Alert archive / Virginia / Wind Advisories in 2018
Wind Advisory 7, NWS Wakefield, VA
NWS Wakefield, VA issued this wind advisory at Nov 14, 2018, 3:42 PM EST for 4 counties in Virginia; Currituck County, North Carolina; Worcester County, Maryland. It took effect at Nov 15, 2018, 4:00 AM EST. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 14, 2018, 3:42 PM EST (20:42 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 15, 2018, 4:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Nov 15, 2018, 9:05 PM EST
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Wakefield, VA
Counties Worcester County, MD, Currituck County, NC, Accomack County, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, Northampton County, VA
The radar
The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1100 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 81 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -153 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 49 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
533 WWUS71 KAKQ 142042 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 342 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 NCZ017-102-150445- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.181115T0900Z-181115T1800Z/ Western Currituck-Eastern Currituck- Including the cities of Knotts Island and Corolla 342 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect from 4 AM to 1 PM EST Thursday. * AREAS AFFECTED: Currituck County North Carolina. Strongest winds expected at the immediate coast of the Atlantic Ocean and the western shore of Currituck Sound. * WINDS: East to northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph. * TIMING: The strongest winds are expected Thursday morning primarily from 6 am through noon. * IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Isolated to scattered power outages will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use caution until the winds subside. && $$ VAZ095-098-100-525-150445- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.181115T1200Z-181115T2100Z/ Norfolk/Portsmouth-Virginia Beach-Northampton-Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Downtown Norfolk, Ghent, Norfolk International Arpt, Norfolk NAS, Norview, Ocean View, Wards Corner, Back Bay, Bayside, Cape Henry, Dam Neck, Gallups Corner, Kempsville, London Bridge, Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, Plantation, Buckroe Beach, Fort Monroe, Fox Hill, Grand View, Hallwood, Hampton, and Langley AFB 342 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect from 7 AM to 4 PM EST Thursday. * AREAS AFFECTED: Norfolk, Virginia Beach, Hampton and Northampton County on the Virginia eastern shore. Strongest winds expected at the immediate coast and shore. * WINDS: East to northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph. * TIMING: The strongest winds are expected Thursday morning through early Thursday afternoon. * IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Isolated to scattered power outages will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use caution until the winds subside. && $$ MDZ024-025-VAZ099-150445- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.181115T1500Z-181116T0000Z/ Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-Accomack- Including the cities of Snow Hill, Ocean City, Chincoteague, Wallops Island, and Melfa 342 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect from 10 AM to 7 PM EST Thursday. * AREAS AFFECTED: Worcester County Maryland and Accomack County Virginia. Strongest winds expected at the immediate coast of the Atlantic Ocean. * WINDS: East to northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph. * TIMING: The strongest winds are expected Thursday afternoon into early Thursday evening. * IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Scattered power outages will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use caution until the winds subside. && $$ LKB
6 follow-up statements
574 WWUS71 KAKQ 150208 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 908 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 NCZ017-102-151030- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.181115T0900Z-181115T1800Z/ Western Currituck-Eastern Currituck- Including the cities of Knotts Island and Corolla 908 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Currituck County North Carolina. Strongest winds expected at the immediate coast of the Atlantic Ocean and the western shore of Currituck Sound. * WINDS: East to northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph. * TIMING: The strongest winds are expected Thursday morning primarily from 6 am through noon. * IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Isolated to scattered power outages will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use caution until the winds subside. && $$ VAZ095-098-100-525-151030- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.181115T1200Z-181115T2100Z/ Norfolk/Portsmouth-Virginia Beach-Northampton-Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Downtown Norfolk, Ghent, Norfolk International Arpt, Norfolk NAS, Norview, Ocean View, Wards Corner, Back Bay, Bayside, Cape Henry, Dam Neck, Gallups Corner, Kempsville, London Bridge, Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, Plantation, Buckroe Beach, Fort Monroe, Fox Hill, Grand View, Hallwood, Hampton, and Langley AFB 908 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Norfolk, Virginia Beach, Hampton and Northampton County on the Virginia eastern shore. Strongest winds expected at the immediate coast and shore. * WINDS: East to northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph. * TIMING: The strongest winds are expected Thursday morning through early Thursday afternoon. * IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Isolated to scattered power outages will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use caution until the winds subside. && $$ MDZ024-025-VAZ099-151030- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.181115T1500Z-181116T0000Z/ Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-Accomack- Including the cities of Snow Hill, Ocean City, Chincoteague, Wallops Island, and Melfa 908 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Worcester County Maryland and Accomack County Virginia. Strongest winds expected at the immediate coast of the Atlantic Ocean. * WINDS: East to northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph. * TIMING: The strongest winds are expected Thursday afternoon into early Thursday evening. * IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Scattered power outages will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use caution until the winds subside. && $$
732 WWUS71 KAKQ 150837 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 337 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 NCZ017-102-151645- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.181115T0900Z-181115T1800Z/ Western Currituck-Eastern Currituck- Including the cities of Knotts Island and Corolla 337 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * AREAS AFFECTED: Currituck County North Carolina. Strongest winds expected at the immediate coast of the Atlantic Ocean and the western shore of Currituck Sound. * WINDS: East to northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph. * TIMING: The strongest winds are expected this morning primarily from 6 am through noon. * IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Isolated to scattered power outages will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use caution until the winds subside. && $$ VAZ095-098-100-525-151645- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.181115T1200Z-181115T2100Z/ Norfolk/Portsmouth-Virginia Beach-Northampton-Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Downtown Norfolk, Ghent, Norfolk International Arpt, Norfolk NAS, Norview, Ocean View, Wards Corner, Back Bay, Bayside, Cape Henry, Dam Neck, Gallups Corner, Kempsville, London Bridge, Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, Plantation, Buckroe Beach, Fort Monroe, Fox Hill, Grand View, Hallwood, Hampton, and Langley AFB 337 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * AREAS AFFECTED: Norfolk, Virginia Beach, Hampton and Northampton County on the Virginia eastern shore. Strongest winds expected at the immediate coast and shore. * WINDS: East to northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph. * TIMING: The strongest winds are expected this monring through early afternoon. * IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Isolated to scattered power outages will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use caution until the winds subside. && $$ MDZ024-025-VAZ099-151645- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.181115T1500Z-181116T0000Z/ Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-Accomack- Including the cities of Snow Hill, Ocean City, Chincoteague, Wallops Island, and Melfa 337 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * AREAS AFFECTED: Worcester County Maryland and Accomack County Virginia. Strongest winds expected at the immediate coast of the Atlantic Ocean. * WINDS: East to northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph. * TIMING: The strongest winds are expected this afternoon into early evening. * IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Scattered power outages will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use caution until the winds subside. && $$ Butner
555 WWUS71 KAKQ 151641 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1141 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 NCZ017-102-151745- /O.CAN.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-181115T1800Z/ Western Currituck-Eastern Currituck- Including the cities of Knotts Island and Corolla 1141 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has cancelled the Wind Advisory. $$ VAZ095-098-100-525-152100- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-181115T2100Z/ Norfolk/Portsmouth-Virginia Beach-Northampton-Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Downtown Norfolk, Ghent, Norfolk International Arpt, Norfolk NAS, Norview, Ocean View, Wards Corner, Back Bay, Bayside, Cape Henry, Dam Neck, Gallups Corner, Kempsville, London Bridge, Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, Plantation, Buckroe Beach, Fort Monroe, Fox Hill, Grand View, Hallwood, Hampton, and Langley AFB 1141 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * AREAS AFFECTED: Norfolk, Virginia Beach, Hampton and Northampton County on the Virginia eastern shore. Strongest winds expected at the immediate coast and shore. * WINDS: East to northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * TIMING: The strongest winds are expected through early afternoon. * IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Isolated to scattered power outages will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use caution until the winds subside. && $$ MDZ024-025-VAZ099-160000- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-181116T0000Z/ Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-Accomack- Including the cities of Snow Hill, Ocean City, Chincoteague, Wallops Island, and Melfa 1141 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * AREAS AFFECTED: Worcester County Maryland and Accomack County Virginia. Strongest winds expected at the immediate coast of the Atlantic Ocean. * WINDS: East to northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * TIMING: The strongest winds are expected from 2 pm through 7 pm. * IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Scattered power outages will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use caution until the winds subside. && $$
182 WWUS71 KAKQ 152024 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 324 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 VAZ095-098-525-152130- /O.CAN.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-181115T2100Z/ Norfolk/Portsmouth-Virginia Beach-Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Downtown Norfolk, Ghent, Norfolk International Arpt, Norfolk NAS, Norview, Ocean View, Wards Corner, Back Bay, Bayside, Cape Henry, Dam Neck, Gallups Corner, Kempsville, London Bridge, Buckroe Beach, Fort Monroe, Fox Hill, Grand View, Hallwood, Hampton, and Langley AFB 324 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has cancelled the Wind Advisory. East to to southeast winds will remain gusty into this evening and shift to the west overnight, but wind gusts will generally be around 35 mph or less. Therefore, the wind advisory has been cancelled. $$ VAZ100-160000- /O.EXT.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-181116T0000Z/ Northampton- Including the cities of Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, and Plantation 324 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * AREAS AFFECTED: Northampton County on the Virginia eastern shore. Strongest winds at the immediate coast of the Atlantic Ocean. * WINDS: East to northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * TIMING: Through early evening. * IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Isolated to scattered power outages will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use caution until the winds subside. && $$ MDZ024-025-VAZ099-160300- /O.EXT.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-181116T0300Z/ Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-Accomack- Including the cities of Snow Hill, Ocean City, Chincoteague, Wallops Island, and Melfa 324 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * AREAS AFFECTED: Worcester County Maryland and Accomack County Virginia. Strongest winds expected at the immediate coast of the Atlantic Ocean. * WINDS: East to northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * TIMING: Through this evening. * IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Scattered power outages will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use caution until the winds subside. && $$ LKB
348 WWUS71 KAKQ 160020 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA Issued by National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 720 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WINDS SLOWLY DECREASING ACROSS THE DELMARVA PENINSULA... Winds will slow decrease over the next several hours, though breezy conditions will continue into Friday. VAZ100-160130- /O.EXP.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-181116T0000Z/ Northampton- Including the cities of Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, and Plantation 720 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... Winds will continue to decrease over the next several hours. $$ MDZ024-025-VAZ099-160300- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-181116T0300Z/ Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-Accomack- Including the cities of Snow Hill, Ocean City, Chincoteague, Wallops Island, and Melfa 720 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * AREAS AFFECTED: Worcester County Maryland and Accomack County Virginia. Strongest winds expected at the immediate coast of the Atlantic Ocean. * WINDS: East to northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * TIMING: Through this evening. * IMPACTS: Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Scattered power outages will be possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use caution until the winds subside. && $$
798 WWUS71 KAKQ 160205 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA Issued by National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 905 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 MDZ024-025-VAZ099-160315- /O.CAN.KAKQ.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-181116T0300Z/ Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-Accomack- Including the cities of Snow Hill, Ocean City, Chincoteague, Wallops Island, and Melfa 905 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has cancelled the Wind Advisory. Winds will remain breezy, though below advisory levels, as they back to west-southwesterly through the night. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 14, 3:27 PM EST, 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 14, 3:27 PM EST, 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
327 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
A complex area of low pressure over the southeast affects the
region Thursday. High pressure and dry conditions return Friday
into the weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 315 PM EST Wednesday...
High pressure currently over the area will move northeast tonight
allowing developing low pressure over the southeast to move toward
the region tonight. This will allow widespread precipitation to move
into the area from SW to NE overnight as the coastal low develops
over the Carolinas. Big concern for late tonight into Thu morning
will be the potential for wintry weather across the far western part
of the forecast area to the west of Richmond. Models are in very
good agreement in keeping the wedge in place through the day on
Thursday. This cold air combined with the dry air associated with
the retreating high should yield a mixture of sleet and freezing
rain mainly from Louisa southward to Farmville. Relatively warm sfc
wet bulb temperatures combined with the relative warm ground will
make it tough for any freezing rain to accumulate other than on
elevated surfaces. In fact, it is possible that the developing cold
dome above the surface will keep much of the precipitation in the
form of sleet. However, with the wintry mix expected, have opted to
issue a winter weather advisory for western Louisa, Fluvanna,
Cumberland and Prince Edward for 2am-10am for a glaze of ice and
sleet potential. At this time, wintry precip is not expected in the
RIC metro, except for perhaps a brief period of sleet at the onset.
Still, it will be a cold rain in the metro, with temps only expected
in the mid-upr 30s Thu morning.
Otherwise, across the remainder of the area expect moderate to
locally heavy rain to fall late tonight through tomorrow with many
areas seeing 1-2 inches. The heaviest rain will fall across the far
east near the best frontogenetic forcing and low pres track. Latest
EPS and GEFS guidance suggests that the probability is quite low for
>2 inches of rain, however with the already saturated ground, it
will not take much for minor flooding and will continue the flood
watch for the entire area. Thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled
out across far NE NC with that area being near the low track, but
for now will leave out given the relatively poor lapse rates and
being a very small chance. Latest guidance suggests that the rain
will start to move out late Thu aftn as a dry slot moves in from the
SW.
Lastly, it will become quite windy especially at the coast with
strong E-NE winds developing in the pres gradient between the
low to the south and the strong high over the NE states. Will
issue a wind advisory for much of the area close to the coast
for Thursday.
Lows tonight will range from the lower 30s NW to the lower 40s SE.
Highs Thursday will range from the mid-upr 30s far NW to temps in
the mid-upr 60s across the far SE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 315 PM EST Wednesday...
After the low moves out Thu night, expect high pressure to build in
for Friday and into Saturday with mostly sunny skies. Temps will
still be cooler than average with the mean trough and lower than
average heights over the east coast. Temps will rise into the
50s during the day and drop to 30s at night.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 315 PM EST Wednesday...
Much quieter weather expected during the extended period. Sfc high
pressure centered over the area early Sunday morning weakens during
the day on Sun, with dry/seasonable weather expected throughout the
area. A weak upper-level shortwave approaches the area on late
Sunday-Monday (coupled with a sfc cold front). Not much in the way
of rain expected with the FROPA, but have PoPs of 15-30% for eastern
portions of the area late Sun night-Mon (best rain chances will be
in coastal NE NC). NW flow aloft will prevail from Mon PM through at
least midweek, with mainly dry weather and temperatures a few
degrees below seasonal averages. Another weak upper level shortwave
may swing through the Mid-Atlantic on Wed. The GFS is showing a few
showers moving across the area, but the ECMWF/CMC keep us dry.
Decided not to add any mention of rain to the forecast attm.
Forecast Highs Sunday range from the low-mid 50s NW to around 60 in
in SE VA/NE NC. The cooler air lags behind the front a bit, so highs
on Mon will still be in the 50s to near 60. Cooler on Tue/Wed, with
highs in the upper 40s to near 50 north/mid 50s south. Lows Sunday
night in the mid-upper 30s inland/low-mid 40s near the coast. Cooler
on both Monday and Tuesday night with lows ranging from ~30 NW to
~40 in coastal SE VA/NE NC.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 130 PM EST Wednesday...
VFR conditions everywhere this afternoon with high
pressure in control. Low pressure over the southeast will move
toward the region tonight and pass through the area on Thursday.
This will cause rapidly deteriorating conditions for the entire
region by Thu morning. Widespread IFR expected late tonight and
continuing into Thursday. May even see LIFR at times. In
addition, east to northeast winds will gust to as high as 35 kt
near the coast as the low approaches.
OUTLOOK...
The low moves out Thu night with improving conditions by
Friday. VFR expected for all sites for Fri and thru the weekend.
&&
.MARINE...
As of 345 AM EST Wednesday...
Cold air surging into the region behind a departing cold front has
allowed for NW winds to increase early this morning with winds
gusting 20 to 25 knots over a majority of the waters. Seas generally
range from 4 to 6 feet while waves range from 2 to 4 feet. Do expect
wind to die off slightly as we head into the late morning and
afternoon hours as high pressure briefly settles into the region.
Seas will likely remain at or above 5 feet and wind gusts will
remain borderline around 20 knots, so opted to leave the Small Craft
Advisory in effect through today.
A strong low pressure system approaches from the south later today
into Thursday. This system will move along the coast during the day
on Thursday before racing off to the northeast by Thursday night.
Winds quickly increase later in the day on Wednesday ahead of this
system and reach gale force by early Thursday morning. NE winds will
likely gust 35 to 40 knots through the day Thursday as the low
approaches the region. As a result, Gale Warnings are now in effect
for all waters minus the upper rivers Thursday morning through
Thursday evening. Seas will increase to 8 to 12 feet and waves 4 to
6 feet with higher waves at the mouth of the Bay. High Surf
Advisories and Wind Advisories might be needed at the immediate
coast during the day Thursday into Thursday night.
A brief lull in the winds is expected late Thursday as the low moves
along the coast. Winds turn to the NW Thursday night into Friday
morning and potentially gust to gale force once again over the
coastal waters. Winds will remain in the 20 to 30 knot range into
Friday afternoon. Winds and seas will remain stirred up into
Saturday morning, likely requiring additional SCA headlines. Calmer
conditions return for the weekend as high pressure settles over the
region.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
As of 315 PM EST Wednesday...
River flood warnings remain in effect for Stony Creek on the
Nottoway, and Mattoax on the Appomattox, Lawrenceville on the
Meherrin and Sebrell on the Nottoway. Expect additional rises
and possible warnings on local rivers given the expected
rainfall Thursday.
&&
.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...Flood Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday evening for
MDZ021>025.
NC...Flood Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday evening for
NCZ012>017-030>032-102.
VA...Flood Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday evening for
VAZ048-060>062-064>069-075>090-092-093-095>100-509>525.
Winter Weather Advisory from 2 AM to 10 AM EST Thursday for
VAZ048-060-061-509.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Thursday for ANZ630-631-
638-650-652-654.
Gale Warning from 7 AM to 10 PM EST Thursday for ANZ650-652-
654.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Thursday for ANZ632>634-
656-658.
Gale Warning from 4 AM to 7 PM EST Thursday for ANZ632>634-656-
658.
Gale Warning from 10 AM to 7 PM EST Thursday for ANZ635-636.
Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 7 PM EST Thursday for ANZ637.
Gale Warning from 7 AM to 7 PM EST Thursday for ANZ630-631.
Gale Warning from 7 AM to 4 PM EST Thursday for ANZ638.
&&
SYNOPSIS...MRD
NEAR TERM...MRD
SHORT TERM...MRD
LONG TERM...ERI
AVIATION...MRD
MARINE...AJB
HYDROLOGY...Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 14, 3:35 PM EST, 7 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wakefield VA 335 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 NCZ017-102-152045- Western Currituck-Eastern Currituck- 335 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. Moderate east to northeast winds gusting to 45 mph will develop late tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. Flood Watch. Another round of moderate to locally heavy rainfall is possible Thursday. This rainfall could produce additional minor flooding issues. In addition, northeast winds could gust to 45 mph Thursday morning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MDZ021>023-NCZ012>016-030>032-VAZ065-066-075>090-092-093-096-097-512- 514-516>524-152045- Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank- Camden-Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Westmoreland- Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Prince George- Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews-Greensville- Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Suffolk-Chesapeake- Eastern Hanover-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Eastern Henrico-Western King William-Eastern King William- Western King and Queen-Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex- Eastern Essex-York-Newport News- 335 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast North Carolina, central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Another round of moderate to locally heavy rainfall is possible Thursday. This rainfall could produce additional minor flooding issues. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. VAZ095-098-100-525-152045- Norfolk/Portsmouth-Virginia Beach-Northampton-Hampton/Poquoson- 335 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Wind Advisory. Another round of moderate to locally heavy rainfall is possible Thursday. This rainfall could produce additional minor flooding issues. In addition, east to northeast winds gusting to 45 mph are expected on Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MDZ024-025-VAZ099-152045- Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-Accomack- 335 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Wind Advisory. Another round of moderate to locally heavy rainfall is possible Thursday. This rainfall could produce additional minor flooding issues. In addition, east to northeast winds gusting to 45 mph are expected on Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. VAZ062-064-067>069-510-511-513-515-152045- Goochland-Caroline-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Eastern Louisa- Western Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)- 335 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia, north central Virginia and south central Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Moderate rain will move into the area late tonight. The rain may briefly mix with sleet at the onset. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Another round of moderate to locally heavy rainfall is possible Thursday. This rainfall could produce additional minor flooding issues. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. VAZ048-060-061-509-152045- Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Western Louisa- 335 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. A wintry mix of precipitation is expected late tonight, with a glaze of ice possible especially on elevated surfaces. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. Flood Watch. Another round of moderate to locally heavy rainfall is possible Thursday. The precipitation could mix with sleet or freezing rain Thursday morning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MRD
The office that day
Everything else NWS Wakefield, VA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 9:35 PM EST | River Flood Warning | AKQ | Amelia, Cumberland, Prince Edward | 16 hr |
| Nov 13, 11:10 PM EST | River Flood Warning | AKQ | Amelia, Chesterfield, Powhatan | 6 days |
| Nov 13, 11:10 PM EST | River Flood Warning | AKQ | Southampton | 8 days |
| Nov 14, 3:32 AM EST | Flood Watch | AKQ | Accomack, Amelia, Brunswick, Caroline, Charles City, Chesterfield and 43 more | 35 hr |
| Nov 14, 3:34 AM EST | Gale Warning | AKQ | 54 hr | |
| Nov 14, 3:11 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | Cumberland, Fluvanna, Louisa, Prince Edward | 19 hr |
| Nov 14, 4:18 PM EST | High Surf Advisory | AKQ | Accomack, Northampton, City of Virginia Beach | 36 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Virginia, 2018Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2018Wind Advisories in Maryland, 2018Every wind advisory in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.