Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2018
Small Craft Advisory 652, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Aug 23, 2018, 3:09 AM AKDT. It was in force for 37 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 23, 2018, 3:09 AM AKDT (11:09 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 24, 2018, 3:48 PM AKDT
- In force
- 37 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
507 FZAK51 PAFC 231109 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-240030- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A front pushes into the Eastern Gulf for Fri afternoon. A second front enters the Western Gulf Fri afternoon and pushes across the Central Gulf by Sat morning. $$ PKZ119-240030- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ120-240030- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY... .TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ121-240030- Resurrection Bay- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ125-240030- Prince William Sound- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ126-240030- Port Valdez- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-240030- Valdez Narrows- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-240030- Valdez Arm- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ129-240030- Passage Canal- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-240030- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE by late morning. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ131-240030- Barren Islands East- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ132-240030- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ136-240030- Chiniak Bay- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TODAY...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-240030- Marmot Bay- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TODAY...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ138-240030- Shelikof Strait- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ139-240030- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ140-240030- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ141-240030- Kachemak Bay- 309 AM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TODAY...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
3 follow-up statements
890 FZAK51 PAFC 232351 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-241215- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A front in the southwestern Gulf will move into the northern Gulf Fri afternoon then it will dissipate Sat morning. A second front will enter the southern Gulf Sat morning then it will move into the central Gulf Sat afternoon. $$ PKZ119-241215- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt becoming W by the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ120-241215- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ121-241215- Resurrection Bay- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ125-241215- Prince William Sound- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ126-241215- Port Valdez- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ127-241215- Valdez Narrows- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI...Variable wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-241215- Valdez Arm- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ129-241215- Passage Canal- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-241215- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ131-241215- Barren Islands East- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ132-241215- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ136-241215- Chiniak Bay- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ137-241215- Marmot Bay- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ138-241215- Shelikof Strait- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ139-241215- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ140-241215- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. $$ PKZ141-241215- Kachemak Bay- 351 PM AKDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
562 FZAK51 PAFC 241116 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-250030- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... An Eastern Gulf front pushes into Southeast Alaska Fri afternoon. A Western Gulf front slides across the Gulf through Sat afternoon. A second Western Gulf front moves along the North Gulf Coast for Sun morning. $$ PKZ119-250030- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ120-250030- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ121-250030- Resurrection Bay- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ125-250030- Prince William Sound- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TODAY...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ126-250030- Port Valdez- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ127-250030- Valdez Narrows- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-250030- Valdez Arm- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ129-250030- Passage Canal- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ130-250030- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ131-250030- Barren Islands East- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ132-250030- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ136-250030- Chiniak Bay- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ137-250030- Marmot Bay- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TODAY...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-250030- Shelikof Strait- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ139-250030- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ140-250030- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. $$ PKZ141-250030- Kachemak Bay- 316 AM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
779 FZAK51 PAFC 242348 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-251315- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A front in the northern Gulf will dissipate Sat morning. A second front will enter the southern Gulf Sat morning then move into the central Gulf Sat night. The front will then move into the northern Gulf Sun morning. $$ PKZ119-251315- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ120-251315- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ121-251315- Resurrection Bay- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ125-251315- Prince William Sound- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ126-251315- Port Valdez- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ127-251315- Valdez Narrows- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-251315- Valdez Arm- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE wind 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW wind 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ129-251315- Passage Canal- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-251315- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ131-251315- Barren Islands East- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ132-251315- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ136-251315- Chiniak Bay- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ137-251315- Marmot Bay- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ138-251315- Shelikof Strait- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ139-251315- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ140-251315- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Rain. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. .WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. $$ PKZ141-251315- Kachemak Bay- 348 PM AKDT Fri Aug 24 2018 .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to variable less than 10 kt by midnight. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Patchy fog. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Aug 22, 4:51 PM AKDT, 10 hours 18 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 22, 4:51 PM AKDT, 10 hours 18 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 451 PM AKDT Wed Aug 22 2018 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... The remnants of the low that brought significant rainfall to most of the Gulf Coast and Southcentral is now located over the Yukon Territory and is slowly dissipating. This has allowed for rainfall to finally end with clearing skies over Southcentral as a weak shortwave ridge moves overhead. As a result of this clearing some patchy fog developed around the Knik River this morning, but this wasn't as widespread into Cook Inlet as was initially expected as most of clearing held off until soon after sunrise this morning. While many areas of Southcentral are enjoying the nicest weather day of the week now, yet another front is racing through the Eastern Aleutians. This system is already beginning to bring rain for Dutch Harbor eastward, and will continue tracking eastward into Southcentral for Thursday. This is part of a broad low located in the Western Bering that dominates the weather of the region. && .MODEL DISCUSSION... Model agreement remains very good for the incoming Aleutian low that will bring rainfall back to the South Mainland for the end of the work week. As this has been the case for a few days now with this particular system, confidence remains very good in the rainfall forecast for all of the South Mainland through Thursday. Even with little change in the overall pattern, model agreement then begins to break down on Saturday as the Bering low moves into the Eastern Bering. The EC in particular is an outlier by keeping this low much further to the west. The forecast at that point favors model consensus which produces a more broad brushed and lower confidence rainfall forecast for the weekend. && .AVIATION... PANC...VFR conditions with light winds will continue through Thursday morning. Ceilings will then begin falling below 5000 ft Thursday afternoon as the next system brings rain into the area. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)... A brief break from rain is expected across much of Southcentral this evening and overnight as a weak ridge separates a diminishing front across the northern Susitna and Copper River Valleys from the next approaching North Pacific front. This next front swings quickly across the southern gulf to the northern coast Thursday morning. Kodiak Island will only see a chance for rain as and the boundary paces quickly to the southern Kenai. The highest rain accumulations are expected along the Eastern Kenai, Prince William Sound and Northeast Gulf coastal locations for this next system. Gusty southerly flow is expected to increase as the frontal boundary pushes inland Thursday then diminish overnight. Showers remain possible on Friday as low level moisture remains high and upper level waves move ahead of a Bering low. The next low pressure system organizes along the North Pacific Friday night bringing the next front to the souther Gulf early Saturday. There is still high uncertainty on the track of this front, therefore only minor edits were made on this system to increase rain along the Gulf waters. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tonight through Saturday)... Four separate fronts and waves are expected to impact Southwest Alaska over the next three days. The result will be a continuation of cool and wet conditions for the entire area to round off the workweek into the weekend. First up is a cold front approaching the Bering coast this afternoon. As the front pushes inland, a soaking rain will overspread the area from southwest to northeast. The rain will begin at the coast this evening, reaching the Lower Kuskokwim Valley by Thursday morning. The rain will also end from southwest to northeast behind the front, taking until Thursday evening to finally end in the Lower Kuskokwim Valley. The second system will be associated with the decaying Bering low itself, as it moves northeastward into the northern Bering Friday morning. Precipitation from that is likely to be primarily focused on the Lower Kuskokwim Delta, with much of the rest of the area just seeing some scattered shower activity during the day Friday. The models are having some trouble deciding how to handle the third system which is a wave of upper level energy bringing moisture from the next low moving into the central Aleutians Friday evening. A couple of the models suggest a soaking rain for 6-12 hours Friday night, while others don't show any rain at all with Friday night remaining relatively dry. Needless to say there remains significant uncertainty with the third system. As the central Aleutians low continued to track northeastward, the fourth system moves in to Southwest Alaska Saturday afternoon and evening. This system looks to be the wettest of the four, as moderate to at times heavy rain moves into the coast of Bristol Bay and the Lower Kuskokwim Delta Saturday evening, with steady soaking rains continuing to spread inland through Saturday night. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3: Tonight through Saturday)... The sprawling but relatively weak low over the western Bering this afternoon is the dominant feature driving the weather across the Bering today. The low is expected to begin a slow drift eastward as it continues to weaken through Thursday, then speeds up as it opens up into a trough by Friday morning across the northern Bering, with its associated moisture moving into western Alaska. A second stronger and moisture-laden low begins impacting the central Aleutians Thursday night. This system quickly takes over as the dominant low across the Bering by Friday. The low will slow to a drift near Adak Friday night, as most of its moisture continues spreading eastward along with the jet across the eastern Aleutians during the day Friday and into the Alaska Peninsula by Friday night. By Saturday the low gradually tracks into the central Bering, but it will bring with it a slug of tropical moisture right into the eastern Bering Saturday and Saturday night. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (Sunday through Wednesday)... Models continue to show a large blocking high anchored over the Central/Northern Pacific this weekend extending up into the Gulf of Alaska and parts of the southern mainland. A positively tilted upper level trough over the Bering is still on track to move northeast riding over the top of the ridge on Sunday. A front out ahead of the low will push across the southern mainland bringing with it widespread rain as a strong southerly jet taps into subtropical moisture and injects it into the system. Models are still showing some disagreement regarding the timing of this front on Sunday, with the GFS being the most progressive pushing rain into southcentral by Sat night/early Sun morning while the Euro/Canadian is a bit slower bringing the front through later in the morning. Regardless, model trends over the past couple of days have been speeding up the timing of the front, so most of the southern mainland should expect a wet and soggy Sunday. As the low center tracks inland on Monday, the subtropical plume of moisture will shift its aim towards the Gulf Coast bringing another round of heavy rain to the region, though this system looks to be a bit more progressive that this week's so total QPF amounts should remain lower. Models are in decent agreement heading into Tuesday as the blocking high shifts to the west a bit and re-amplifies over western and central mainland in response to an upper level trough digging south across the Western Bering. This should lead to a decent period of dry and theoretically sunnier weather across most of the southern mainland as we head into the middle of next week. && .AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...None. MARINE...None. && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DEK SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KH SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JW LONG TERM...KVP
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2018Every small craft advisory in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.