Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2018
Winter Storm Warning 11, NWS Albany, NY
NWS Albany, NY issued this winter storm warning at Nov 15, 2018, 4:00 AM EST for 4 states. It took effect at Nov 15, 2018, 4:00 PM EST. It was in force for 20 hr. 60 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 15, 2018, 4:00 AM EST (09:00 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 15, 2018, 4:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Nov 16, 2018, 11:40 AM EST
- In force
- 20 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Albany, NY
Counties Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Windham County, VT
The radar
The Albany radar (KENX), 16 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 5:50 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 4.5 | Poughquag, NY | |
| Nov 15, 5:51 PM EST | SNOW 1 | Phoenicia, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 6:15 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 6.9 | Wappingers Falls, NY | MEASURED OVER LAST 2.5 HOURS |
| Nov 15, 6:44 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 6.5 | Hopewell Junction, NY | MEASURED IN UNDER 3 HOURS |
| Nov 15, 6:50 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 5.5 | Lagrange, NY | |
| Nov 15, 7:00 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 4.5 | Millbrook, NY | SNOW FELL BETWEEN 4:15PM AND 7PM |
| Nov 15, 7:05 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 4.5 | Millbrook, NY | SNOW FELL BETWEEN 4:15PM AND 7PM. |
| Nov 15, 7:06 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 7.8 | Lagrange, NY | MEASURED IN TWO HOURS. ROADS IMPASSABLE. |
| Nov 15, 7:10 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 6.3 | High Falls, NY | MEASURED IN ABOUT TWO HOURS. |
| Nov 15, 7:25 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 7.2 | Wallkill, NY | MEASURED IN UNDER 3 HOURS |
| Nov 15, 7:30 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 9 | Poughquag, NY | |
| Nov 15, 7:36 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 5.5 | Esopus, NY | MEASURED IN LAST 3 HOURS |
| Nov 15, 7:39 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 5.5 | Rhinebeck, NY | |
| Nov 15, 7:39 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 7.3 | 3 Ese Hopewell Junction, NY | |
| Nov 15, 7:48 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 8.5 | 4 S Hopewell Junction, NY | |
| Nov 15, 8:00 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 6.1 | Hurley, NY | |
| Nov 15, 8:01 PM EST | SNOW 2.5 | Jefferson, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 8:03 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 6.1 | Hurley, NY | ACCUMULATED OVER 3.5 HOURS |
| Nov 15, 8:04 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 5 | Arlington, NY | |
| Nov 15, 8:04 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 6.3 | Kingston, NY | |
| Nov 15, 8:05 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 8.9 | Poughkeepsie, NY | |
| Nov 15, 8:15 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 3 | Sandisfield, MA | |
| Nov 15, 8:32 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 7.4 | 3 Ne Lagrange, NY | |
| Nov 15, 8:35 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 10 | Poughquag, NY | |
| Nov 15, 8:41 PM EST | SNOW 2.2 | Richmondville, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 8:45 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 6 | Hyde Park, NY | |
| Nov 15, 8:58 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 8.2 | Esopus, NY | |
| Nov 15, 9:00 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 7.1 | Millbrook, NY | |
| Nov 15, 9:15 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 8.5 | Kingston, NY | |
| Nov 15, 9:24 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 7.5 | Rhinebeck, NY | |
| Nov 15, 9:30 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 2.3 | 1 W Albany, NY | |
| Nov 15, 9:30 PM EST | SNOW 4.5 | West Kill, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 9:30 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 9.8 | 2 Sse Poughkeepsie, NY | |
| Nov 15, 9:37 PM EST | SNOW 1.2 | Lake Desolation, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 9:48 PM EST | SNOW 3.5 | Jefferson, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 9:59 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 5.5 | 3 Wsw Housatonic, MA | |
| Nov 15, 10:00 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 2.8 | 2 W Albany, NY | 0.30 LIQUID EQUIVALENT |
| Nov 15, 10:00 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 9.5 | Esopus, NY | |
| Nov 15, 10:00 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 11 | Hopewell Junction, NY | |
| Nov 15, 10:05 PM EST | SNOW 9 | Ulster Park, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 10:07 PM EST | SNOW 6.6 | Taghkanic, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 10:10 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 10 | Arlington, NY | |
| Nov 15, 10:15 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 9.8 | Lagrange, NY | |
| Nov 15, 10:20 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 4.5 | 3 S Sandisfield, MA | |
| Nov 15, 10:25 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 4 | 5 Sse Halcott Center, NY | |
| Nov 15, 10:29 PM EST | SNOW 2.1 | Hessville, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 10:29 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 2.5 | Fonda, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 10:35 PM EST | SNOW 2.5 | Colonie, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 10:35 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 10.8 | Wallkill, NY | |
| Nov 15, 10:37 PM EST | SNOW 4 | Schoharie, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 10:38 PM EST | SNOW 4 | Austerlitz, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 10:45 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 9.5 | Kingston, NY | |
| Nov 15, 10:47 PM EST | SNOW 3 | Glen, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 10:50 PM EST | SNOW 2.8 | Center Brunswick, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 10:50 PM EST | SNOW 3 | Gilboa, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 10:55 PM EST | SNOW 2.2 | Amsterdam, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 10:55 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 3.1 | 1 N Sycaway, NY | |
| Nov 15, 10:56 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 9.1 | Wassaic, NY | |
| Nov 15, 10:57 PM EST | SNOW 4 | Jefferson, NY | WEATHERNET6 |
| Nov 15, 10:57 PM EST | SNOW 5 | Savoy, MA | WEATHERNET6 |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 9 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1661 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 76 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -37 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 0 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
090 WWUS41 KALY 150900 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 400 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 NYZ032-033-038-042-082-152200- /O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0009.181115T2100Z-181116T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WS.W.0011.181116T0000Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Northern Warren- Northern Fulton- Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, North River, Warrensburg, Hague, and Caroga Lake 400 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches expected. * WHERE...Herkimer, Hamilton, Northern Warren and Northern Fulton Counties. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning commute. Snowfall rates of one to two inches per hour possible Thursday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-152200- /O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0009.181115T2100Z-181116T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WW.Y.0030.181115T2100Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Southern Berkshire- Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia- Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess- Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, Stanfordville, Pine Plains, and Amenia 400 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 4 to 7 inches, locally up to 9 inches in the eastern Catskills. Ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch expected. * WHERE...The Mid Hudson Valley, eastern Catskills, and central and southern Taconics in eastern New York, the southern Berkshires in western Massachusetts, and northwestern Connecticut. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Thursday evening and Friday morning commutes. Isolated power outages are possible. Snowfall rates approaching an inch per hour Thursday evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$ MAZ001-NYZ039>041-043-047>054-083-084-VTZ013>015-152200- /O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0009.181115T2100Z-181116T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WW.Y.0030.181116T0000Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Berkshire-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga- Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady- Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany- Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer- Southeast Warren-Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham- Eastern Windham- Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls 400 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze expected. * WHERE...The Capital District, Schoharie Valley, central Mohawk Valley, Lake George Saratoga Region, northern Taconics, and Helderbergs of eastern New York, the northern Berkshires of western Massachusetts, and southern Vermont. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning. Snowfall rates approaching an inch per hour Thursday evening and early Thursday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$
6 follow-up statements
684 WWUS41 KALY 151702 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 1202 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-160115- /O.UPG.KALY.WW.Y.0030.181115T2100Z-181116T1800Z/ /O.EXB.KALY.WS.W.0011.181115T2100Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Southern Berkshire- Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia- Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess- Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, Stanfordville, Pine Plains, and Amenia 1202 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow late this afternoon into this evening, then mixed precipitation expected late this evening into Friday morning. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch expected. Locally higher accumulations up to 10 inches expected in the Catskills Mountains. * WHERE...Eastern Catskills, mid Hudson Valley, central and southern Taconics, southern Berkshires and Litchfield Hills. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult, especially during the evening commute today. Wintry conditions will also affect the morning commute Friday as mixed precipitation changes back to snow. Isolated power outages are possible. Snowfall rates of one to two inches per hour will start early this evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. && $$ MAZ001-NYZ039>041-047>053-083-VTZ014-015-160115- /O.UPG.KALY.WW.Y.0030.181116T0000Z-181116T1800Z/ /O.EXB.KALY.WS.W.0011.181115T2300Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Berkshire-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga- Schoharie-Western Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady- Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany- Western Rensselaer-Southeast Warren-Western Windham- Eastern Windham- Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls 1202 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow this evening, then mixed precipitation expected overnight into Friday morning. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 10 inches and ice accumulations of a glaze expected. * WHERE...Capital District, central and eastern Mohawk Valley, Schoharie Valley, Helderbergs, Saratoga Glens Falls region, Windham County in southern Vermont, and the northern Berkshires. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning commute. Snowfall rates of one to two inches per hour will occur this evening into early tonight. The heaviest looks to fall just after the evening commute today. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. && $$ NYZ032-033-038-042-082-160115- /O.EXT.KALY.WS.W.0011.181115T2300Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Northern Warren- Northern Fulton- Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, North River, Warrensburg, Hague, and Caroga Lake 1202 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches expected. * WHERE...The western and southern Adirondacks and the western Mohawk Valley. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning commute. Snowfall rates of one to two inches per hour expected tonight into Friday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ NYZ043-054-084-VTZ013-160115- /O.EXT.KALY.WW.Y.0030.181115T2300Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Washington-Eastern Rensselaer-Southern Washington- Bennington- Including the cities of Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, and Pownal 1202 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Moderate snow this evening into the early overnight hours, then mixed precipitation into Friday morning. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze expected. * WHERE...In Vermont, Bennington County. In New York, Washington and eastern Rensselaer Counties. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning. Snowfall rates approaching an inch per hour this evening and early tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$
276 WWUS41 KALY 152153 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 453 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-161000- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Southern Berkshire- Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia- Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess- Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, Stanfordville, Pine Plains, and Amenia 453 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow this evening, then mixed precipitation expected late this evening into Friday morning. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch expected. Locally higher accumulations up to 10 inches expected in the Catskills Mountains. * WHERE...Eastern Catskills, mid Hudson Valley, central and southern Taconics, southern Berkshires and Litchfield Hills. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult, especially during the evening commute today. Wintry conditions will also affect the morning commute Friday as mixed precipitation changes back to snow. Isolated power outages are possible. Snowfall rates of one to two inches per hour will start early this evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. && $$ MAZ001-NYZ032-033-038>042-047>053-082-083-VTZ014-015-161000- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0011.181115T2300Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Berkshire-Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer- Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren- Schoharie-Western Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady- Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany- Western Rensselaer-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren- Western Windham-Eastern Windham- Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Caroga Lake, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls 453 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow this evening, then mixed precipitation expected overnight into Friday morning from around Albany south and east. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches with up to 12 inches possible in parts of the southern Adirondacks, and ice accumulations of a glaze expected. * WHERE...Capital District, Mohawk Valley, Schoharie Valley, Helderbergs, Saratoga Glens Falls region, western and southern Adirondacks, Windham County in southern Vermont, and the northern Berkshires. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning commute. Snowfall rates of one to two inches per hour will occur this evening into early tonight. The heaviest snow looks to fall just after the evening commute today. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. && $$ NYZ043-054-084-VTZ013-161000- /O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0030.181115T2300Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Washington-Eastern Rensselaer-Southern Washington- Bennington- Including the cities of Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, and Pownal 453 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Moderate snow this evening into the early overnight hours, then mixed precipitation into Friday morning. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze expected. * WHERE...In Vermont, Bennington County. In New York, Washington and eastern Rensselaer Counties. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning. Snowfall rates approaching an inch per hour this evening and early tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$
454 WWUS41 KALY 160149 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 849 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-161000- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Southern Berkshire- Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia- Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess- Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, Stanfordville, Pine Plains, and Amenia 849 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow this evening, then mixed precipitation expected late this evening into Friday morning. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch expected. Locally higher accumulations up to 10 inches expected in the Catskills Mountains. * WHERE...southeast Catskills, mid Hudson Valley, central and southern Taconics, southern Berkshires and Litchfield Hills. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult, especially during this evening. Wintry conditions will also affect the morning commute Friday as mixed precipitation changes back to snow. Isolated power outages are possible. Snowfall rates of two to three inches per hour will occur early this evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. && $$ MAZ001-NYZ032-033-038>042-047>053-082-083-VTZ014-015-161000- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Berkshire-Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer- Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren- Schoharie-Western Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady- Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany- Western Rensselaer-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren- Western Windham-Eastern Windham- Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Caroga Lake, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls 849 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow this evening, then mixed precipitation expected overnight into Friday morning from around Albany south and east. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches with up to 12 inches possible in parts of the southern Adirondacks, and ice accumulations of a glaze expected. * WHERE...Capital District, Mohawk Valley, Schoharie Valley, Helderbergs, Saratoga Glens Falls region, western and southern Adirondacks, Windham County in southern Vermont, and the northern Berkshires. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning commute. Snowfall rates of one to two inches per hour will occur this evening into early tonight. The heaviest snow looks to fall through midnight tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. && $$ NYZ043-054-084-VTZ013-161000- /O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Washington-Eastern Rensselaer-Southern Washington- Bennington- Including the cities of Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, and Pownal 849 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Moderate snow this evening into the early overnight hours, then mixed precipitation into Friday morning. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze expected. * WHERE...In Vermont, Bennington County. In New York, Washington and eastern Rensselaer Counties. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning. Snowfall rates approaching an inch per hour this evening and early tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$
624 WWUS41 KALY 160837 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 337 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018 CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-161800- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Southern Berkshire- Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia- Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess- Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, Stanfordville, Pine Plains, and Amenia 337 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation changing to snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to two inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Southeast Catskills, mid Hudson Valley, central and southern Taconics, southern Berkshires and Litchfield Hills. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Mixed precipitation is expected to change to snow, impacting the morning commute. Snowfall rates could approach an inch per hour. Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. && $$ MAZ001-NYZ032-033-038>042-047>053-082-083-VTZ014-015-161800- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Berkshire-Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer- Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren- Schoharie-Western Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady- Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany- Western Rensselaer-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren- Western Windham-Eastern Windham- Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Caroga Lake, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls 337 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches, except 3 to 6 inches over the Mohawk Valley and southern Adirondacks. Ice accumulations of a light glaze. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph over the northern Berkshires. * WHERE...Capital District, Mohawk Valley, Schoharie Valley, Helderbergs, Saratoga Glens Falls region, western and southern Adirondacks, Windham County in southern Vermont, and the northern Berkshires. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Mixed precipitation is expected to change to snow, impacting the morning commute. Snowfall rates could approach an inch per hour. Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. && $$ NYZ043-054-084-VTZ013-161800- /O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Washington-Eastern Rensselaer-Southern Washington- Bennington- Including the cities of Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, and Pownal 337 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches, except up to 6 inches over northern Washington County. Ice accumulations of a light glaze. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...In Vermont, Bennington County. In New York, Washington and Eastern Rensselaer Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Mixed precipitation is expected to change to snow, impacting the morning commute. Snowfall rates could approach an inch per hour. Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$
404 WWUS41 KALY 161431 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 931 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018 NYZ032-033-038>040-042-047-048-051-058>060-063>065-082-161545- /O.CAN.KALY.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton- Montgomery-Northern Warren-Schoharie-Western Schenectady- Western Albany-Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia- Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Northern Fulton- Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, and Caroga Lake 931 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... The steady accumulating snow has ended across the region, therefore the winter storm warning has been cancelled. Only very light snow or flurries will occur the rest of the morning. $$ CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ061-066-161800- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Southern Berkshire- Eastern Columbia-Eastern Dutchess- Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, New Lebanon, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, Stanfordville, Pine Plains, and Amenia 931 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Snow will taper off later this morning. Additional snow accumulations of up to an inch will occur. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Central and southern Taconics, southern Berkshires and Litchfield Hills. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will taper off later this morning. Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ MAZ001-NYZ041-049-050-052-053-083-VTZ014-015-161800- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Berkshire-Northern Saratoga-Eastern Schenectady- Southern Saratoga-Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer- Southeast Warren-Western Windham-Eastern Windham- Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Albany, Troy, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls 931 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Snow will taper off this morning. Additional accumulation of 1 to 2 inches is expected. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph over the northern Berkshires. * WHERE...Capital District, Mohawk Valley, Schoharie Valley, Helderbergs, Saratoga Glens Falls region, western and southern Adirondacks, Windham County in southern Vermont, and the northern Berkshires. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will taper off this morning. Snowfall rates could approach an inch per hour before ending. Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ NYZ043-054-084-VTZ013-161800- /O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Washington-Eastern Rensselaer-Southern Washington- Bennington- Including the cities of Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, and Pownal 931 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT....Snow will taper off this morning. Additional accumulation of 1 to 2 inches is expected. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...In Vermont, Bennington County. In New York, Washington and Eastern Rensselaer Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will taper off this morning. Snowfall rates could approach an inch per hour before ending. Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. && $$
841 WWUS41 KALY 161640 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 1140 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ041-049-050-052-053-061-066-083-VTZ014- 015-161745- /O.CAN.KALY.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire- Southern Berkshire-Northern Saratoga-Eastern Schenectady- Southern Saratoga-Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer- Eastern Columbia-Eastern Dutchess-Southeast Warren- Western Windham-Eastern Windham- Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Albany, Troy, New Lebanon, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, Stanfordville, Pine Plains, Amenia, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls 1140 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... The main area of snow associated with our winter storm has exited eastern NY and western New England. A few lingering snow showers and flurries remain in its wake. $$ NYZ043-054-084-VTZ013-161745- /O.CAN.KALY.WW.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-181116T1800Z/ Northern Washington-Eastern Rensselaer-Southern Washington- Bennington- Including the cities of Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, and Pownal 1140 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... The main area of snow associated with our winter storm has exited eastern NY and western New England. A few lingering snow showers and flurries remain in its wake. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Nov 15, 1:05 AM EST, 2 hours 55 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 1:05 AM EST, 2 hours 55 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albany NY
105 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
Unseasonably and potentially record cold temperatures are
expected tonight with high pressure taking control of the
region. We continue to closely monitor a low pressure system for
Thursday night into Friday which could bring both snow and ice
accumulations to the region.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
As of 1015 PM EST...Canopy of thin CI/CS per satellite imagery
was streaming across the night sky across most of the CWA.
Temperatures and dewpoints continue to drop with portions of the
Dacks into the single digits (KSLK was -1F). Current
temperature forecast is in good shape. 00Z NAM arrival as the
remainder of the overnight period will remain dry as those high
clouds continue to thicken with 1038MB high tracks and retreats
to our northeast toward sunrise.
Prev Disc...Heading into tonight, high pressure builds in the
region which should help weaken the winds and lead to clearing
skies. Thus, expecting a very cold night thanks to near ideal
radiational cooling accompanied with very low dew points in the
single digits. Latest hi-res guidance shows only thin cirrus
across the region with the thicker clouds remaining well south
of our CWA. MOS guidance shows a few hours of CLR in the latest
output for DDH, ALB and GFL so continued the latest forecast
with lows in the single digits and teens throughout this area
with even some sub-zero readings in the Adirondacks. Some more
clouds could linger in the mid- Hudson Valley to NW CT so still
thinking these spots may be a tad warmer in the teens to near
20. A quick look at record lows for Nov 15 shows we could
challenge some records with these temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Thursday Afternoon
to Friday morning for the entire Albany County Warning Area...
We continue to monitor a very potent cut off shortwave trough
in the TN Valley that looks to interact with a weak low coming
out of the Gulf of Mexico during the day Thursday. The cut off
low will provide increasing upper level divergence, allowing the
low to intensify as it heads up the East Coast. A chilly air
mass remains in place over the Northeast thanks to the 1035mb
high pressure over head. With increasing cloud coverage through
the day ahead of the approaching coastal low, high temperatures
Thursday likely will only each the upper 20s to near 32 over
the Albany CWA.
By Thursday afternoon, the parent shortwave starts to
weaken/open up allowing the the coastal low to become more
organized and the dominant feature as it reaches the mid-
Atlantic. Very strong isentropic lift on the front end of the
approaching coastal storm along with an impressive 50 knot mid-
level jet means the approaching precipitation shield should
have no issues quickly overspreading the region from north to
south. Temperatures profiles support all snow at the onset with
surface temperatures likely dropping a few degrees to sub-
freezing readings as snow arrives due to wet bulb processes.
Model guidance continue to show this band being a transient type
band as discussed in previous CSTAR projects. With the strong
700-500mb FGEN, this band could produce moderate to even heavy
snow including potential 1 inch + per hour rates as it quickly
travels from the mid- Hudson Valley up into the Capital District
and areas northward Thursday afternoon into the evening. This
means potential impacts for the evening commute, mainly for the
mid- Hudson Valley and possibly for parts of the Capital
District, depending on the exact speed of this initial band.
Guidance continues to show this band moving quickly through the
Albany CWA Thursday evening as our coastal low continues to
deepen off the Delmarva/NJ coast down to near 1000-995mb by 06z
Friday. Newest model runs have trended a bit further south with
the coastal low's track with it now progressing from the NJ
coast eastward towards Long Island Thursday night. This means
that the aforementioned transient band could become more of a
pivot type band over the Adirondacks/western Mohawk Valley
allowing moderate snow to continue there with the warm sector
extending northward into the mid- Hudson Valley/NW CT areas.
Still uncertain on the exact placement of this band as that will
be determined by the exact track of the coastal low. It's
important to note that the temperature profiles Thursday night
in nearly all areas of the Albany CWA show a warm nose type of
signature around 800-700mb which would limit snow ratios to near 10
to 1, giving us a wetter type of snow with even sleet pellets
possible at times.
Once the warm sector moves into the mid-Hudson Valley/NW CT and
the southern Berkshires towards midnight Thursday, southern
areas may mix with and even become mainly sleet or freezing rain
with ice accretion possible. Including ice accretion impacts
for these areas in Winter Storm Watch. Areas in this warm sector
could also see precipitation lighten up which many ensemble
members support. This could increase ice accretion amounts.
Our coastal low continues to strengthen overnight as it heads
into coastal southern New England deepening to 990-995mb and as
it exits, it should drag the pivot/deformation band previously
discussed south and east through the Albany CWA. This would
allow a period of moderate to even heavy snow to return to areas
that had turned lighter overnight as this bands moves through.
Impacts to the Friday morning commute are possible as this bands
tracks through the area Friday morning. However, it looks like
this band should move through rather quickly since our coastal
low quickly exits out to sea. Overall, storm total snowfall
ranges 4 to 8 inches from the Capital District/southern VT into
the Adirondacks and Mohawk Valley with lower amounts ranging 2
to 4 inches in the mid-Hudson Valley/NW CT and southern
Berkshires due to more mixing and icing issues.
Most areas should an end to the steady snow by late A.M/early
afternoon Friday from northwest to southeast with temperatures
Friday warming up into the mid to upper 30s. However, the lull
in precipitation behind the departing coastal low looks brief
as a weakening clipper looks to exit the Great Lakes into
southern Canada bringing enhanced lake effect/upslope driven
snow to the southern Adirondacks, western Mohawk Valley and
perhaps the southern Greens Friday evening into Friday night.
Overnight lows Friday should only drop a few degrees, remaining
in the upper low 30s for most spots (upper 20s for higher
elevations).
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
An unsettled and cool pattern setting up through the long term
period as the weekend will likely feature occasional cloud coverage
along with the threat for light snow or snow showers. While a
surface high will transverse the region, in the mid and upper levels
will feature a broad west-southwest flow with rather high H850-500
RH fields. The best chance for snow and mainly afternoon rain
showers will be downwind of the lake and west of the Hudson at this
time. Precip amounts look to be rather light across those areas
that do get some precipitation due to the aforementioned surface
ridge and no strong low level forcing.
Short wave embedded within the long wave trough approaches the
central Plains and MidWest Sunday night into Monday. This should
bring about a weak surface wave to track close to the region with
the chance for some light snow. Again, weak features as precip
amounts look to be light but could cause travel issues into Monday
morning.
This wave tracks quickly east leaving behind a broad and moist
northwest flow regime with the threat for additional snow and rain
showers. However, thermal profiles per the global models are
trending colder into early next week so most of the precip outside
of lower valley locations should fall in the form of snow showers.
Temperatures throughout this period will continue below normal
thresholds with average highs in the 30s and lows in the teens and
20s (the warmest day looks to be Saturday with lower half of the
40s for valley locations).
&&
.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Thick cirrus shield will remain across the region overnight with
light and variable to calm winds with a surface high drifting
directly over the region. A coastal low has begun to develop
along the southeast coast. This low will rapid deepen Thursday
as it heads northeastward up the east coast and will bring
widespread wintry precipitation to the area. Snow will
overspread the area late in the day into the early evening with
conditions quickly dropping to IFR. It will remain cold enough
for all snow KGFL and KALB through 06z/Friday. However, warmer
air is expected to work in with a changeover to sleet and
freezing rain expected at KPOU and KPSF during the evening.
Light/variable to calm winds overnight with a light easterly flow
developing Thursday. Winds will shift more northerly in the evening
as the coastal low approaches. Low level wind shear may be needed
for KPOU and KPSF by Thursday evening however confidence is not
high enough to include in the TAFs at this time.
Outlook...
Friday: High Operational Impact. Definite SHRA...RA...SN.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SN.
Monday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...SHSN.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Unseasonably cold weather through tonight with lake effect snow
diminishing. A system will bring widespread wintry
precipitation to the region Thursday afternoon into Friday.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Mainly dry weather is expected through tonight aside from some
lingering lake effect snow. A low pressure system will bring
widespread wintry precipitation to the region Thursday afternoon
into Friday. The precipitation may become rain or freezing rain
especially from the Capital District south Thursday night into
Friday morning. QPF ranges from around 0.60 to 1.30 inches, with
the heaviest amounts over the Mid Hudson Valley, Litchfield
County, and the Berkshires where rivers are already running
high. Flooding on the main stem rivers is not expected, but some
urban and poor drainage flooding cannot be ruled out due to the
saturated ground.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Winter Storm Watch from this afternoon through Friday
afternoon for CTZ001-013.
NY...Winter Storm Watch from this afternoon through Friday
afternoon for NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084.
MA...Winter Storm Watch from this afternoon through Friday
afternoon for MAZ001-025.
VT...Winter Storm Watch from this afternoon through Friday
afternoon for VTZ013>015.
&&
SYNOPSIS...Speciale
NEAR TERM...Frugis/BGM/Speciale
SHORT TERM...Speciale
LONG TERM...BGM
AVIATION...Cebulko
FIRE WEATHER...Frugis
HYDROLOGY...ThompsonHazardous weather outlook, Nov 14, 6:48 PM EST, 9 hours 12 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Albany NY 648 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-151200- Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire- Southern Berkshire-Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer- Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren- Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady- Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany- Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-Western Greene-Eastern Greene- Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster- Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren- Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham- 648 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Connecticut, western Massachusetts, east central New York, eastern New York and southern Vermont. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 4:00 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | ALY | Berkshire | 32 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2018Winter Storm Warnings in Massachusetts, 2018Winter Storm Warnings in Vermont, 2018Every winter storm warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.