Alert archive / Massachusetts / High Wind Watches in 2018

High Wind Watch 1, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

January 2, 20189 counties in Massachusetts; 5 counties in Rhode Island

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this high wind watch at Jan 2, 2018, 3:50 PM EST for 9 counties in Massachusetts; 5 counties in Rhode Island. It took effect at Jan 4, 2018, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 2, 2018, 3:50 PM EST (20:50 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 4, 2018, 7:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 3, 2018, 3:38 AM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA

Counties Barnstable County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Dukes County, MA, Essex County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Nantucket County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 14 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 92 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Chatham, MA at 12:00Z on 2018-01-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Chatham, MA at 12:00Z on 2018-01-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 134 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
993 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
134 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
347 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

275 
WWUS71 KBOX 022050
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Taunton MA
350 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

MAZ007-019-022>024-030500-
/O.NEW.KBOX.HW.A.0001.180104T1200Z-180105T0600Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-
Nantucket MA-
Including the cities of Gloucester, Plymouth, Chatham, Falmouth, 
Provincetown, Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket
350 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued a High Wind
Watch, which is in effect from Thursday morning through late
Thursday night.

* Location...Eastern Massachusetts coastline including the cities
  of Gloucester, Plymouth, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown,
  Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket.

* Winds...North 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph.

* Timing...Strong winds Thursday afternoon and evening.

* Impacts...A High Wind Watch means the potential exists for a
  damaging wind event. These strong winds are capable of downing
  trees and power lines, as well causing property damage. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Watch means the potential exists for a damaging wind
event. These strong winds are capable of downing trees and power
lines, as well causing property damage. If a high wind warning is
issued, stay inside and away from windows.

&&

$$

MAZ005-006-013>018-020-021-RIZ001>008-030500-
/O.NEW.KBOX.HW.A.0001.180104T1200Z-180105T0600Z/
Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Western Norfolk MA-
Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-
Southern Plymouth MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
Including the cities of Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Foxborough,
Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, Taunton, Brockton, 
Fall River, New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Foster, Smithfield, 
Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, 
West Warwick, Bristol, Narragansett, Westerly, Newport, 
and New Shoreham
350 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued a High Wind
Watch, which is in effect from Thursday morning through late
Thursday night.

* Location...Much of eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island
  including the cities of Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence,
  Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, Taunton,
  Brockton, Fall River, New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Foster,
  Smithfield, Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East
  Greenwich, Warwick, West Warwick, Bristol, Narragansett,
  Westerly, Newport, and New Shoreham.

* Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Timing...strongest winds Thursday afternoon and evening.

* Impacts...A High Wind Watch means the potential exists for a
  damaging wind event. These strong winds are capable of downing
  trees and power lines, as well causing property damage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Watch means the potential exists for a damaging wind
event. These strong winds are capable of downing trees and power
lines, as well causing property damage. If a high wind warning is
issued, stay inside and away from windows.

&&

$$

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

Nocera
2 follow-up statements
618 
WWUS71 KBOX 030324
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Taunton MA
1024 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

MAZ007-019-022>024-031130-
/O.CON.KBOX.HW.A.0001.180104T1200Z-180105T0600Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-
Nantucket MA-
Including the cities of Gloucester, Plymouth, Chatham, Falmouth, 
Provincetown, Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket
1024 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

* Location...Eastern Massachusetts coastline including the 
  cities of Gloucester, Plymouth, Chatham, Falmouth, 
  Provincetown, Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket.

* Winds...North 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph.

* Timing...Strong winds Thursday afternoon and evening.

* Impacts...A High Wind Watch means the potential exists for a 
  damaging wind event. These strong winds are capable of downing 
  trees and power lines, as well causing property damage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Watch means the potential exists for a damaging wind
event. These strong winds are capable of downing trees and power
lines, as well causing property damage. If a high wind warning is
issued, stay inside and away from windows.

&&

$$

MAZ005-006-013>018-020-021-RIZ001>008-031130-
/O.CON.KBOX.HW.A.0001.180104T1200Z-180105T0600Z/
Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Western Norfolk MA-
Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-
Southern Plymouth MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
Including the cities of Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Foxborough,
Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, Taunton, Brockton, 
Fall River, New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Foster, Smithfield, 
Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, 
West Warwick, Bristol, Narragansett, Westerly, Newport, 
and New Shoreham
1024 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

* Location...Much of eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island 
  including the cities of Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, 
  Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, Taunton, 
  Brockton, Fall River, New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Foster, 
  Smithfield, Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East 
  Greenwich, Warwick, West Warwick, Bristol, Narragansett, 
  Westerly, Newport, and New Shoreham.

* Winds...Northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Timing...strongest winds Thursday afternoon and evening.

* Impacts...A High Wind Watch means the potential exists for a 
  damaging wind event. These strong winds are capable of downing 
  trees and power lines, as well causing property damage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Watch means the potential exists for a damaging wind
event. These strong winds are capable of downing trees and power
lines, as well causing property damage. If a high wind warning is
issued, stay inside and away from windows.

&&

$$

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston
419 
WWUS71 KBOX 030838
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Taunton MA
338 AM EST Wed Jan 3 2018

MAZ005>007-013>023-RIZ001>008-030945-
/O.CAN.KBOX.HW.A.0001.180104T1200Z-180105T0600Z/
Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-
Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA-
Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-
Eastern Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-
Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
Including the cities of Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester,
Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, Taunton, 
Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, New Bedford, Mattapoisett, 
Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, Vineyard Haven, Foster, 
Smithfield, Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich,
Warwick, West Warwick, Bristol, Narragansett, Westerly, Newport, 
and New Shoreham
338 AM EST Wed Jan 3 2018

...HIGH WIND WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Taunton has cancelled the High
Wind Watch.

$$

MAZ024-031645-
/O.UPG.KBOX.HW.A.0001.180104T1200Z-180105T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.HW.W.0001.180104T1200Z-180105T0600Z/
Nantucket MA-
Including the city of Nantucket
338 AM EST Wed Jan 3 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 1 AM EST
FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued a High Wind
Warning, which is in effect from 7 AM Thursday to 1 AM EST
Friday. The High Wind Watch is no longer in effect.

* Location...Nantucket.

* Winds...North 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph.

* Timing...Strong winds Thursday afternoon and evening.

* Impacts...These strong winds are capable of downing trees and
  power lines, as well causing property damage. Power outages are
  possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning is issued when sustained winds of 40 mph are
expected for at least one hour, with gusts of 58 mph or greater
at any time. Damage to trees, power lines, and property are
possible with winds of this magnitude. Power outages are likely.
Take action to secure loose outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind watch went out at Jan 2, 2:00 PM EST, 1 hour 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 2, 2:00 PM EST, 1 hour 50 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Taunton MA
200 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

.SYNOPSIS...

 - Near term update only...

Bitter cold weather will continue into Tuesday with some moderation
Wednesday into Thursday. A significant coastal storm will bring
accumulating snow late Wednesday night into Thursday night. How
much snow will fall is dependent on how close the system tracks
to New England. Another blast of arctic air will follow for Friday
into next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

2 pm update...

*/ Highlights...

 - Slowly moderating temperature trend, highs teens to low 20s

 - Winds still brisk, wind chills around 0 to single digits for
   parts

*/ Discussion...

Lobe of energy stretching S within the prevailing cyclonic flow
aloft though buffered by some subtle ridging out of the S/W as
warmer air begins to move in with W/SW winds. Scattered to broken
ceilings mainly along and N of the MA-turnpike, could limit the
daytime heating with the persistent W winds, strongest along the
coast given the deeper mixing over the warmer waters, gusts up
to 30 mph not out of the question. Highs getting into the teens
and possibly low 20s for the lower CT River Valley. For the cold
spots, mainly N/W high terrain, in combination with the winds
will see wind chills range in the single digits.

Overnight, the mid-level vortmax passing, an enhancement to the
wind profile around midnight. More so along the coast adjacent
to the warmer waters with better boundary layer mixing, could
see wind gusts briefly up to 30 mph. Impacts to wind chills with
freezing spray issues along the waters. Otherwise W/SW winds for
the most part light. Clear conditions, leaning towards radiational
cooling easily with continued snow covered ground. Going with
coldest forecast guidance. Lows in the single digits with locations
in the CT River Valley a few degrees below zero given potential
katabatic flow, sheltered nature from the winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY/...

Wedge of surface high pressure as warmer air surges aloft out of
the W/SW and heights rise out ahead of storm development occurring
into the SE CONUS. Moderating temperature trend as conditions remain
fairly clear, though boundary layer lapse rates lessened. The
limitation of potential mix-down of faster momentum, lighter winds
at the surface, plus increasing dewpoints with flow becoming
W/SW, there's support for highs warming into the 20s with low
30s along the coast prior to mid to high level clouds building
into the region towards evening.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...

Highlights...

* Potent coastal storm will bring accumulating snowfall, gusty winds
  and coastal flooding concerns on Thursday.
* Cold Arctic airmass will filter back into the region this weekend.
* Southern stream system approaches early next week.

Pattern Overview/Confidence...

An active period to start the medium range with approaching system
for the Thursday timeframe. Longwave trough will turn negatively
tilted on Thursday as coastal low moving up from the Bahamas passing
just east of the 40N/70W benchmark as the system undergoes rapid
cyclogenesis. Once this low pressure system moves up into the
Maritimes, persistent NW flow will remain as longwave trough brings
in anomolous cold air nearing 3 STD below normal. Flow will become
more zonal as southern stream wave will develop a system out of the
Rockies by early next week. This will help warm the region back to
normal with Tuesday or Wed being the next chance for precip.

Details...

Wednesday night into Thursday night...Moderate confidence.

* Accumulating snowfall event for eastern half of the region
* Strong gusty winds for the Cape and Islands
* Coastal flooding issues for east MA Coastline

Overview...

Guidance is in general agreement with the upcoming system on
Thursday. However, there are still some settled differences which
could result in more or less snowfall. Currently, potent shortwave
moving into the Rockies will be the focus for our system as it dives
along the base of the elongated trough. Tropical moisture around the
Bahamas will eventually become our surface low in the coming day as
it gets picked up from the shortwave and moves up the coast towards
New England. This trough will eventually become negative as the
surface low undergoes rapid intensification and bombs out just east
of the 40N/70W benchmark.

This coastal low will be quite potent, with many models suggesting a
pressure dropping to 960mb or lower. As a result, both winds and any
precip from this system will extend far from the center resulting in
effects from the storm for much of the region.

Models...

Generally the 00z model guidance is in agreement with this system.
However the 00z GFS appears to be on the eastern end of the envelope
with both wind and QPF. Thus trended the forecast toward WPC/EPS/GEFS
and UKMET to account for latest trends in this system, which is a
bit more wet than 12z. This resulted in a bit more QPF and stronger
winds for this forecast. Latest 06z NAM has trended a bit farther
west and push the 850mb low right over the benchmark. Hopefully this
is not a trend or else will need to expand all watches farther west.

Snow...

As mentioned above, trended away from the GFS and towards UKMET, EPS
and WPC. This with have about 0.5 inches of QPF along the I-95
corridor with and inch of QPF just east of the Canal. Farther north
and west will have less QPF with perhaps 0.1 inches. However, that
region will see a very cool airmass increasing the snow ratios as
well as some omega lift per NAM and GFS.

One thing to fine tune is the locution of the coastal front. Would
like to have hi-res guidance to have a better idea, but appears that
the front will be just west of the Canal with this forecast. Thus
expect the higher snowfall amounts to be just west of where the
coastal front sets up, across the SE coastal plain of MA . With the
increase in QPF and a bit higher snowfall ratios, we could see
around 4-8 inches of snowfall across the eastern half of the region.
May have to watch for a good F-gen band in conjunction with the
coastal front, which could increase snowfall rates. In fact, the
latest SREF guidance shows 30-40 percent probs of snowfall rates
near 2 inch an hour.

The Cape and MA islands will have thermal issues as they will be
closes to the low which could help bring in warmer temps keeping
their p-types as rain. However as the storm pulls away, temps will
quickly fall and any rain will change to snow on the backside of the
system.

Overall went ahead and issued a watch where confidence was the
highest for snowfall above 5.5 inches. Would not be surprised if
this watch gets expanded during the day especially for Northeast MA.

Wind...

Strong pressure gradient from this system will result in 925mb winds
to increase around 45-55 kts. While BUFKIT and model lapse rates
show that some of the wind may struggle to fully mix down to the
surface, we could still see some very strong gusts, especially along
the coastline. It not every day the conservative EC is showing above
50 kts for ACK. These winds could be enhanced by strong pressure
couplet moving through the region. Confidence is not as high to
issue any winds headlines at this time, but it is something to keep
an eye on especially if snow continues to fall. Blowing and drifting
snow may result in a hazard especially during the evening commute.

Coastal Flooding...
Please see coastal flooding section below.

Overall a multi-complex storm moving into the region on Thursday.
This is a strong system which will result in multi-hazards. Since we
are still over 2 days away things can still change. For now went
with were confidence was highest on seeing 6+ inches of snow. Fully
expect conditions to change and hazards to be expanded over the next
24 hours.

--------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday into Saturday...

Return of Arctic air and dangerously low wind chills. Impressive
tropopause fold along the 1-2 PVU surfaces rear of the deepening
storm system into E Canada. Ensemble H85 anomalies on the order of
roughly -20C. Some of the coldest air of the season, talking record
breaking temperatures with highs on Saturday in the single digits to
a few degrees below zero. Lows well below zero with areas in the N/W
high terrain closing in on -20C Saturday night into Sunday morning.
Blustery W winds throughout. Wind chills as low as 25 to 30 below
zero, more likely Friday night into Saturday. EXCESSIVE COLD head-
lines for sure beneath Arctic high pressure. Growing concern for
those who may be out of power from Thursday's storm as well as for
marine interests when it comes to ice developing on the waters and
an increased threat of freezing spray. See the CLIMATE section below
for current records.

Additional wave energy sweeping through the cyclonic flow, going to
have to monitor for any fetch off the Great Lakes, whether that can
get into N/W areas of MA and CT.

Sunday onward...

Oscillating pattern ahead. Seemingly warm push onshore along the W
CONUS allows the downstream pattern to become more zonal. Colder air
shunted back N, there's the return of milder air. Will need to watch
for impulses through the various branches of N-stream / mid-latitude
flow, amplitude and strength, potential grasp into more sub-tropical
moisture, strengthening ahead of which there is the possibility of
cold air damming, the Arctic airmass lingering over remnant snow
pack. A lot of questions and uncertainty especially around Monday
night when ensemble means signal a H5 trof disturbance sweeping the
region, a return of colder air to the rear towards the end of next
week.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...

Forecaster Confidence Levels...
  Low - less than 30 percent.
  Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
  High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Wednesday/...High confidence.

VFR. SCT-BKN mid-high level CIGs with lower risk BKN030 over
N/W high terrain through today, mainly along and N of the MA
I-90 turnpike, SKC otherwise with mid-high CIGs pushing in from
the S/W towards Wednesday evening.

Persistent W winds, strongest over the high terrain and along
the coast. Expecting a wind enhancement overnight for these
areas, gusts upwards of around 25 kts possible, height of which
is around 3z, diminishing thereafter into Wednesday as winds
turn out of the SW.

KBOS Terminal...
Local enhancement of W flow possible around 3z tonight. Gusts up
around 25 kts possible. With 20 kts possible now through the
overnight period, prevailed around 20 kts westerly through early
Wednesday.

KBDL Terminal...
Winds look to hold light westerly overnight. Should see temperatures
drop back down to zero if not below for the morning AM push on
Wednesday.

Outlook /Wednesday Night through Sunday/...High confidence.

Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Strong
winds with local gusts to 40 kt. Chance SN.

Thursday: Mainly IFR, with areas MVFR possible. Strong winds
with gusts to 60 kt. SN likely.

Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Strong
winds with gusts to 55 kt. Chance SN, slight chance SHSN.

Friday: VFR. Windy with gusts to 35 kt.

Friday Night: VFR. Windy with areas gusts to 30 kt.

Saturday through Saturday Night: VFR. Breezy.

Sunday:

&&

.MARINE...

Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Wednesday/...

*/ Highlights...

 - FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY through the overnight period
 - Potential 30 kt gusts briefly around midnight tonight

*/ Discussion...

Buoys continue to report icing around 0.3 to 0.7 inches as waves
range around 3 to 5 feet on the outer waters, slowly diminishing
under the influence of building high pressure. Warnings dropped,
FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES going through tonight, dropping as
high pressure is across the waters, light W/SW winds prevailing
on Wednesday. Marine ocean snow showers / stratus concluding.

Outlook /Wednesday Night through Sunday/...

Wednesday Night: Low risk for gale force winds with local gusts
up to 45 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Rain, snow likely.

Thursday: Moderate risk for storm force winds with gusts up to
60 kt. Rough seas up to 23 ft. Snow, rain. Areas of visibility
1 nm or less.

Thursday Night: Low risk for storm force winds with local gusts
up to 60 kt. Rough seas up to 23 ft. Chance of snow, chance of
snow showers.

Friday: Strong winds with gusts up to 40 kt. Rough seas up to
14 ft. Slight chance of snow.

Friday Night: Strong winds with gusts up to 35 kt. Rough seas
up to 11 ft. Slight chance of snow.

Saturday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas. Slight chance of snow.

Saturday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds
with gusts up to 25 kt. Local rough seas. Slight chance of
snow.

Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

We are nearing astronomical high tides this week where several
high tide cycles along E MA coast are at or just above 12 feet.
Since the prevailing wind flow will be from the NW, we are not
overly concerned with coastal flooding today and Wednesday,
although there could certainly be some very minor nuisance
flooding in typical low lying areas.

On Thursday, there is the potential for minor to moderate
coastal flooding along east and north facing shorelines with the
midday high tide cycle. Storm surge is largely dependent on the
timing of the strongest onshore winds, and whether or not the
highest surge coincides with high tide. For now we are thinking
about a 2-3 foot storm surge but that could easily change with
later forecasts. Coastal flood headlines will likely be needed.

&&

.CLIMATE...

Frigid temperatures continue today, relax Wednesday. There is
the potential for record cold again next weekend.

Consecutive high temperatures below 20 degrees

BOS     Dec 29 1917 to Jan 4 1918     7 days
BDL     Dec 29 1917 to Jan 4 1918     7 days
PVD     Dec 29 1917 to Jan 4 1918     7 days
ORH     Jan 9 1961  to Jan 28 1961   10 days
        Feb 9 1979  to Feb 18 1979   10 days

Consecutive high temperatures at or below 20 degrees

BOS     Dec 29 1917 to Jan 4 1918     7 days
BDL     Jan 19 1961 to Jan 28 1961   10 days
PVD     Feb 9  1979 to Feb 18 1979   10 days
ORH     Feb 9  1979 to Feb 19 1979   11 days

Record Minimum High (Low Max) Temperatures
for Friday 1/5:

BOS  14/1884
BDL  18/1976
PVD  20/1976
ORH  14/1904, 1896
MQE  10/1904

Record Minimum High (Low Max) and
Record Maximum Lows (Low Min)
for Saturday 1/6:

      Max           Min

BOS   7/1896      -10/1896
BDL   9/1912       -6/1976
PVD  11/1912        1/1996
ORH   6/1896      -12/1896
MQE   3/1896      -14/1896

Record Minimum High (Low Max) and
Record Maximum Lows (Low Min)
for Sunday 1/7:

      Max           Min

BOS   12/1912     -2/1896
BDL   13/1996      1/1912
PVD   12/1912     -1/1912
ORH   11/1973     -5/1942
MQE    7/1912     -7/1896

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CT...Winter Storm Watch from late Wednesday night through late
     Thursday night for CTZ004.
MA...High Wind Watch from Thursday morning through late Thursday
     night for MAZ005>007-013>024.
     Winter Storm Watch from late Wednesday night through late
     Thursday night for MAZ005>007-012>023.
RI...High Wind Watch from Thursday morning through late Thursday
     night for RIZ001>008.
     Winter Storm Watch from late Wednesday night through late
     Thursday night for RIZ001>008.
MARINE...Storm Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday evening for
     ANZ231-232-250-254-255.
     Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ231>235-
     237.
     Freezing Spray Advisory until 4 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ231-
     232-235-237-255-256.
     Gale Watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday evening
     for ANZ230-233>237-251-256.
     Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 AM EST
     Wednesday for ANZ230-236.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ250-251-
     254>256.
     Freezing Spray Advisory until 7 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ250-
     251-254.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Dunten/Sipprell
NEAR TERM...Sipprell
SHORT TERM...Sipprell
LONG TERM...Dunten/Sipprell
AVIATION...Dunten/Sipprell
MARINE...Dunten/Sipprell
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...WFO BOX Staff
CLIMATE...WFO BOX Staff
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 2, 11:29 AM EST, 4 hours 21 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Taunton MA
1129 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>006-008>012-026-031630-
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-
Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-
Northern Middlesex MA-
1129 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northern Connecticut, Western
and Central Massachusetts.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Late Wednesday night into Thursday night...
Accumulating snow is likely as low pressure tracks off the New
England coast. While it is still too early to determine snowfall
amounts, winter weather headlines may eventually be required.

Friday and Saturday...
Another blast of bitter cold air is expected and wind chill
headlines will likely be needed again.

Through next weekend...
The prolonged bitter cold brings the chance for isolated freeze-up
ice jams within interior southern New England. Freeze-up ice jams
can produce flooding upriver of the ice jam location. Sea ice
formation is also likely on harbors, bays, and inlets.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MAZ007-013>021-RIZ001>008-031630-
Eastern Essex MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-
Southern Plymouth MA-Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-
Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-
Block Island RI-
1129 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal Eastern and Southeastern
Massachusetts except the Cape and Islands, as well as all of Rhode
Island including Block Island.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch

Late Wednesday night into Thursday night...
Combination of high astronomical tides as a potent low pressure
center tracks off the coast of Eastern New England, there is the
possibility of minor to moderate coastal flooding. Uncertainty with
the timing of strongest onshore winds and highest surge, if the two
are coincident. A 2 to 3 foot surge is possible resulting in coastal
flood headlines.

Friday and Saturday...
Another blast of bitter cold air is expected and wind chill headlines
will likely be needed again.

Through next weekend...
The prolonged bitter cold brings the chance for isolated freeze-up ice
jams within interior southern New England. Freeze-up ice jams can produce
flooding upriver of the ice jam location. Sea ice formation is also likely
on harbors, bays, and inlets.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MAZ022>024-031630-
Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
1129 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Massachusetts.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Late Wednesday night into Thursday night...
Accumulating snow is likely as low pressure tracks off the New
England coast. The snow may change to rain for a time over Cape Cod
and the Islands. While it is still too early to determine snowfall
amounts, winter weather headlines may eventually be required.

Combination of high astronomical tides as a potent low pressure
center tracks off the coast of Eastern New England, there is the
possibility of minor to moderate coastal flooding. Uncertainty with
the timing of strongest onshore winds and highest surge, if the two
are coincident. A 2 to 3 foot surge is possible resulting in coastal
flood headlines.

Friday and Saturday...
Another blast of bitter cold air is likely and wind chill headlines
will likely be needed again for portions of southern New England.

Through next weekend...
The prolonged bitter cold brings the chance for isolated freeze-up
ice jams within interior southern New England. Freeze-up ice jams
can produce flooding upriver of the ice jam location. Sea ice
formation is also likely on harbors, bays, and inlets.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ235-237-256-031630-
Rhode Island Sound-Block Island Sound-
Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to
20 nm South of Block Island-
1129 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WATCH FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Rhode Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heavy Freezing Spray Warning

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch

Thursday night through Saturday night...

Periods of moderate to heavy freezing spray are likely. Freezing
Spray Advisories and Warnings are likely. The prolonged bitter cold
is favorable for sea ice formation on harbors, bays, and inlets.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ231-232-255-031630-
Cape Cod Bay-Nantucket Sound-
Coastal Waters extending out to 25 nm South of Marthas Vineyard and
Nantucket-
1129 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...STORM WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heavy Freezing Spray Warning

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Watch

Thursday night through Saturday night...

Periods of moderate to heavy freezing spray are likely. Freezing
Spray Advisories and Warnings are likely. The prolonged bitter cold
is favorable for sea ice formation on harbors, bays, and inlets.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ250-254-031630-
Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National
Marine Sanctuary-
Coastal waters from Provincetown MA to Chatham MA to Nantucket MA
out 20 nm-
1129 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...STORM WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heavy Freezing Spray Warning

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Watch

Thursday night through Saturday night...

Periods of moderate to heavy freezing spray are likely. Freezing
Spray Advisories and Warnings are likely. The prolonged bitter cold
is favorable for sea ice formation on harbors, bays, and inlets.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ251-031630-
Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay-
1129 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WATCH FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heavy Freezing Spray Warning

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch

Thursday night through Saturday night...

Periods of moderate to heavy freezing spray are likely. Freezing
Spray Advisories and Warnings are likely. The prolonged bitter cold
is favorable for sea ice formation on harbors, bays, and inlets.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ230-236-031630-
Boston Harbor-Narragansett Bay-
1129 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...GALE WATCH FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters
and Rhode Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch

Thursday night through Saturday night...

Periods of moderate to heavy freezing spray are likely. Freezing
Spray Advisories and Warnings are likely. The prolonged bitter cold
is favorable for sea ice formation on harbors, bays, and inlets.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ233-234-031630-
Vineyard Sound-Buzzards Bay-
1129 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heavy Freezing Spray Warning

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch

Thursday night through Saturday night...

Periods of moderate to heavy freezing spray are likely. Freezing
Spray Advisories and Warnings are likely. The prolonged bitter cold
is favorable for sea ice formation on harbors, bays, and inlets.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

The office that day

Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 1, 10:16 PM ESTWind Chill AdvisoryBOXHampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Worcester13 hr
Jan 2, 3:02 AM ESTGale WatchBOX12 hr
Jan 2, 3:02 AM ESTStorm WatchBOX12 hr
Jan 2, 3:09 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchBOXBarnstable, Bristol, Dukes, Essex, Middlesex, Norfolk and 3 more25 hr
Jan 2, 2:57 PM ESTCoastal Flood WatchBOXBarnstable, Dukes, Essex, Nantucket, Norfolk, Plymouth and 1 more17 hr
Jan 2, 2:59 PM ESTStorm WarningBOX58 hr
Jan 2, 2:59 PM ESTHeavy Freezing Spray AdvisoryBOX16 hr

Nearby

High Wind Watches in Massachusetts, 2018High Wind Watches in Rhode Island, 2018Every high wind watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.