Flash Flood Watch 10, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

605 
WGUS61 KBOX 110832
FFABOX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
432 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>016-026-111645-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0010.181011T1500Z-181012T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester, 
Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield, 
Milford, Worcester, Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, 
Quincy, and Ayer
432 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northern Connecticut and Massachusetts, including 
  the following areas, in northern Connecticut, Hartford, 
  Tolland, and Windham. In Massachusetts, Essex, Franklin, 
  Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, Suffolk, and 
  Worcester. 

* From 11 AM EDT this morning through late tonight

* An approaching cold front moves through Southern New England
  late today and tonight. The front will draw upon tropical
  moisture from Tropical Storm Michael, creating local downpours.

* Moderate to heavy rainfall anticipated averaging around 1 to 2 
  inches for the region, however locally heavier amounts are 
  expected especially with any thunderstorm activity. Additional 
  concern of torrential rainfall along high terrain. Potentially 
  occurring within a 1 to 3 hour window, there is the 
  possibility that flash flooding will occur. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MAZ017>021-RIZ001>008-111645-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0010.181011T1800Z-181012T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
Including the cities of Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, 
New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Foster, Smithfield, Providence, 
Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, West Warwick, 
Bristol, Narragansett, Westerly, Newport, and New Shoreham
432 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island, 
  including the following areas, in southeastern Massachusetts, 
  Bristol and Plymouth. In Rhode Island, Block Island, Bristol, 
  Kent, Newport, Providence, and Washington. 

* From 2 PM EDT this afternoon through Friday morning

* An approaching cold front moves through Southern New England
  late today and tonight. The front will draw upon tropical
  moisture from Tropical Storm Michael, creating local downpours
  as it moves through. The remnants of Hurricane Michael will then
  pass south of Nantucket Friday morning, maintaining a chance of
  showers during the morning.

* Moderate to heavy rainfall is anticipated averaging around 2 to
  3 inches for the area with locally heavier amounts especially 
  with any thunderstorm activity as high as 3 to 5 inches. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MAZ022>024-111645-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0010.181011T2100Z-181012T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
Including the cities of Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, 
Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket
432 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of southeastern Massachusetts, including the 
  following areas, Barnstable, Dukes, and Nantucket. 

* From this afternoon through Friday afternoon

* An approaching cold front moves through Southern New England
  tonight. The front will draw upon tropical moisture from
  Tropical Storm Michael, creating local downpours as it moves
  through. The remnants of Hurricane Michael will then pass south
  of Nantucket Friday morning, maintaining a chance of showers
  through the afternoon.

* Moderate to heavy rainfall is anticipated averaging around 3 
  to 5 inches for the area with locally heavier amounts 
  especially with any thunderstorm activity as high as 4 to 6 
  inches. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

800 
WGUS61 KBOX 111413
FFABOX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1013 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018


CTZ002>004-MAZ002>016-026-112215-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0010.181011T1500Z-181012T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester, 
Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield, 
Milford, Worcester, Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, 
Quincy, and Ayer
1013 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northern Connecticut as well as most of
  Massachusetts, except the southeastern portions of the state.

* Through late tonight

* An approaching cold front moves through Southern New England 
  late today and tonight. The front will draw upon tropical 
  moisture from Tropical Storm Michael, creating local 
  downpours. 

* Moderate to heavy rainfall anticipated averaging around 1 to 2 
  inches for the region, however locally heavier amounts are 
  expected especially with any thunderstorm activity. Additional 
  concern of torrential rainfall along high terrain. Potentially 
  occurring within a 1 to 3 hour window, there is the 
  possibility that flash flooding will occur. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MAZ017>021-RIZ001>008-112215-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0010.181011T1800Z-181012T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
Including the cities of Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, 
New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Foster, Smithfield, Providence, 
Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, West Warwick, 
Bristol, Narragansett, Westerly, Newport, and New Shoreham
1013 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. 

* From 2 PM EDT this afternoon through Friday morning

* An approaching cold front moves through Southern New England 
  late today and tonight. The front will draw upon tropical 
  moisture from Tropical Storm Michael, creating local downpours 
  as it moves through. The remnants of Hurricane Michael will 
  then pass south of Nantucket Friday morning, maintaining a 
  chance of showers during the morning. 

* Moderate to heavy rainfall is anticipated averaging around 2 
  to 3 inches for the area with locally heavier amounts 
  especially with any thunderstorm activity as high as 3 to 5 
  inches. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MAZ022>024-112215-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0010.181011T2100Z-181012T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
Including the cities of Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, 
Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket
1013 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of southeastern Massachusetts, mainly Barnstable, 
  Dukes, and Nantucket. 

* From 5 PM EDT this afternoon through Friday afternoon

* An approaching cold front moves through Southern New England 
  tonight. The front will draw upon tropical moisture from 
  Tropical Storm Michael, creating local downpours as it moves 
  through. The remnants of Hurricane Michael will then pass 
  south of Nantucket Friday morning, maintaining a chance of 
  showers through the afternoon. 

* Moderate to heavy rainfall is anticipated averaging around 3 
  to 5 inches for the area with locally heavier amounts 
  especially with any thunderstorm activity as high as 4 to 6 
  inches. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

915 
WGUS61 KBOX 111912
FFABOX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
312 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>016-026-120315-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-181012T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester, 
Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield, 
Milford, Worcester, Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, 
Quincy, and Ayer
312 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northern Connecticut as well as most of
  Massachusetts, except the southeast.

* Until 2 AM EDT Friday

* Moderate to heavy rainfall will continue through the evening
  hours. This could lead to localized flash flooding particularly
  in flood prone and poor drainage areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MAZ017>021-RIZ001>008-120315-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-181012T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
Including the cities of Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, 
New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Foster, Smithfield, Providence, 
Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, West Warwick, 
Bristol, Narragansett, Westerly, Newport, and New Shoreham
312 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeastern Massachusetts except the Cape and
  Islands, as well as Rhode Island. 

* Through tomorrow morning.

* Moderate to heavy rainfall is anticipated averaging around 1 to
  3 inches for the area with locally heavier amounts of 2 to 4
  inches. This could lead to localized flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MAZ022>024-120315-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0010.181011T2100Z-181012T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
Including the cities of Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, 
Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket
312 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* The Cape and Islands of Massachusetts. 

* Through Friday afternoon

* Moderate to heavy rainfall is anticipated averaging around 3 
  to 5 inches for the area with locally heavier amounts 
  especially with any thunderstorm activity as high as 4 to 6 
  inches. The highest totals are expected over Nantucket.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

425 
WGUS61 KBOX 112301
FFABOX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
701 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>016-026-120015-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-181012T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester, 
Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, Springfield, 
Milford, Worcester, Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, 
Quincy, and Ayer
701 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of northern Connecticut and
Massachusetts has been cancelled. 

The threat of excessive rainfall causing flash flooding has ended.

$$

MAZ017>021-RIZ001>008-120715-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-181012T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
Including the cities of Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, 
New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Foster, Smithfield, Providence, 
Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich, Warwick, West Warwick, 
Bristol, Narragansett, Westerly, Newport, and New Shoreham
701 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island, 
  including the following areas, in southeastern Massachusetts, 
  Bristol and Plymouth. In Rhode Island, Block Island, Bristol, 
  Kent, Newport, Providence, and Washington. 

* Through Friday morning

* Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected later tonight into Friday
  morning with amounts averaging 1 to 3 inches, especially near 
  the south coast. This could lead to localized flash flooding 
  particularly in flood prone and poor drainage areas.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MAZ022>024-120715-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-181012T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
Including the cities of Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, 
Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket
701 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of southeastern Massachusetts, including the 
  following areas, Barnstable, Dukes, and Nantucket. 

* Through Friday afternoon

* Heavy rainfall is expected later tonight into Friday. Rainfall
  amounts of 3 to 5 inches are possible, with localized amounts up
  to 6 inches over Nantucket. This could lead to localized flash
  flooding particularly in poor drainage areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

151 
WGUS61 KBOX 120742
FFABOX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
342 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018


RIZ001-120845-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-181012T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northwest Providence RI-
Including the cities of Foster and Smithfield
342 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of northern Rhode Island has
been cancelled. While some rain is still expected this
morning...the heaviest will remain south of this region and the
threat of flooding has diminished. Therefore...the Flood Watch has
been cancelled for this region.

$$

MAZ017>021-RIZ002>008-121400-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-181012T1400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Southeast Providence RI-
Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-Washington RI-
Newport RI-Block Island RI-
Including the cities of Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, 
New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, 
East Greenwich, Warwick, West Warwick, Bristol, Narragansett, 
Westerly, Newport, and New Shoreham
342 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of southeastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island, 
  including the following areas, in southeastern Massachusetts, 
  Bristol and Plymouth. In Rhode Island, Block Island, Bristol, 
  Kent, Newport, Southeast Providence, and Washington. 

* Until 10 AM EDT this morning

* A period of moderate to heavy rain fall is expected this
  morning. Some locations may see a quick 1 to 3 inches of rain
  this morning, with the best chance near the south coast and
  towards the Cape Cod Canal. This may lead to localized flash
  flooding...particularly in flood prone and poor drainage areas.
  The rain should exit most of the region by afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MAZ022>024-121545-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-181012T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
Including the cities of Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, 
Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket
342 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of southeastern Massachusetts, including the 
  following areas, Barnstable, Dukes, and Nantucket. 

* Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon

* Heavy rainfall is expected to develop early this morning before
  coming to an end by mid afternoon. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 5 
  inches are possible, with localized amounts up to 6 inches over 
  Nantucket. This could lead to localized flash flooding 
  particularly in poor drainage areas. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Frank

569 
WGUS61 KBOX 121354
FFABOX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
954 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

MAZ017>021-RIZ002>008-121500-
/O.EXP.KBOX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-181012T1400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Southeast Providence RI-
Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-Washington RI-
Newport RI-Block Island RI-
Including the cities of Taunton, Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, 
New Bedford, Mattapoisett, Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, 
East Greenwich, Warwick, West Warwick, Bristol, Narragansett, 
Westerly, Newport, and New Shoreham
954 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of southeastern Massachusetts
and Rhode Island will expire at 10 AM EDT this morning. Rainfall
across southeast Massachusetts west of the Cape Cod Canal, as 
well as Rhode Island, diminished in intensity and is expected to
end by noon. Additional significant flooding is no longer 
expected in this area. 

$$

MAZ022>024-121800-
/O.CON.KBOX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-181012T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
Including the cities of Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, 
Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket
954 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of southeastern Massachusetts, including the 
  following areas, Barnstable, Dukes, and Nantucket. 

* Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon

* Heavy rainfall is expected to end by mid afternoon. Total
  rainfall amounts of 2 to 5 inches are possible, with localized
  amounts up to 6 inches over Nantucket. This could lead to 
  localized flash flooding, particularly in poor drainage areas. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

511 
WGUS61 KBOX 121753
FFABOX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
153 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

MAZ022>024-121900-
/O.EXP.KBOX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-181012T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
Including the cities of Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, 
Vineyard Haven, and Nantucket
153 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of southeastern Massachusetts
will expire at 2 PM EDT this afternoon. Rainfall has moved
offshore, ending the threat of additional significant flooding.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
956 AM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.SYNOPSIS...

Warm and humid conditions continue today. Scattered showers may
move into the region late tonight into early Thursday as a
backdoor cold front slowly pushes south before stalling across
central New England. Showers and a few thunderstorms will push
across the region ahead of an approaching cold front Thursday
through Friday. Michael will likely track well southeast of
the 40N/70W benchmark, keeping the threat for heavy rain across
far southeast New England with the best chance across outer Cape
Cod and Nantucket Friday. High pressure will build in for the
weekend, bringing dry but rather cool fall like weather.
Showers may return during Monday or Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

10 am update...

Abundant sunshine and humid conditions. Warm air advection ongoing
aloft with H925 temperatures warming to +20C. As temperatures
yesterday exceeded expectations given cloud cover, with the lack
thereof opted to take the maximum of all available guidance giving
us highs in the low to mid 80s for much of S New England. May fall
a few degrees short in some areas but the message is there as SW
interior winds increase that much of the region will see 80s for
today. Gusts up around 20 mph, especially S/SE coastal. Dewpoints
still around the mid 60s. Muggy. For early October is more like
early September.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...

Tonight...

Mid level ridge/cutoff high across the western Atlantic pushes
offshore, allowing H5 heights to lower. Noting pressure surge
working S-SW along the Maine coast, with an associated backdoor
cold front trying to shift S. May see some showers try to push
into N central and NE Mass around or after midnight, but it will
be tough for the front to work much further S. In the meantime,
strong low pressure will push across the Great Lakes, with its
associated cold front trying to push E from the Ohio Valley to
the mid Gulf Coast. Lastly, the moisture plume feeding NE ahead
of the front, aided by the approaching Hurricane Michael into
the FL panhandle, will see surge of tropical moisture northward.
PWATs across central and W areas increase to around 2 inches,
or around 3-4 SD above normal.

Expect increasing chance for showers across the region, with
the best chance across W Mass/N central CT after midnight. Will
also see patchy fog develop overnight, with visibility lowering
to around 1SM across the E slopes of the Berkshires and possibly
into the Merrimack Valley.

May see quite a range in temps overnight, depending upon how
much the cooler air pushes into N central and NE Mass. Current
thinking suggests temps bottoming out in the 55-60 degree range
from about a KBOS-KORH line N and E, ranging to the upper 60s
across the mid and lower CT valley.

Thursday...

Deep moisture ahead of the approaching front and from Michael
down the coast will keep an increasing PWAT plume pushing across
the region during the day. PWAT values increase to 2.1 to 2.3
inches, up to 4-5 SD above normal. Showers will become
widespread from W-E as the cold front approaches from the W,
while the front across central New England retreats back N.

With the high moisture plume in place, will see locally heavy
downpours that may cause brief poor drainage and urban flooding
in some spots. Also noting increasing instability ahead of the
front, with K indices up to the mid 30s moving across the region
during the day. Have also mentioned a low chance for
thunderstorms as well.

May see SW winds gusting to 20-25 kt along the S coast during
Thu afternoon as good mixing returns along with a good low level
jet passing along S coastal areas.

Expect temps to range from the mid 60s to near 70 across N
central/NE Mass to the mid 70s across the lower CT valley.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...

Big Picture...

Atlantic high pressure retreats south. Northern jet stream digs
south with falling heights over the northern USA. Upper low
associated with Hurricane Michael or its remnants moves north from
the Gulf of Mexico, then gets caught in the sinking mid-latitude
flow and its movement turns toward the northeast and passes well
south of New England. One shortwave from the Pacific Northwest
sweeps east and over our area Saturday. A second shortwave from
Northern Canada digs south to the Great Lakes and Northeast USA
early next week.

Upper contour heights are similar through Sunday morning but then
show differences. In particular the second of the shortwaves crosses
our area at different times depending on the model. The GFS is about
12 hours faster than the ECMWF but similar to the GGEM. Confidence
is high Friday, then diminishes to low by Monday and Tuesday.

Contour heights are above normal through Friday, then fall to below
normal over the weekend and rise a little early next week. We agree
with the trend to colder temps behind the Thursday night front and
lingering through the weekend. Guidance temps show a warming trend
early next week, but not as much as the height increase suggests. We
will go with the slower warming.

Concerns...

Thursday night-Friday...

Cold front moves through the region from 00Z to 06Z. Michael or its
remnants moves northeast from coastal North Carolina following the
upper flow as noted above. This takes the center across 38.5N/70W,
well south of Nantucket during Friday.

The plume of high PW air remains over Srn New England through
midnight and along the South Coast through the night. This suggests
showers and embedded local downpours for part of the night inland
and all night near the South Coast. A SW 40-50 knot low level jet is
along the south coastal areas Thursday night, then shifts south and
offshore overnight as the cold front moves through. This may bring
wind gusts of 30-40 mph in southern areas until the cold front
approaches, then winds will diminish.

We will continue the potential for showers/thunder/local downpours,
diminishing most areas overnight. Winds then shift from the
northwest for Friday. Temperatures will cool overnight as northwest
winds bring in lower dew points inland. Less certain of that along
the coast where precipitation will continue to moisten the air. Min
temps from around 50 northwest to the lower 60s over the Islands.

The plume of moisture will linger along the South Coast Friday
morning, but should shift offshore during the afternoon. Expect dry
weather in most of the area, but morning showers southeast of a
Plymouth-Providence line.

Finally, the passage of Michael will bring a period of high surf
to the exposed South Coast, especially the Islands and east-
facing coast of Outer Cape Cod. Some of this will linger into
Saturday.

Weekend...

Weak shortwave and cold pool move across our area Saturday. Cross
sections show medium depth of moisture with this shortwave, so a
period of clouds is likely. But the air below 850 mb is expected to
be dry so no precip is forecast. Temps aloft are forecast at an 850
mb equivalent of 0C to -2C. Max temps are based on this as well as
the expected morning temperatures, adding 5-7F to the latter.

High pressure overhead and fair skies should allow radiational
cooling, and with dew points in the mid 30s to low 40s we expect min
temps in the mid 30s to mid 40s. This means potential for frost in
some areas, including northern Mass and the low spots/bogs in the
coastal plain.

Fair weather Sunday with mixed layer temps supporting max temps in
the mid 50s to low 60s.

Monday-Tuesday...

As noted above, timing of the next shortwave and its cold front are
in question. But expect clouds and showers to arrive either later
Sunday night through Monday, or later Monday through early Tuesday.
We will go with a compromise on timing, with chance pops for showers
each day.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...

Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Thursday/...Moderate confidence.

15z update...

Today...
MVFR-IFR CIGs linger over S New England but should gradually
lift. SCT-BKN low-end VFR CIGs around 3-4 kft with SW winds,
strongest along the S/SE coast with gusts up around 20 kts.

Tonight...
Showers develop from W-E overnight with approaching cold front.
Expect CIGS to lower to IFR-LIFR by around 04Z-06Z. VSBYS lower
to W-E after midnight to MVFR-IFR.

Thursday...
CIGS may improve to VFR across most areas, expect MVFR
conditions lingering across the higher terrain and possibly
along the S coast. Mix of MVFR-IFR VSBYS. Showers continue, with
chance for thunderstorms. Locally heavy rainfall possible.

KBOS Terminal...
VFR CIGS may briefly lower to MVFR from time to time through
late morning. VFR VSBYS. SW winds gusting up around 20 kt this
afternoon. Conditions may lower to IFR around midnight tonight.

KBDL Terminal...
Mainly VFR conditions, though CIGS may lower to MVFR from time
to time through mid morning. VSBYS may lower to IFR after
midnight tonight as scattered showers approach.

Outlook /Thursday Night through Sunday/...Moderate Confidence.

Thursday: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Breezy. SHRA,
slight chance TSRA, patchy FG.

Thursday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Windy with gusts
to 30 kt. SHRA likely, slight chance TSRA, patchy BR.

Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Windy with areas
gusts to 30 kt. Slight chance SHRA.

Friday Night through Saturday: VFR. Breezy.

Saturday Night: VFR.

Sunday: VFR. Breezy.

&&

.MARINE...

Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Thursday/...High confidence.

10 am update...

Patchy dense fog along the S waters, visibility at times down
below a mile. Otherwise SW winds should increase through the
day, gusts up around 20 kts especially for the S/SE waters near
the coast. Waves however at or below 3 feet throughout.

Winds diminish tonight, low clouds and fog return. Will see
winds increase again into Thursday. Have hoisted Small Craft
Advisories as SW winds gust up to around 25-30 kt across most of
the water Thu afternoon. Seas also build up to around 5 ft late
in the day on the open waters S of RI.

Outlook /Thursday Night through Sunday/...Moderate Confidence.

Thursday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up
to 30 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Rain showers, slight
chance of thunderstorms, patchy fog. Local visibility 1 to
3 nm.

Thursday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds
with gusts up to 30 kt. Local rough seas. Rain showers, chance
of thunderstorms. Local visibility 1 to 3 nm.

Friday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts
up to 30 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of rain showers, slight
chance of thunderstorms. Local visibility 1 to 3 nm.

Friday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas.

Saturday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft.

Saturday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching
5 ft.

Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM to 6 PM EDT Thursday for
     ANZ231>234-236-255.
     Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM to 6 PM EDT Thursday for ANZ235-
     237.
     Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM to 6 PM EDT Thursday for ANZ250-
     254.
     Small Craft Advisory from noon to 6 PM EDT Thursday for ANZ256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WTB/EVT
NEAR TERM...WTB/Sipprell
SHORT TERM...EVT
LONG TERM...WTB
AVIATION...WTB/EVT
MARINE...WTB/EVT

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
458 AM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>019-026-RIZ001>004-110900-
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-
Eastern Kent RI-
458 AM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Connecticut, central
Massachusetts, eastern Massachusetts, northeastern Massachusetts,
southeastern Massachusetts, western Massachusetts and northern
Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Showers with locally heavy rainfall will bring a low risk for
isolated flash flooding Thursday into Thursday evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MAZ020>024-RIZ005>008-110900-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-
Nantucket MA-Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
458 AM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Massachusetts,
northern Rhode Island and southern Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Showers with locally heavy rainfall will bring a low risk for
isolated flash flooding Thursday into Thursday night.

Heavy rain from remnants of Michael may bring a low risk of flooding
Friday. The greatest risk for heavy rain will be across Nantucket,
if Michael tracks close enough to the region. There also is a low
risk for a period of 40 to 50 mph wind gusts across the Cape and
Islands if Michael tracks closer to the region than expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-110900-
Boston Harbor-Cape Cod Bay-Nantucket Sound-Vineyard Sound-
Buzzards Bay-Rhode Island Sound-Narragansett Bay-Block Island Sound-
Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National
Marine Sanctuary-Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay-
Coastal waters from Provincetown MA to Chatham MA to Nantucket MA
out 20 nm-
Coastal Waters extending out to 25 nm South of Marthas Vineyard and
Nantucket-
Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to
20 nm South of Block Island-
458 AM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts and Rhode
Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

A period of northwest gale force wind gusts are possible Thursday
night through Friday night across our southern waters. The main risk
would be south of Marthas Vineyard and Nantucket.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

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