Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Binghamton, NY

873 
WGUS71 KBGM 252228
FFSBGM

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
628 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2018

PAC079-260315-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180726T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Luzerne PA-
628 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM EDT FOR
WESTERN LUZERNE COUNTY...

At 625 PM EDT, local law enforcement reported heavy rain along the 
western half of the county had resulted in several reports of 
flooded roads around Salem Township. Vehicles have been reported 
stuck in flood waters. Additional heavy rain will continue to stream 
north into the area this evening increasing the flood danger.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Muhlenberg, Berwick, Nanticoke, Plymouth, Edwardsville, Larksville,
Lehman, Luzerne, Dallas and Harveys Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 4105 7623 4114 7623 4114 7628 4120 7632
      4138 7628 4138 7601 4140 7595 4141 7585
      4099 7605 4095 7621

$$

JAB

408 
WGUS71 KBGM 260116
FFSBGM

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
916 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2018

PAC079-260315-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180726T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Luzerne PA-
916 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM EDT FOR
WESTERN LUZERNE COUNTY...

At 913 PM EDT, local law enforcement reported roads flooded in 
several locations including Shickshinny, Salem, Dallas and Chase 
townships. Drakes and Huntsville creeks were also reported to be 
overflowing. Additional moderate rainfall is expected through the 
remainder of the evening. 

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Muhlenberg, Berwick, Nanticoke, Plymouth, Edwardsville, Larksville,
Lehman, Luzerne, Dallas and Harveys Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 4105 7623 4114 7623 4114 7628 4120 7632
      4138 7628 4138 7601 4140 7595 4141 7585
      4099 7605 4095 7621

$$

MWG

746 
WGUS71 KBGM 260222
FFSBGM

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1022 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2018

PAC079-260232-
/O.CAN.KBGM.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180726T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Luzerne PA-
1022 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR WESTERN LUZERNE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

Flood waters have receded. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 4105 7623 4114 7623 4114 7628 4120 7632
      4138 7628 4138 7601 4140 7595 4141 7585
      4099 7605 4095 7621

$$

DJN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
318 PM EDT Wed Jul 25 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Persistent showers with heavy downpours, and isolated
thunderstorms will continue into tonight. After a quieter
Thursday, another frontal system will bring storms to our region
for Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
3 pm update...
Main concerns in the near term remain focused on the showers
and storms moving through this evening with embedded heavy
rain producing potentially localized flooding issues...and also
rising streams and creeks producing minor river flooding.

A Flash Flood Watch remains in the effect for the southern tier
of NY into the Catskills and across ne PA until 2 am tonight.
The timing was extended later to account for the convection
expected to last a little longer than expected.

The main corridor of moderate to heavy rain remains situated
from the Allegheny plateau north to the Tug Hill plateau. An
area of convergence along a stationary front co-located with a
ribbon of high PWATs from the mid-Atlantic up through nrn NY
into srn Quebec is interacting with weak instability and shear
to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon.

The area of focus will remain fairly stationary into early this
evening and slowly shift to the east later this evening as the
main upper trough moves ewd. The slow moving front and
humid/slightly unstable air mass will produce a period of heavy
rainfall rates...around 1-2 inches per hour in the heaviest
storm cells. The very moist antecedent ground conditions will
make for favorable flash flooding potential through tonight.

Showers will taper off tonight from west to east...and as this
occurs...light/calm winds and saturated ground conditions will
combine with cooling temperatures at the surface to produce a
weak low level inversion and favorable conditions for low clouds
and fog.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
3 pm update...
The fog will lift and mix out by the mid morning hours Thursday
and leave mainly quiet weather conditions through the rest of
the day. There is an approaching upper trough/cold front to the
west that will help usher in more cloud cover into the Finger
Lakes region later in the day. The showers should intensify
over Lake Erie in the afternoon and evening...making their way
into the wrn NY Thur night...but dissipating with the loss of
day time heating through the overnight hours.

Temperatures on Thursday will be much warmer than recently with
highs topping out in the lower 80s...although humidity will be
much lower...dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s instead of the
lower 70s. Lows Thursday night will be mild...into the lower to
mid 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
2 PM update...

Minor changes were made to the long term forecast.

High amplitude flow continues through the period. A large upper
level trough will be over eastern third of the country to start
with. A cold front moves through on Friday providing some
forcing. Shear is around 40 kts. Instability will be low in the
west with a late morning fropa. NEPA and the Catskills will be
more unstable with an afternoon fropa. Cape may get to 1k with
highs in the low 80s. SPC has this area highlighted for slight
chance of severe. With lower PWATs and less chance of training
widespread flash flooding is not expected. Convection will exit
to the east mostly in the evening.

A few mainly afternoon showers are possible on Saturday
afternoon with a secondary cold front under the base of the
broad trough. Better chances in CNY. Surface high pressure
moves in Saturday night and lasts into Sunday. This weekend high
mid 70s to around 80 with lows mid 50s to lows 60s.

Monday to Tuesday, a strong short wave drops southeast into the
back side of the upper level trough in the Plains. This will
shift the deep flow back to the southwest pumping moisture back
into our area. This pattern is slow but faster than the current
one. A slow moving front will cross the area Wednesday. Showers
and thunderstorms are possible Monday to Wednesday. Some of the
rain will be heavy. Highs rise to around 80 with lows in the
60s.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Widespread showers with embedded thunderstorms will continue
this afternoon and evening with fuel alternate cigs and IFR/MVFR
vsbys within the heaviest rain showers/storms. Chance of
thunderstorms fairly isolated, so not including TS in TAFs due
to uncertainty in timing and placement.

May see some brief improvement this evening between 02-06Z from
KRME to KSYR to KITH...but conditions for all sites should drop
back down into MVFR/fuel alternate required range...and then
temporarily into the IFR range at KELM, KBGM and KAVP with low
clouds and fog through 12-14Z Thursday morning. Conditions
return to VFR after 14-15Z.

Winds will be south at 5 to 10 knots gusting 15 to 20 kt this
afternoon...veering to the sw and going light/calm around or
just after midnight. Then winds increase to around 5 to 10 kt
out of the w/nw late Thursday morning.

Outlook...

Thursday afternoon...Mainly VFR.

Thursday night/Friday...Brief restrictions possible in
scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday/Sunday...Mainly VFR.

Monday...Restrictions possible in showers and storms.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Flash Flood Watch until 2 AM EDT Thursday for PAZ038>040-043-
     044-047-048-072.
NY...Flash Flood Watch until 2 AM EDT Thursday for NYZ022>025-
     044>046-055>057-062.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BJT
NEAR TERM...BJT
SHORT TERM...BJT
LONG TERM...TAC
AVIATION...BJT/DJP

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
243 PM EDT Wed Jul 25 2018

NYZ022>025-044>046-055-056-261845-
Steuben-Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Cortland-Chenango-Otsego-Tioga-
Broome-
243 PM EDT Wed Jul 25 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The potential exists for strong thunderstorms to develop across the
region on Friday. A few storms could become severe. Be sure to check
back for the latest weather forecast updates.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NYZ009-015>018-036-037-261845-
Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Madison-
Southern Oneida-
243 PM EDT Wed Jul 25 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Showers and isolated thunderstorms overnight may produce locally
heavy downpours, leading to isolated areas of minor flooding of poor
drainage urban areas and low lying locations.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The potential exists for strong thunderstorms to develop across the
region on Friday. A few storms could become severe. Be sure to check
back for the latest weather forecast updates.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NYZ057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-261845-
Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford-Susquehanna-Northern Wayne-Wyoming-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
243 PM EDT Wed Jul 25 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and
northeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The potential exists for strong thunderstorms to develop across the
region on Friday. A few storms will likely become severe. Be sure to
check back for the latest weather forecast updates.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
340 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     FLOOD            LIVERPOOL               43.11N  76.21W
07/25/2018                   ONONDAGA           NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            ONONDAGA LAKE PARKWAY CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING FROM
            LIVERPOOL TO I-81.

&&

JML/CJH