Storm Warning 104, NWS Anchorage, AK

246 
FZAK51 PAFC 091526 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-100330-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1005 mb low at 56N 153W Tue morning extends a front across the
Gulf through Wed afternoon and moves into Southwest Alaska by Wed
morning. A 997 mb low 450 nm south of Dutch Harbor Tue morning 
moves inland near Pilot Point at 985 mb by Wed morning with its 
front extending across the western Gulf.

$$

PKZ119-100330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. 
.WED...SE wind 45 kt becoming SW 35 kt in the afternoon.  
Seas 18 ft. Rain. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-100330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 15 ft 
in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.WED...S wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 20 ft in the
afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-100330-
Resurrection Bay-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-100330-
Prince William Sound-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.WED...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 9 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-100330-
Port Valdez-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.WED...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon.  
Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-100330-
Valdez Narrows-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.WED...N wind 25 kt becoming S in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-100330-
Valdez Arm-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.WED...NE wind 25 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
Rain. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-100330-
Passage Canal-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-100330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight.  Seas
12 ft building to 21 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.WED...S wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-100330-
Barren Islands East-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. 
Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.WED...S wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-100330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 50 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft building to 22 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.WED...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
26 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-100330-
Chiniak Bay-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
9 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Widespread rain
showers. 
.WED...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-100330-
Marmot Bay-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Widespread rain
showers. 
.WED...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
8 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-100330-
Shelikof Strait-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
11 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight.  Seas
6 ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.WED...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
18 ft subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-100330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 10 ft. 
Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.WED...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. Rain. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-100330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon.  
Seas building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-100330-
Kachemak Bay-
726 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt toward morning. 
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. 
.WED...SE wind 30 kt becoming SW 40 kt around midday. 
Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. 
Widespread rain showers. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

891 
FZAK51 PAFC 100000
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-101230-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 992 mb low 250 nm south of Sand Point will move near King Salmon 
at 985 mb early Wed morning and then move northwest and weaken. A 
front will move into the western Gulf Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-101230-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft.
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-101230-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-101230-
Resurrection Bay-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening diminishing to 10 kt. Seas 
4 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-101230-
Prince William Sound-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 4 
ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 40 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft. 
Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-101230-
Port Valdez-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-101230-
Valdez Narrows-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 25 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-101230-
Valdez Arm-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-101230-
Passage Canal-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt near Whitter. Seas 5 ft. 
Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-101230-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft building to 18 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 45 kt in the morning becoming S 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-101230-
Barren Islands East-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 45 kt becoming SW 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-101230-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 50 kt after midnight. Seas 10
ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
21 ft subsiding to 18 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-101230-
Chiniak Bay-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft building to 13 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-101230-
Marmot Bay-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft building to 15 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-101230-
Shelikof Strait-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 35 kt. Seas 6 
ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-101230-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 35 kt becoming SW 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-101230-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 10 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-101230-
Kachemak Bay-
400 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft 
building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt increasing to SW 40 kt around noon. Seas
building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after 
midnight.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

313 
FZAK51 PAFC 101137
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-110100-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front continues to spread across the Gulf and will weaken by 
Thu morning. A second front enters the western Gulf by Thu 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-110100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-110100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-110100-
Resurrection Bay-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 30 kt by late morning. 
Seas building to 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-110100-
Prince William Sound-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-110100-
Port Valdez-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-110100-
Valdez Narrows-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-110100-
Valdez Arm-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-110100-
Passage Canal-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-110100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming S 45 kt by late morning. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-110100-
Barren Islands East-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-110100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 21 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-110100-
Chiniak Bay-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ137-110100-
Marmot Bay-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-110100-
Shelikof Strait-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-110100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt becoming SW 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-110100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-110100-
Kachemak Bay-
337 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft
building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

173 
FZAK51 PAFC 102300
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-111215-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front in the western Gulf will weaken by Thu morning. A second 
front enters the western Gulf Thu afternoon and reaches the central 
Gulf by Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-111215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
15 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-111215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
15 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-111215-
Resurrection Bay-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... 

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt by midnight. Gusts to 40
kt through early evening. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft..
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-111215-
Prince William Sound-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft subsiding to 4 ft by midnight.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-111215-
Port Valdez-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 15 kt then diminishing to 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-111215-
Valdez Narrows-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind increasing to 25 kt then diminishing to 15 kt 
after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-111215-
Valdez Arm-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming SW wind 20 kt in the evening. Seas
4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-111215-
Passage Canal-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft subsiding.
.THU...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-111215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the early evening.
SW wind 15 kt toward Kamishak Bay. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-111215-
Barren Islands East-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the early evening. 
Seas 18 ft subsiding to 12 ft after midnight.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-111215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 13 ft after
midnight.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-111215-
Chiniak Bay-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ137-111215-
Marmot Bay-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft after
midnight.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-111215-
Shelikof Strait-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the early evening. 
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-111215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the early evening. 
Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 10 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-111215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-111215-
Kachemak Bay-
300 PM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt by midnight. Seas 8 ft
subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
443 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A high amplitude upper level pattern is in place with a trough
over the Bering Sea and North Central Pacific and a ridge over
the East Pacific extending north-northwest across the Gulf of
Alaska and Southwest Alaska on up to the Bering Strait. A
vertically stacked low north of the Western Aleutian chain anchors
the trough. Multiple short-waves are rotating around this trough,
causing the trough to dig over the Pacific and the downstream
ridge to build - essentially amplifying the flow even further.
This is a perfect set-up for cyclogenesis, with rapid development
likely as surface lows reach the sweet spot between two upper
level jet streaks, just east of the base of the trough.

As far as specific features dominating today's weather, an occluded
front is wrapped around the Bering Sea low extending northward
from the low center across the northern Bering then back due
southward across the eastern Bering on down to the eastern
Aleutians and southern Alaska Peninsula. Gale force winds and
moderate to heavy rain can be found along and ahead of this front.
A wave lifting northward along the front this morning produced
storm force wind gusts through channeled terrain of the eastern
Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula. However, the overall trend is for
weakening winds as the front continues to lift north and east.

Meanwhile, a surface low has developed on the leading edge of the
upper trough and is tracking northward toward Kodiak Island. The
upper support for this specific low is pretty weak, so do not
expect much deepening of the low center. Lastly, sitting
underneath the upper ridge, areas of stratus and fog formed over
Southcentral Alaska and Southwest Alaska overnight through this
morning. There has been some improvement along coastal Southwest
Alaska thanks to increasing winds and clouds ahead of the
approaching front. Otherwise, these areas are holding firm with
no signs of dissipating.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models have a good handle on large scale features over the next
few days. In particular, models have all trended toward a very
similar track inland across Southwest Alaska Tuesday night
through Wednesday. This will bring needed confidence to start
honing in on the areas of strongest winds and heaviest rain with
this system. Of course, with a lot of these local terrain driven
winds, there is a high sensitivity to storm track, so will be
looking for consistency in future model runs.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Fog and stratus continue to linger near the terminal. Low
level flow will start to increase out of the southeast between
03Z and 06Z, so expect any remaining fog/stratus to be pushed off
to the west. A front will approach from the south on Tuesday, but
with strong cross-barrier flow expect downslope flow to maintain
VFR ceilings and dry conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Areas of low stratus and patchy fog will persist along the Cook
Inlet and into the southern Susitna Valley through the evening
hours. After that, high and mid-level cloud cover will be on the
increase across Southcentral as the first of two surface lows
moves toward the region from the north Pacific. The first, and
weaker of the two, will approach the southern coast of Kodiak
Island tonight and continue a northward track into Cook Inlet for
Tuesday. The low and its accompanying occluded front will bring
widespread rain and gales for the western Gulf tonight and
Tuesday. The front stalls and weakens along the coast late Tuesday
with a weak barrier jet allowing for areas of gales to continue
along the coast. Rain will generally be confined to east upslope
areas. Locations in the lee of the Chugach Mountains will see
limited amounts of rainfall as a strong southeasterly flow will
aid in downsloping.

The second surface low, the remnants of former-typhoon Kong-rey
and the stronger of the two, will quickly follow on the heels of
the first as it nears the eastern AKPEN late Tuesday. By Tuesday
night, it will move onshore northeast of Kodiak Island. Another
round of rain will accompany this system; however, the brunt of
the rain will once again be along the coasts and east upslope
regions as strong cross-barrier (southeast) flow will keep areas
to the lee of the Chugach on the dry side. The bigger story with
this system will be the winds with southeasterly gap winds
increasing quickly tomorrow evening through Turnagain Arm and the
Copper River Basin, and the along the Anchorage Hillside. Gale and
storm-force winds will also develop tomorrow evening through
Shelikof Strait, the Barren Islands, and along the east coast of
Kodiak Island ahead of the front as the low continues to track
northeast. A barrier jet will also develop ahead of the front with
gales likely into Prince William Sound overnight Tuesday into
Wednesday. For Turnagain Arm and the Anchorage Hillside, the
strongest winds are expected late Tuesday night through the first
half of Wednesday just ahead of the front where gusts could
approach 70 mph. As the low tracks farther inland and the front
moves into the interior, the southeasterly winds will turn
southwest with gales continuing along Cook Inlet and over the
northern Gulf. The up-Inlet flow will also help to increase winds
over Anchorage beginning Wednesday afternoon through late
Wednesday night before diminishing as the low moves farther inland
and the pressure gradient relaxes.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
(Tonight through Thursday night)

High pressure will continue to retreat to the east tonight as an
elongated occluded front sweeps northeast across the southwest
mainland. The front will bring rain with gusty easterly winds
overnight that will be accelerated through the terrain gaps along
the Aleutian Range. The front will shear apart as it becomes
detached from the parent low, allowing for improving conditions
later in the afternoon tomorrow, though showers will likely linger
through the entire day.

Riding rapidly behind the decaying front is a stronger surface
low enhanced with the remnants of former-typhoon Kong-Rey. The
storm system will approach the southern coast of the AKPEN early
Tuesday night at around 980 mb and track north along the spine of
the Aleutian and Alaska Ranges Wednesday morning. The tight
pressure gradient associated with the compact low will mean strong
winds across most of the southwest mainland, especially through
terrain gaps and passes on the lee side of the mountains with
easterly flow ahead of the low. Heavy rain will also accompany the
storm system, especially in upslope areas, with strong cross
barrier flow leading to some drying on the west side of the Alaska
Range. As the low pushes north of the region Wednesday afternoon,
the flow will become southwesterly up Bristol Bay and bring more
widespread gusty winds enhanced with decent cold air advection.
Winds could gust up to 40-50 mph along the southern part of the
Bristol Bay coast. Winds and rain showers will slowly diminish
Wednesday night and into Thursday before the next system moves
into the area by Thursday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
(Tonight through Thursday night)

An area of low pressure will slowly drift east across the Western
Bering, with its associated surface front pushing eastward across
the Eastern Bering and Bristol Bay areas tonight. Gale force
southerly winds and heavy rain associated with the system will
taper over overnight, switching to southwesterly as the front
pushes through.

The next feature of interest will be the remnants of former-typhoon
Kong-Rey that will approach the Eastern Aleutians/AKPEN by
Tuesday evening. Widespread moderate to locally heavy rainfall
will develop along and ahead of this storm. A brief period of
storm force winds will develop east of the Shumagin Islands
Tuesday night with seas building to 20-25 feet.

Out over the Western Bering/Aleutians, the broad surface low will
track east acting to tighten the pressure gradient with the North
Pacific ridge to the south. This will lead to long fetch westerly
winds along most of the Aleutian chain through the whole period,
allowing seas to build up to 12 to 16 ft, especially on the Bering
side of the island chain.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The mid to long term begins Thursday with the models in overall
agreement with a low over the northern Bering Sea and a ridge of
high pressure extending from the Gulf of Alaska into the north
Gulf Coast. Moving into Friday we have a weak low, short wave that
gets caught in the strong southerly flow into the Gulf of Alaska
that rapidly moves to the north Gulf Coast by Saturday morning.
This will push the ridge of high pressure out of the Gulf of
Alaska into British Columbia. Meanwhile, out west, we have
another strong low moving into the western Bering Sea and
Aleutians late Friday night. The models are struggling to unify on
a solution as the storm track and forecast pressure have
significant spreads between the deterministic models and the
ensemble blend. Where the models are consistent is the location of
the front as it sweeps into the western Aleutians Friday night to
Saturday morning. As we move into Sunday the spread in the model
solutions continues to grow with significant differences in the
sensible weather depending on which solution is used. The ensemble
solution and WPC have a faster track to the east northeast than
the latest deterministic models. Therefore, we will maintain the
current forecast due to low confidence in any one.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale 119 120 136-139 155 177 178 180-185.
		Storm 130-132 150.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SEB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TM
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KVP
LONG TERM...SA