Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018

Gale Warning 239, NWS Juneau, AK

November 2, 2018

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 2, 2018, 3:53 AM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 2, 2018, 3:53 AM AKDT (11:53 UTC)
Expired
Nov 2, 2018, 3:39 PM AKDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

546 
FZAK51 PAJK 021153
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast FOR Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
353 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 nm

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-030300-
353 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A low in the southern Panhandle will move east into Canada
Friday morning. A new front will move north into the Gulf and 
Panhandle Friday night. 

$$

PKZ011-030300-
Glacier Bay-
353 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft late. Rain with
snow late. 
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ012-030300-
Northern Lynn Canal-
353 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Gusts
to 50 kt in the morning. Seas 8 ft subsiding in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow in the 
morning. Rain. Snow in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-030300-
Southern Lynn Canal-
353 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts
to 55 kt in the morning. Seas 10 ft subsiding in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow late. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow in the morning. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-030300-
Icy Strait-
353 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft. Highest winds and seas W of Point Adolphus.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt late. Seas 5 ft. highest
winds and seas W of Point Adolphus. Rain and snow late. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ022-030300-
Cross Sound-
353 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming E 35 kt late. Seas 8 ft. Rain
late. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-030300-
Stephens Passage-
353 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas
4 ft. Rain in the evening, then rain and snow late. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior passes.
Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain
and snow showers. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ032-030300-
Northern Chatham Strait-
353 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain early in the
morning. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt becoming N. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ033-030300-
Southern Chatham Strait-
353 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft, except 11 ft near ocean entrances. Rain early in the
morning. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 4 ft late. Near ocean
entrances, seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 10 ft near
ocean entrances. Showers.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-030300-
Frederick Sound-
353 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt.diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft. Rain early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas building to 4 ft late. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-030300-
Sumner Strait-
353 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near
ocean entrances. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Gusts to 40 kt
late. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 4 ft.
Rain.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt in 
the morning. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Showers.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt becoming NW. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt becoming NE. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ036-030300-
Clarence Strait-
353 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft,
except 8 ft near ocean entrances. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas 6 ft 
building to 7 ft late. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 

$$
2 follow-up statements
135 
FZAK51 PAJK 021748 AAA
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast FOR Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
948 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 nm

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-030330-
948 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A low in the southern Panhandle will move east into Canada
Friday morning. A new front will move north into the Gulf  and
Panhandle Friday night. 

$$

PKZ011-030330-
Glacier Bay-
948 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft late. Rain with
snow late. 
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 



$$

PKZ012-030330-
Northern Lynn Canal-
948 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow in the 
morning. Rain. Snow in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 



$$

PKZ013-030330-
Southern Lynn Canal-
948 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...N wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts to 55 kt in the morning. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow late. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow in the morning. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 



$$

PKZ021-030330-
Icy Strait-
948 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft. Highest winds and seas W of Point Adolphus.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt late. Seas 5 ft. highest
winds and seas W of Point Adolphus. Rain and snow late. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ022-030330-
Cross Sound-
948 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming E 35 kt late. Seas 8 ft. Rain
late. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 



$$

PKZ031-030330-
Stephens Passage-
948 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas
4 ft. Rain in the evening, then rain and snow late. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior passes.
Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain
and snow showers. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 



$$

PKZ032-030330-
Northern Chatham Strait-
948 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain early in the
morning. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt becoming N. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ033-030330-
Southern Chatham Strait-
948 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft, except 11 ft near ocean entrances. Rain early in the
morning. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 4 ft late. Near ocean
entrances, seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 10 ft near
ocean entrances. Showers.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ034-030330-
Frederick Sound-
948 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt.diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft. Rain early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas building to 4 ft late. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ035-030330-
Sumner Strait-
948 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near
ocean entrances. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Gusts to 40 kt
late. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 4 ft.
Rain.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt in 
the morning. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Showers.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt becoming NW. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt becoming NE. Seas 4 ft. 



$$

PKZ036-030330-
Clarence Strait-
948 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft,
except 8 ft near ocean entrances. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas 6 ft 
building to 7 ft late. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 



$$
034 
FZAK51 PAJK 022339
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast FOR Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
339 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 nm

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-031615-
339 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A weather front with gale force winds will move through Southeast
Alaska Saturday. The weakening parent low will move east from 
near Cold Bay to be just west of the southern panhandle Sunday 
afternoon. 

$$

PKZ011-031615-
Glacier Bay-
339 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas building to 3 ft late. Snow and
rain late. 
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft late. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ012-031615-
Northern Lynn Canal-
339 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow and rain in the
morning. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas
5 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-031615-
Southern Lynn Canal-
339 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Southern portion, gusts to 40 kt in the
evening. Seas 6 ft. Snow and rain late.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow and rain. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Out of
interior passes, gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas 5 ft. Rain
showers with snow showers. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-031615-
Icy Strait-
339 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt early in the evening.
Seas 5 ft. Rain in the evening. Rain and snow late. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow in the morning. 
Rain showers in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ022-031615-
Cross Sound-
339 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. SE swell early in the 
evening. Rain, becoming rain and snow late. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow in the morning. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell. Rain showers.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-031615-
Stephens Passage-
339 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and
snow late. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow in
the morning. Rain showers in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE late. Gusts to 35 kt
in the evening. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow showers. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain
showers. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ032-031615-
Northern Chatham Strait-
339 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow in the
evening. Rain and snow late. 
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and
snow in the morning, then rain showers in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE late. Gusts to 35 kt
late. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain
showers. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ033-031615-
Southern Chatham Strait-
339 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 20 kt late. Gusts to 35 kt
late. Seas building to 4 ft late. Near ocean entrances, seas 7 
ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas
11 ft. Showers late. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 12 ft near ocean
entrances. Showers.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 13 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-031615-
Frederick Sound-
339 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming E 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt late.
Seas building to 4 ft late. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 40 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft. Rain in the morning,
then rain showers in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of interior
passes. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-031615-
Sumner Strait-
339 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Gusts to 45 kt
late, Seas building to 6 ft. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 
kt late. Near ocean entrances, seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 7 ft
near ocean entrances. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the evening.
Seas 4 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. Showers late. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft
near ocean entrances. Showers.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft, except
8 ft near ocean entrances. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt becoming NW. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt becoming NE. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ036-031615-
Clarence Strait-
339 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming SE 30 kt. Out of 
interior passes, gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft 
late. Near ocean entrances, seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 6 ft near
ocean entrances. Showers.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 1, 2:42 PM AKDT, 13 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 1, 2:42 PM AKDT, 13 hours 11 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion...Corrected
National Weather Service Juneau AK
242 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

.SHORT TERM.../ through Saturday / A mid 980 mb low is tracking
east across the central and eastern gulf Thursday afternoon, while
the associated frontal band has blown through the southern two
thirds of the panhandle and into Canada. The front is wrapping about
the low so the southern portion of the panhandle should expect the
rain to re-intensify Thursday evening and then weaken again as the
low passes through. Did not make much in way of changes through
tonight over the panhandle.

Friday afternoon the next frontal band is approaching the southern
panhandle. The various models are fine tuning their paths and
strengths, for now have settled on a more GFS centric choice with
the recent track record, and it had more of a middle of the road
timing as well. Rain and wind will begin Friday evening in the
southern panhandle then front will continue to spread inland. As a
result the north and northeast pressure gradients will be increasing
Friday night and into Saturday. Have increased winds through the
inner channels as well as the outflow winds that impact interior
passes like the Taku and Stikine River valleys. Based on the
forecast gradients from the latest model solutions this morning we
have issued a High Wind Watch for Saturday morning to evening for
the possibility of gusts of 60 mph to impact downtown Juneau and
Douglas in an outflow/(Taku) mountain wave event.

The area along Icy Strait to Juneau still looking like they may
pick up the first measurable snowfall either tonight or Friday
night, although indications now are hinting that Saturday night
could be a better chance of snow accumulations showing up. The
southern half the the panhandle will just see rain from these
fronts. Winter is not entirely here yet.

.LONG TERM.../As of Wednesday evening/ Not much has changed in the
low predictability of the long-term forecast. It has became second
nature during this October and now into November, that
predictability plummets three days out, very close to what we
generally term the long-term forecast period. This is precisely why
we may have considered letting the entire forecast ride for Saturday
and beyond.

Initially, the Canadian GEM, the GFS, and the NAM all fell in line
with a wave pressing northwestward along our shores in line with
a front on Saturday into Saturday night. In fact, the Wed 00Z
ECMWF from yesterday also agreed with this alignment. The Wed 12Z
ECMWF was the outlier as it kept the system well to the south.
However, new runs of the NAM and Canadian have all lined up with
the southern position of the latest ECMWF. So while confidence in
a wave, that we had not even indicated in the forecast before has
increased, confidence in its position is flaky. Late breaking
news appears now to indicate the Thu 00Z ECMWF has now moved it
back to a more northerly position, slightly bolstering our
changes. Now we must state why either of these positions is
important to the forecast.

A more southerly position may entrench the colder air mass a bit
more across the northern Panhandle given northerly winds in the
low levels. But perhaps more importantly, the precipitation may
fail to reach areas north of Angoon. But a northerly position,
would moisten the atmosphere across the northern Panhandle and
offer another shot of rain/snow over the north. While we kept
forecast temperatures in the middle to upper 30s for most areas,
we decided to change p-type across many northern areas to a mix
with some outright snow during the morning hours for
Haines/Skagway. While low level thickness values do not impress
for snow, and some of the models are indicating warmer surface
temperatures, the northerly flow and the overall dry atmosphere
concerns us sufficiently. Some higher res models indicate a
chilling of the lower atmosphere (850 mb) around the time of
precipitation onset. And nearly all models have a stark snow level
line right around the Icy Strait corridor with Juneau's snow
level either at 5000 feet or at zero, depending on the model you
believe. These values are an intimidating discrepancy to solve.
But too many models indicate very low snow levels, so we felt a
mix is more appropriate for these areas.

This will be another tricky forecast as the season of trick-or-
treat keeps treading on through November. What we can say is that
the southern and central Panhandle will likely to definitely see
more beneficial rain. Unfortunately, at this rate, we are merely
bringing rainfall rates through the calendar to something that
passes for normal around here. Finally, we did increase southeast
winds through the southern regions as the gradient increases with
the wave. Likewise, we increased northerly winds to small craft
through Lynn Canal and gap winds for Downtown Juneau.

The GFS 5-wave which gives us a very rough long-wave pattern to
follow for next week indicates a possible break in the persistent
precipitation sometime early next week, however, we have been
through this debate before and would prefer to see more than a
basic long-wave pattern to lower pops at this stage. We shall
continue with rain/precipitation in the forecast for the
foreseeable future across most sections of the Panhandle with a
general wind pattern indicating some sort of low in the gulf.

We used 18Z NAM, GFS, and 12Z Canadian GEM for edits to
Saturday/Saturday night and let Sunday beyond ride for now. Edits
were mainly done to p-type, wind, and pop/qpf.

&&

.AVIATION...Marginal flight conditions with ceiling of 1500 to
3000 feet over the southern half of the panhandle tonight then
improving Friday after the low passes. Gusty winds persisting at
lower levels in the north central panhandle through the early
evening are leading to so some turbulence near rough terrain and a
few local areas of wind shear. Expect the wind issues to subside by
late evening.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...High Wind Watch from Saturday morning through Saturday
evening      for AKZ025.
     Strong Wind until 6 PM AKDT this evening for AKZ025.
     Strong Wind through late tonight for AKZ017.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ012-013-022-043.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ021-031>033-041-042-051-053.
     Small Craft Advisory due to Seas for PKZ052.

&&

Bezenek/JWA

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 2, 3:53 AM AKDTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Nov 2, 3:53 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK36 hr
Nov 2, 3:25 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK4 days
Nov 2, 3:39 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK49 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2018Every gale warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.