Wind Advisory 51, NWS Fairbanks, AK

354 
WWAK73 PAFG 011137
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
337 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

AKZ226-020200-
/O.EXB.PAFG.WI.Y.0051.181002T0200Z-181003T0200Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, 
Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
337 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM AKDT
TUESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM AKDT
Tuesday. 

* LOCATION...Near Alaska Range Passes West of the Tok Cutoff.

* WINDS...South 25 to 40 mph gusting around 55 mph.

* TIMING...Winds will this evening with the strongest winds
  overnight and Tuesday morning.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

AKZ223-020200-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0051.181001T1600Z-181002T0600Z/
Deltana and Tanana Flats-
Including Salcha, Delta Junction, Fort Greely, 
Harding/Birch Lake, Dry Creek, Dot Lake, and Healy Lake
337 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...Mainly south of Birch Lake.

* WINDS...East 25 to 35 mph gusting near 60 mph.

* TIMING...Winds increasing this morning and will remain strong 
  and gusty into the evening before diminishing. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

949 
WWAK73 PAFG 012222
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
222 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

AKZ223-020600-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0051.000000T0000Z-181002T0600Z/
Deltana and Tanana Flats-
Including Salcha, Delta Junction, Fort Greely, 
Harding/Birch Lake, Dry Creek, Dot Lake, and Healy Lake
222 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...Mainly south of Birch Lake.

* WINDS...East 25 to 35 mph gusting near 60 mph.

* TIMING...Winds increasing this morning and will remain strong 
  and gusty into the evening before diminishing. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

AKZ226-020600-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0051.181002T0200Z-181003T0200Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, 
Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
222 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
AKDT TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...Near Alaska Range Passes West of the Tok Cutoff.

* WINDS...South 25 to 40 mph gusting around 55 mph.

* TIMING...Winds will this evening with the strongest winds 
  overnight and Tuesday morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

415 
WWAK73 PAFG 020548
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
948 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

AKZ223-020700-
/O.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0051.000000T0000Z-181002T0600Z/
Deltana and Tanana Flats-
Including Salcha, Delta Junction, Fort Greely, 
Harding/Birch Lake, Dry Creek, Dot Lake, and Healy Lake
948 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has cancelled the Wind
Advisory. 


$$

AKZ226-021400-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0051.000000T0000Z-181003T0200Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, 
Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
948 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...Near Alaska Range Passes West of the Tok Cutoff.

* WINDS...South 25 to 40 mph gusting around 55 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will develop overnight and continue
  through the day Tuesday.
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

092 
WWAK73 PAFG 021131
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
331 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

AKZ226-030200-
/O.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0051.000000T0000Z-181003T0200Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, 
Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
331 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...Near Alaska Range Passes West of the Tok Cutoff.

* WINDS...South 25 to 40 mph gusting around 55 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will diminish late this afternoon. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

249 
WWAK73 PAFG 022111
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
111 PM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

AKZ226-022215-
/O.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0051.000000T0000Z-181003T0200Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, 
Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
111 PM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has cancelled the Wind
Advisory. 

$$

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
315 AM AKDT Sun Sep 30 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Synopsis...Mostly clear skies will continue over the forecast
area for another day, even over most of the Arctic Coast. A fairly
active pattern with occasional showers brushing the southwest
coast and Bering Strait remains out west as a stacked low remains
in the Central Bering Sea.

Models...30/00Z solutions are in very good agreement through
Thursday. The biggest challenge will be the temperature forecasts
as they indicate warmer air moving in, but the clear skies will
bring excellent radiational cooling allowing temperatures to fall
significantly at night. Solutions keep a stacked low in the
Central Bering Sea with some showers moving up the coast and over
St Lawrence Island and the Bering Strait at times.

Aloft...at 500 hpa...Strong ridging over the forecast area with a
580 dam center over Hughes this morning. A ridge axis extends
northwest over Wainwright, another south over Seward and along
150W, and a weaker axis extends southeast over the Upper Tanana
Valley. A 526 dam low center that was over the Western Bering Sea
has moved over the Northern Kamchatka Peninsula while a 520 dam
low remains over the northern Sea of Ohkotsk, and a 536 dam low
has formed 300 nm south of Atka. A broad area of lower heights
remains over Canada. By Monday morning the ridge remains
stationary but weakens to 575 dam as the center drifts north over
the central Arctic Plains. The lows near the Kamchatka peninsula
merge over the northeast Sea of Ohkotsk, and the low south of the
Aleutians moves near Cold Bay at 537 dam. And by Tuesday morning
the ridge center moves to 300 nm north of Point Barrow at 570 dam
with the axis extending southeast over Yakutat. The low near Cold
Bay will weaken and dissipate, while a 506 dam low will form near
near Kamchatka and move over the Western Bering Sea. At 850
hpa...0C isotherm lies outside the states boundaries. A dome of
+10C temperatures continues to build over the state, mainly west
of Fairbanks, and extending north over the Northwest Arctic Coast.
Temperatures start cooling slowly beginning late Monday and will
cool slowly through the remainder of the week.

Surface...Ridge of high pressure extends from 700 nm north of
Point Barrow over the Yukon Territory, and west over interior
Alaska and the Gulf of Alaska. Trough of low pressure remains to
the west with a 985 mb low in the Sea of Ohkotsk moving north into
Siberia, a 990 mb low in the Central Bering Sea, and a 977 mb low
300 nm south of Nikolski. Leeside troughing has developed over
the Arctic Plains and north of the Alaska Range. A 1034 mb center
in the Arctic will move southeast to MacKenzie Bay by early Monday
morning and slide southeast along the Yukon and Northwest
Territories border before moving over British Columbia early
Tuesday morning. The low south of Nikolski will move near Cold Bay
Monday morning at 991 mb, then continues north to Nunivak Island
as it weakens and eventually dissipates early Tuesday morning. A
1033 mb high will remain over the Beaufort Sea with ridging
extending west along 74N as it weakens to 1029 mb Monday night. A
weak thermal trough will develop over the Upper Yukon Flats with a
1017 mb center near Ft Yukon Tuesday morning.

Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...Mostly clear conditions for most
of the area. Even the 30/0745Z GOES MVFR/IFR Probability guidance
is clear today! East widns over most of the area with the
strongest winds along the Eastern Arctic Coast gusting to around
30 mph. Some gusty gap winds developing in the Brooks Range will
kick up out of the south to 30 mph tonight through Monday. Daytime
temperatures will be unseasonably warm with good cooling
overnight that will allow temperatures to fall into the teens in
the cooler inland areas.

West Coast and Western Interior...Some clouds along the southwest
coast and in the Bering Strait, otherwise mostly clear. Northeast
to east winds 10 to 30 mph with the strongest winds in the Lower
Yukon Delta, and near the Bering Strait. Expect some gusting winds
in the Nulato Hills, and higher elevations in the Western
Interior to around 20 mph. Unseasonably warm during the day with
highs in the upper 50s to around 60, but cooling sharply overnight
with lows near freezing in the inland areas, and around 40 along
the coast.

Central and Eastern Interior...Another beautiful day to get out
and enjoy as highs will rise into the upper 50s to lower 60s again
today for most of the Interior. Mostly clear skies will prevail
so expect temperatures to cool sharply once the sun goes down with
lows falling into the upper 20s and lower 30s. Northeast to east
winds 5 to 10 mph today. Expect winds to kick up a little in the
Upper Tanana Valley as the Tanana Valley Jet kicks in with winds
around Delta Junction increasing to 30 mph gusting near 50 mph
early Monday morning and remaining strong into the afternoon
before diminishing Monday evening.

&&

Extended forecast for days 4 to 7...The anomalous ridge over the
area is not expected to move much. The low in the Bering Sea will
erode the western flank some allowing some clouds and showers to
move over the west coast, but nothing significant at this time.
Expect temperatures to slowly cool through the week. It is looking
like the first chance for snow in Fairbanks is at least a week
away unless we get some dramatic pattern change that the models
are missing.

&&

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...The remnants of Typhoon
Trami will move into the southwestern Bering Sea Tuesday. Strong
winds will develop in the northeast Bering Sea and Bering Strait
that may produce elevated surf on St Lawrence Island Tuesday and
Wednesday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Interior rivers remain near bankfull, but are slowly
falling and that will continue with no significant precipitation
expected this week.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Small Craft Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-
PKZ240-PKZ245.

&&

SDB SEP 18