Alert archive / Massachusetts / Coastal Flood Statements in 2018

Coastal Flood Statement 9, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

July 13, 20186 counties in Massachusetts

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this coastal flood statement at Jul 13, 2018, 3:53 AM EDT for 6 counties in Massachusetts. It took effect at Jul 13, 2018, 11:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 13, 2018, 3:53 AM EDT (07:53 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 13, 2018, 11:00 PM EDT
Expired
Jul 14, 2018, 2:00 AM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA

Counties Barnstable County, MA, Essex County, MA, Nantucket County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 00:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2018-07-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2018-07-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 3 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1651 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

198 
WHUS41 KBOX 130753
CFWBOX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
353 AM EDT Fri Jul 13 2018

MAZ007-015-016-019-022-024-131600-
/O.NEW.KBOX.CF.S.0009.180714T0300Z-180714T0600Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Nantucket MA-
353 AM EDT Fri Jul 13 2018

...Minor splashover possible for east coastal MA late tonight...

* LOCATIONS...East coastal MA.

* TIMING...During high tide between midnight and 130 AM. 

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Minor splashover possible along
  vulnerable east coastal MA shoreline roads. 

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Category thresholds are based on still water levels. Impacts 
may be greater, depending upon wave action.

Newburyport
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.0 FT, Moderate 12.5 FT, Major 14.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.5 FT, Moderate 3.0 FT, Major 4.5 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/12 AM   9.9/10.4   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.2    2-3      None    
 13/12 PM   8.4/ 8.9  -1.1/-0.7  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 14/01 AM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 14/01 PM   8.6/ 9.1  -1.0/-0.5  -0.2/ 0.2    1-2      None    
 15/01 AM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 15/02 PM   8.8/ 9.3  -0.8/-0.2  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None

Gloucester Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.0 FT, Moderate 14.5 FT, Major 15.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.5 FT, Moderate 5.0 FT, Major 6.0 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 12/11 PM  11.3/11.8   1.8/ 2.2   0.0/ 0.5     3       None    
 13/12 PM   9.7/10.2   0.2/ 0.7  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/12 AM  11.5/12.0   2.0/ 2.5   0.0/ 0.5    2-3      None    
 14/01 PM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 15/01 AM  11.4/11.9   1.9/ 2.3  -0.2/ 0.3     3       None    
 15/02 PM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None

Boston Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 FT, Moderate 15.0 FT, Major 16.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 FT, Moderate 4.9 FT, Major 5.9 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 12/11 PM  11.7/12.2   1.6/ 2.0  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None    
 13/12 PM  10.2/10.7   0.1/ 0.6  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None    
 14/12 AM  11.9/12.4   1.8/ 2.2  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None    
 14/01 PM  10.4/10.9   0.2/ 0.8  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None    
 15/01 AM  11.9/12.4   1.8/ 2.2  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None    
 15/02 PM  10.5/11.0   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None

Revere
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 FT, Moderate 15.0 FT, Major 16.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.6 FT, Moderate 5.1 FT, Major 6.6 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 12/11 PM  11.8/12.3   1.9/ 2.3   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 13/12 PM  10.3/10.8   0.4/ 0.9   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 14/12 AM  12.0/12.5   2.1/ 2.6   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 14/01 PM  10.5/11.0   0.6/ 1.1   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 15/01 AM  11.8/12.3   1.9/ 2.3  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 15/02 PM  10.5/11.0   0.6/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None

Scituate
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.5 FT, Moderate 14.0 FT, Major 16.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 FT, Moderate 4.3 FT, Major 6.3 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 12/11 PM  11.0/11.5   1.3/ 1.8  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 13/12 PM   9.5/10.0  -0.2/ 0.2  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 14/12 AM  11.2/11.7   1.5/ 2.0  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 14/01 PM   9.7/10.2   0.0/ 0.5  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None    
 15/01 AM  11.3/11.8   1.6/ 2.0  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 15/02 PM   9.9/10.4   0.2/ 0.7  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None

Sandwich / Dennis
MLLW Categories - Minor 13.0 FT, Moderate 14.0 FT, Major 15.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.7 FT, Moderate 3.7 FT, Major 5.2 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 12/11 PM  11.6/12.1   1.3/ 1.8   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 13/12 PM  10.1/10.6  -0.2/ 0.2   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 14/12 AM  11.9/12.4   1.6/ 2.0   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 14/01 PM  10.4/10.9   0.1/ 0.6   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 15/01 AM  11.8/12.3   1.5/ 2.0  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 15/02 PM  10.4/10.9   0.1/ 0.6  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None

Provincetown Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 FT, Moderate 13.5 FT, Major 15.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 FT, Moderate 3.4 FT, Major 4.9 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 12/11 PM  12.1/12.6   2.0/ 2.5   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 13/12 PM  10.5/11.0   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/12 AM  12.2/12.7   2.1/ 2.6  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 14/01 PM  10.8/11.3   0.7/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 15/01 AM  12.2/12.7   2.1/ 2.6  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 15/02 PM  10.9/11.4   0.8/ 1.3  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None

Chatham - East Coast
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.5 FT, Moderate 12.0 FT, Major 13.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 FT, Moderate 4.3 FT, Major 5.3 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/12 AM   6.7/ 7.2  -1.1/-0.6  -0.2/ 0.3     3       None    
 13/01 PM   5.4/ 5.9  -2.3/-1.9  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/01 AM   6.8/ 7.3  -1.0/-0.5  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/02 PM   5.6/ 6.1  -2.2/-1.7   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 15/02 AM   6.8/ 7.3  -1.0/-0.5  -0.2/ 0.3     3       None

Chatham - South Coast
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.0 FT, Moderate 10.5 FT, Major 11.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 4.5 FT, Moderate 6.0 FT, Major 7.0 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/12 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.2/ 0.7   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 13/01 PM   3.5/ 4.0  -1.1/-0.6  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 14/01 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.2/ 0.7  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 14/02 PM   3.7/ 4.2  -0.8/-0.2   0.0/ 0.5    1-2      None    
 15/02 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.2/ 0.7  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None

Buzzards Bay - Woods Hole
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 FT, Moderate 7.0 FT, Major 8.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 3.5 FT, Moderate 5.0 FT, Major 6.5 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 12/09 PM   3.2/ 3.7   1.3/ 1.8   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 13/09 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.7/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 13/09 PM   3.2/ 3.7   1.3/ 1.8   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 14/10 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.8/ 1.3  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 14/10 PM   3.2/ 3.7   1.3/ 1.8   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 15/11 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.8/ 1.3  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None

Wings Neck
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.5 FT, Moderate 9.0 FT, Major 11.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.2 FT, Moderate 4.7 FT, Major 7.2 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 12/08 PM   5.4/ 5.9   1.1/ 1.6   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 13/09 AM   4.5/ 5.0   0.2/ 0.7  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None    
 13/09 PM   5.6/ 6.1   1.3/ 1.8   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 14/10 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.5/ 1.0   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 14/10 PM   5.5/ 6.0   1.2/ 1.7   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 15/11 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.5/ 1.0   0.0/ 0.5     1       None

Nantucket Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 FT, Moderate 6.5 FT, Major 8.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.4 FT, Moderate 2.9 FT, Major 4.4 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/12 AM   4.0/ 4.5   0.5/ 1.0   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 13/01 PM   3.0/ 3.5  -0.7/-0.2  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/01 AM   4.0/ 4.5   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/02 PM   3.2/ 3.7  -0.5/ 0.0   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 15/02 AM   4.0/ 4.5   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None

Nantucket East Coast - Erosion Impacts

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/12 AM   4.5/ 5.0   0.4/ 0.9   0.0/ 0.5    2-3      None    
 13/01 PM   3.4/ 3.9  -0.8/-0.2  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/01 AM   4.5/ 5.0   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/02 PM   3.6/ 4.1  -0.6/-0.1   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 15/02 AM   4.4/ 4.9   0.2/ 0.8  -0.2/ 0.3     3       None

Nantucket - Madaket Area Erosion Impacts

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/12 AM   3.0/ 3.5   1.6/ 2.0   0.1/ 0.6     2       None    
 13/01 PM   2.2/ 2.7   0.9/ 1.4  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/01 AM   2.7/ 3.2   1.4/ 1.9  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 14/02 PM   2.5/ 3.0   1.1/ 1.6   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 15/02 AM   2.7/ 3.2   1.4/ 1.9  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 15/02 PM   2.2/ 2.7   0.9/ 1.4  -0.2/ 0.2     3       None

&&

$$

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2 follow-up statements
706 
WHUS41 KBOX 131504
CFWBOX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1104 AM EDT Fri Jul 13 2018


MAZ007-015-016-019-022-024-132315-
/O.CON.KBOX.CF.S.0009.180714T0300Z-180714T0600Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Nantucket MA-
1104 AM EDT Fri Jul 13 2018

...Minor splashover possible for east coastal MA late tonight...

* LOCATIONS...Eastern Plymouth MA, Suffolk MA, Eastern Essex MA, 
  Barnstable MA, Eastern Norfolk MA and Nantucket MA Counties.

* TIMING...During high tide between midnight and 130 AM.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Minor splashover possible along
  vulnerable east coastal MA shoreline roads. 

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Category thresholds are based on still water levels. Impacts 
may be greater, depending upon wave action.

Newburyport
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.0 FT, Moderate 12.5 FT, Major 14.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.5 FT, Moderate 3.0 FT, Major 4.5 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/12 PM   8.4/ 8.9  -1.1/-0.7  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 14/01 AM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 14/01 PM   8.6/ 9.1  -1.0/-0.5  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 15/01 AM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.2     3       None    
 15/02 PM   8.8/ 9.3  -0.8/-0.2  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 16/02 AM   9.9/10.4   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None

Gloucester Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.0 FT, Moderate 14.5 FT, Major 15.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.5 FT, Moderate 5.0 FT, Major 6.0 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/12 PM   9.8/10.3   0.2/ 0.8   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 14/12 AM  11.5/12.0   2.0/ 2.5   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 14/01 PM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 15/01 AM  11.4/11.9   1.9/ 2.3  -0.2/ 0.3     3       None    
 15/02 PM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.3     3       None    
 16/02 AM  11.1/11.6   1.6/ 2.0  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None

Boston Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 FT, Moderate 15.0 FT, Major 16.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 FT, Moderate 4.9 FT, Major 5.9 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/12 PM  10.2/10.7   0.1/ 0.6  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None    
 14/12 AM  11.9/12.4   1.8/ 2.2  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None    
 14/01 PM  10.4/10.9   0.2/ 0.8  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None    
 15/01 AM  11.9/12.4   1.8/ 2.2  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None    
 15/02 PM  10.5/11.0   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None    
 16/02 AM  11.6/12.1   1.5/ 2.0  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None

Revere
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 FT, Moderate 15.0 FT, Major 16.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.6 FT, Moderate 5.1 FT, Major 6.6 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/12 PM  10.3/10.8   0.4/ 0.9   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 14/12 AM  12.0/12.5   2.1/ 2.6   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 14/01 PM  10.5/11.0   0.6/ 1.1   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 15/01 AM  11.9/12.4   2.0/ 2.5   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 15/02 PM  10.5/11.0   0.6/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 16/02 AM  11.5/12.0   1.6/ 2.0  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None

Scituate
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.5 FT, Moderate 14.0 FT, Major 16.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 FT, Moderate 4.3 FT, Major 6.3 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/12 PM   9.5/10.0  -0.2/ 0.2  -0.2/ 0.2    1-2      None    
 14/12 AM  11.2/11.7   1.5/ 2.0  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None    
 14/01 PM   9.7/10.2   0.0/ 0.5  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None    
 15/01 AM  11.3/11.8   1.6/ 2.0  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 15/02 PM   9.9/10.4   0.2/ 0.7  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 16/02 AM  11.1/11.6   1.4/ 1.9  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None

Sandwich / Dennis
MLLW Categories - Minor 13.0 FT, Moderate 14.0 FT, Major 15.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.7 FT, Moderate 3.7 FT, Major 5.2 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/12 PM  10.1/10.6  -0.2/ 0.2   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 14/12 AM  11.9/12.4   1.6/ 2.0   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 14/01 PM  10.4/10.9   0.1/ 0.6   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 15/01 AM  11.8/12.3   1.5/ 2.0  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 15/02 PM  10.4/10.9   0.1/ 0.6  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 16/02 AM  11.5/12.0   1.2/ 1.7  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None

Provincetown Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 FT, Moderate 13.5 FT, Major 15.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 FT, Moderate 3.4 FT, Major 4.9 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/12 PM  10.5/11.0   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/12 AM  12.2/12.7   2.1/ 2.6  -0.2/ 0.3    1-2      None    
 14/01 PM  10.8/11.3   0.7/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.3    1-2      None    
 15/01 AM  12.2/12.7   2.1/ 2.6  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 15/02 PM  10.9/11.4   0.8/ 1.3  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 16/02 AM  11.9/12.4   1.8/ 2.2  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None

Chatham - East Coast
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.5 FT, Moderate 12.0 FT, Major 13.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 FT, Moderate 4.3 FT, Major 5.3 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/01 PM   5.4/ 5.9  -2.3/-1.9  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/01 AM   6.8/ 7.3  -1.0/-0.5  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/02 PM   5.6/ 6.1  -2.2/-1.7   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 15/02 AM   6.8/ 7.3  -1.0/-0.5  -0.2/ 0.3     3       None    
 15/03 PM   5.7/ 6.2  -2.0/-1.6  -0.2/ 0.3     3       None

Chatham - South Coast
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.0 FT, Moderate 10.5 FT, Major 11.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 4.5 FT, Moderate 6.0 FT, Major 7.0 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/01 PM   3.5/ 4.0  -1.1/-0.6  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 14/01 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.2/ 0.7  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 14/02 PM   3.7/ 4.2  -0.8/-0.2   0.0/ 0.5    1-2      None    
 15/02 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.2/ 0.7  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 15/03 PM   3.7/ 4.2  -0.8/-0.2  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None

Buzzards Bay - Woods Hole
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 FT, Moderate 7.0 FT, Major 8.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 3.5 FT, Moderate 5.0 FT, Major 6.5 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/09 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.7/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 13/09 PM   3.2/ 3.7   1.3/ 1.8   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 14/10 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.8/ 1.3  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 14/10 PM   3.2/ 3.7   1.3/ 1.8   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 15/11 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.8/ 1.3  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 15/11 PM   2.8/ 3.4   0.9/ 1.4  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None

Wings Neck
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.5 FT, Moderate 9.0 FT, Major 11.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.2 FT, Moderate 4.7 FT, Major 7.2 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/09 AM   4.6/ 5.1   0.2/ 0.8  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 13/09 PM   5.6/ 6.1   1.3/ 1.8   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 14/10 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.5/ 1.0   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 14/10 PM   5.5/ 6.0   1.2/ 1.7   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 15/11 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.5/ 1.0   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 15/11 PM   5.1/ 5.6   0.8/ 1.3  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None

Nantucket Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 FT, Moderate 6.5 FT, Major 8.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.4 FT, Moderate 2.9 FT, Major 4.4 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/01 PM   3.0/ 3.5  -0.7/-0.2  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/01 AM   4.0/ 4.5   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/02 PM   3.2/ 3.7  -0.5/ 0.0   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 15/02 AM   4.0/ 4.5   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 15/03 PM   3.1/ 3.6  -0.6/-0.1  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None

Nantucket East Coast - Erosion Impacts

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/01 PM   3.4/ 3.9  -0.8/-0.2  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/01 AM   4.5/ 5.0   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/02 PM   3.6/ 4.1  -0.6/-0.1   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 15/02 AM   4.4/ 4.9   0.2/ 0.8  -0.2/ 0.3     3       None    
 15/03 PM   3.5/ 4.0  -0.7/-0.2  -0.2/ 0.2     3       None

Nantucket - Madaket Area Erosion Impacts

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/01 PM   2.2/ 2.7   0.9/ 1.4  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/01 AM   2.7/ 3.2   1.4/ 1.9  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 14/02 PM   2.5/ 3.0   1.1/ 1.6   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 15/02 AM   2.7/ 3.2   1.4/ 1.9  -0.2/ 0.3    2-3      None    
 15/03 PM   2.3/ 2.8   1.0/ 1.5  -0.2/ 0.3     3       None

&&

$$

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@NWSBoston
456 
WHUS41 KBOX 132033
CFWBOX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
433 PM EDT Fri Jul 13 2018


MAZ007-015-016-019-022-024-140445-
/O.CON.KBOX.CF.S.0009.180714T0300Z-180714T0600Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Nantucket MA-
433 PM EDT Fri Jul 13 2018

...Minor splashover possible along vulnerable east coastal MA 
shoreline roads...

* LOCATIONS...Eastern Plymouth MA, Suffolk MA, Eastern Essex MA, 
  Barnstable MA, Eastern Norfolk MA and Nantucket MA Counties.

* TIMING...During high tide between midnight and 130 AM.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Minor splashover possible along
  vulnerable east coastal MA shoreline roads. 

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Category thresholds are based on still water levels. Impacts 
may be greater, depending upon wave action.

Newburyport
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.0 FT, Moderate 12.5 FT, Major 14.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.5 FT, Moderate 3.0 FT, Major 4.5 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 14/01 AM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.2    2-3      None    
 14/01 PM   8.6/ 9.1  -1.0/-0.5  -0.2/ 0.2    2-3      None    
 15/01 AM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.2     3       None    
 15/02 PM   8.8/ 9.3  -0.8/-0.2  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 16/02 AM   9.9/10.4   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None

Gloucester Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.0 FT, Moderate 14.5 FT, Major 15.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.5 FT, Moderate 5.0 FT, Major 6.0 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 14/12 AM  11.5/12.0   2.0/ 2.5   0.0/ 0.5     3       None    
 14/01 PM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1   0.0/ 0.5    2-3      None    
 15/01 AM  11.4/11.9   1.9/ 2.3  -0.2/ 0.3    3-4      None    
 15/02 PM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 16/02 AM  11.1/11.6   1.6/ 2.0  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None

Boston Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 FT, Moderate 15.0 FT, Major 16.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 FT, Moderate 4.9 FT, Major 5.9 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 14/12 AM  11.9/12.4   1.8/ 2.2  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 14/01 PM  10.4/10.9   0.2/ 0.8  -0.2/ 0.2    1-2      None    
 15/01 AM  11.9/12.4   1.8/ 2.2  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 15/02 PM  10.5/11.0   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None    
 16/02 AM  11.6/12.1   1.5/ 2.0  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None

Revere
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 FT, Moderate 15.0 FT, Major 16.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.6 FT, Moderate 5.1 FT, Major 6.6 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 14/12 AM  12.0/12.5   2.1/ 2.6   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 14/01 PM  10.5/11.0   0.6/ 1.1   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 15/01 AM  11.9/12.4   2.0/ 2.5   0.0/ 0.5    2-3      None    
 15/02 PM  10.5/11.0   0.6/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 16/02 AM  11.5/12.0   1.6/ 2.0  -0.2/ 0.2     1       None

Scituate
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.5 FT, Moderate 14.0 FT, Major 16.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 FT, Moderate 4.3 FT, Major 6.3 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 14/12 AM  11.2/11.7   1.5/ 2.0  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 14/01 PM   9.7/10.2   0.0/ 0.5  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 15/01 AM  11.3/11.8   1.6/ 2.0  -0.2/ 0.2    2-3      None    
 15/02 PM   9.9/10.4   0.2/ 0.7  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 16/02 AM  11.1/11.6   1.4/ 1.9  -0.2/ 0.2    1-2      None

Sandwich / Dennis
MLLW Categories - Minor 13.0 FT, Moderate 14.0 FT, Major 15.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.7 FT, Moderate 3.7 FT, Major 5.2 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 14/12 AM  11.9/12.4   1.6/ 2.0   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 14/01 PM  10.4/10.9   0.1/ 0.6   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 15/01 AM  11.8/12.3   1.5/ 2.0  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 15/02 PM  10.4/10.9   0.1/ 0.6  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 16/02 AM  11.5/12.0   1.2/ 1.7  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None

Provincetown Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 FT, Moderate 13.5 FT, Major 15.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 FT, Moderate 3.4 FT, Major 4.9 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 14/12 AM  12.2/12.7   2.1/ 2.6  -0.2/ 0.3    1-2      None    
 14/01 PM  10.8/11.3   0.7/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 15/01 AM  12.2/12.7   2.1/ 2.6  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 15/02 PM  10.9/11.4   0.8/ 1.3  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 16/02 AM  11.9/12.4   1.8/ 2.2  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None

Chatham - East Coast
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.5 FT, Moderate 12.0 FT, Major 13.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 FT, Moderate 4.3 FT, Major 5.3 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 14/01 AM   6.8/ 7.3  -1.0/-0.5  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/02 PM   5.6/ 6.1  -2.2/-1.7   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 15/02 AM   6.8/ 7.3  -1.0/-0.5  -0.2/ 0.3     3       None    
 15/03 PM   5.7/ 6.2  -2.0/-1.6  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 16/03 AM   6.6/ 7.1  -1.1/-0.7  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None

Chatham - South Coast
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.0 FT, Moderate 10.5 FT, Major 11.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 4.5 FT, Moderate 6.0 FT, Major 7.0 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 14/01 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.2/ 0.7  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 14/02 PM   3.7/ 4.2  -0.8/-0.2   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 15/02 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.2/ 0.7  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 15/03 PM   3.7/ 4.2  -0.8/-0.2  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 16/03 AM   4.5/ 5.0   0.0/ 0.5  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None

Buzzards Bay - Woods Hole
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 FT, Moderate 7.0 FT, Major 8.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 3.5 FT, Moderate 5.0 FT, Major 6.5 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/09 PM   3.2/ 3.7   1.3/ 1.8   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 14/10 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.8/ 1.3  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 14/10 PM   3.2/ 3.7   1.3/ 1.8   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 15/11 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.8/ 1.3  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 15/11 PM   2.8/ 3.4   0.9/ 1.4  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 16/12 PM   2.6/ 3.1   0.6/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None

Wings Neck
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.5 FT, Moderate 9.0 FT, Major 11.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.2 FT, Moderate 4.7 FT, Major 7.2 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 13/09 PM   5.6/ 6.1   1.3/ 1.8   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 14/10 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.5/ 1.0   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 14/10 PM   5.5/ 6.0   1.2/ 1.7   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 15/11 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.5/ 1.0   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 15/11 PM   5.1/ 5.6   0.8/ 1.3  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 16/11 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None

Nantucket Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 FT, Moderate 6.5 FT, Major 8.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.4 FT, Moderate 2.9 FT, Major 4.4 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 14/01 AM   4.0/ 4.5   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.3    1-2      None    
 14/02 PM   3.2/ 3.7  -0.5/ 0.0   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 15/02 AM   4.0/ 4.5   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 15/03 PM   3.1/ 3.6  -0.6/-0.1  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 16/03 AM   3.7/ 4.2   0.2/ 0.7  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None

Nantucket East Coast - Erosion Impacts

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 14/01 AM   4.5/ 5.0   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 14/02 PM   3.6/ 4.1  -0.6/-0.1   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 15/02 AM   4.4/ 4.9   0.2/ 0.8  -0.2/ 0.3     3       None    
 15/03 PM   3.5/ 4.0  -0.7/-0.2  -0.2/ 0.2     3       None    
 16/03 AM   4.2/ 4.7   0.1/ 0.6  -0.2/ 0.2     3       None

Nantucket - Madaket Area Erosion Impacts

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 14/01 AM   2.7/ 3.2   1.4/ 1.9  -0.2/ 0.2     2       None    
 14/02 PM   2.5/ 3.0   1.1/ 1.6   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 15/02 AM   2.7/ 3.2   1.4/ 1.9  -0.2/ 0.3    2-3      None    
 15/03 PM   2.3/ 2.8   1.0/ 1.5  -0.2/ 0.3    2-3      None    
 16/03 AM   2.7/ 3.2   1.3/ 1.8  -0.2/ 0.2     3       None

&&

$$

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood statement went out at Jul 13, 1:41 AM EDT, 2 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 13, 1:41 AM EDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
141 AM EDT Fri Jul 13 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure brings dry weather with seasonable temperatures
and comfortable humidity through Saturday morning. Hit or miss
heavy rainers and thunderstorms are possible at times over the
weekend into next week. Near or above seasonable conditions
throughout.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
10PM Update...
No significant changes to the previous forecast. Most of the
diurnal clouds have since dissipated across the region, apart
from some high level clouds that continue to linger across
northern MA. High pressure continues to move eastward over the
northeast providing clear and dry conditions through tonight
for much of SNE. However, fog remains possible for parts of the
region, especially along the coast and SE MA and as onshore
winds drop below 5kts.

Previous discussion...
Main concern revolves around present onshore sea-breezes.
Dewpoints have jumped up as high as 10 degrees into the upper
50s, especially around Narragansett Bay. With radiational
cooling on tap and forecast lows down into the low to mid 50s
for typically prone spots, there is the threat of shallow ground
fog for some locations. Per the rapid refresh short-term
ensemble, or NARRE, the risk appears greatest for SE-coastal New
England where presently dewpoints have risen. Visibility less
than 4 miles is entirely possible. Can't rule out issues for
some of the Islands especially Marthas Vineyard.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
Trough moves off to the east of our area while upper ridge moves
in. Expect sunny skies and dry weather with another round of
diurnal cumulus for the midday and afternoon. The mixed layer
once again goes deep, up to 800 mb, tapping similar temperatures
to today...thus supporting max sfc temps in the upper 70s to mid
80s inland. Light flow at the surface will again allow sea
breezes along the coast with sfc temps in the 70s.

Still under the influence of the ridge, we expect quiet weather
for Friday night with light surface flow. Temps will cool to
between 55 and 65 degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
*/ Highlights...

 - Weekend hit or miss heavy rainers, thunderstorms
 - Tuesday sweeping line of heavy rainers, thunderstorms
 - Late week shot of wet weather
 - Near or above seasonable conditions throughout

*/ Overview...

Weekend into following week scattered showers and thunderstorms at
times. Interrogating the atmosphere, interestingly a phase 5/6 MJO
however lately we've seen strong H85 and H2 westerly anomalies for
early July over the N Pacific and CONUS, negligible anomalies along
the equator. Signals that suggest excessive heat, humidity remain
out of our region. More notable is a +2 AO. Dominant polar low with
a negative anomaly extending on up through the stratosphere. Take-
away are less pronounced trof-dips across the N Hemisphere. So its
no surprise ensemble means signal near-zonal flow from the N Pacific
through the CONUS with a subtle H5 trof pattern and weak wave action
over the E-half of N America into late July.

That being said, forecasting a series of sweeping weak disturbances
for the foreseeable future. Trailing cold fronts along which we'll
see hit or miss heavy rainers, thunderstorms followed by refreshing
airmasses.

*/ Details...

The weekend looks busy with hit or miss elements, perhaps Saturday
associated with remnant MCS activity that re-flares over-night into
Sunday round a dominant SE-CONUS H5 ridge. Better chances of W wet-
weather outcomes. While on Sunday a stout H5 trof axis digs in from
the N renewing focus. Marginal shear, weak steering flow throughout.
Precipitable waters up to 2-inches. Watching K-indices, high values
of theta-E. Hit or miss, heavy rainers and thunderstorms, perhaps
gusty winds.

Over the week, another sweeping cold front Tuesday, more pronounced,
perhaps late. SW inflow of decent moisture, instability. Marginal
shear, however good lift and forcing, seemingly better chances of
widespread outcomes rather than hit or miss. Looking like a line of
convective outcomes.

Another round of wet-weather by the end of the week. Further out in
time, a low confidence forecast however looking like Friday impacts.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Saturday/...High confidence.

VFR with sct-bkn 6-10 kft cigs developing today and Sat. A few
showers or t-storms may develop across western MA Sat afternoon
with brief lower conditions. Patchy late night radiation fog
possible at normally prone locations. Sea breezes developing
today and Sat.

KBOS Terminal...High confidence. Sea breeze developing by 15z.

KBDL Terminal...High confidence.

Outlook /Saturday Night through Tuesday/...

Saturday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, slight chance TSRA.

Sunday: VFR. Chance SHRA, chance TSRA.

Sunday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, slight chance TSRA.

Monday through Monday Night: VFR.

Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. Chance
SHRA, chance TSRA.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Saturday/...High confidence.

High pressure moves over the waters. Light winds trend out of
the southeast or south Friday, with sea breezes redeveloping
nearshore during Friday. Winds less than 25 knots and seas less
than 5 feet through Friday night.

Outlook /Saturday Night through Tuesday/...

Saturday: Winds less than 25 kt.

Saturday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching
5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers, slight chance of
thunderstorms.

Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.
Chance of rain showers, chance of thunderstorms.

Sunday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Slight chance of rain
showers, slight chance of thunderstorms.

Monday through Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt.

Tuesday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up
to 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain
showers, chance of thunderstorms.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Astronomical tides will be rather high during the night time
high tide cycles tonight through Sat night. Fortunately wave
action will not be much of a factor and surge is limited.
However, leftover SE swell may result in minor splashover for
vulnerable areas along east coastal MA tonight.

Tides are slightly higher Fri night and Sat night so additional
rounds of splashover are possible during these high tide
cycles.

Interesting to note...astronomical high tides will again be
high in mid-August but a little lower than the current set of
astro tides. The next set of high astronomical tides in Jan-
Feb will be lower than the August tides. This trend to lower
values for the high astronomical tides continues through the
end of 2019.

Boston Astro High Tide...

12.06 feet   Thursday 11:22 PM
12.25 feet   Saturday 12:16 AM
12.23 feet   Sunday    1:11 AM

Nantucket Astro High Tide...

4.33 feet Friday   12:21 AM
4.38 feet Saturday 1:18 AM
4.34 feet Sunday   2:15 AM

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WTB/Sipprell
NEAR TERM...Sipprell/Correia
SHORT TERM...WTB
LONG TERM...Sipprell
AVIATION...KJC/Sipprell
MARINE...WTB/Sipprell
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 12, 3:44 PM EDT, 12 hours 9 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
344 PM EDT Thu Jul 12 2018

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>006-008>014-017-018-020-021-023-026-RIZ001>008-
131945-
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-
Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-
Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-
Dukes MA-Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-
Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
344 PM EDT Thu Jul 12 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Connecticut, all of
all of Rhode Island, and all of Massachusetts except Berkshire County
and east coastal locations.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MAZ007-015-016-019-022-024-131945-
Eastern Essex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Barnstable MA-Nantucket MA-
344 PM EDT Thu Jul 12 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east coastal Massachusetts.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A Coastal Flood Statement is in effect for tonight's high tide.
Minor splashover of vulnerable shoreline roads is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

A Coastal Flood Statement may be needed for Friday nights high tide.
Once again, minor splashover of vulnerable shoreline roads is possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-131945-
Boston Harbor-Cape Cod Bay-Nantucket Sound-Vineyard Sound-
Buzzards Bay-Rhode Island Sound-Narragansett Bay-Block Island Sound-
Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National
Marine Sanctuary-Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay-
Coastal waters from Provincetown MA to Chatham MA to Nantucket MA
out 20 nm-
Coastal Waters extending out to 25 nm South of Marthas Vineyard and
Nantucket-
Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to
20 nm South of Block Island-
344 PM EDT Thu Jul 12 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts and Rhode
Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

For the latest updates, please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

Nearby

Coastal Flood Statements in Massachusetts, 2018Every coastal flood statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.