Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2018

Small Craft Advisory 718, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 22, 2018

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Sep 22, 2018, 3:49 PM AKDT. It was in force for 60 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 22, 2018, 3:49 PM AKDT (23:49 UTC)
Expired
Sep 25, 2018, 3:41 AM AKDT
In force
60 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

098 
FZAK51 PAFC 222349
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-231315-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front pushes across the Gulf through Mon afternoon. A 1006 mb
low 120 nm South of Chignik moves along the front to 135 nm South
of Yakutat at 1013 mb dissipating Sun night. A second front enters 
the Western Gulf Sun night and moves to the Eastern Gulf Mon 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-231315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-231315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-231315-
Resurrection Bay-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-231315-
Prince William Sound-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 4 ft in the evening subsiding to less than 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-231315-
Port Valdez-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-231315-
Valdez Narrows-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-231315-
Valdez Arm-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-231315-
Passage Canal-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-231315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. 
Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-231315-
Barren Islands East-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft 
building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-231315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ136-231315-
Chiniak Bay-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-231315-
Marmot Bay-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. 
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-231315-
Shelikof Strait-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft 
building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-231315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-231315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-231315-
Kachemak Bay-
349 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening diminishing to 10 kt. Seas 3
ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
5 follow-up statements
847 
FZAK51 PAFC 231146
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-240115-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A North Pacific low will move to 58N 159W at 990 mb tonight then
move inland across Southwest Alaska Mon morning. The associated 
front will cross the western Gulf tonight then move onshore along 
the north Gulf coast on Mon.

$$

PKZ119-240115-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-240115-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt, except Variable less than 10 kt 
near the coast. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-240115-
Resurrection Bay-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas building to 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-240115-
Prince William Sound-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-240115-
Port Valdez-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-240115-
Valdez Narrows-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 15 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. 
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-240115-
Valdez Arm-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas building to 5 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-240115-
Passage Canal-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain 
showers.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-240115-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft building to 13 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-240115-
Barren Islands East-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-240115-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt, becoming S 20 kt S of Dangerous Cape 
in the late afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-240115-
Chiniak Bay-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-240115-
Marmot Bay-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-240115-
Shelikof Strait-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming Variable 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-240115-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-240115-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming NE after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-240115-
Kachemak Bay-
346 AM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft building to 13 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
045 
FZAK51 PAFC 232353
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-241315-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 999 mb low 50 nm south of Sand Point moves inland Mon morning. 
The associated front in the western Gulf moves to the northeastern
Gulf Mon morning and then lifts inland Mon afternoon. A 1009 mb 
low approaches the southwestern Gulf 220 nm south of Sitkinak Tue 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-241315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 14 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-241315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-241315-
Resurrection Bay-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-241315-
Prince William Sound-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-241315-
Port Valdez-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-241315-
Valdez Narrows-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-241315-
Valdez Arm-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. 
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt by midnight. Seas 5 
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-241315-
Passage Canal-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-241315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 40 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 19 ft in the
afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 14 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-241315-
Barren Islands East-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 6 
ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-241315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt by midnight. Seas 10 ft 
building to 18 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-241315-
Chiniak Bay-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft 
building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-241315-
Marmot Bay-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-241315-
Shelikof Strait-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ139-241315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 17 ft in the
afternoon. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-241315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
10 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-241315-
Kachemak Bay-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft. 
Rain.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 35 kt in the afternoon with gusts 
up to 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.


$$
600 
FZAK51 PAFC 241145
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-250015-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A strong front in the western Gulf will dissipate as it moves 
onshore along the north Gulf coast today. A second front associated 
with a Pacific low will move into the southern Gulf Tue night.

$$

PKZ119-250015-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Near the coast,
SE wind increasing to 35 kt late this morning, then becoming S 25 kt
in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-250015-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming SW by late morning. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-250015-
Resurrection Bay-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S this morning, then 
increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 5 ft. 
Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-250015-
Prince William Sound-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 35 kt by late morning, then 
becoming S 25 kt in the late afternoon. Seas 4 ft building 
to 9 ft by midday. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-250015-
Port Valdez-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt shifting to SW in the late afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-250015-
Valdez Narrows-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TODAY...N wind increasing to 20 kt this morning, then 
shifting to S 20 kt in the late afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-250015-
Valdez Arm-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 30 kt by midday, then becoming 
S 20 kt in the late afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft by 
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-250015-
Passage Canal-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 25 kt by late morning, then 
diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 4 ft, 
then subsiding to 2 ft in the late afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. 
Seas 1 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-250015-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt shifting to SW by late morning. 
Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-250015-
Barren Islands East-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-250015-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-250015-
Chiniak Bay-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt diminishing to SW 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-250015-
Marmot Bay-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. 
Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-250015-
Shelikof Strait-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 15 ft 
in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-250015-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 14 ft 
in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-250015-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-250015-
Kachemak Bay-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 35 kt by afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
157 
FZAK51 PAFC 250007
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-251245-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A strong front in the western Gulf will dissipate as it moves 
onshore along the north Gulf coast today. A second front 
associated with a Pacific low will move into the southern Gulf
Wednesday afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-251245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-251245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-251245-
Resurrection Bay-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-251245-
Prince William Sound-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-251245-
Port Valdez-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-251245-
Valdez Narrows-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-251245-
Valdez Arm-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt decreasing to 10 kt by midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-251245-
Passage Canal-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-251245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-251245-
Barren Islands East-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-251245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-251245-
Chiniak Bay-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-251245-
Marmot Bay-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-251245-
Shelikof Strait-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-251245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-251245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-251245-
Kachemak Bay-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt subsiding to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8 
ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
316 
FZAK51 PAFC 251141
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-260015-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1008 mb Pacific low will move to 250 nm south of Middleton
Island at 1015 mb tonight. The low will then move into the 
eastern Gulf Wed morning. A front associated with a North Pacific 
low will move into the southern Gulf Wed night then to the 
northwestern Gulf Thu morning. 

$$

PKZ119-260015-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-260015-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming Variable 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-260015-
Resurrection Bay-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-260015-
Prince William Sound-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-260015-
Port Valdez-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-260015-
Valdez Narrows-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-260015-
Valdez Arm-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt 
after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-260015-
Passage Canal-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 15 kt 
after midnight. Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier in the morning. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-260015-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-260015-
Barren Islands East-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt early, then becoming Variable wind 10 kt. 
Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-260015-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-260015-
Chiniak Bay-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-260015-
Marmot Bay-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-260015-
Shelikof Strait-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-260015-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt during the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding. Patchy fog.
.WED...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. 
Patchy fog.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-260015-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt during the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding. Patchy fog.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-260015-
Kachemak Bay-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 22, 4:44 AM AKDT, 11 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 22, 4:44 AM AKDT, 11 hours 5 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
444 AM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The occluded front associated with a low just north of Nunivak
Island continues to lift northeast through the interior of
Southwest Alaska this morning with rain stretching from north of
Sleetmute and Lime Village across Norton Sound. Broad west to
southwest winds wrapping underneath this low are gusting to near
40 knots along the west coast with gales across the central Bering
north of the Pribilofs. The cyclonic flow around the low is
continuing to draw moisture into the Southwest, keeping clouds and
low-level moisture in place, while shortwaves ejecting from the
upper-level low stacked upon the surface low are helping enhance
shower activity behind the front.

Along the southcentral coast, an eastward advancing warm front is
pushing low stratus and rain across the region. Light to moderate
rain has been falling all night from the northern Susitna Valley
south and east through the Cook Inlet, Kenai Peninsula, and Prince
William Sound. Farther west, the precipitation is tapering off
along the AKPEN and over Kodiak Island as the trailing cold front
advances east. Southerly gap winds have also continued overnight,
most notably through the Copper River Basin were gusts over 20
knots have been reported. Gusty southeasterly winds along
Turnagain Arm are also continuing, and as of early this morning
have once again moved over the western half of Anchorage with
gusts over 20 knots reported at the airport.

For Anchorage, two notable stretches of weather have come to an
end with this change in the pattern. First, the 0.27" of rain
measured as of 1:00am AKDT at the airport ends the 25 day stretch
of no measurable precipitation for the city (previous measurable
rainfall occurred Aug. 26th). Second, the high temperature of 59
degrees ends the 28 day stretch of daytime highs at 60 degrees or
warmer (previous high temperature below 60 degrees occurred Aug.
23rd).

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Overall, the models remain in good synoptic agreement regarding
the evolution of the Bering low and the development of a secondary
surface low in the western Gulf through Sunday. Beyond that,
there is still a bit of uncertainty in the timing and placement of
the secondary low as it tracks along the AKPEN and toward the
southern coast. Throughout the day, the NAM had been the outlier
when compared to the GFS and EC, with a more easterly track of the
low into Prince William Sound. However, the latest 06z NAM run
has fallen in line with the GFS and EC and the westerly track
solution. This has marginally increased forecast confidence,
especially with rainfall and increasing southerly gap winds Sunday
and Monday, but there are still some timing issues that need to
be resolved. Most notably, the EC solution continues to be the
slowest in the forward progression of the low.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Generally, VFR conditions will persist through today.
However, ceilings may drop below 5,000 feet for a time this
morning during the heaviest of the rainfall as the front moves
through Anchorage. Gusty southeasterly Turnagain Arm winds have
moved over the airport complex and will continue throughout the
day.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
Precipitation will diminish from west to east today as a front
over the area progresses east, allowing somewhat drier air to
filter in behind the system. Some showers will remain over the
area through Sunday, mainly north and east of Anchorage as the
flow aloft remains from the southwest and some moisture remains.
Sunday night a strong system will move rapidly north over the
western Gulf. The models are in fairly good agreement that the
surface low will slide from just southwest of Kodiak Island Sunday
evening, up Cook Inlet Monday morning, and then north of the
Susitna valley Monday afternoon. This will bring another round of
rain to the area Sunday night and Monday. There will also be
fairly strong Turnagain Arm/upper hillside winds with this system
beginning Sunday evening. As the low moves north, breezy southerly
winds will push up Cook Inlet Monday afternoon with the rapid
pressure rises behind that low.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

A surface low over the eastern Bering slowly tracks inland tonight
and then remains nearly stationary through Monday night as the
upper level low remains along the west coast. This keeps a
persistent pattern across the region with ongoing showers and
gusty south to west winds. The one notable difference during this
timeframe will be a trend towards cooler conditions as the low
taps into the cold arctic air. The next system to monitor moves up
to Bristol Bay on Sunday night, spreading moderate rain along
with easterly winds as it races north.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

Low pressure across the eastern Bering keeps gusty winds across
the northern waters today as it advects a cold air mass toward the
coast. Winds are expected to taper down tonight as the low moves
inland and fills. South to west winds change to the northwest
direction along the western waters late tonight with a ridge
moving up from the North Pacific. The next front to monitor races
up to the Alaska Peninsula early Sunday. This system rapidly
increases winds to gale strength with moderate rainfall along its
boundary.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Monday Night through Friday)...

Monday night continues to feature a low centered in the Norton
Sound region that will be lifting northward away from the area.
Clearing looks to be gradual behind the low however, with showers
and light rain expected to continue along the area mountains
overnight. Mostly cloudy skies are expected to persist for much of
the day Tuesday, though much of southern mainland Alaska will be
dry for the day. High pressure briefly moves over the area Tuesday
afternoon and night, which will help with some clearing for
inland locations, but the forecast models disagree on how cold the
air mass gets, with the foreign models suggesting warmer
conditions than previous days.

The models have also come in worse agreement on the track and
speed of the next low approaching southern Alaska from the south
Tuesday night. The foreign models are in somewhat better agreement
with each other than the GFS. To favor consistency, the EC and
Canadian solution was chosen, indicating rain at the leading edge
of another warm air mass beginning at the coast early Wednesday
morning, and gradually spreading northward through the day. On
this point, the EC and Canadian solutions begin to diverge, with
the Canadian's more eastward track of the center of the low along
the coast Wednesday night into Thursday suggesting a very wet
period for nearly all of Southern Alaska. Meanwhile the EC now
takes the low west of the Pribilofs, which would mean very little
rain for much of Southcentral. With such disagreement in the
models past Tuesday night, forecast confidence is low.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Flood Advisory 121.
MARINE...Gale Warning 180 181 414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...TM
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...JW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 21, 10:57 PM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAFC14 hr
Sep 22, 4:30 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC23 hr
Sep 22, 3:40 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Sep 22, 3:49 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Sep 22, 3:52 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2018Every small craft advisory in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.