Gale Warning 33, NWS Fairbanks, AK

412 
FZAK52 PAFG 080034
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
334 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-081500-
334 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 974 mb low near the Gulf of Anadyr will move Se to Nunivak
Island by Thu evening at 996 mb then merge with a 964 mb low in 
the Gulf of Alaska. A broad area of low pressure will result
over the area. High pressure will push E from a 1038 mb center
over Siberia creating a tight pressure gradient over the Chukchi
Sea, Bering Strait, and Eastern Bering Sea with strong winds
developing and persisting through Fri. 

$$

PKZ200-081500-
Norton Sound-
334 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW winds 30 kt decreasing to 20 kt. Blowing snow and
freezing fog. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.THU...S winds 20 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. 
.SUN...N winds 10 kt. 
.MON...N winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-081500-
Dall Point to Wales-
334 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...S winds 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing fog and blowing
snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...N winds 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-081500-
Kotzebue Sound-
334 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt becoming S. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY
1 NM or less. 
.THU...S winds 10 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 20 kt. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 10 kt. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. 
.SUN...NE winds 10 kt. 
.MON...NE winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-081500-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
334 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt becoming S. Freezing fog. Snow.
.THU...SE winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. 
.SUN...N winds 20 kt. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt.  

$$

SDB Mar 18

260 
FZAK52 PAFG 081225
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
325 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-090315-
325 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 973 mb low SW of Saint Lawrence Island will move Se to Nunivak 
Island by Thu evening at 996 mb then merge with a 964 mb low in 
the Gulf of Alaska Friday morning. A broad area of low pressure 
will result over the area. High pressure will push E from a 1038 
mb center over Siberia creating a tight pressure gradient over the
Chukchi Sea, Bering Strait, and Eastern Bering Sea with strong 
winds developing and persisting through Fri.

$$

PKZ200-090315-
Norton Sound-
325 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

.TODAY...S winds 20 kt. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. 
.SUN...SE winds 10 kt. 
.MON...S winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-090315-
Dall Point to Wales-
325 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing
fog. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing fog and blowing
snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...N winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM
or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-090315-
Kotzebue Sound-
325 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

.TODAY...S winds 15 kt. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 20 kt. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. 
.SAT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. 
.MON...SE winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-090315-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
325 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 15 kt. 
.TONIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt.  

$$

Mar 18

663 
FZAK52 PAFG 082347
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
247 PM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-091530-
247 PM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 977 mb low NW of Nunivak Island will move SE and be 150 NM NW of
Sand Point Fri morning. A 969 mb low over Kodiak Island will
rotate east to be over Cook Inlet by Fri morning and then move N
inland and weaken. High pressure will push E from a 1038 mb 
center over Siberia creating a tight pressure gradient over the 
Chukchi Sea, Bering Strait, and Eastern Bering Sea with strong 
winds developing and persisting through Sat.

$$

PKZ200-091530-
Norton Sound-
247 PM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 kt becoming N 20 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.SAT...NW winds 20 kt. 
.SAT NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. 
.SUN...SE winds 10 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. 
.MON...S winds 15 kt. 
.TUE...S winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-091530-
Dall Point to Wales-
247 PM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing fog and blowing
snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...N winds 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Blowing snow and freezing fog.
VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM
or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-091530-
Kotzebue Sound-
247 PM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

.TONIGHT...E winds 10 kt becoming N. 
.FRI...NW winds 20 kt. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.SAT...W winds 10 kt. 
.SAT NIGHT...S winds 5 kt. 
.SUN...SE winds 10 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.MON...SE winds 15 kt. 
.TUE...S winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-091530-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
247 PM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. 
.SUN...SE winds 15 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. 
.TUE...S winds 15 kt.  

$$

Mar 18

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
214 PM AKST Tue Mar 6 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Model guidance continues to display close agreement with regard to
track and speed of synoptic scale features with reasonable
concensus extending through Saturday. The longwave pattern remains
in agreement through the early part of next week, though
significant spread in shortwave and small scale features become
apparent by Saturday.

A 996 mb low east of Kamchatka will track eastward along the
southern Siberian coast and rapidly deepen to 970 mb before
passing south of St. Lawrence Island Thursday morning.
A strong occluded boundary emanating from this system will spawn
a surface low east of Kodiak which will rapidly deepen to 965 mb
by Friday morning as it tracks northeastward toward the Kenai
Peninsula. The Bering low will meanwhile move southeast, reaching
Bristol Bay early Friday.

An elongated trough reaching from the Kamchatka low across the
northern Bering Sea and into the Yukon Delta continues to
facilitate cloudy skies and light snow across the west coast south
of Point Hope and into the Yukon Delta and Kuskokwim Mountains.
Additional snow of 1 to 2 inches remains likely for much of the
west through tomorrow morning.

As the Kamchatka low presses eastward and deepens, a strong front
will dig across the central Being Sea, reaching St. Lawrence
Island and the Yukon Delta Wednesday afternoon. Increasing winds
and snow will be felt ahead of this front, with impacts reaching
into the western interior by Thursday morning. Low and mid level
southerly flow across the Alaska Range and eastern interior should
mitigate any significant impacts from the Tanana Valley to the
Yukon Flats as the front progresses eastward. This system will
carry significantly more moisture than its predecessors and will
generate large snow totals across the west coast, especially along
southern coastlines where upslope forcing will support heavy snow
in excess of 1 inch per hour at times.

Southerly gap flow across the Alaska Range is currently producing
south winds in excess of 45 mph and will continue to do so over
the next few hours. A lull in the winds is expected tonight
through early Wednesday followed again by an increase in winds
late Wednesday into Thursday as frontal passage occurs supported
by cyclogenesis over Kenai. Likewise, strong winds in the Brooks
Range are likely to persist over the next few days, and advisories
may be warranted for the Alaska Range late Wednesday.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Storm Warning for AKZ208-AKZ209-AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ212-
AKZ213-AKZ214-AKZ216.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ215.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ210.

&&

COWMAN MAR 18