Alert archive / Virginia / Wind Advisories in 2018
Wind Advisory 5, NWS Wakefield, VA
NWS Wakefield, VA issued this wind advisory at Oct 10, 2018, 3:26 PM EDT for 39 counties in Virginia; 6 counties in North Carolina; 4 counties in Maryland. It took effect at Oct 11, 2018, 6:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 10, 2018, 3:26 PM EDT (19:26 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 11, 2018, 6:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 12, 2018, 12:58 AM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Wakefield, VA
All 49 counties
Dorchester County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Bertie County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Gates County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Amelia County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, York County, VA
The radar
The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 31 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 67 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -216 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 874 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 21 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 15 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
651 WWUS71 KAKQ 101926 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 326 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018 NCZ015>017-102-VAZ095-097-098-100-525-110330- /O.UPG.KAKQ.HW.A.0002.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Eastern Currituck- Norfolk/Portsmouth-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Northampton- Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Elizabeth City, Corolla, Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, and Plantation 326 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a High Wind Warning, which is in effect from 6 PM Thursday to noon EDT Friday. The High Wind Watch is no longer in effect. * AREAS AFFECTED: Southeast Virginia, The Virginia Eastern Shore, and Northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong or damaging wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 25 to 35 mph Thursday evening, becoming north to northwest 30 to 40 mph later Thursday night into early Friday morning. Wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph are possible. * TIMING: Thursday night into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain will cause downed trees and scattered power outages. Minor structural damage is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ VAZ086-099-110330- /O.NEW.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ Mathews-Accomack- Including the cities of Chincoteague, Wallops Island, and Melfa 326 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a High Wind Warning, which is in effect from 6 PM Thursday to noon EDT Friday. * AREAS AFFECTED: Southeast Virginia, The Virginia Eastern Shore, and Northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong or damaging wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 25 to 35 mph Thursday evening, becoming north to northwest 30 to 40 mph later Thursday night into early Friday morning. Wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph are possible. * TIMING: Thursday night into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain will cause downed trees and scattered power outages. Minor structural damage is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ MDZ021>025-NCZ013-014-030>032-VAZ077-078-084-085-093-096-523-524- 110330- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WI.Y.0005.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches- Hertford-Gates-Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Northumberland-Lancaster- Gloucester-Middlesex-Isle of Wight-Suffolk-York-Newport News- Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Crisfield, Princess Anne, Snow Hill, Ocean City, Ahoskie, and Edenton 326 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect from 6 PM Thursday to noon EDT Friday. * AREAS AFFECTED: Eastern Virginia, The Lower Maryland Eastern Shore, and Portions of Interior Northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 20 to 30 mph Thursday evening, becoming north to northwest 25 to 35 mph later Thursday night into early Friday morning. Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible. * TIMING: Thursday night into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain may cause downed trees and isolated power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ Butner
7 follow-up statements
333 WWUS71 KAKQ 110742 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 342 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 NCZ015>017-102-VAZ086-095-097>100-525-111545- /O.CON.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Eastern Currituck-Mathews- Norfolk/Portsmouth-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Accomack-Northampton- Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Elizabeth City, Corolla, Chincoteague, Wallops Island, Melfa, Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, and Plantation 342 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Southeast Virginia, The Virginia Eastern Shore, and Northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong or damaging wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 25 to 35 mph this evening, becoming north to northwest 30 to 40 mph later tonight into early Friday morning. Wind gusts of 55 to 60 mph are possible. * TIMING: Tonight into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain will cause downed trees and scattered power outages. Minor structural damage is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ NCZ012-VAZ060-065>068-075-076-079>083-087>090-092-512>522-111545- /O.EXA.KAKQ.WI.Y.0005.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ Northampton-Prince Edward-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia- Westmoreland-Richmond-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Prince George- Charles City-New Kent-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City- Southampton-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- Including the cities of Margarettsville, Farmville, South Hill, Crewe, Lawrenceville, Petersburg, Hopewell, Emporia, Wakefield, Barham, Gwaltney Corner, Bacons Castle, Chippokes State Park, Hog Island Game Reserve, Poolesville, Booth Fork, Williamsburg, Franklin, Mechanicsville, Bon Air, Midlothian, Chesterfield, Chester, Colonial Heights, Richmond, Sandston, Aylett, King William, West Point, King And Queen Court House, Tappahannock, and Dunnsville 342 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect from 6 PM this evening to noon EDT Friday. * AREAS AFFECTED: Much of central and eastern Virginia, The lower Maryland eastern shore, and portions of interior northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 20 to 30 mph late this afternoon and early evening, becoming north to northwest 25 to 35 mph late tonight into early Friday morning. Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible late tonight and overnight. * TIMING: Thursday night into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain may cause downed trees and isolated power outages. $$ MDZ021>025-NCZ013-014-030>032-VAZ077-078-084-085-093-096-523-524- 111545- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0005.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches- Hertford-Gates-Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Northumberland-Lancaster- Gloucester-Middlesex-Isle of Wight-Suffolk-York-Newport News- Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Crisfield, Princess Anne, Snow Hill, Ocean City, Ahoskie, and Edenton 342 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Eastern Virginia, The Lower Maryland Eastern Shore, and Portions of Interior Northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 20 to 30 mph late this afternoon and this evening, becoming north to northwest 25 to 35 mph later tonight into early Friday morning. Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible. * TIMING: Tonight into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain may cause downed trees and isolated power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$
181 WWUS71 KAKQ 111613 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1213 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 MDZ023-NCZ032-VAZ077-078-120015- /O.UPG.KAKQ.WI.Y.0005.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ /O.EXA.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ Somerset-Perquimans-Northumberland-Lancaster- Including the cities of Crisfield and Princess Anne 1213 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a High Wind Warning, which is in effect from 6 PM this evening to noon EDT Friday. The Wind Advisory is no longer in effect. * AREAS AFFECTED: Southeast Virginia, portions of the Maryland/Virginia Eastern Shore, and Northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong or damaging wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 25 to 35 mph this evening, becoming north to northwest 30 to 40 mph later tonight into early Friday morning. Wind gusts of 55 to 60 mph are possible. * TIMING: Tonight into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain will cause downed trees and scattered power outages. Minor structural damage is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ NCZ015>017-102-VAZ086-095-097>100-525-120015- /O.CON.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Eastern Currituck-Mathews- Norfolk/Portsmouth-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Accomack-Northampton- Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Elizabeth City, Corolla, Chincoteague, Wallops Island, Melfa, Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, and Plantation 1213 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Southeast Virginia, The Virginia Eastern Shore, and Northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong or damaging wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 25 to 35 mph this evening, becoming north to northwest 30 to 40 mph later tonight into early Friday morning. Wind gusts of 55 to 60 mph are possible. * TIMING: Tonight into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain will cause downed trees and scattered power outages. Minor structural damage is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ VAZ061-069-120015- /O.EXA.KAKQ.WI.Y.0005.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ Cumberland-Powhatan- 1213 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect from 6 PM this evening to noon EDT Friday. * AREAS AFFECTED: Much of central and eastern Virginia, The lower Maryland eastern shore, and portions of interior northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 20 to 30 mph late this afternoon and early evening, becoming north to northwest 25 to 35 mph late tonight into early Friday morning. Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible late tonight and overnight. * TIMING: Thursday night into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain may cause downed trees and isolated power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ MDZ021-022-024-025-NCZ012>014-030-031-VAZ060-065>068-075-076- 079>085-087>090-092-093-096-512>524-120015- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0005.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-Northampton- Hertford-Gates-Bertie-Chowan-Prince Edward-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg- Nottoway-Amelia-Westmoreland-Richmond-Brunswick-Dinwiddie- Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex- Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight- Suffolk-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-York- Newport News- Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Snow Hill, Ocean City, Margarettsville, Ahoskie, Edenton, Farmville, South Hill, Crewe, Lawrenceville, Petersburg, Hopewell, Emporia, Wakefield, Barham, Gwaltney Corner, Bacons Castle, Chippokes State Park, Hog Island Game Reserve, Poolesville, Booth Fork, Williamsburg, Franklin, Mechanicsville, Bon Air, Midlothian, Chesterfield, Chester, Colonial Heights, Richmond, Sandston, Aylett, King William, West Point, King And Queen Court House, Tappahannock, and Dunnsville 1213 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Much of central and eastern Virginia, The lower Maryland eastern shore, and portions of interior northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 20 to 30 mph late this afternoon and early evening, becoming north to northwest 25 to 35 mph late tonight into early Friday morning. Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible late tonight and overnight. * TIMING: Thursday night into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain may cause downed trees and isolated power outages. $$ Butner
439 WWUS71 KAKQ 111617 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1217 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 MDZ025-120030- /O.UPG.KAKQ.WI.Y.0005.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ /O.EXA.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ Maryland Beaches- Including the city of Ocean City 1217 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a High Wind Warning, which is in effect from 6 PM this evening to noon EDT Friday. The Wind Advisory is no longer in effect. * AREAS AFFECTED: Southeast Virginia, portions of the Virginia/Maryland Eastern Shore, and Northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong wind gusts or damaging. * WINDS: East to Southeast 25 to 35 mph this evening, becoming north to northwest 30 to 40 mph later tonight into early Friday morning. Wind gusts of 55 to 60 mph are possible. * TIMING: Thursday night into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain will cause downed trees and scattered power outages. Minor structural damage is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ MDZ023-NCZ015>017-032-102-VAZ077-078-086-095-097>100-525-120030- /O.CON.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ Somerset-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Perquimans- Eastern Currituck-Northumberland-Lancaster-Mathews- Norfolk/Portsmouth-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Accomack-Northampton- Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Crisfield, Princess Anne, Elizabeth City, Corolla, Chincoteague, Wallops Island, Melfa, Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, and Plantation 1217 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Southeast Virginia, portions of the Virginia/Maryland Eastern Shore, and Northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong or damaging wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 25 to 35 mph this evening, becoming north to northwest 30 to 40 mph later tonight into early Friday morning. Wind gusts of 55 to 60 mph are possible. * TIMING: Tonight into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain will cause downed trees and scattered power outages. Minor structural damage is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ MDZ021-022-024-NCZ012>014-030-031-VAZ060-061-065>069-075-076- 079>085-087>090-092-093-096-512>524-120030- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0005.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Inland Worcester-Northampton-Hertford-Gates- Bertie-Chowan-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg- Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-Brunswick- Dinwiddie-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester- Middlesex-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton- Isle of Wight-Suffolk-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-York- Newport News- Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Snow Hill, Margarettsville, Ahoskie, Edenton, Farmville, South Hill, Crewe, Lawrenceville, Petersburg, Hopewell, Emporia, Wakefield, Barham, Gwaltney Corner, Bacons Castle, Chippokes State Park, Hog Island Game Reserve, Poolesville, Booth Fork, Williamsburg, Franklin, Mechanicsville, Bon Air, Midlothian, Chesterfield, Chester, Colonial Heights, Richmond, Sandston, Aylett, King William, West Point, King And Queen Court House, Tappahannock, and Dunnsville 1217 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Much of central and eastern Virginia, The lower Maryland eastern shore, and portions of interior northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 20 to 30 mph late this afternoon and early evening, becoming north to northwest 25 to 35 mph late tonight into early Friday morning. Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible late tonight and overnight. * TIMING: Thursday night into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain may cause downed trees and isolated power outages. $$
273 WWUS71 KAKQ 111909 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 309 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 MDZ023-025-NCZ015>017-032-102-VAZ077-078-086-095-097>100-525- 120315- /O.CON.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ Somerset-Maryland Beaches-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck- Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Northumberland-Lancaster-Mathews- Norfolk/Portsmouth-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Accomack-Northampton- Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Crisfield, Princess Anne, Ocean City, Elizabeth City, Corolla, Chincoteague, Wallops Island, Melfa, Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, and Plantation 309 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Southeast Virginia, portions of the Virginia/Maryland Eastern Shore, and Northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong or damaging wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 25 to 35 mph this evening, becoming north to northwest 30 to 40 mph later tonight into early Friday morning. Wind gusts of 55 to 60 mph are possible. * TIMING: Tonight into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain will cause downed trees and scattered power outages. Minor structural damage is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ MDZ021-022-024-NCZ012>014-030-031-VAZ060-061-065>069-075-076- 079>085-087>090-092-093-096-512>524-120315- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0005.181011T2200Z-181012T1600Z/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Inland Worcester-Northampton-Hertford-Gates- Bertie-Chowan-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg- Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-Brunswick- Dinwiddie-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester- Middlesex-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton- Isle of Wight-Suffolk-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-York- Newport News- Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Snow Hill, Margarettsville, Ahoskie, Edenton, Farmville, South Hill, Crewe, Lawrenceville, Petersburg, Hopewell, Emporia, Wakefield, Barham, Gwaltney Corner, Bacons Castle, Chippokes State Park, Hog Island Game Reserve, Poolesville, Booth Fork, Williamsburg, Franklin, Mechanicsville, Bon Air, Midlothian, Chesterfield, Chester, Colonial Heights, Richmond, Sandston, Aylett, King William, West Point, King And Queen Court House, Tappahannock, and Dunnsville 309 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Much of central and eastern Virginia, The lower Maryland eastern shore, and portions of interior northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 20 to 30 mph late this afternoon and early evening, becoming north to northwest 25 to 35 mph late tonight into early Friday morning. Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible late tonight and overnight. * TIMING: Thursday night into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain may cause downed trees and isolated power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ Butner
222 WWUS71 KAKQ 112314 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 714 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 NCZ012>014-030-031-VAZ065>068-075-076-079>083-087>090-092-093-096- 512>522-120715- /O.UPG.KAKQ.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-181012T1600Z/ /O.EXB.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-181012T0800Z/ Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Bertie-Chowan-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg- Nottoway-Amelia-Westmoreland-Richmond-Brunswick-Dinwiddie- Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Greensville-Sussex-Surry- James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Suffolk-Eastern Hanover- Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- Including the cities of Margarettsville, Ahoskie, Edenton, South Hill, Crewe, Lawrenceville, Petersburg, Hopewell, Emporia, Wakefield, Barham, Gwaltney Corner, Bacons Castle, Chippokes State Park, Hog Island Game Reserve, Poolesville, Booth Fork, Williamsburg, Franklin, Mechanicsville, Bon Air, Midlothian, Chesterfield, Chester, Colonial Heights, Richmond, Sandston, Aylett, King William, West Point, King And Queen Court House, Tappahannock, and Dunnsville 714 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a High Wind Warning, which is in effect until 4 AM EDT Friday. The Wind Advisory is no longer in effect. * AREAS AFFECTED: Much of central and southern Virginia and portions of interior northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong or damaging wind gusts. * WINDS: Winds have shifted to the northwest over portions of south central Virginia, and this will overspread areas of central and eastern Virginia, and interior northeast North Carolina later this evening into early Friday morning. Sustained winds will average 25 to 35 mph, with gusts up to 60 mph possible. * TIMING: Late this evening into early Friday morning. Winds will gradually diminish after 4 am. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain will cause downed trees and scattered power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ MDZ021-022-024-VAZ084-085-523-524-120715- /O.UPG.KAKQ.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-181012T1600Z/ /O.EXB.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-181012T1200Z/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Inland Worcester-Gloucester-Middlesex-York- Newport News- Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, and Snow Hill 714 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a High Wind Warning, which is in effect until 8 AM EDT Friday. The Wind Advisory is no longer in effect. * AREAS AFFECTED: Much of central and eastern Virginia, The lower Maryland eastern shore, and portions of interior northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 20 to 30 mph early this evening, becoming north to northwest 25 to 35 mph late tonight into early Friday morning. Wind gusts up to 60 mph are possible late tonight. * TIMING: Late tonight into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with a cold front moving through the area. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain will cause downed trees and scattered power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ MDZ023-025-NCZ015>017-102-VAZ077-078-086-095-097>100-525-120715- /O.EXT.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-181012T1200Z/ Somerset-Maryland Beaches-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck- Eastern Currituck-Northumberland-Lancaster-Mathews- Norfolk/Portsmouth-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Accomack-Northampton- Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Crisfield, Princess Anne, Ocean City, Elizabeth City, Corolla, Chincoteague, Wallops Island, Melfa, Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, and Plantation 714 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Southeast Virginia, portions of the Virginia/Maryland Eastern Shore, and Northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong or damaging wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 25 to 35 mph this evening, becoming north to northwest 30 to 40 mph later tonight into early Friday morning. Wind gusts of 55 to 60 mph are possible. * TIMING: Tonight into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain will cause downed trees and scattered power outages. Minor structural damage is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ NCZ032-120715- /O.EXT.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-181012T0800Z/ Perquimans- 714 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT FRIDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong or damaging wind gusts. * WINDS: East to Southeast 25 to 35 mph this evening, becoming north to northwest 30 to 40 mph later tonight into early Friday morning. Wind gusts up to 60 mph are possible. * TIMING: Tonight into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with an approaching cold front. * IMPACTS: Strong winds combined with heavy rain will cause downed trees and scattered power outages. Minor structural damage is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ VAZ060-061-069-120715- /O.EXT.KAKQ.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-181012T0800Z/ Prince Edward-Cumberland-Powhatan- Including the city of Farmville 714 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT FRIDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Much of central and eastern Virginia, The lower Maryland eastern shore, and portions of interior northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong wind gusts. * WINDS: North to northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph possible late this evening into early Friday morning. * TIMING: Tonight into early Friday morning as the remnants of Michael interact with a cold front moving through the region. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain may cause downed trees and isolated power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ BROWN
431 WWUS71 KAKQ 120234 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1034 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 VAZ065>068-079-080-513>515-120800- /O.CAN.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-181012T0800Z/ /O.EXA.KAKQ.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-181012T0800Z/ Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Brunswick-Dinwiddie- Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)- Including the cities of South Hill, Crewe, Lawrenceville, Bon Air, Midlothian, Chesterfield, Chester, Colonial Heights, and Richmond 1034 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT FRIDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect until 4 AM EDT Friday. The High Wind Warning has been cancelled. * AREAS AFFECTED: Much of central Virginia. * HAZARDS: Strong wind gusts. * WINDS: Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * TIMING: Through early Friday morning. * IMPACTS: Continued strong winds will cause downed trees and scattered power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ MDZ021>025-NCZ015>017-102-VAZ077-078-084>086-095-097>100-523>525- 121045- /O.CON.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-181012T1200Z/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches- Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Eastern Currituck- Northumberland-Lancaster-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews- Norfolk/Portsmouth-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Accomack-Northampton- York-Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Crisfield, Princess Anne, Snow Hill, Ocean City, Elizabeth City, Corolla, Chincoteague, Wallops Island, Melfa, Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, and Plantation 1034 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Southeast Virginia, portions of the Virginia/Maryland Eastern Shore, and Northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong or damaging wind gusts. * WINDS: Winds shifting to the north to northwest at 30 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph into early Friday morning. * TIMING: Through early Friday morning. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain will cause downed trees and scattered power outages. Minor structural damage is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ NCZ012>014-030>032-VAZ075-076-081>083-087>090-092-093-096-512- 516>522-120800- /O.CON.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-181012T0800Z/ Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Westmoreland- Richmond-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Greensville-Sussex- Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Suffolk- Eastern Hanover-Eastern Henrico-Western King William- Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- Including the cities of Margarettsville, Ahoskie, Edenton, Petersburg, Hopewell, Emporia, Wakefield, Barham, Gwaltney Corner, Bacons Castle, Chippokes State Park, Hog Island Game Reserve, Poolesville, Booth Fork, Williamsburg, Franklin, Mechanicsville, Sandston, Aylett, King William, West Point, King And Queen Court House, Tappahannock, and Dunnsville 1034 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT FRIDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Much of southern and eastern Virginia and portions of interior northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong or damaging wind gusts. * WINDS: Winds shifting to the north to northwest at 30 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph into early Friday morning. * TIMING: Into early Friday morning. Winds will gradually diminish after 4 am. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain will cause downed trees and scattered power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ VAZ060-061-069-120800- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-181012T0800Z/ Prince Edward-Cumberland-Powhatan- Including the city of Farmville 1034 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT FRIDAY... * AREAS AFFECTED: Much of central and eastern Virginia, The lower Maryland eastern shore, and portions of interior northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong wind gusts. * WINDS: North to northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph into early Friday morning. * TIMING: Into early Friday morning. * IMPACTS: Continued strong winds combined with heavy rain will lead to downed trees and scattered power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$
454 WWUS71 KAKQ 120458 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1258 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018 NCZ012>014-030>032-VAZ075-076-081>083-087>090-092-093-096-512- 516>522-120600- /O.CAN.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-181012T0800Z/ Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Westmoreland- Richmond-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Greensville-Sussex- Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Suffolk- Eastern Hanover-Eastern Henrico-Western King William- Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- Including the cities of Margarettsville, Ahoskie, Edenton, Petersburg, Hopewell, Emporia, Wakefield, Barham, Gwaltney Corner, Bacons Castle, Chippokes State Park, Hog Island Game Reserve, Poolesville, Booth Fork, Williamsburg, Franklin, Mechanicsville, Sandston, Aylett, King William, West Point, King And Queen Court House, Tappahannock, and Dunnsville 1258 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has cancelled the High Wind Warning. $$ VAZ060-061-065>069-079-080-513>515-120600- /O.CAN.KAKQ.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-181012T0800Z/ Prince Edward-Cumberland-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia- Powhatan-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)- Including the cities of Farmville, South Hill, Crewe, Lawrenceville, Bon Air, Midlothian, Chesterfield, Chester, Colonial Heights, and Richmond 1258 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has cancelled the Wind Advisory. $$ MDZ021>025-NCZ015>017-102-VAZ077-078-084>086-095-097>100-523>525- 121200- /O.CON.KAKQ.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-181012T1200Z/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches- Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Eastern Currituck- Northumberland-Lancaster-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews- Norfolk/Portsmouth-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Accomack-Northampton- York-Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Crisfield, Princess Anne, Snow Hill, Ocean City, Elizabeth City, Corolla, Chincoteague, Wallops Island, Melfa, Exmore, Cape Charles, Cheapside, Fishermans Island, Kiptopeke, Kiptopeke State Park, and Plantation 1258 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * AREAS AFFECTED: Southeast Virginia, portions of the Virginia/Maryland Eastern Shore, and Northeast North Carolina. * HAZARDS: Strong or damaging wind gusts. * WINDS: Northwest 25 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph into early Friday morning. * TIMING: Through early Friday morning. * IMPACTS: Strong wind combined with heavy rain will cause downed trees and scattered power outages. Minor structural damage is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Oct 10, 1:46 PM EDT, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 10, 1:46 PM EDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
146 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front approaches the from the west tonight and Thursday,
as tropical cyclone Michael moves northeast across the southeastern
states and into the Carolinas. The storm will then track off the
Mid Atlantic coast and out to sea Friday. Please refer to forecasts
from the National Hurricane Center regarding Michael.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
As of 1030 AM EDT Wednesday...
Adjusted grids per current radar / sfc ob trends late this
morning. Added slght chc pops most locations over the next few
hrs. May have to increase pops this afternoon due to increasing
moisture from both the GOM and Atlantic. PoPs for showers will
increase fm SW or W twd the E tonight. Highs today will range
fm 80 to 85. Lows tonight 70 to 75.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 430 AM EDT Wednesday...
Deep layered SSW flow expected Thu thru Thu night will bring
PWATs above 2". Models continue to show a reasonably high
potential for a period of excessive rain fm late Thu into early
Fri morning in axis of strongest mid level frontogenesis
(aligned/centered on a line from WAL/MFV to PTB/AKQ to
AVC/IXA, with a cold front pressing SE as remnant tropical
cyclone tracks through ern/NE NC. Right now, going with a max
QPF axis of 3-6" (through 12Z/12), and have issued a Flash Flood
Watch for the srn 2/3rds of the area fm Thu morning into Fri
morning. Most models and TPC have cyclone off the VA Capes Fri
morning. A period of strong NNW winds (gusts to 40-60 mph)
expected over ern areas by late Thu night/early Fri in the wake
of the cyclone and with cooler/drier air surging SE. Promoting
quick clearing W-E during Fri, with winds subsiding in the
aftn.
Highs on Thu in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Lows Thu night will
range fm the mid to upper 50s NW, to the mid to upper 60s ESE.
Highs on Fri in the mid to upper 60s, except lower to mid 70s
in the ESE.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts from TPC and NWS
Wakefield on track/impacts from Hurricane Michael.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 345 PM EDT Tuesday...
Cooler/drier air will continue to filter in from the N/NW Fri night-
Saturday as sfc high pressure settles into the region. The area of
high pressure will pass just north of the region late Sat night/Sun
AM before moving offshore by the end of the day on Sunday. This will
set the stage for a pleasant weekend w/ temperatures near or
slightly below average. A fairly potent trough of low pressure
(along w/ a sfc cold front) approach the region from the west early
next week. As a result, shower/tstm chances increase from NW to SE
late Sunday night through Tuesday as the cold front crosses the
region. There are some differences between the latest 09/12z
GFS/ECMWF/GEM regarding the timing of the trough/FROPA. The GFS is
faster, as it moves all of the rain south/east of the area by Tue
AM. The ECMWF/GEM are both slower, keeping rain chances over the
southeastern half of the CWA through Wed AM. For now, have PoPs of
25-40% (progressing from NW to SE) across the area from late Sun
night through the day on Tue. After the FROPA on Tuesday/Tuesday
night, cooler/drier weather will likely return to the area.
Highs on Saturday will range from the mid 60s north to around 70F
over SE VA/NE NC. Expect a slow warming trend on Sun/Mon, as highs
are expected to increase to around 70F north to the upper 70s
south/east by Mon. Morning lows on Sat/Sun are expected to range
from the mid 40s north/west to near 60F in coastal SE VA/NE NC.
Slightly warmer on Mon/Tue with forecast lows in the low 50s NW to
the low 60s SE.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 145 PM EDT Wednesday...
CIGS have lifted to between MVFR and VFR early this afternoon.
However, radar continues to show sct shwrs movg north attm so
went with VCSH at most sites for the next several hrs. Otw,
CIGS lower tonight as copious amounts of moisture increases from
both the GOM and Atlantic. Sct shwrs will likely develop well
ahead of Michael Thurs morning with widespread mdt to lclly hvy
rainfall overspreading the area Thurs afternoon. South winds
become gusty btwn 15-25 kts Thurs across coastal TAF sites.
OUTLOOK...
A cold front moving in from the west, coupled with remnant
tropical cyclone Michael tracking NE from the Gulf of Mexico and
off the NE NC coast, will then affect the area Thu night into
Fri morning, bringing flight restrictions due to lower CIGS/reduced
VSBYs in +RA. A period of strong/gusty NNW winds (30 to 50+ KTS)
is expected Fri morning, esply along the coast. VFR conditions
expected Fri aftn through Sun.
&&
.MARINE...
As of 430 AM EDT Wednesday...
Latest obs and buoy reports reflect E-SE flow of 10 to 15 knots this
morning. High pressure continues to linger offshore of the Mid-
Atlantic coast this morning, as an inverted trough is remains in
place over the deep south out ahead of Hurricane Michael. Hurricane
Michael appraoch the Florida Panhandle this morning and is expected
to make landfall across the same area later today.
Winds will remain SE around 10 to 15 knots, becoming SSE this
afternoon and this evening. Seas will average around 3 feet and
waves 1 to 2 feet through Wednesday. Michael makes landfall and is
forecast to get absorbed by the approaching upper trough, sending
the remnant low up the southeast coast Thursday through early
Friday. The flow will remain S-SE late today into early Thursday,
and will increase slightly due to the tightening pressure gradient.
Winds quickly increase late Thursday into Friday morning due to a
combination of Michael and the approaching strong cold front from
the northwest. Models remain in relatively good agreement on the
mesoscale details, though some timing differences remain.
have edged toward the quicker solution which is also preferred by
the NHC official track. On this track, winds are expected to pick up
out of the S/SE Thursday night across the southern waters with gusts
as high as 50 knots possible. Winds then turn to the NNW Friday
morning, behind the frontal passage and as the remnant low moves
offshore. Winds may gust to 40 knots over a majority of the waters
Friday morning with even higher gusts of 50 to 60 knots across the
southern coastal waters/southern Bay. The current forecast has the
strongest winds roughly between 06 and 12Z Friday morning. The
strongest winds diminish through Friday morning, but breezy NW winds
will linger through the day Friday as high pressure builds over the
Ohio Valley.
With respect to headlines, the result of all of the above means
Storm watches remain in effect for the ocean S of Parramore Is.
and the Bay S of Windmill Point, along with the Lower James River.
The remaining zones have gale watches. For land areas, a high wind
watch is in effect for southeast coastal areas. Expect a larger area
of wind advisories over coastal areas as we get closer in time.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 725 AM EDT Wednesday...
Tidal departures currently avg +0.5 to +1.0 ft with peak water
levels generally below minor flood thresholds. Expect elevated
tidal anomalies and persistent E-SE to yield nuisance to low end
minor tidal flooding over the same middle peninsula/northern
neck coastal sites, including Bishops Head on the MD eastern
shore side today and tonight.
Due to the fast motion of Micheal widespread coastal flooding
is not expected. The latest guidance depicts the peak surge
occurring at low tide early Friday morning. If the peak surge
occurs closer to high tide, some minor tidal flooding is
possible, primarily over the lower Bay and into the James/York
River.
&&
.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...Flash Flood Watch from Thursday afternoon through Friday
morning for MDZ021>025.
NC...Flash Flood Watch from Thursday afternoon through Friday
morning for NCZ014>017-031-032-102.
Flash Flood Watch from Thursday morning through Friday morning
for NCZ012-013-030.
High Wind Watch from Thursday evening through Friday morning
for NCZ015>017-102.
VA...Flash Flood Watch from Thursday afternoon through Friday
morning for VAZ075>078-082>086-089-090-093-095>100-
518>525.
Flash Flood Watch from Thursday morning through Friday morning
for VAZ060>062-064>069-079>081-087-088-092-510>517.
High Wind Watch from Thursday evening through Friday morning
for VAZ095-097-098-100-525.
MARINE...Storm Watch from Thursday evening through Friday morning for
ANZ631>634-638-654-656-658.
Gale Watch from Thursday evening through Friday morning for
ANZ630-635>637-650-652.
&&
SYNOPSIS...MPR/TMG
NEAR TERM...MPR/TMG
SHORT TERM...ALB/TMG
LONG TERM...ERI
AVIATION...MPR
MARINE...MAM
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 10, 3:22 PM EDT, 4 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wakefield VA 322 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018 NCZ012-VAZ060>062-064>069-079>081-087-088-092-510>517-111930- Northampton-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline-Mecklenburg- Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Prince George- Greensville-Sussex-Southampton-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover- Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Western King William- 322 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina, central Virginia, east central Virginia, north central Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ015>017-102-VAZ086-095-097>100-525-111930- Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Eastern Currituck-Mathews- Norfolk/Portsmouth-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Accomack-Northampton- Hampton/Poquoson- 322 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina, eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. High Wind Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MDZ021>025-NCZ014-031-032-VAZ077-078-084-085-093-096-523-524-111930- Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-Gates- Chowan-Perquimans-Northumberland-Lancaster-Gloucester-Middlesex- Isle of Wight-Suffolk-York-Newport News- 322 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast North Carolina, eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. Wind Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ013-030-111930- Hertford-Bertie- 322 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. Wind Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. VAZ075-076-082-083-089-090-518>522-111930- Westmoreland-Richmond-Charles City-New Kent-Surry-James City- Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-Eastern King and Queen- Western Essex-Eastern Essex- 322 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. VAZ048-509-111930- Fluvanna-Western Louisa- 322 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. The remnants of Hurricane Michael are forecast to track across North Carolina then off the mid-Atlantic coast from late Thursday into Friday morning. Right now, the primary threat is for a period of moderate to locally heavy rain and possible minor flooding late Thursday into Friday morning. In addition, a period of strong winds are expected behind a strong cold frontal passage Thursday night and Friday morning, with gusts of 30 to 40 mph possible. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Wakefield, VA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 8:58 PM EDT | High Wind Watch | AKQ | Northampton, City of Chesapeake, City of Hampton, City of Virginia Beach | 18 hr |
| Oct 10, 4:23 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | AKQ | Accomack, Amelia, Brunswick, Caroline, Charles City, Chesterfield and 43 more | 47 hr |
| Oct 10, 5:45 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | Gloucester, Lancaster, Mathews, Middlesex, Northumberland, Westmoreland | 24 hr |
| Oct 10, 3:26 PM EDT | High Wind Warning | AKQ | Accomack, Amelia, Brunswick, Charles City, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie and 36 more | 39 hr |
| Oct 10, 3:32 PM EDT | Gale Warning | AKQ | 28 hr | |
| Oct 10, 3:32 PM EDT | Storm Warning | AKQ | 39 hr | |
| Oct 10, 4:32 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | Lancaster, Northumberland | 13 hr |
| Oct 10, 4:32 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | Accomack, Gloucester, Lancaster, Mathews, Middlesex, Northampton and 2 more | 36 hr |
| Oct 9, 10:30 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | Dorchester | 7 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Virginia, 2018Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2018Wind Advisories in Maryland, 2018Every wind advisory in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.