Severe Thunderstorm Warning 38, NWS Birmingham, AL

031 
WWUS54 KBMX 222357
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
657 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

ALC065-230030-
/O.CON.KBMX.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-180423T0030Z/
Hale AL-
657 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN HALE COUNTY...

At 656 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Shelton State Community College to near Mertz to
near Newbern, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Greensboro, Moundville, Newbern, Mound State Park, Elliots Creek,
Harper Hill, Wateroak, Moundville Airport, Laneville, Phipps and
Havana.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3274 8762 3301 8768 3300 8742 3283 8742
      3283 8747 3266 8747 3265 8753 3252 8752
      3249 8763
TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 240DEG 29KT 3306 8753 3288 8747 3262 8754 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

17/KLAWS

730 
WWUS54 KBMX 230009
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
709 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

ALC065-230030-
/O.CON.KBMX.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-180423T0030Z/
Hale AL-
709 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN HALE COUNTY...

At 708 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles southeast of Shelton State Community College
to near Mertz to near Newbern, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Phipps and Wateroak. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3282 8756 3300 8756 3300 8742 3283 8742
      3283 8747 3266 8747 3265 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 0008Z 247DEG 23KT 3306 8747 3288 8741 3262 8748 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

17/KLAWS

630 
WWUS54 KBMX 230018
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
718 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

ALC065-230028-
/O.CAN.KBMX.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-180423T0030Z/
Hale AL-
718 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN HALE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3282 8756 3300 8756 3300 8742 3283 8742
      3283 8747 3266 8747 3265 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 0016Z 240DEG 29KT 3309 8740 3291 8734 3265 8741 

$$

17/KLAWS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
633 PM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.UPDATE...
MESOSCALE UPDATE.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Upper low is now located across north-central Arkansas with an
occluding surface low analyzed west of Memphis, TN. An occluded
front extends southeast of the occluding low to a triple point
with a well-defined surface low that is moving into west Alabama
currently. To the southeast of this low extends a warm front that
was analyzed across south Alabama and into the Florida Panhandle.
A cold front stretches south of this low across Mississippi and
into eastern Louisiana.

05

.SHORT TERM...

Focus of interest is with a line of rain showers and a few
thunderstorms that is moving east-northeast. It currently extends
from Winston County south toward Marengo County. The low-levels of
the atmosphere are most unstable along and east of this line of
convection roughly near Interstate 20 from Tuscaloosa to
Birmingham and towards Anniston and points south.

Low-level wind fields are maximized in the vicinity of the
surface low so best severe storm potential exists across our
western and into our central counties as the surface low continues
to move east-northeast. Primary concerns remain with damaging
wind potential along with the potential for brief tornadoes.

Wind shear will lessen late tonight with the departing surface low
to the northeast while available instability will also decrease
with the arrival of the occluded front overnight which will end
the risk for strong to severe storms.

A wind advisory will continue until 4 am CDT due to the potential
of strong wind gusts across mainly higher elevations of central
and eastern Alabama as the pressure gradient tightens across this
area.

05

.LONG TERM...
Monday through Saturday.

On Monday, our rain maker surface low pressure system is expected
to be near MEM with a front extending out from it into North and
Far Eastern Alabama. Rain activity will continue Monday across the
north and eastern counties with moisture slowly getting cut off
from the south. A few light rain showers will be possible for
Tuesday with the passage of the upper low to our north across
Kentucky and Tennessee. We have a break for late Tuesday as
system one exits. Behind the first front, temperatures should be
rather seasonable for mid April with 50s/70s for lows/highs
respectively. Not expecting a big drop as this Pacific system will
not have any decent cold air intrusion over Alabama.

An upper trough will dig into Eastern Conus and become a closed
low over the Great Lakes on Wednesday. As it does, a shortwave
will swing around it into the Deep South from the Central Plains.
In doing so, it will usher in front number two on Wednesday and
bring an end to our short rain break. With little recovery time of
our air mass, only scattered rain showers are expected with this
system through Thursday with the front (Wed) and then upper
shortwave (Thu). The air mass will be reinforced but likely only
a few degrees cooler behind system 2.

As if two were not enough, system three approaches right as two
exits with only a brief rain break for Thursday night. This third
system does have lower confidence as guidance solutions differ by
6-12 hours on timing. However, low rain chances are expected for
Friday for now and possibly could be added to Saturday if the
slower solution wins out. This system does have a rather large
upper low that takes its time to move across the Great Lakes and
New England over next weekend. This would mean a longer time with
a slightly cooler upper flow to allow for readings a little lower
as we round out the week into next weekend.

08

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF Discussion.

One area of showers and embedded storms have moved out of the area
and now the second wave as forecast is moving into the area. This
wave is already impacted TCL and will be impacted the rest of the
northern sites within the next 2 hours. MGM and TOI will be
impacted after 2Z and slide through the area by 6Z. IFR ceilings
by 10Z. The upper low will slide into the area after 15Z and
provide the area with generally MVFR ceilings and areas of drizzle
or light rain through the rest of the period.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Widespread rains will slide through the area tonight through
Monday. Some thunderstorms will be possible through the evening
along with heavy rain at times. A few storms could become severe
across the southern counties this afternoon and evening. A moist
air mass will linger over the area for the first half of the
upcoming week. Afternoon minimum relative humidity values will
remain above 50 percent through Thursday. Critical fire weather
conditions are not expected to be met.

08

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     57  68  54  70  52 / 100  70  40  40  10
Anniston    58  69  55  70  53 / 100  60  40  40  10
Birmingham  59  69  55  70  54 / 100  50  40  40  10
Tuscaloosa  57  69  55  72  54 /  80  40  20  30  10
Calera      58  68  55  70  54 / 100  40  30  30  10
Auburn      61  72  56  71  54 / 100  50  20  30  10
Montgomery  61  74  56  74  55 / 100  30  20  20  10
Troy        62  76  56  74  55 / 100  30  10  20  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES/...
Wind Advisory until 4 AM CDT Monday for the following counties:
Blount...Calhoun...Cherokee...Clay...Cleburne...Etowah...
Jefferson...Randolph...Shelby...St. Clair...Talladega.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
426 PM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

ALZ011>015-017>050-240030-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
426 PM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a marginal risk of severe weather through 1 AM. Brief
tornadoes and damaging winds up to 60 mph will be possible south of
a Vernon to Birmingham to Wedowee line.

Breezy conditions are also expected through tonight. Sustained winds
of 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 35 mph or more will be possible along
and north of a Birmingham to Calera to Wedowee line. Winds could gust
at times over 40 mph at higher elevations.

Locally heavy rainfall will be possible with showers and
thunderstorms through tonight as well, which could cause localized
minor flooding. Widespread flooding is not anticipated.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management may be needed
tonight.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
331 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WNW GRADY             32.01N 86.24W
04/22/2018                   MONTGOMERY         AL   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREES DOWN ON NAFTEL-RAMER ROAD. POSSIBLE
            TORNADO.

&&

JW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
437 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

ALZ022-030-031-222245-
Greene AL-Pickens AL-Sumter AL-
437 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PICKENS...NORTHWESTERN GREENE AND
NORTHWESTERN SUMTER COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

At 437 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Pickensville to 7 miles north of Emelle.
Movement was northeast at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Aliceville, Gordo, Reform, Carrollton, Pickensville, Union, McMullen,
Panola, West Greene, Benevola, Johnston Lake, Bevill Lock And Dam,
Garden, Ashcraft Corner, New West Greene, Mantua, Jena, Geiger,
Snoddy and Dillburg.

LAT...LON 3328 8831 3353 8795 3353 8784 3302 8783
      3274 8837
TIME...MOT...LOC 2137Z 233DEG 28KT 3323 8828 3284 8833

17/KLAWS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
549 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

ALZ023-222345-
Tuscaloosa AL-
549 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TUSCALOOSA COUNTY UNTIL 645 PM
CDT...

At 548 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles northwest of Lake Lurleen State Park to
near Union. Movement was northeast at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Tuscaloosa, Northport, Holt, Brookwood, Coaling, Coker, Samantha,
McFarland Mall, Lake Lurleen State Park, Tuscaloosa Amphitheater,
Tuscaloosa Regional Airport, Lake Wildwood, Binion Creek Landing,
Shelton State Community College, Bryant Denny Stadium, University
Mall, Deerlick Creek Campgrounds, Bankhead Lock And Dam, Whitson and
Lake Tuscaloosa.

LAT...LON 3340 8778 3360 8746 3359 8732 3349 8731
      3349 8733 3347 8734 3344 8730 3313 8728
      3309 8731 3301 8732 3302 8783 3327 8784
TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 237DEG 27KT 3338 8774 3295 8793

17/KLAWS