for
     RIZ006>008.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 4 PM EST
     this afternoon for RIZ002>005.
     Wind Advisory until 6 AM EST early this morning for RIZ002-004-
     006-007.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 4 PM EST
     this afternoon for RIZ001.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 9 AM EST this morning for ANZ231>234-250-
     251-254>256.
     Gale Warning until 7 AM EST this morning for ANZ230-235-236.
     Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ237.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Frank/Doody
NEAR TERM...Frank
SHORT TERM...Frank
LONG TERM...Doody
AVIATION...WTB/Frank/Doody
MARINE...Frank/Doody
CLIMATE...staff
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 13, 5:19 AM EST, 5 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Taunton MA
519 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

CTZ002>004-MAZ004-012-026-RIZ001-141030-
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Northern Worcester MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-
519 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Connecticut, central
Massachusetts, eastern Massachusetts and northern Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MAZ005>007-014-RIZ003-005-141030-
Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-
Southeast Middlesex MA-Western Kent RI-Bristol RI-
519 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Massachusetts,
northeastern Massachusetts and northern Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MAZ002-003-008>011-141030-
Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
519 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Massachusetts.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MAZ020>024-RIZ006-007-141030-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-
Nantucket MA-Washington RI-Newport RI-
519 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Massachusetts
and southern Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MAZ013-015>019-RIZ002-004-141030-
Western Norfolk MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Southeast Providence RI-
Eastern Kent RI-
519 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Massachusetts,
southeastern Massachusetts and northern Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

RIZ008-141030-
Block Island RI-
519 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ230>236-250-251-254>256-141030-
Boston Harbor-Cape Cod Bay-Nantucket Sound-Vineyard Sound-
Buzzards Bay-Rhode Island Sound-Narragansett Bay-
Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National
Marine Sanctuary-Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay-
Coastal waters from Provincetown MA to Chatham MA to Nantucket MA
out 20 nm-
Coastal Waters extending out to 25 nm South of Marthas Vineyard and
Nantucket-
Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to
20 nm South of Block Island-
519 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters
and Rhode Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ237-141030-
Block Island Sound-
519 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Rhode Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 13, 4:50 AM EST, 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
450 AM EST SAT JAN 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     FLOOD            WEST SPRINGFIELD        42.12N  72.65W
01/12/2018                   HAMPDEN            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            6 TO 12 INCHES OF STREET FLOODING ON MEMORIAL DRIVE

0336 PM     FLOOD            NEWINGTON               41.69N  72.73W
01/12/2018                   HARTFORD           CT   AMATEUR RADIO

            WILLARD AVENUE AT GARFIELD STREET CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING

0339 PM     FLOOD            SPRINGFIELD             42.12N  72.54W
01/12/2018                   HAMPDEN            MA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            3 TO 5 INCHES OF WATER ON NORTH BRANCH PARKWAY

0424 PM     FLOOD            WAYLAND                 42.37N  71.37W
01/12/2018                   MIDDLESEX          MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            GLEZEN LANE NEAR BARLEY LANE SEVERAL INCHES OF WATER

0642 PM     FLOOD            RUTLAND                 42.36N  71.95W
01/12/2018                   WORCESTER          MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            SIGNIFICANT STREET FLOODING ON PLEASANTDALE ROAD

0703 PM     FLOOD            ASHBURNHAM              42.63N  71.90W
01/12/2018                   WORCESTER          MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            ONE LANE FLOODED OF WILLIAMS ROAD BLOCKED

0825 PM     FLOOD            DARTMOUTH               41.57N  71.00W
01/12/2018                   BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            INTERSECTION OF HATHAWAY ROAD AT ROUTE 6 CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING

0826 PM     FLOOD            ROCKLAND                42.13N  70.92W
01/12/2018                   PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            ON RAMP TO ROUTE 3 SOUTH FLOODED

1117 PM     FLOOD            NATICK                  42.28N  71.35W
01/12/2018                   MIDDLESEX          MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            DARTMOUTH STREET FLOODED WITH 2 FEET OF WATER.

1125 PM     FLOOD            WELLESLEY               42.30N  71.29W
01/12/2018                   NORFOLK            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            CEDAR STREET FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE JUST BEFORE BARTON
            ROAD.

1151 PM     FLOOD            PLYMOUTH                41.96N  70.68W
01/12/2018                   PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            UNDERPASS FLOODED AT HERRING POND ROAD NEAR ROUTE 3
            EXIT 2.

1217 AM     FLOOD            DEDHAM                  42.25N  71.18W
01/13/2018                   NORFOLK            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            PART OF ROUTE 1 FLOODED.

1252 AM     FLOOD            NEW BEDFORD             41.66N  70.94W
01/13/2018                   BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            KEMPTON STREET FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE BETWEEN ROCKDALE
            AVENUE AND JENNY LIND STREET.

1255 AM     FLOOD            LINCOLN                 42.42N  71.30W
01/13/2018                   MIDDLESEX          MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            MERGING LANE ON ROUTE 128 NEAR ROUTE 2 FLOODED UP TO
            THE WHEEL WELLS OF VEHICLES.

0334 AM     FLOOD            BROOKLINE               42.32N  71.14W
01/13/2018                   NORFOLK            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            SECTION OF LAWTON STREET FLOODED.

0348 AM     FLOOD            DANVERS                 42.57N  70.95W
01/13/2018                   ESSEX              MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            FLOODED BASEMENT ON LIBERTY STREET.

0423 AM     FLOOD            TAUNTON                 41.90N  71.09W
01/13/2018                   BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            CEDAR STREET FLOODED BETWEEN 15 AND 19 CEDAR.

0424 AM     FLOOD            BELMONT                 42.40N  71.17W
01/13/2018                   MIDDLESEX          MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            HILL SCHOOL PARKING LOT COMPLETELY FLOODED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BOX1800004 BOX1800005 BOX1800006 BOX1800009 BOX1800013
BOX1800015 BOX1800020 BOX1800022 BOX1800026 BOX1800027 BOX1800032
BOX1800033 BOX1800035 BOX1800036 BOX1800041 BOX1800043 BOX1800044
BOX1800045

nws
Local storm report, Jan 13, 4:51 AM EST, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
451 AM EST SAT JAN 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0224 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG DARTMOUTH               41.57N  71.00W
01/12/2018                   BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE BRANCH DOWN ON BREEDEN ROAD

0247 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG EASTHAM                 41.83N  69.97W
01/12/2018                   BARNSTABLE         MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON SMALL COTTAGE AT BAYBERRY HILL CONDOS

0255 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG TAUNTON                 41.90N  71.09W
01/12/2018                   BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON JOHNSON STREET

0324 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST FALL RIVER              41.71N  71.11W
01/12/2018  M58 MPH          BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

0357 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST WOODS HOLE              41.53N  70.67W
01/12/2018  M59 MPH          BARNSTABLE         MA   AMATEUR RADIO

0552 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG ROCHESTER               41.73N  70.82W
01/12/2018                   PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE BRANCH DOWN ON WIRES WITH NO STREET GIVEN

0640 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BREWSTER                41.75N  70.08W
01/12/2018                   BARNSTABLE         MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN BLOCKING ONE LANE OF MAIN STREET

0646 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG FALMOUTH                41.55N  70.61W
01/12/2018                   BARNSTABLE         MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE TREE DOWN ON POWER LINES WITH NO STREET GIVEN

0715 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG NEW BEDFORD             41.66N  70.94W
01/12/2018                   BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON AQUIDNECK ROAD

0717 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG MIDDLEBORO              41.89N  70.91W
01/12/2018                   PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON CHESTNUT STREET AT DANIEL DRIVE

0751 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BOSTON                  42.32N  71.07W
01/12/2018                   SUFFOLK            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON SHERWOOD STREET

0805 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG FALL RIVER              41.71N  71.11W
01/12/2018                   BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON CAR AND HOUSE ON CARL AT FIELD STREET

0825 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG DENNIS                  41.73N  70.20W
01/12/2018                   BARNSTABLE         MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN WITH NO STREET GIVEN

0905 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WAREHAM                 41.75N  70.72W
01/12/2018                   PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON SCHEFFLER DRIVE

1016 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG MARLBOROUGH             42.35N  71.55W
01/12/2018                   MIDDLESEX          MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON WEST MAIN STREET

1026 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG NORTH ANDOVER           42.70N  71.12W
01/12/2018                   ESSEX              MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON HAROLD PARKER ROAD

1145 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG KINGSTON                42.00N  70.71W
01/12/2018                   PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ACROSS ROADWAY AT ELM AND BROOK STREETS.

1234 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG FALMOUTH                41.55N  70.61W
01/13/2018                   BARNSTABLE         MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON WILD HARBOR AT RYDER ROAD.

0205 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG FALMOUTH                41.55N  70.61W
01/13/2018                   BARNSTABLE         MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TRE DOWN ACROSS WOODS HOLE ROAD

0209 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG FREETOWN                41.82N  71.05W
01/13/2018                   BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ACROSS ISLAND ROAD.

0300 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WELLFLEET               41.93N  70.03W
01/13/2018                   BARNSTABLE         MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON HIRAM HILL ROAD. TREE DOWN ON WIRES ON
            LECOUNT HOLLOW ROAD. HALF OF TOWN WITHOUT POWER.

0300 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WELLFLEET               41.93N  70.03W
01/13/2018                   BARNSTABLE         MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ONTO POWER LINES ON LECOUNT HOLLOW ROAD. THIS
            LED TO SEVERAL POWER OUTAGES AROUND TOWN.

0351 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG MARION                  41.70N  70.76W
01/13/2018                   PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE TREE DOWN ON COUNTY ROAD NEAR THE WAREHAM LINE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BOX1800001 BOX1800002 BOX1800003 BOX1800007 BOX1800008
BOX1800010 BOX1800012 BOX1800014 BOX1800016 BOX1800017 BOX1800018
BOX1800019 BOX1800021 BOX1800023 BOX1800024 BOX1800025 BOX1800031
BOX1800034 BOX1800037 BOX1800038 BOX1800039 BOX1800040 BOX1800042

nws

The office that day

Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 12, 7:30 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningBOXBristol, Kent, Newport, Providence, Washington6 hr
Jan 13, 1:06 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningBOXBristol, Kent, Newport, Providence, Washington6 hr
Jan 13, 5:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningBOXWashington39 hr
Jan 13, 12:06 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningBOXWashington43 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Rhode Island, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.