Red Flag Warning 25, NWS Amarillo, TX

Beaver County, OK, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Moore County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

791 
WWUS84 KAMA 032245
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
545 PM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>014-016>019-041200-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-180404T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0023.180404T1900Z-180405T0200Z/
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-
545 PM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR ALL OF THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND MOST OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES... 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND 
MOST OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE 
HUMIDITY VALUES...

* Affected Area...In Oklahoma...Cimarron...Texas and Beaver. In 
  Texas...Dallam...Sherman...Hansford...Ochiltree...Lipscomb... 
  Hartley...Moore...Hutchinson...Roberts...Hemphill...Oldham... 
  Potter...Carson...Gray...Deaf Smith...Randall...Armstrong and 
  Donley.

* 20 Foot Winds...North to northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph with
  higher gusts will diminish after 7 PM this evening. On
  Wednesday, southwest winds of 20 to 30 mph with higher gusts are
  expected. 

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent through 7 PM today. On
  Wednesday, minimum relative humidity values of 12 to 15 percent
  are anticipated. 

* Red Flag Threat Index...3 to 4 through 7 PM today, and 3 to 5 on
  Wednesday. 

* Timing...Ongoing critical fire weather conditions will end
  around 7 PM this evening. Critical fire weather conditions are
  forecast to return on Wednesday between 2 PM CDT and 9 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures will
create favorable weather for rapid fire growth and spread. Avoid
activities that promote open flames and sparks.

A Fire Weather Watch means that the potential for critical fire
weather conditions exists. Listen for later forecasts and
possible red flag warnings.

&&

$$

TXZ015-020-040000-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-180404T0000Z/
Wheeler-Collingsworth-
545 PM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR THE FAR SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...

* Affected Area...In Texas...Wheeler and Collingsworth.

* 20 Foot Winds...North to northeast winds of 20 to 25 mph with
  higher gusts will diminish after 7 PM this evening. 

* Relative Humidity...As low as 13 percent through 7 PM today. 

* Red Flag Threat Index...3 to 4 through 7 PM today. 
 
* Timing...Ongoing critical fire weather conditions will end
  around 7 PM this evening. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures will
create favorable weather for rapid fire growth and spread. Avoid
activities that promote open flames and sparks.

&&

$$

Andrade

For more information from the National Weather Service 
visit... www.weather.gov/ama

495 
WWUS84 KAMA 040005
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
705 PM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>014-016>019-041200-
/O.EXP.KAMA.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-180404T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0023.180404T1900Z-180405T0200Z/
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-
705 PM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND
MOST OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR ALL OF THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
AND MOST OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...

* Affected Area...In Oklahoma...Cimarron...Texas and Beaver. In 
  Texas...Dallam...Sherman...Hansford...Ochiltree...Lipscomb... 
  Hartley...Moore...Hutchinson...Roberts...Hemphill...Oldham... 
  Potter...Carson...Gray...Deaf Smith...Randall...Armstrong and 
  Donley.

* 20 Foot Winds...On Wednesday, southwest winds of 20 to 30 mph 
  with higher gusts are expected.

* Relative Humidity...On Wednesday, minimum relative humidity 
  values of 12 to 15 percent are anticipated.

* Red Flag Threat Index...3 to 5 on Wednesday.

* Timing...Critical fire weather conditions are forecast to 
  return on Wednesday between 2 PM CDT and 9 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that the potential for critical fire
weather conditions exists. Listen for later forecasts and
possible red flag warnings.

&&

$$

TXZ015-020-040115-
/O.EXP.KAMA.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-180404T0000Z/
Wheeler-Collingsworth-
705 PM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THE FAR SOUTHEAST TEXAS
PANHANDLE DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...

20 foot winds have diminished and relative humidities are
continuing to slowly rise this evening. As a result, the Red Flag
Warning has been allowed to expire at 7 PM CDT.

$$

Schneider

For more information from the National Weather Service visit...
www.weather.gov/ama

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1247 AM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018

.AVIATION...
06Z Issuance...All sites will remain VFR through the period. Winds
will be southwesterly and 15-20 kts until around 09Z when a cold
front will swing winds northerly and gust 35-45 kts. Strong winds
will hang on until after 19Z when they should start to decrease to
gusts of 20-30 kts. Winds will ease after 00Z to aob 10kts and
begin swinging more easterly.

Beat

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 424 PM CDT Mon Apr 2 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Strong cold front to push south across the Panhandles late tonight
into Tuesday morning. Winds will shift to the north 20 to 35 mph
with higher gusts near 50 to 55 mph following the passage of the
cold front. A Wind Advisory or possibly a High Wind Warning may be
needed across portions of the forecast area after 12Z Tuesday but
decided to hold off for midnight shift to assess the situation for
location and timing. The strong northerly winds will persist
through about mid afternoon Tuesday before gradually subsiding.
Cold surface high to build into the forecast area Tuesday and
Tuesday night with freezing temps possible Tuesday night and
Wednesday morning. A Freeze Warning or Freeze Watch may be needed
by later shifts.

Surface trough to develop and deepen across eastern Colorado and
eastern New Mexico resulting in southwesterly winds to return
Wednesday and increase to around 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts.
Warmer and continued dry conditions expected. Another cold front
to move through the forecast area Thursday bringing much cooler
conditions late this week. 1035 to 1040 mb surface high builds
south across the Plains states late this week. Northwesterly flow
aloft allows for short wave troughs to approach the Panhandles by
Friday and Friday night bringing the possibility for precip later
this week. Precip expected to start off as cold rain Friday but
then possibly changing over to or mixing with freezing or frozen
by late Friday and Friday night mainly across the northern and
eastern portions of the forecast area. Current thinking is that
any precip should be light with trace amounts. Southerly winds to
return for the weekend, however a backdoor cold front will track
south and west across the forecast area Sunday.

Schneider

FIRE WEATHER...
A Fire Weather Watch has been issued from 9 AM until 7 PM for all
of the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles Tuesday. Strong north 20 foot
winds of 20 to 35 mph with gusts near 45 to 55 mph and minimum
afternoon humidities of 10 to 15 percent will allow for critical
fire weather conditions. RFTIs will be in the 3 to 4 range across
most of the Panhandles.

Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions will be
possible Wednesday as 20 foot winds become southwesterly again and
increase to around 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts. Minimum
afternoon humidities will be near 15 percent Wednesday and as low
as 10 percent in localized areas. RFTIs of 1 to 2 will be
possible.

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are also expected on
Sunday as mainly 20 foot westerly winds of 20 to 35 mph with
higher gusts over the southwestern half of the Panhandles and
northerly 20 foot winds of 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts across
the northeastern half of the area are expected. Minimum afternoon
humidities will range from 10 to 15 percent across the
southwestern Panhandles to around 20 to 25 percent across the
northeastern half Panhandles. RFTIs are forecast to be around 3 to
5 over the southwestern Panhandles with 1 to 2 elsewhere.

Schneider

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...Fire Weather Watch from 9 AM CDT this morning through this
     evening for the following zones: Armstrong...Carson...
     Collingsworth...Dallam...Deaf Smith...Donley...Gray...
     Hansford...Hartley...Hemphill...Hutchinson...Lipscomb...
     Moore...Ochiltree...Oldham...Potter...Randall...Roberts...
     Sherman...Wheeler.

OK...Fire Weather Watch from 9 AM CDT this morning through this
     evening for the following zones: Beaver...Cimarron...Texas.

&&

16/3

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
355 AM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-032115-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
355 AM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Critical to extremely critical fire weather conditions are
expected today across all of the Panhandles. A Red Flag Warning
will be in effect today for all of the Panhandles. Strong north
winds of 30 to 45 mph with higher gusts are expected. A High Wind
Warning will be in effect for the north-central and northeast
parts of the Combined Panhandles, and a Wind Advisory will be in
effect for the northwest, central, east-central and southeast
parts of the Combined Panhandles.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely again on
Wednesday across all of the area due to strong southwest winds and
low relative humidity values. A Fire Weather Watch will be in
effect on Wednesday for all of the Oklahoma Panhandle and for all
but the far southeast Texas Panhandle.

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions may develop on
Sunday across the southwest half of the Combined Oklahoma and
Texas Panhandles due to breezy west winds and low relative
humidity values.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

Area fire managers and emergency officials should be alert for
critical to extremely critical fire weather conditions today, and
for elevated to critical fire weather conditions again Wednesday
and Sunday.

Cockrell