Alert archive / Massachusetts / Flash Flood Watches in 2018

Flash Flood Watch 8, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

September 17, 2018Kent County, Providence County, Rhode Island; 10 counties in Massachusetts; Capitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this flash flood watch at Sep 17, 2018, 3:36 AM EDT for Kent County, Providence County, Rhode Island; 10 counties in Massachusetts; Capitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut. It took effect at Sep 18, 2018, 5:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 13 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 17, 2018, 3:36 AM EDT (07:36 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 18, 2018, 5:00 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 18, 2018, 6:06 PM EDT
In force
13 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA
Flood severity
None

Counties Capitol Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Bristol County, MA, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Kent County, RI, Providence County, RI

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 00:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 153 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2018-09-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2018-09-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -72 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1593 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-72 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-72 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

199 
WGUS61 KBOX 170736
FFABOX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
336 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018


CTZ002>004-MAZ002>019-026-RIZ001>004-171545-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FF.A.0008.180918T0900Z-180919T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-
Eastern Kent RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester, 
Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield, 
Milford, Worcester, Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, 
Quincy, Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Ayer, Foster, Smithfield, 
Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, 
and West Warwick
336 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Boston/Norton has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of northern Connecticut, 
  Massachusetts, and northern Rhode Island, including the 
  following areas, in northern Connecticut, Hartford, Tolland, 
  and Windham. In Massachusetts, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, 
  Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, Northern Bristol, Northern 
  Plymouth, Suffolk, and Worcester. In northern Rhode Island, 
  Kent and Providence. 

* From late tonight through late Tuesday night

* Bands of torrential rain showers are expected to develop very
  late tonight and continue through Tuesday afternoon. Widespread
  rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are anticipated...but a narrow
  swath of 4 to 6 inches of rain is possible which may fall in a
  very short period of time.

* The location of the heaviest rain remains uncertain.
  However...the potential for 2 to 3 inch per hour rainfall rates
  exists. Depending on where the heaviest rain occurs...the
  potential exists for both small stream and urban flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Frank
9 follow-up statements
162 
WGUS61 KBOX 171420
FFABOX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1020 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>019-026-RIZ001>004-172230-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0008.180918T0900Z-180919T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-
Eastern Kent RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester, 
Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield, 
Milford, Worcester, Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, 
Quincy, Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Ayer, Foster, Smithfield, 
Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, 
and West Warwick
1020 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northern Connecticut, Massachusetts, and northern 
  Rhode Island, including the following areas, in northern 
  Connecticut, Hartford, Tolland, and Windham. In Massachusetts, 
  Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, 
  Northern Bristol, Northern Plymouth, Suffolk, and Worcester. 
  In northern Rhode Island, Kent and Providence. 

* From late tonight through late Tuesday night

* Bands of torrential rain showers are expected to develop very 
  late tonight and continue through Tuesday afternoon. 
  Widespread rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are anticipated... 
  but a narrow swath of 4 to 6 inches of rain is possible which 
  may fall in a very short period of time. 

* The location of the heaviest rain remains uncertain. However...
   the potential for 2 to 3 inch per hour rainfall rates exists. 
  Depending on where the heaviest rain occurs...the potential 
  exists for both small stream and urban flash flooding. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
021 
WGUS61 KBOX 172202
FFABOX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
602 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>019-026-RIZ001>004-180830-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0008.180918T0900Z-180919T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-
Eastern Kent RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester, 
Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield, 
Milford, Worcester, Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, 
Quincy, Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Ayer, Foster, Smithfield, 
Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, 
and West Warwick
602 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EDT TUESDAY
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northern Connecticut, Massachusetts, and northern 
  Rhode Island, including the following areas, in northern 
  Connecticut, Hartford, Tolland, and Windham. In Massachusetts, 
  Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, 
  Northern Bristol, Northern Plymouth, Suffolk, and Worcester. 
  In northern Rhode Island, Kent and Providence. 

* From 5 AM EDT Tuesday through late Tuesday night

* Bands of torrential rain showers are expected to develop very
  late tonight and continue through Tuesday afternoon. Widespread
  rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are anticipated, but a narrow 
  swath of 4 to 6 inches of rain is possible which may fall in a 
  very short period of time. 

* The location of the heaviest rain still remains uncertain.
  However, the potential for 2 to 3 inch per hour rainfall rates
  exists. Both small stream and urban flash flooding remains
  possible.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
120 
WGUS61 KBOX 180208
FFABOX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1008 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>019-026-RIZ001>004-181015-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0008.180918T0900Z-180919T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-
Eastern Kent RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester, 
Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield, 
Milford, Worcester, Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, 
Quincy, Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Ayer, Foster, Smithfield, 
Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, 
and West Warwick
1008 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EDT TUESDAY
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northern Connecticut, Massachusetts, and northern 
  Rhode Island, including the following areas, in northern 
  Connecticut, Hartford, Tolland, and Windham. In Massachusetts, 
  Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, 
  Northern Bristol, Northern Plymouth, Suffolk, and Worcester. 
  In northern Rhode Island, Kent and Providence. 

* From 5 AM EDT Tuesday through late Tuesday night

* Bands of torrential rain showers are expected to develop very
  late tonight and continue through Tuesday afternoon. Widespread
  rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are anticipated, but a narrow
  swath of 4 to 6 inches of rain is possible, especially across
  northern Massachusetts, which may fall in a very short period 
  of time. 

* The location of the heaviest rain still remains somewhat
  uncertain, but latest indications are that northern
  Massachusetts may be in the axis of maximum rainfall. The
  potential for 2 to 3 inch per hour rainfall rates exists. Both 
  small stream and urban flash flooding remains possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
460 
WGUS61 KBOX 180735
FFABOX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
335 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>019-026-RIZ001>004-181545-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0008.180918T0900Z-180919T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-
Eastern Kent RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester, 
Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield, 
Milford, Worcester, Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, 
Quincy, Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Ayer, Foster, Smithfield, 
Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, 
and West Warwick
335 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northern Connecticut, Massachusetts, and northern 
  Rhode Island, including the following areas, in northern 
  Connecticut, Hartford, Tolland, and Windham. In Massachusetts, 
  Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, 
  Northern Bristol, Northern Plymouth, Suffolk, and Worcester. 
  In northern Rhode Island, Kent and Providence. 

* Through late tonight

* Bands of torrential rain showers are expected to develop across
  northern Massachusetts then gradually shift south through the
  afternoon, before moving offshore tonight. Widespread rainfall
  totals of 1 to 3 inches are anticipated, heaviest across
  northern Massachusetts where locally higher amounts are 
  possible. 

* The location of the heaviest rain still remains somewhat
  uncertain, but latest indications are that northern 
  Massachusetts may be in the axis of maximum rainfall. The 
  potential for 2 to 3 inch per hour rainfall rates exists. Both 
  small stream and urban flash flooding remains possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
251 
WGUS61 KBOX 181443
FFABOX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1043 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>019-026-RIZ001>004-182245-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-180919T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-
Eastern Kent RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester, 
Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield, 
Milford, Worcester, Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, 
Quincy, Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Ayer, Foster, Smithfield, 
Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, 
and West Warwick
1043 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northern Connecticut, Massachusetts, and northern 
  Rhode Island, including the following areas, in northern 
  Connecticut, Hartford, Tolland, and Windham. In Massachusetts, 
  Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, 
  Northern Bristol, Northern Plymouth, Suffolk, and Worcester. 
  In northern Rhode Island, Kent and Providence. 

* Through late tonight

* Bands of torrential rain showers associated with the remnants of
  Florence will continue to track across the watch area thru this
  afternoon. A large portion of western and north central
  Massachusetts has already received 2 to 4 inches of rainfall. Up
  to an additional 1 to 3 inches of rain is possible within the
  watch area thru this afternoon. 

* As a result of the rain that has fallen and expected rainfall 
  over the next few hours, both small stream and urban flash 
  flooding remain possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

NMB
385 
WGUS61 KBOX 181706
FFABOX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
106 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

MAZ002-003-008-181815-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-180919T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Including the cities of Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, 
and Chesterfield
106 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of western Massachusetts has
been cancelled. Heavy rain has moved out of the area. Flooded
areas may take some time to receed. 

$$

CTZ002>004-MAZ004>007-009>019-026-RIZ001>004-190115-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-180919T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Northern Worcester MA-
Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-
Eastern Kent RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Barre, Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, 
Lawrence, Gloucester, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, 
Springfield, Milford, Worcester, Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, 
Boston, Quincy, Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Ayer, Foster, 
Smithfield, Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich,
Warwick, and West Warwick
106 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northern Connecticut, Massachusetts, and northern 
  Rhode Island, including the following areas, in northern 
  Connecticut, Hartford, Tolland, and Windham. In Massachusetts, 
  Eastern Hampshire, Essex, Hampden, Middlesex, Norfolk, 
  Northern Bristol, Northern Plymouth, Suffolk, and Worcester. 
  In northern Rhode Island, Kent and Providence. 

* Through late tonight

* Bands of torrential rain showers associated with the remnants 
  of Florence will continue to track across the watch area thru 
  this afternoon. A large portion of western and north central 
  Massachusetts has already received 2 to 4 inches of rainfall. 
  Up to an additional 1 to 3 inches of rain is possible within 
  the watch area thru this afternoon. 

* As a result of the rain that has fallen and expected rainfall 
  over the next few hours, both small stream and urban flash 
  flooding remain possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
715 
WGUS61 KBOX 181754
FFABOX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
154 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018


CTZ002-003-MAZ009>011-181900-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-180919T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-
Eastern Hampden MA-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, and Springfield
154 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of northern Connecticut and
western Massachusetts has been cancelled. Heavy rain has exited
the area and area rivers and streams are expected to remain below
flood stage.

$$

CTZ004-MAZ004>007-012>019-026-RIZ001>004-190200-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-180919T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Windham CT-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Southern Worcester MA-
Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA-
Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-
Eastern Plymouth MA-Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Including the cities of Putnam, Willimantic, Barre, Fitchburg, 
Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester, Milford, Worcester, 
Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, Taunton, 
Brockton, Plymouth, Ayer, Foster, Smithfield, Providence, 
Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, 
and West Warwick
154 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northeast Connecticut, Massachusetts, and northern 
  Rhode Island, including the following areas, in northern 
  Connecticut, Windham. In Massachusetts, Essex, Middlesex, 
  Norfolk, Northern Bristol, Northern Plymouth, Suffolk, and 
  Worcester. In northern Rhode Island, Kent and Providence. 

* Through late tonight

* Bands of torrential rain showers associated with the remnants 
  of Florence will continue to track across the watch area thru 
  this afternoon. A large portion of western and north central 
  Massachusetts has already received 2 to 4 inches of rainfall. 
  Up to an additional 1 to 3 inches of rain is possible within 
  the watch area thru this afternoon. 

* As a result of the rain that has fallen and expected rainfall 
  over the next few hours, both small stream and urban flash 
  flooding remain possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Nocera
374 
WGUS61 KBOX 181858
FFABOX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
258 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

MAZ004-182000-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-180919T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Worcester MA-
Including the cities of Barre and Fitchburg
258 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of central Massachusetts has
been cancelled. Heavy rain has exited
the area and area rivers and streams are expected to remain below
flood stage.

$$

CTZ004-MAZ005>007-012>019-026-RIZ001>004-190300-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-180919T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Windham CT-Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-
Eastern Kent RI-
Including the cities of Putnam, Willimantic, Framingham, Lowell, 
Lawrence, Gloucester, Milford, Worcester, Foxborough, Norwood, 
Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Ayer, 
Foster, Smithfield, Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, 
East Greenwich, Warwick, and West Warwick
258 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northern Connecticut, Massachusetts, and northern 
  Rhode Island, including the following areas, in northern 
  Connecticut, Windham. In Massachusetts, Essex, Middlesex, 
  Norfolk, Northern Bristol, Northern Plymouth, Southern 
  Worcester, and Suffolk. In northern Rhode Island, Kent and 
  Providence. 

* Through late tonight

* Bands of torrential rain showers associated with the remnants 
  of Florence will continue to track across the watch area thru 
  this afternoon. A large portion of western and north central 
  Massachusetts has already received 2 to 4 inches of rainfall. 
  Up to an additional 1 to 3 inches of rain is possible within 
  the watch area thru this afternoon. 

* As a result of the rain that has fallen and expected rainfall 
  over the next few hours, both small stream and urban flash 
  flooding remain possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
518 
WGUS61 KBOX 182206
FFABOX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
606 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

CTZ004-MAZ005>007-012>019-026-RIZ001>004-182315-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-180919T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Windham CT-Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-
Eastern Kent RI-
Including the cities of Putnam, Willimantic, Framingham, Lowell, 
Lawrence, Gloucester, Milford, Worcester, Foxborough, Norwood, 
Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Ayer, 
Foster, Smithfield, Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, 
East Greenwich, Warwick, and West Warwick
606 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of northern Connecticut,
Massachusetts, and northern Rhode Island has been cancelled. The
threat for heavy rainfall has ended. Water will continue to
recede this evening. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Sep 16, 9:50 PM EDT, 5 hours 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 16, 9:50 PM EDT, 5 hours 46 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
950 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry weather with warm days and cool nights will continue through
Monday afternoon. Florence remnants should arrive Monday night
and continuing Tuesday, with a flood threat from excessive
rainfall. Seasonably cooler weather from Wednesday through next
weekend. A chance of showers with a cold front Friday and Friday
night. Another period of wet weather is possible next Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...

950 pm update...

Last of the isolated showers have just about ended across far
northwest MA. Otherwise, the main concern overnight revolves
around fog potential. We do expect more patchy fog to develop
given low temp/dewpoint spreads and mainly clear skies. However,
guidance does show a very light southerly flow of wind in the
boundary layer. So while patchy dense fog will be possible in
the typically prone locations...do not think it will be as
widespread as the last two nights. Nonetheless...will continue
to monitor. Dewpoints were actually a bit higher tonight...so
low temps will mainly be in the upper 50s to the lower 60s by
daybreak.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Expecting dry weather to remain in place through Monday with
increasing clouds through the day. Rainfall chances increase
from west to east Monday night, especially after midnight. This
will be the remnants of Florence, which means a tropical air
mass. With rainfall starting at night, rainfall efficiency
should be rather high. It will all come down to timing, but
could see rainfall totals already approaching 1 inch across
western MA by 8 am Tuesday. Thinking most locations across
eastern MA do not exceed one half inch Monday night.

Temperatures should remain above normal through this period.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
*/ Highlights...

 - Florence remnants Tuesday and Tuesday evening may bring heavy
   rain, flash flooding risk, and breezy conditions
 - Additional rain possible Friday and Sunday

Tuesday and Tuesday night...

Florence will be on the move, getting sheared as it transitions
into an open wave at upper levels. Its low pressure center is
forecast to track across southern New England Tuesday, exiting
the MA coast Tuesday evening. There still are significant model
timing differences, with the GFS somewhat slower. What is for
sure, though, is that the airmass will become very tropical,
with precipitable water values from 2.0 to 2.4 and surface
dewpoints from 70 to 73.

Nearly all models agree on an axis of torrential rainfall in
northern MA in the Route 2 corridor, close to a warm front,
where we could see 3 to 4 inches in a 6-8 hour period. The NAM,
however, also has a separate axis of 2 to 4 inches of rain in a
portion of northern CT and RI. It is likely that rain bands will
still exist with this system and thus it is nearly impossible
to know where they will set up. As a result, our QPF forecast is
for a widespread 2 to 4 inches across the region, with the
highest amounts...cannot rule out 5 or 6 inches...in
northernmost MA. Flash Flood guidance values for small streams are
approximately 3 inches in a 6-hour period and this is very
possible. A Flash Flood Watch may be issued on the midnight
shift tonight, as we get closer in time to the potential event.

Will likely have some gusty SW to S winds Tue afternoon and
evening as the low passes by and have a 30-40 kt low levels
overhead. Have used GFS guidance for this aspect, showing gusts
to 20-25 mph inland and near-gale gusts over the southeast
coastal waters.

While not very likely, we would be remiss in not mentioning an
outside chance/low risk of an isolated tornado. When the
remnants of Allison came through in 2001, there was a tornado in
Princeton, MA. In Florence's case, it will not be getting caught
up with anything cyclogenetic. In fact, it will be getting
caught up in the westerlies and shearing. However, there is a
chance that it could be timed, for a few hours, with the diurnal
cycle of heating - to the mid and upper 70s - in the early
afternoon hours and tap enough low-level helicity to create an
isolated tornado. GFS and NAM STP values are 1 to 1.5 at that
time.

Winds turn to the north as the low departs Tuesday night.
Rain will diminish Tuesday evening in eastern sections. It
should remain cloudy in eastern sections overnight but partially
clear in the slopes of the Berkshires.

Wednesday and Thursday...
Dry high pressure builds over the northeast states with mainly
sunny days and clear nights, with seasonable temperatures. Highs
65 to 75. Lows in the 50s.

Friday and Friday night...
Low pressure and a warm front will bring showers mainly to
northern New England late Thu night and Fri, but as a cold front
moves across our region later Friday and Friday night, there is
a chance of showers or an isolated thunderstorm. Highs in the
70s and lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

Saturday...
Another fast moving high pressure will bring quiet weather to
southern New England. Seasonable temperatures.

Sunday...
Low pressure arriving from the Ohio Valley could bring rain to
the region.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Monday Night/...

Tonight...VFR early, but low confidence on extend of low clouds
and fog overnight. There may be just enough light southerly flow
in the boundary layer to prevent widespread/dense fog like the
last two nights. Nonetheless...we do expect patchy fog which may
be locally dense in the typically prone locations. So a wide
variety of conditions are possible by daybreak.

Monday...Morning fog quickly dissipating. VFR much of the day
with SCT 4-5 kft CIGs in the afternoon. Increasing S winds that
should prevent seabreezes along the east coast.

Monday night...Mainly VFR, with local IFR developing late.
Breezy. Widespread SHRA developing from west to east, with a
slight chance TSRA.

KBOS Terminal...Moderate confidence in TAF.

KBDL Terminal...Moderate confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Tuesday through Friday/...

Tuesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR. Breezy inland and windy
southeast coast with gusts to 30 kt. Rain, heavy at times, Confident IFR-VLIFR conditions will return
tonight into Monday morning.
slight chance TSRA, patchy FG.

Tuesday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Windy with
gusts to 30 kt along the coast. Rain ending eastern sections in
the evening.

Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy.

Wednesday Night through Thursday: VFR.

Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy.
Slight chance SHRA.

Friday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Breezy. Chance
SHRA. Isolated TSRA mainly southern areas.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Monday Night/... High confidence.

High pressure will continue to slowly move east of the waters
through Mon. However, pressure gradient will remain weak enough
to keep winds/seas below Small Craft Advisory thresholds through
Monday afternoon. South winds increase ahead of the remnants of
Florence Monday night. Could see Small Craft Advisory
conditions develop by late Monday night across the southern
coastal waters.

Outlook /Tuesday through Friday/...

Tuesday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Rain showers
likely, heavy at times. Isolated thunderstorms. Local
visibility 1 to 3 nm.

Tuesday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds
with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Chance of rain
showers, isolated thunderstorms in the evening. Local
visibility 1 to 3 nm.

Wednesday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts
up to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas.

Wednesday Night through Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. Local
rough seas.

Thursday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas
approaching 5 ft.

Friday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up
to 30 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Belk/GAF
NEAR TERM...Frank
SHORT TERM...Belk
LONG TERM...GAF
AVIATION...Frank/Belk/GAF
MARINE...Belk/GAF
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 16, 4:48 PM EDT, 10 hours 48 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
448 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-172100-
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-
Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-
Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
448 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Connecticut, all of
Massachusetts east of Berkshire County, and Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Tuesday into Tuesday night...

There is a threat for heavy rainfall and flash flooding of small
streams and tributaries associated with the remnants of Florence
sweeping across the region. Storm total rainfall around 2 to 4
inches, highest in northern MA. Locally heavier amounts possible.
There is a very low risk of an isolated tornado Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-172100-
Boston Harbor-Cape Cod Bay-Nantucket Sound-Vineyard Sound-
Buzzards Bay-Rhode Island Sound-Narragansett Bay-Block Island Sound-
Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National
Marine Sanctuary-Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay-
Coastal waters from Provincetown MA to Chatham MA to Nantucket MA
out 20 nm-
Coastal Waters extending out to 25 nm South of Marthas Vineyard and
Nantucket-
Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to
20 nm South of Block Island-
448 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts and Rhode
Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

A period of near-gale force gusts is possible late Tuesday afternoon
and Tuesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

For the latest updates, please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 16, 10:09 PM EDT, 5 hours 27 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1009 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>014-017>024-026-RIZ001>008-170800-
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-
Nantucket MA-Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon,
Putnam, Willimantic, Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre,
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester,
Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield,
Milford, Worcester, Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Taunton,
Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, New Bedford, Mattapoisett,
Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, Vineyard Haven, Nantucket, Ayer,
Foster, Smithfield, Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich,
East Greenwich, Warwick, West Warwick, Bristol, Narragansett,
Westerly, Newport, and New Shoreham
1009 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...PATCHY FOG EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT SOME OF WHICH MAY
BECOME LOCALLY DENSE...

Patchy fog is expected to develop across the region overnight.
Some of the fog may become locally dense in the typically prone
locations. Motorists should drive with extra caution and be
prepared for rapidly changing visibility over short distances.

Frank

The office that day

Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 17, 3:37 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryBOX4 days

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Massachusetts, 2018Flash Flood Watches in Rhode Island, 2018Flash Flood Watches in Connecticut, 2018Every flash flood watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.