Small Craft Advisory 482, NWS Anchorage, AK

695 
FZAK52 PAFC 211130
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-220030-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1001 mb low that forms near Emmonak later this morning moves to
50 nm northwest of Saint Matthew Island at 999 mb early Fri 
morning, then moves to 200 nm southwest of Saint Matthew Island 
at 1002 mb early Sat morning. A front approaches the western 
Aleutians early Sat morning.

$$

PKZ150-220030-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ155-220030-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-220030-
Bristol Bay-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-220030-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-220030-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ171-220030-
Unalaska Bay-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-220030-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-220030-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ174-220030-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-220030-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ176-220030-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ177-220030-
Adak to Kiska-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ178-220030-
Kiska to Attu-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ179-220030-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-220030-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-220030-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-220030-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
330 AM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...NW 25 kt W of 
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

182 
FZAK52 PAFC 212323
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-221215-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1001 mb low 120 nm southwest of Nome moves 275 nm northwest of Saint
Paul at 1002 mb Fri afternoon. The low then moves 280 nm west of Saint
Paul at 1003 mb Sat afternoon. A second 997 mb low approaches the western
Aleutians Sat afternoon 120 nm south of Shemya. 

$$

PKZ150-221215-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ155-221215-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-221215-
Bristol Bay-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-221215-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-221215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ171-221215-
Unalaska Bay-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-221215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ173-221215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ174-221215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-221215-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ176-221215-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ177-221215-
Adak to Kiska-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ178-221215-
Kiska to Attu-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ179-221215-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-221215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-221215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ185-221215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
323 PM AKDT Thu Jun 21 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...NW 25 kt W of 
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

787 
FZAK52 PAFC 221144
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-230045-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1003 mb low 75 nm north of Saint Matthew Island moves to 175 nm
west of Saint Matthew Island at 1006 mb early Sat morning...then 
becomes a trough of low pressure early Sun morning. A front moves
into the Western Aleutians Sat morning, moving into the Central 
Aleutians Sat night. A 997 mb low develops along the front 75 nm 
south of Shemya Sat evening and drifts to 100 nm east of Shemya at 
997 mb early Sun morning.

$$

PKZ150-230045-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ155-230045-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-230045-
Bristol Bay-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-230045-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-230045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ171-230045-
Unalaska Bay-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft becoming 1
foot after midnight.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-230045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-230045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ174-230045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ175-230045-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ176-230045-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ177-230045-
Adak to Kiska-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-230045-
Kiska to Attu-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ179-230045-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ180-230045-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-230045-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ185-230045-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
344 AM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

491 
FZAK52 PAFC 222256
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-231130-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1004 mb low 270 nm northwest of Saint Paul weakens and exits 
the Bering to the northwest Sat afternoon. A front associated with
a 998 mb low moves over the western Aleutians Sat afternoon. The 
low moves 140 nm northwest of Adak at 999 mb Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-231130-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-231130-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-231130-
Bristol Bay-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-231130-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-231130-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ171-231130-
Unalaska Bay-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.SAT...SW wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-231130-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-231130-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ174-231130-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ175-231130-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ176-231130-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ177-231130-
Adak to Kiska-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ178-231130-
Kiska to Attu-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY and SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ179-231130-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ180-231130-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-231130-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ185-231130-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
256 PM AKDT Fri Jun 22 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
918 AM AKDT Wed Jun 20 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The pattern remains in a persistent synoptic regime featuring a
stationary upper level trough over the eastern Bering Sea with a
strong upper high over Western Canada and Yukon. This pattern
keeps Southern Alaska under the influence of continued onshore
flow, bringing in coastal showers and clouds, especially for
locations west of Prince William Sound. At the base of the trough,
there is a weak low tapping some subtropical moisture around 50N.
This low will usher in more clouds and rain into Southwest today,
with the trough axis lifting north into Southcentral Thursday.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models are in excellent agreement with the general synoptic
scale pattern through the weekend. In general, the trough over the
eastern Bering Sea will slowly weaken with a drying trend across
Southern Alaska heading into the weekend. The challenges will
revolve around more local scale patterns. For this forecast the
hi-res models were favored.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions will persist. Some southeast winds may move
over the terminal this evening into the overnight hours, but
should be much less than past days with winds only being in the
10 to 18 kt range. Showers this morning should end quickly with
dry conditions expected thereafter.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
An upper level disturbance over the west coast will continue to
bring areas of clouds and showers to most areas west of the Copper
River Basin today. While a majority of these showers should occur
from the Western Gulf into the Southern Kenai, isolated showers
should continue for most of the day today as far east as the
Matanuska Valley. Further to the east over the Copper River Basin
conditions should be much drier and warmer today as a ridge of
high pressure noses in from the east, bring temperatures this
afternoon well into the 70's with gusty southerly winds along the
Copper River. Starting on Thursday a shortwave moving through the
Gulf will spread these showers into most of Southcentral,
especially during the afternoon-evening as daytime heating causes
showers forming over the Chugach to move northward in the
southerly flow aloft. Cyclonic southerly flow behind then
shortwave will then bring continued mostly cloudy skies and rain
showers into Friday, however these are expected to be much less
organized, allowing for more breaks in the sun and clouds with
warming temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Under the cyclonic flow of the low over the eastern Bering and
small troughs rotating around it, showery conditions and moist
southeasterly flow will remain over much of the southwest Mainland
through Thursday afternoon. This system will phase with a fast
approaching disturbance from the North Pacific, and redevelop
over the Northern Bering Thursday afternoon through Friday night
while slowly tracking westward. This system's new position over
the Bering will shift the pattern to a more onshore/southwesterly
flow pattern, feeding moisture into the area and causing some
breaks in cloud coverage. This will cause some scattered
convective showers to develop over the area Friday afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The upper level low centered over the Eastern Bering, Alaska
Peninsula and Bristol Bay area will remain in that general
location through Thursday before beginning to drift north Thursday
night and Friday. At the surface, the Eastern Bering low will
phase with a weaker North Pacific system speeding through the
Southwest Mainland, and redevelop over the Northern Bering
Thursday afternoon through Friday night. Meanwhile the western
half of the Bering remains under stable high pressure through
Friday, with fog and low stratus being the main impacts over the
area. The ridge begins to push southward into the North Pacific
Friday afternoon, as a front approaches the Western Aleutians and
the above mentioned low tracks further westward into the
Northcentral Bering.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...

The long term forecast begins Friday night with the persistent
long-wave trough anchored over the Eastern Bering /Western
Alaska. Upstream, an elongated ridge extends across the Canadian
Rockies north into the Yukon and Eastern Alaska. Between the two,
an upper-level shortwave is moving northward through the Gulf of
Alaska. A more potent upper-level disturbance and surface low in
the Northeast Pacific is continuing toward the Alaska Peninsula.

Models are in fairly good agreement with the track of the low
moving toward the Alaska Panhandle for the weekend. As it does, a
surface ridge will lift northward across the Gulf and into
Southern and Southwest Alaska for Saturday, reducing any residual
onshore flow and producing a warming trend for the weekend.
However, the aforementioned shortwave will also move across the
region, providing enough instability to generate clouds and
showers. Scattered clouds and showers continue into Sunday as a
second, weaker shortwave moves through the interior of southern
Alaska.

The overall pattern becomes more progressive by the end of the
weekend with a zonal jet stream south of the state bringing two
lows across the Aleutians toward the northern Gulf. The first will
slide from the Western Aleutians Saturday to the Gulf by Monday
evening. The second will approach the Central Aleutians by
Tuesday afternoon. Although it is still a long way out and there
is significant model divergence by early next week, there is some
indication that the development toward a more progressive pattern
by the end of the weekend could shift the longwave pattern and
kick the persistent upper-level low over the Bering to the east.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Flood Advisory 145.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DEK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...TM