River Flood Warning 107, NWS La Crosse, WI

975 
WGUS83 KARX 100304
FLSARX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
1004 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

.Flooding expected along portions of the Turkey River in northeast 
Iowa, the Kickapoo River in southwest Wisconsin, and the Trempealeau 
River in West Central Wisconsin.

River forecasts take into account both observed and forecast 
precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars into flooded areas. Remember, it only takes two 
feet of water to float most automobiles, including sport utility 
vehicles. Turn Around, Don't Drown!

Additional river and weather information is available at...
http://www.weather.gov/lacrosse .

&&

WIC081-123-101804-
/O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-181011T1100Z/
/ONTW3.1.ER.181009T0935Z.181009T1130Z.181010T1700Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Ontario.
* until Thursday morning...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Wednesday morning.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4381 9051 4368 9057 4368 9061 4382 9061

$$

WIC103-123-101804-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0101.181010T0800Z-181012T0600Z/
/LAFW3.1.ER.181010T0800Z.181010T1800Z.181011T1200Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at La Farge.
* from late tonight to late Thursday night...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue
  to rise to near 12.4 feet by Wednesday. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Agricultural land adjacent to the river is 
  flooded and minor flooding affects some residences and commercial 
  properties. Water may also go over Highway 131 south of La Farge 
  near Ski Hill Road, and also over Winchell Valley Road at Bridge 8.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4368 9057 4353 9064 4354 9070 4368 9061

$$

WIC103-123-101804-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-181014T2230Z/
/VIOW3.2.ER.181010T0408Z.181011T1200Z.181013T2230Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Viola.
* until Sunday afternoon...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:37 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 16.4 feet by Thursday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Saturday.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Highway 56 just east of Viola is closed due 
  to flooding.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4353 9064 4347 9066 4346 9072 4348 9073 4354 9070

$$

WIC123-101804-
/O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-181015T1200Z/
/REAW3.1.ER.181009T1440Z.181011T1800Z.181014T1800Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Readstown.
* until Monday morning...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.8 feet by 
  Thursday. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water is up to the bottom of the Charles 
  Street Bridge.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4346 9072 4341 9077 4341 9079 4347 9078 4348 9073

$$

WIC023-101804-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0103.181010T0916Z-181015T1800Z/
/SOGW3.1.ER.181010T0916Z.181012T0600Z.181014T1800Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Soldiers Grove.
* from late tonight to Monday afternoon...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  5:55 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue
  to rise to near 15.3 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Sunday.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water may begin to flood the park and 
  campground area in the old section of town.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4341 9077 4339 9077 4336 9081 4337 9085 4341 9079

$$

WIC023-101804-
/O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0098.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GMIW3.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181012T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Gays Mills.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to rise to near 16.4 feet Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate flooding is possible in and around 
  Gays Mills.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4336 9081 4327 9082 4328 9086 4337 9085

$$

WIC023-101804-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0104.181010T1600Z-181017T0600Z/
/STEW3.2.ER.181010T1600Z.181013T0000Z.181016T1200Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Steuben.
* from Wednesday morning to Wednesday October 17...Or until the 
  warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue
  to rise to near 14.3 feet by Friday evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Bridge Street near the gage begins to flood 
  and Highway 179 may be threatened.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4327 9082 4308 9085 4306 9092 4315 9091 4328 9086

$$

WIC011-121-101804-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0105.181011T0000Z-181015T1424Z/
/DDGW3.1.ER.181011T0000Z.181013T0600Z.181014T2024Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Trempealeau River at Dodge.
* from Wednesday evening to Monday morning...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  9:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 7.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Wednesday evening and continue
  to rise to near 10.7 feet by Saturday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Sunday.
* Impact...At 9.5 feet...The entrance road to the Trempealeau National
  Wildlife Refuge is flooded.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4404 9158 4420 9163 4423 9158 4422 9158 4402 9149

$$

IAC043-101804-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0100.000000T0000Z-181014T0112Z/
/EKDI4.1.ER.181009T1348Z.181011T0000Z.181013T0712Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Turkey River at Elkader.
* until Saturday evening...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.2 feet by 
  Wednesday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday 
  morning.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4294 9146 4284 9134 4280 9136 4293 9161 4298 9161

$$

IAC043-101804-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-181013T2200Z/
/GRBI4.2.ER.181008T1507Z.181011T0000Z.181013T0400Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Turkey River at Garber.
* until Saturday afternoon...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.0 feet by 
  Wednesday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...County Road X3C at the south end of Garber 
  becomes inundated.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4280 9136 4284 9134 4269 9096 4272 9131

$$

IAC005-101804-
/O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0107.181010T1400Z-181012T0600Z/
/DCHI4.1.ER.181010T1400Z.181010T1800Z.181011T1200Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Upper Iowa River at Dorchester Hwy 76.
* from Wednesday morning to late Thursday night...Or until the 
  warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue
  to rise to near 14.2 feet by Wednesday. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Lowland agricultural areas begin to flood.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4350 9125 4343 9123 4339 9152 4334 9161 4341 9161

$$

090 
WGUS83 KARX 100833
FLSARX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
333 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.Flooding expected at Dorchester on the Upper Iowa River in 
northeast Iowa. 

River forecasts take into account both observed and forecast 
precipitation.

River forecasts take into account both observed and forecast 
precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
 
Do not drive cars into flooded areas. Remember, it only takes two 
feet of water to float most automobiles, including sport utility 
vehicles. Turn Around, Don't Drown!

Additional river and weather information is available at...
http://www.weather.gov/lacrosse .

&&

IAC005-102333-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0107.181010T2100Z-181011T2200Z/
/DCHI4.1.ER.181010T2100Z.181011T0000Z.181011T0400Z.NO/
333 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Upper Iowa River at Dorchester Hwy 76.
* from this afternoon to Thursday afternoon...Or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  3:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by today and continue to rise to 
  near 14.2 feet by this evening. The river will fall below flood 
  stage by this evening.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Lowland agricultural areas begin to flood.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4350 9125 4343 9123 4339 9152 4334 9161 4341 9161

$$

209 
WGUS83 KARX 101739
FLSARX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
1239 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.Flooding no longer expected along Upper Iowa River near Dorchester.

River forecasts take into account both observed and forecast 
precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

Do not drive cars into flooded areas. Remember, it only takes two 
feet of water to float most automobiles, including sport utility 
vehicles. Turn Around, Don't Drown!

Additional river and weather information is available at...
http://www.weather.gov/lacrosse .

&&

IAC005-101809-
/O.CAN.KARX.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-181011T2200Z/
/DCHI4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1239 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Upper Iowa River at Dorchester Hwy 76.
* At 12:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage with a value of 
  13.2 feet Thursday morning.


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
557 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 210 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

Water vapor satellite this afternoon shows the trough over the
Rockies deepening with an upper level low forming over southern
Colorado. The low will continue to deepen and become closed over
the Dakotas tonight and remained closed as it moves northeast
across Minnesota Wednesday. As the low moves northeast, a strong
short wave trough will move over the region and is expected to
produce strong pv advection in the 500-300 mb layer as moves
across late tonight into Wednesday morning. The surface front
currently extends from southwest Iowa into northern Wisconsin and
will not move much tonight and then get pushed east of the area
Wednesday. The short wave trough will push a surface low along the
front that is expected to move across the area overnight and
Wednesday morning. As these features approach the area, the low
level jet will crank up ahead of the surface low and should be
focused on the area this evening before becoming focused farther
to the north overnight. As the nose of the low level jet works
into the area, should see showers and some storms rapidly
redevelop over the area late this afternoon into the evening. The
latest set of hi-res meso scale models then suggest there could be
a break from the late evening into the early overnight until the
surface low and short wave start influencing the area with more
activity expected to form along the front and then work east
through the late overnight into Wednesday morning. All the
activity should then taper off from southwest to northeast late
Wednesday afternoon through the evening with just some lingering
precipitation chances into Wednesday night across the far north
in the cyclonic rap around flow.

With the front bisecting the area this afternoon, the areas east
of it are warming up with temperatures well into the 70s. Dew
points in the warm sector are in the middle to upper 60s yielding
ML CAPE values of 500-1000 J/Kg over northeast Iowa into southwest
Wisconsin. The 09.17Z RAP holds this CAPE in place in the warm
sector through the evening with just a slight decrease expected
from the loss of daytime heating. Plenty of shear will be in place
with 30 to 40 knots in the 0-3 km layer and up to 30 knots in the
0-1 km layer. This continues to suggest a severe potential through
the evening hours with damaging winds the main threat. There will
also be a tornado threat if any storms can remain discrete and
latch onto a boundary to maximize the turning in the low level
wind field.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 210 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

Once this system moves past the area, much cooler air will spill
in behind it. The entire area looks to have low temperatures below
freezing Thursday night and headlines will be needed to highlight
the end of the growing season. The next chance of precipitation
will be from Saturday night into Monday as the western long wave
trough finally looks like it will become progressive and should be
moving east across the central part of the country.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 557 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

Messy and poor aviation weather with wave and associated surface low
moving through region next 24 hours. Conditions vary from VFR in
warm sector, to LIFR near and just northeast of surface bounary. As
this low tracks northeast, these split conditions will pretty much
stay as is with our area straddling these conditions. TAF sites will
stay IFR to LIFR just on north side of front with occasional
convection moving through.

As system pulls east tomorrow, have introduced wind shifts and
should begin to see some drier air moving in with gradual shift back
to MVFR conditions at least late in forecast.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 210 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

No changes will be made to the ongoing flood watch. Conditions
remain favorable for more heavy rain through the overnight. As
mentioned above, the low level moisture transport will strengthen
and become focused on the area this evening before focusing
farther north overnight. Precipitable water values in the warm
sector will remain in the 1.75 to 2 inch range with warm cloud
depths around 3.5 km. With the repeated rounds of showers and
storms tonight into Wednesday morning, another 1 to 2 inches can
be expected to fall on grounds that are already saturated. Rivers
and streams will continue to rise with numerous river flood
warnings already issued and more expected to be issued tonight and
Wednesday. See the latest river flood warnings and statements for
specific river information or consult our hydrology web page at
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=ARX.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for WIZ017-029-032>034-
     041>044-053>055-061.

MN...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for MNZ079-086>088-094>096.

IA...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for IAZ008>011-018-019-029-
     030.

&&

SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM...04
AVIATION...Shea
HYDROLOGY...04

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
350 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

IAZ008-MNZ079-086>088-094-095-WIZ017-029-032>034-101200-
Mitchell-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Taylor-Clark-
Buffalo-Trempealeau-Jackson-
350 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for parts of northeast
Iowa, southeast Minnesota and western into north-central
Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A Flood Watch is in effect.

Rainfall will result in rises on some rivers and streams.
Flooding is possible.

Isolated thunderstorms also possible, mainly this afternoon into
tonight. Gusty winds and heavy rain are the main threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Periods of rain with scattered storms Wednesday. Many rivers and
streams are on the rise and some could flood. Elevated water
levels and some flooding will continue through late week.

Widespread freezing temperatures are expected Friday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Rainfall and any reports of flooding are appreciated.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

IAZ009>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ096-WIZ041>044-053>055-061-101200-
Howard-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-Clayton-
Houston-La Crosse-Monroe-Juneau-Adams-Vernon-Crawford-Richland-
Grant-
350 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast Iowa,
southeast Minnesota, and southwest into central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Flood Watch in effect.

Scattered storms this afternoon into the evening. A few could be
strong with isolated severe storms possible. Threats include
damaging winds and isolated tornadoes. Locally heavy rain could
lead to flooding in areas that are saturated from previous rains.
Many rivers and streams are also on the rise and some could
flood.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Periods of rain with scattered storms Wednesday. Many rivers and
streams are on the rise and some could flood. Elevated water
levels and some flooding will continue through late week.

Widespread freezing temperatures are expected Friday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Rainfall and any severe or flooding reports are appreciated.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

Rieck/JAM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
352 PM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018

IAZ030-WIZ054-061-092115-
Clayton-Crawford-Grant-
352 PM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL CLAYTON...NORTHWESTERN
GRANT AND SOUTHWESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES...

At 351 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Garnavillo, or
near Guttenberg, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Prairie Du Chien, Guttenberg, McGregor, Garnavillo, Bloomington,
Marquette, Bridgeport, Wauzeka, Glen Haven, Bagley, Mount Hope, Patch
Grove, Millville, Garber, Osterdock, Clayton, Elkport, Camp C.S.
Klaus, Bixby State Park and County Roads K And T.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4314 9114 4305 9078 4264 9116 4265 9143
TIME...MOT...LOC 2051Z 207DEG 33KT 4287 9115

Wetenkamp

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
508 PM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018

IAZ010-011-029-030-MNZ096-WIZ034-041>044-053>055-061-092330-
Fayette-Clayton-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Houston-Juneau-Richland-
Crawford-Jackson-Vernon-La Crosse-Adams-Monroe-Grant-
508 PM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018

...Strong to Severe Storms Expected Over parts of Northeast Iowa and
southwest Wisconsin This Evening...

Late this afternoon, scattered thunderstorms were impacting
northeast Iowa and southwest into central Wisconsin. These storms
occasionally produce hail and have shown signs of rotation. An
isolated tornado is possible with some of these storms.

If you have outdoor plans going into the evening, be alert for
approaching storms and warnings. If a warning is issued, move
indoors and seek shelter immediately.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4364 9031 4355 9031 4355 9019 4317 9020
      4321 9033 4320 9067 4264 9141 4264 9208
      4323 9208 4425 9031 4425 8960 4364 8960
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 240DEG 49KT 4313 9119

Shea

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
537 PM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             2 S READSTOWN           43.42N 90.76W
10/09/2018  M0.88 INCH       VERNON             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND 35-40 MPH WINDS.

&&

JSB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
547 PM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     TSTM WND GST     6 W READSTOWN           43.46N 90.89W
10/09/2018  E45 MPH          VERNON             WI   PUBLIC

&&

JSB