Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2018

Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Albany, NY

January 11, 20184 counties in New York

NWS Albany, NY issued this winter storm warning at Jan 11, 2018, 3:45 PM EST for 4 counties in New York. It took effect at Jan 12, 2018, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 17 hr. 11 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 11, 2018, 3:45 PM EST (20:45 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 12, 2018, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 13, 2018, 12:27 PM EST
In force
17 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY

Counties Fulton County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Warren County, NY

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 13, 3:54 AM ESTSNOW 1Indian Lake, NYWEATHERNET6
Jan 13, 5:00 AM ESTSNOW 1Indian Lake, NYWEATHERNET6
Jan 13, 7:07 AM ESTSNOW 1.5Wells, NYWEATHERNET6
Jan 13, 8:25 AM ESTSNOW 32 Sw Indian Lake, NY24-HOUR SNOWFALL. CO-OP OBSERVER
Jan 13, 10:08 AM ESTSNOW 82 N Old Forge, NYNY MESONET
Jan 13, 10:10 AM ESTSNOW 51 Wnw Herkimer, NYNY MESONET
Jan 13, 10:11 AM ESTSNOW 33 Nne Piseco, NYNY MESONET
Jan 13, 10:12 AM ESTSNOW 42 Ene Indian Lake, NYNY MESONET
Jan 13, 10:13 AM ESTSNOW 43 Ene Cold Brook, NYNY MESONET
Jan 13, 10:16 AM ESTSNOW 5Beaver River, NY
Jan 13, 10:17 AM ESTSNOW 12Stillwater Reservoir, NY

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-01-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-01-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 380 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1039 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
380 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
407 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

884 
WWUS41 KALY 112045
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
345 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2018

NYZ032-033-121015-
/O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0001.180113T0000Z-180114T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KALY.WS.W.0002.180113T0000Z-180114T0000Z/
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-
Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, 
Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, 
Hoffmeister, and Wells
345 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Power outages and
  tree damage possible due to ice and snow. Travel will be
  dangerous. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches and ice 
  accumulations of up to two tenths of an inch are expected.

* WHERE...Northern Herkimer and Hamilton Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM Friday to 7 PM EST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates of up to an inch per hour
  are expected. Be prepared for significant reductions in 
  visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice are expected. This will make travel very hazardous or
impossible. The latest road conditions for the state you are
calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$

NYZ083-121015-
/O.EXA.KALY.WS.A.0001.180113T0000Z-180114T0000Z/
Southeast Warren-
Including the cities of Glens Falls and West Glens Falls
345 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2018

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Power outages and
  tree damage possible due to ice and snow. Plan on difficult
  travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches and
  ice accumulations of one tenth to one quarter of an inch are 
  possible.

* WHERE...Southeast Warren County.

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates of up to an inch per hour
  will be possible. Significant reductions in visibility are 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant
snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue
to monitor the latest forecasts.

$$

NYZ038>040-042-043-082-121015-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.A.0001.180113T0000Z-180114T0000Z/
Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Warren-
Northern Washington-Northern Fulton-
Including the cities of Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, 
Frankfort, Dolgeville, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, 
Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, North River, Warrensburg,
Hague, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, and Caroga Lake
345 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2018

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Plan on difficult 
  travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches, 
  with localized amounts up to 8 inches, and ice accumulations 
  of one tenth to one quarter of an inch are possible.

* WHERE...The western and central Mohawk Valley and southeast
  Adirondacks.

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates of up to an inch per hour
  will be possible. Significant reductions in visibility are 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant
snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue
to monitor the latest forecasts.

$$
6 follow-up statements
968 
WWUS41 KALY 120849
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
349 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

NYZ038-042-082-122200-
/O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0001.180113T0000Z-180114T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KALY.WS.W.0002.180113T0000Z-180114T0000Z/
Southern Herkimer-Northern Warren-Northern Fulton-
Including the cities of Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, 
Frankfort, Dolgeville, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, 
North River, Warrensburg, Hague, and Caroga Lake
349 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Plan on difficult
  travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches and
  ice accumulations of up to around one tenth of an inch are 
  expected.

* WHERE...Southern Herkimer, Northern Warren and Northern Fulton 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for significant reductions in 
  visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice are expected. This will make travel very hazardous or
impossible. The latest road conditions for the state you are
calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$

NYZ032-033-122200-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.180113T0000Z-180114T0000Z/
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-
Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, 
Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, 
Hoffmeister, and Wells
349 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Plan on difficult
  travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches 
  and ice accumulations of up to around one tenth of an inch are 
  expected.

* WHERE...Northern Herkimer and Hamilton Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for significant reductions in 
  visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice are expected. This will make travel very hazardous or
impossible. The latest road conditions for the state you are
calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$

NYZ039-040-043-083-122200-
/O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0001.180113T0000Z-180114T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KALY.WW.Y.0008.180113T0300Z-180114T0000Z/
Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Washington-Southeast Warren-
Including the cities of Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, 
Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, Glens Falls, 
and West Glens Falls
349 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. The ice will result in 
  difficult travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 
  4 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch 
  are expected.

* WHERE...Southern Fulton, Montgomery, Northern Washington and 
  Southeast Warren Counties.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 7 PM Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling
from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$

NYZ041-047>054-084-VTZ013>015-122200-
/O.NEW.KALY.WW.Y.0008.180113T0300Z-180114T0000Z/
Northern Saratoga-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-
Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-
Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, 
Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, 
North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, 
Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville,
Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, 
Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, 
Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge,
Greenwich, Middle Falls, North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, 
Woodford State Park, Pownal, Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, 
Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls
349 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. The ice will result in
  difficult travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of up to
  two inches, with 2 to 4 inches across northwestern Saratoga
  County. Ice accumulations of one to two tenths of an inch are 
  expected.

* WHERE...Capital District, Schoharie Valley, southern Washington
  and southern Vermont

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 7 PM Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling
from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ058>061-063>066-122200-
/O.NEW.KALY.WW.Y.0008.180113T0800Z-180114T0000Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-
Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-
Eastern Dutchess-
Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, 
New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, 
Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, 
South Egremont, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, 
Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, 
New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, 
Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie,
Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, 
Stanfordville, Pine Plains, and Amenia
349 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. The ice will result in 
  difficult travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of up to 
  one inch and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch 
  are expected.

* WHERE...Central and southeastern Catskills, mid Hudson Valley,
  the Berkshires and northwestern Connecticut.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 7 PM Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling
from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$
797 
WWUS41 KALY 121028
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
528 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

NYZ032-033-038-042-082-122200-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.180113T0000Z-180114T0000Z/
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Northern Warren-
Northern Fulton-
Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, 
Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, 
Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, 
Frankfort, Dolgeville, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, 
North River, Warrensburg, Hague, and Caroga Lake
528 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Plan on difficult
  travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches and
  ice accumulations of up to around one tenth of an inch are 
  expected.

* WHERE...Herkimer, Hamilton, Northern Warren and Northern Fulton
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for significant reductions in 
  visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice are expected. This will make travel very hazardous or
impossible. The latest road conditions for the state you are
calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$

NYZ039>041-043-047>054-083-084-VTZ013>015-122200-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0008.180113T0300Z-180114T0000Z/
Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Northern Washington-
Schoharie-Western Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady-
Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany-
Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-Southeast Warren-
Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, 
Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, 
Granville, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, 
Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, 
Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, 
Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, 
Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, 
Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, 
Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, 
North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, 
Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, 
West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls
528 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. The ice will result in
  difficult travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 2
  inches with higher amounts of 2 to 4 inches across the central
  Mohawk Valley and the foothills of the Adirondacks. Ice 
  accumulations of up to around one tenth of an inch are expected.

* WHERE...The greater Capital District including the Saratoga and
  Glens Falls areas, Washington County, the central Mohawk 
  Valley, Schoharie Valley and southern Vermont.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 7 PM Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling
from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ058>061-063>066-122200-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0008.180113T0800Z-180114T0000Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-
Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-
Eastern Dutchess-
Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, 
New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, 
Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, 
South Egremont, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, 
Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, 
New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, 
Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie,
Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, 
Stanfordville, Pine Plains, and Amenia
528 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM
EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. The ice will result in 
  difficult travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of up to 
  one inch and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch 
  are expected.

* WHERE...Central and southeastern Catskills, mid Hudson Valley,
  the Berkshires and northwestern Connecticut.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 7 PM Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling
from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$
758 
WWUS41 KALY 121630
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
1130 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

NYZ032-033-038-042-082-122300-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.180113T0000Z-180114T0000Z/
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Northern Warren-
Northern Fulton-
Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, 
Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, 
Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, 
Frankfort, Dolgeville, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, 
North River, Warrensburg, Hague, and Caroga Lake
1130 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Plan on difficult
  travel conditions. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 4 to 8
  inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch are 
  expected.

* WHERE...Herkimer, Hamilton, Northern Warren and Northern Fulton
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for significant reductions in 
  visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice are expected. This will make travel very hazardous or
impossible. The latest road conditions for the state you are
calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$

NYZ039>041-043-047>054-083-084-VTZ013>015-122300-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0008.180113T0300Z-180114T0000Z/
Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Northern Washington-
Schoharie-Western Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady-
Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany-
Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-Southeast Warren-
Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, 
Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, 
Granville, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, 
Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, 
Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, 
Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, 
Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, 
Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, 
Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, 
North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, 
Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, 
West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls
1130 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. The ice will result in
  difficult travel conditions. Total snow and sleet accumulations
  of 1 to 2 inches, with localized amounts up to 4 inches across 
  the central Mohawk Valley and the foothills of the Adirondacks. 
  Ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch are expected.

* WHERE...The greater Capital District including the Saratoga and
  Glens Falls areas, Washington County, the central Mohawk 
  Valley, Schoharie Valley and southern Vermont.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling
from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ058>061-063>066-122300-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0008.180113T0800Z-180114T0000Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-
Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-
Eastern Dutchess-
Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, 
New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, 
Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, 
South Egremont, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, 
Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, 
New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, 
Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie,
Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, 
Stanfordville, Pine Plains, and Amenia
1130 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM
EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. The ice will result in
  difficult travel conditions. Total snow and sleet accumulations
  of up to one inch and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of 
  an inch are expected.

* WHERE...Central and southeastern Catskills, mid Hudson Valley,
  the Berkshires and northwestern Connecticut.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 7 PM EST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at 
  times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling
from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$
320 
WWUS41 KALY 122053
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
353 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

NYZ032-033-038-042-082-131000-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.180113T0000Z-180114T0000Z/
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Northern Warren-
Northern Fulton-
Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, 
Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, 
Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, 
Frankfort, Dolgeville, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, 
North River, Warrensburg, Hague, and Caroga Lake
353 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Plan on difficult 
  travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches, 
  with localized amounts up to 12 inches, and ice accumulations 
  of up to two tenths of an inch are expected.

* WHERE...Herkimer, Hamilton, Northern Warren and Northern Fulton
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for significant reductions in
  visibility at times. Isolated to scattered power outages
  possible due to ice accumulation on trees and power lines.
  Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice are expected. This will make travel very hazardous or
impossible. The latest road conditions for the state you are
calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$

NYZ039>041-043-047>054-083-084-VTZ013>015-131000-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0008.180113T0300Z-180114T0000Z/
Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Northern Washington-
Schoharie-Western Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady-
Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany-
Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-Southeast Warren-
Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, 
Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, 
Granville, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, 
Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, 
Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, 
Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, 
Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, 
Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, 
Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, 
North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, 
Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, 
West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls
353 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. The ice will result in
  difficult travel conditions. Total snow and sleet accumulations
  of 1 to 3 inches, with localized amounts up to 6 inches possible
  across the central Mohawk Valley, and ice accumulations of one 
  tenth to two tenths of an inch are expected.

* WHERE...The greater Capital District including the Saratoga and
  Glens Falls areas, Washington County, the central Mohawk 
  Valley, Schoharie Valley and southern Vermont.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at
  times. Isolated to scattered power outages possible due to ice
  accumulation on trees and power lines. Snowfall rates of up to 
  1 inch per hour possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling
from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ058>061-063>066-131000-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0008.180113T0800Z-180114T0000Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-
Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-
Eastern Dutchess-
Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, 
New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, 
Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, 
South Egremont, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, 
Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, 
New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, 
Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie,
Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, 
Stanfordville, Pine Plains, and Amenia
353 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM
EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. The ice will result in
  difficult travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of up to
  one inch and ice accumulations of up to two tenths of an inch
  are expected, with localized amounts of up to three tenths of an
  inch possible across portions of the southern Taconics, southern
  Berkshires, and northern Litchfield Hills.

* WHERE...Central and southeastern Catskills, mid Hudson Valley,
  the Berkshires and northwestern Connecticut.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 7 PM EST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at
  times. Scattered power outages possible due to ice accumulations
  on trees and power lines.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling
from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$
707 
WWUS41 KALY 130831
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
331 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018


NYZ032-033-038-042-082-132200-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-180114T0000Z/
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Northern Warren-
Northern Fulton-
Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, 
Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, 
Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, 
Frankfort, Dolgeville, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, 
North River, Warrensburg, Hague, and Caroga Lake
331 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Plan on difficult 
  travel conditions. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches, 
  with localized amounts up to 12 inches, and ice accumulations 
  of up to two tenths of an inch are expected.

* WHERE...Herkimer, Hamilton, Northern Warren and Northern 
  Fulton Counties.

* WHEN...A mix of freezing rain, sleet and snow through daybreak 
  changing to snow and continuing through 7 PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for significant reductions in 
  visibility at times. Isolated to scattered power outages 
  possible due to ice accumulation on trees and power lines. 
  Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice are occurring. This will make travel very hazardous or
impossible. The latest road conditions for the state you are
calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ039>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-
084-VTZ013>015-132200-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-180114T0000Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-
Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-
Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-
Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-
Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess-
Southeast Warren-Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-
Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, 
New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, 
Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, 
South Egremont, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, 
Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, 
Granville, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, 
Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, 
Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, 
Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, 
Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, 
Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, 
Prattsville, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, 
Jefferson Heights, Hudson, New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, 
West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, 
Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, 
Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, Stanfordville, Pine Plains, 
Amenia, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward,
Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, North Easton, Stamford, 
Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, Stratton, Londonderry, 
Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls
331 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. The ice will result in
  difficult travel conditions. Total snow and sleet accumulations
  of up to 2 inches and ice accumulations of up to two tenths of 
  an inch are expected.

* WHERE...Eastern Catskills, Schoharie Valley, mid Hudson Valley,
  Capital District, Lake George Saratoga region, Taconics, the 
  Berkshires, southern Vermont and northwestern Connecticut.

* WHEN...Rain changing to freezing rain and sleet through this
  morning, changing to snow showers and continuing through to 7 
  PM EST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at 
  times. Scattered power outages possible due to ice 
  accumulations on trees and power lines.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling
from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$
544 
WWUS41 KALY 131727
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
1227 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

NYZ032-033-038-042-082-131830-
/O.CAN.KALY.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-180114T0000Z/
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Northern Warren-
Northern Fulton-
Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, 
Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, 
Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, 
Frankfort, Dolgeville, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, 
North River, Warrensburg, Hague, and Caroga Lake
1227 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Winter Storm Warning for the southwest Adirondacks including
all of Herkimer County has been cancelled. Although additional
snow showers will remain possible through this afternoon, the
threat for widespread snow and significant accumulations has 
ended.

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ039>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-
084-VTZ013>015-131830-
/O.CAN.KALY.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-180114T0000Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-
Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-
Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-
Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-
Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess-
Southeast Warren-Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-
Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, 
New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, 
Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, 
South Egremont, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, 
Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, 
Granville, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, 
Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, 
Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, 
Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, 
Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, 
Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, 
Prattsville, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, 
Jefferson Heights, Hudson, New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, 
West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, 
Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, 
Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, Stanfordville, Pine Plains, 
Amenia, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward,
Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, North Easton, Stamford, 
Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, Stratton, Londonderry, 
Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls
1227 PM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The Winter Weather Advisory has been cancelled for all of eastern
New York, southern Vermont, the Berkshires in Massachusetts, and
Litchfield County in Connecticut. Although lingering snow showers
will remain possible, especially across the Taconics and
Berkshires this afternoon, the threat for freezing rain and ice
accretion has ended.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 11, 1:23 PM EST, 2 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 11, 1:23 PM EST, 2 hours 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albany NY
123 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Heavy rainfall, freezing rain, sleet and snow all expected as we
close out the work week and head into the weekend as a complex
storm system impacts the region. Temperatures will warm to well
above normal as the system approaches with colder air filtering
back in as the storm moves across the region. Sunday will be
much colder in the wake of the system.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
As of 115 PM EST, todays weather remains tranquil and mild as
southerly flow begins to usher in warm, moist air. That being
said, mainly a quick update to refresh the hourly temps and sky
cover based on recent obs. Sent updates to NDFD and web servers.

Prev Disc...As of 915 AM EST, a few spotty rain showers are
currently moving through the Mohawk Valley and Adirondack
regions this morning. Temperatures at most locations are above
freezing except for a few spots in the Mohawk Valley. So have
issued an SPS for patchy freezing rain and black ice for these
areas this morning. Otherwise, no changes were made to the
forecast outside of refreshing the hourly temps based on recent
obs. Sent updates to NDFD and web servers.

Prev Disc...Today will be mild with ridging dominating our
weather. However, skies will remain cloudy as moisture is
trapped under a strong inversion. With the surface high and
upper ridge shifting off to our east we will have a southerly
flow of mild air into the region. Temperatures are expected to
warm into the 40s today.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Multi hazard complex storm system will impact the region tonight
through Saturday bringing moderate to heavy rainfall, freezing
rain, sleet and snow to the area as well as the potential for
flooding.

A Flood Watch remains in effect for all of east central New
York and adjacent western New England late tonight into Saturday
afternoon as the combination of heavy rainfall, snow melt and
potential ice jams may cause flooding on rivers and streams.

A Winter Storm Watch has been issued for the western and southern
Adirondacks, northern Washington County and the western and
central Mohawk Valley for Friday evening into Saturday evening
for freezing rain, sleet and snow. Additional headlines will
need to be issued.

The first threat is for potential for ice jams leading to flooding
on rivers, streams and creeks as well as urban and poor drainage
flooding. The combination of runoff from moderate to heavy rainfall
and snow melt may increase flows enough to cause the ice to break
up leading to ice jams. Please refer to the hydrology section for
more details.

A boundary will be gradually approaching as a wave of low pressure
moves northward along it. A strengthening southeast to south winds
will bring even milder air into the region Friday with temperatures
expected to rise into the upper 40s to mid 50s. In addition,
precipitable water values will also rise to 1 to 1 1/2 inches ahead
of the boundary setting the stage for a moderate to heavy rainfall
and for snow melt to occur. With the ground frozen runoff will
occur. The heaviest rainfall is expected late tonight and Friday
morning.

The boundary will move across the region Friday night into Saturday
as another area of low pressure travels along the boundary. As the
boundary moves through arctic air will undercut the mild air in
place along with moderate to heavy precipitation amounts resulting
in accumulations of ice, sleet and snow. Guidance shows the 925 mb
temperatures falling quicker than the 850 mb which will lead to a
period of freezing rain and sleet before the cold air becomes deep
enough for just snow. We are not expecting the ice or the sleet/snow
accumulations to reach warning criteria however the combination
of the ice accretion and moderate sleet/snow accumulations will
create dangerous conditions warranting the watch. Winter weather
advisories will be needed for the ice accretions and lesser
sleet/snow accumulations.

Temperatures will continue to drop through the day Saturday with
wintry precipitation spreading southward. By Saturday afternoon
the northwestern about half of the forecast area should be experiencing
snow with freezing rain and sleet for the southeastern half. By
this time with the wave of the low pressure moving away from the
area QPF amounts will become light.

With the temperatures falling so quickly Saturday flash freezing
is possible adding to the dangers from this complex system.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
In the wake of the departing storm system, northwesterly winds will
continue to funnel very cold air back into the region for the
remainder of the weekend.   Temperatures will continue to fall
Saturday nig.ht into Sunday morning, with lows ranging from
-10 over the western Adirondacks to +15 in the Mid Hudson
Valley. Some lingering lake enhanced snow showers or flurries
may continue through the overnight hours due to the passing
upper level trough, but little additional snowfall is expected.

As high pressure passes across the area, it should be dry with a
partly sunny sky for Sunday. It will be noticeably colder with highs
only in the teens to low 20s for most locations, although winds
should be fairly light due to the nearby subsidence.  The high
pressure area will depart off to the east for Sunday night into
Monday, but it should continue to remain dry with below normal
temperatures and a partly cloudy sky. Lows will be very cold
for Sunday night, ranging from -15 over the Adirondacks to +10
over southern areas and highs on Monday will once again be in
the teens to low 20s.

The next storm system look to impact the region at some point around
midweek. The models are showing some different ideas of how an
approaching northern stream clipper system will reform off the
eastern seaboard, with the ECMWF being less progressive than the
GFS.  The 00z GEFS show a variety of different solutions as well. In
any case, below normal temps will allow any precip with this system
to be in the form of snow, although the exact amounts and timing is
still very much in question.  For now, will go with chance POPs for
Tuesday into Tuesday night and continue to monitor model trends.
Highs generally look to be in the teens and 20s and lows in the
single digits.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Throughout the rest of the afternoon, it looks to be dry with a
continued southerly flow in place. As temps warm up aloft, low-
level moisture will be trapped beneath an inversion, allowing
for plenty of clouds. Ceiling heights will lower throughout the
day. KPOU/KPSF are already seeing IFR conditions and ceilings
there will remain around 800-1000 ft through the day. KALB/KGFL
are only seeing mid-level clouds right now, and the lower
portion of the atmosphere will continue to moisten thanks to the
persistent southerly flow. By later this evening, both sites
look to be down to MVFR levels, with IFR conditions possible by
the late evening hours. Southerly winds will continue to be
around 5-10 kts today.

Some mist may develop tonight, especially for the southern
sites. In addition, some rain, initially light in intensity,
will move into the region from southwest to northeast late in
the overnight hours. This will lower visibility down to about
3-5 SM with cigs in the IFR/LIFR range. The rain will start to
pick up in intensity right around daybreak Friday. Expect
IFR/LIFR conditions to continue through Friday morning with
moderate to heavy rain and reduced visibilities.

As winds aloft increase, will expect some LLWS for all
sites, as 2 kft winds will be around 35-40 kts from a southerly
direction and surface winds remain around 10 kts or less from a
southerly direction.

Outlook...

Friday: High Operational Impact. Definite RA.
Friday Night: High Operational Impact. Definite RA...FZRA...SLEET.
Saturday: High Operational Impact. Definite
SHSN...SN...FZRA...SLEET.
Saturday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHSN.
Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: No  Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Martin Luther King Jr Day: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHSN.
Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SN.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Flood Watch remains in effect for all of east central New York
and adjacent western New England late tonight into Saturday
afternoon as the combination of moderate to heavy rainfall,
snow melt and potential ice jams may cause flooding on rivers
and streams.

Temperatures will rise to well above normal today through
Friday with periods of rain. The steadiest and heaviest rainfall
is expected late tonight and Friday morning. The precipitation
will continue into Saturday however colder air will work in
causing a changeover to freezing rain, sleet and eventually snow
from northwest to southeast. The far southeastern portion of the
forecast area is expected to remain plain rain into Saturday
morning.

Based off temperature analysis, river and lake ice is estimated
between 7 and 15 inches thick. Increased flows from rainfall
runoff and snow melt should allow some river ice to break up
and potentially lead to some ice jams and possible ice jam
flooding. In addition, the heavy rainfall may lead to minor
flooding of urban and low lying areas, especially where snow and
ice block drainage. The MMEFS suggest that there even is the
potential for some flooding on main stem rivers, depending on
how warm temperatures get and just how much rainfall occurs.

Colder and drier weather is expected for Sunday into early next
week.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed
and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our
website.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Flood Watch from midnight EST tonight through Saturday
     afternoon for CTZ001-013.
NY...Flood Watch from midnight EST tonight through Saturday
     afternoon for NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
     082>084.
     Winter Storm Watch from Friday evening through Saturday
     evening for NYZ032-033-038>040-042-043-082.
MA...Flood Watch from midnight EST tonight through Saturday
     afternoon for MAZ001-025.
VT...Flood Watch from midnight EST tonight through Saturday
     afternoon for VTZ013>015.

&&

SYNOPSIS...IAA
NEAR TERM...IAA/JVM
SHORT TERM...IAA
LONG TERM...Frugis
AVIATION...Frugis/JVM
HYDROLOGY...IAA/KL
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 11, 5:17 AM EST, 10 hours 28 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albany NY
517 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2018

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ041-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013>015-121200-
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Northern Saratoga-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany-
Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-Western Greene-Eastern Greene-
Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-
Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess-Southeast Warren-
Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham-
517 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Connecticut,
western Massachusetts, southern Vermont and the Capital Region,
Glens Falls and Saratoga Springs areas, eastern Catskills, Schoharie
Valley, Taconics and mid Hudson Valley of east central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Rain will change to a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain and
eventually to snow for late Friday night into Saturday. Hazardous
travel can be expected due to slippery conditions. In addition,
rapidly falling temperatures on Saturday will lead to a flash freeze,
causing any standing water to freeze in place.  A Winter Weather
Advisory will likely be needed across the area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NYZ032-033-038>040-042-043-082-121200-
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-
Montgomery-Northern Warren-Northern Washington-Northern Fulton-
517 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the southern and western
Adirondacks, northern Washington County and the Mohawk Valley of
east central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Winter Storm Watch.

In addition, rapidly falling temperatures on Saturday will lead to a
flash freeze, causing any standing water to freeze in place.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 11, 3:56 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer, Montgomery, Warren, Washington24 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2018Every winter storm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.