Gale Warning 65, NWS Fairbanks, AK

156 
FZAK52 PAFG 122216
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
216 PM AKDT Sun Aug 12 2018

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-131500-
216 PM AKDT Sun Aug 12 2018

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
The 982 mb remnants of Extra Tropical Cyclone Shanshan over the
Kuskokwim Delta will continue over the Yukon Delta to be near 
Marshall early Monday morning at 985 mb. The low will continue to
slowly move E and weaken through Tuesday. High pressure over 
Siberia will continue to push SE creating a tight pressure 
gradient and strong winds in the Chukchi Sea, Bering Strait, and 
Eastern Bering Sea.

$$

PKZ200-131500-
Norton Sound-
216 PM AKDT Sun Aug 12 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.MON...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-131500-
Dall Point to Wales-
216 PM AKDT Sun Aug 12 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog. Rain showers.
.MON...N winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-131500-
Kotzebue Sound-
216 PM AKDT Sun Aug 12 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...W winds 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.  

$$

PKZ220-131500-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
216 PM AKDT Sun Aug 12 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...N winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...W winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...W winds 5 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Aug 18

855 
FZAK52 PAFG 131357
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
557 AM AKDT Mon Aug 13 2018

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-140215-
557 AM AKDT Mon Aug 13 2018

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
The 985 mb low over the Yukon Delta will remain in place and
weaken to 999 mb by 4am Tue, then move inland and weaken on Tue
and Tue night.


$$

PKZ200-140215-
Norton Sound-
557 AM AKDT Mon Aug 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt decreasing to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. Fog.
.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. Fog.
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-140215-
Dall Point to Wales-
557 AM AKDT Mon Aug 13 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. Fog. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-140215-
Kotzebue Sound-
557 AM AKDT Mon Aug 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 kt decreasing to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-140215-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
557 AM AKDT Mon Aug 13 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

Aug 18

911 
FZAK52 PAFG 132228
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
228 PM AKDT Mon Aug 13 2018

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-141415-
228 PM AKDT Mon Aug 13 2018

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
The 985 mb low over the Yukon Delta will remain in place and
weaken to 999 mb by 4am Tue, then move inland and weaken on Tue
and Tue night.

$$

PKZ200-141415-
Norton Sound-
228 PM AKDT Mon Aug 13 2018

.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-141415-
Dall Point to Wales-
228 PM AKDT Mon Aug 13 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-141415-
Kotzebue Sound-
228 PM AKDT Mon Aug 13 2018

.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.  

$$

PKZ220-141415-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
228 PM AKDT Mon Aug 13 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PROTON Aug 18

804 
FZAK52 PAFG 141225
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
425 AM AKDT Tue Aug 14 2018

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-150230-
425 AM AKDT Tue Aug 14 2018

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A trough of low pressure currently stretches from the Yukon Delta
into the Interior. A 1009 mb low will develop near Nunivak Island
this afternoon and will move into Bristol Bay by Wednesday 
afternoon. A ridge of high pressure that stretches from eastern 
Russia into the southern Chukchi Sea will slowly slide south into 
the Bering Sea through Thursday. 

$$

PKZ200-150230-
Norton Sound-
425 AM AKDT Tue Aug 14 2018

.TODAY...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-150230-
Dall Point to Wales-
425 AM AKDT Tue Aug 14 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-150230-
Kotzebue Sound-
425 AM AKDT Tue Aug 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-150230-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
425 AM AKDT Tue Aug 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

Aug 18

182 
FZAK52 PAFG 142234
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
234 PM AKDT Tue Aug 14 2018

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-151500-
234 PM AKDT Tue Aug 14 2018

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1009 mb low over Nunivak Island will move into Bristol Bay by 
Wednesday afternoon. A ridge of high pressure that stretches from 
eastern Russia into the southern Chukchi Sea will slowly slide 
south into the Bering Sea through Thursday.

$$

PKZ200-151500-
Norton Sound-
234 PM AKDT Tue Aug 14 2018

.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 1 foot.  

$$

PKZ210-151500-
Dall Point to Wales-
234 PM AKDT Tue Aug 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-151500-
Kotzebue Sound-
234 PM AKDT Tue Aug 14 2018

.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...S winds 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.  

$$

PKZ220-151500-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
234 PM AKDT Tue Aug 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 5 ft. 
.WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Aug 18

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
157 PM AKDT Sat Aug 11 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Synopsis...An overall pattern change is expected through the
weekend and into next week, as the remnants of Typhoon Shanshan
enter the forecast area Sunday through Tuesday. This will bring
increasingly wetter conditions across the West Coast and Western
Interior, with locally heavy rainfall possible for the
western Interior. Winds will strengthen across the West Coast and
portions of the Western Interior as well. Across the Alaska Range
strong southerly Chinook winds are expected to develop Sunday and
continue into Monday morning.

Aloft...Models in fairly good agreement through 84 hours.
A broad long wave trough remains over the Bering Sea today
containing a 540 dam center over the Gulf of Anadyr. A 588 dam
center of high pressure is over the North Pacific extending inland
over the Interior. The remnants of Shanshan will move into
Bristol Bay early Sunday morning as a 540 dam low. As the low
moves inland, the ridging over the North Pacific will deepen and
shift to the east as well. Shanshan low will weaken in place
over the western Interior on Monday. The entire state will remain
under a longwave trough through much of next week.

Surface...Remnants of Shanshan as a 978 mb low will
move into Bristol bay by 12Z Sunday then movenear Cape Newenham
as a 979 mb low by 00Z Monday, to a 986 mb low near Marshall by
12Z Monday, and continuing to weaken and slowly move eastward
Monday afternoon and Tuesday. As the remnants of Shanshan move
inland, leeside troughing will develop north of the Alaska Range
and deepen Sunday and Monday. A frontal boundary will stall out
over the Interior and continue to produce showers for the Interior
through Wednesday morning.

Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...Areas of fog and stratus will
continue along the eastern Arctic Coast. Shower activity this
morning from Barter Island east will taper off and drier
conditions are expected through Sunday. Afternoon temperatures in
the 40s along the coast today and Sunday, with highs in the 50s to
lower 60s inland. A weather front will move across the Arctic
Coast on Tuesday into Wednesday bringing a mix of rain and snow
showers to the north slope.

West Coast and Western Interior...Showers will become more
numerous going into Sunday and Monday as the remnants of Shanshan
move across. Moisture will surge across the coast, bringing
periods of heavy rainfall. Widespread rainfall accumulations of 1
inch likely, with isolated higher amounts in upslope areas. In
addition to the rainfall, strong and gusty winds are likely along
the coast and strong wind headlines will likely be needed. A Wind
Advisory has been issued for strong southeasterly winds in zone
227 on Sunday. Northerly winds will increase to 30 to 40 mph
during the afternoon on Sunday through the Bering Strait and push
water towards the north coast of St Lawrence Island. A high surf
advisory has been issued for zone 213 from Sunday afternoon
through Tuesday morning.

Central and Eastern Interior...As the remnants of Shanshan move
eastward, strong southerly Chinook winds are expected to develop
on Sunday for passes in the Alaska Range, continuing through
Monday morning. Have upgraded the high wind watches to warnings
for zones 223 225 and 226.  Strong southwesterly winds are
expected to develop west of Tok on Sunday as well. Rain chances
will increase for the region Sunday afternoon onward, but for
areas from Fairbanks south, rain chances will be a little more
limited due to downsloping. A steady warm up in temperatures is
expected across the Interior through Sunday as ridging aloft
builds across the area, with highs pushing into the upper 60s to
around 70 then cooling off again as showers become more widespread
on Tuesday.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...
High surf advisory has been issued for zone 213 for northeast
facing coasts of St Lawrence Island, Little Diomede and Wales.
Waves and surf building to 8 to 12 feet offshore with wave runup
around 2 to 4 feet.

FIRE WEATHER...Fire weather activity will remain low through the
weekend. RH values are expected to remain above 30 percent in
most areas. Lowest RH values will occur across the Yukon Flats
this afternoon and may briefly touch 30 percent. Strong southerly
Chinook expected to develop along the Alaska Range by Sunday
afternoon and continue through midday Monday. For the latest
information go to www.weather.gov/arh/fire.

HYDROLOGY...Flood Advisory continues for Mile 6 Tetlin Rd with high
water likely through the weekend. High water is expected on rivers in
the Tanana Valley through the weekend. However, rivers have all
crested and are falling across the Interior. Expect rises next
week as remains of Typhoon Shanshan moves across Interior. For the
latest information go to www.weather.gov/aprfc.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory for AKZ227.

High Surf Advisory for AKZ213.

High Wind Warning for AKZ223-AKZ225-AKZ226.

Small Craft Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-
PKZ230.
&&

AUG 18