Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2018
Small Craft Advisory 424, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at May 26, 2018, 3:43 AM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 26, 2018, 3:43 AM AKDT (11:43 UTC)
- Expired
- May 27, 2018, 3:57 AM AKDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
504 FZAK52 PAFC 261143 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-270045- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... High pressure builds over the Bering through tonight. A Kamchatka low moves into the western Bering Sun night. The associated front moves over the central Aleutians Sun night. $$ PKZ150-270045- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ155-270045- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts out of bays and passes increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ160-270045- Bristol Bay- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ165-270045- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ170-270045- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ171-270045- Unalaska Bay- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Patchy fog. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ172-270045- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ173-270045- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ174-270045- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ175-270045- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ176-270045- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ177-270045- Adak to Kiska- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Widespread rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ178-270045- Kiska to Attu- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. .SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ179-270045- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ180-270045- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ181-270045- North and West of Nunivak Island- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ185-270045- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 343 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...E of Saint Matthew Island, variable wind 10 kt. W of Saint Matthew Island, variable wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$
3 follow-up statements
509 FZAK52 PAFC 261553 AAA CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED National Weather Service Anchorage AK 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-270315- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... High pressure builds over the Bering through tonight. A Kamchatka low moves into the western Bering Sun night. The associated front moves over the central Aleutians Sun night. $$ PKZ150-270315- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 Updated ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of bays and passes by late evening. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ155-270315- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts out of bays and passes increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ160-270315- Bristol Bay- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ165-270315- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ170-270315- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ171-270315- Unalaska Bay- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Patchy fog. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ172-270315- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ173-270315- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ174-270315- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ175-270315- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ176-270315- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ177-270315- Adak to Kiska- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Widespread rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ178-270315- Kiska to Attu- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. .SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ179-270315- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ180-270315- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ181-270315- North and West of Nunivak Island- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ185-270315- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 753 AM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...E of Saint Matthew Island, variable wind 10 kt. W of Saint Matthew Island, variable wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$
473 FZAK52 PAFC 262346 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-271230- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... High pressure over the Aleutians and Bering exits Bristol Bay by Mon morning. A 1003 mb South Kamchatka low moves to 290 nm North of Attu at 983 mb on Mon afternoon. Its front sweeps across the Aleutians into the Central Bering and North Pacific through Mon afternoon. $$ PKZ150-271230- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ155-271230- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ160-271230- Bristol Bay- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ165-271230- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ170-271230- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ171-271230- Unalaska Bay- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Patchy fog. .SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ172-271230- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. .MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ173-271230- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ174-271230- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft building to 13 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ175-271230- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ176-271230- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ177-271230- Adak to Kiska- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Widespread rain showers. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ178-271230- Kiska to Attu- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ179-271230- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ180-271230- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ181-271230- North and West of Nunivak Island- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ185-271230- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 346 PM AKDT Sat May 26 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN...Variable wind 10 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...S 15 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .SUN NIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$
741 FZAK52 PAFC 271157 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-280045- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 1000 mb Kamchatka low moves to 230 nm northwest of Shemya at 987 mb by early Mon morning, then to 320 nm north of Shemya at 984 mb by Tue morning. A 999 mb north Pacific low tracks to 210 nm south of Shemya at 993 mb, then to 230 nm north of Adak at 988 mb by Mon morning before dissipating. The associated front sweeps across the Aleutians and Bering through Mon night. $$ PKZ150-280045- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ155-280045- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ160-280045- Bristol Bay- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .MON...W wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ165-280045- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .MON...SE wind 30 kt except SE 20 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ170-280045- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. .MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ171-280045- Unalaska Bay- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ172-280045- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. .MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ173-280045- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ174-280045- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...S wind 35 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ175-280045- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ176-280045- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ177-280045- Adak to Kiska- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Widespread rain showers. .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ178-280045- Kiska to Attu- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ179-280045- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ180-280045- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ181-280045- North and West of Nunivak Island- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ185-280045- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 357 AM AKDT Sun May 27 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. .TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. .MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at May 25, 4:46 PM AKDT, 10 hours 57 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 25, 4:46 PM AKDT, 10 hours 57 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 446 PM AKDT Fri May 25 2018 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... A broad upper level trough stretches from just south of the AK Peninsula into the Gulf, bringing widespread cloud cover and rainfall to much of the Gulf Coast today. This trough has largely remained far enough to the south to limit any cloud cover to just thin high level clouds to the Anchorage Bowl and Matanuska Valley. Further north over the Susitna Valley and Kuskokwim Valley skies have remained mostly sunny today, allowing for the development of some diurnal rain showers to begin to developing. Over the Bering Sea, the remnants of the easterly wave that brought rainfall from the Southwest Mainland into the Pribilof Islands since yesterday is beginning to diminish as high pressure from the Bering Sea begins to move in. While this ridge is allowing for overall diminishing clouds, widespread low stratus has developed under the ridge and has spread throughout a majority of the Bering Sea. && .MODEL DISCUSSION... Model agreement remains generally good through this weekend with both the location and strength of the thermal trough that will move through the South Mainland this weekend. In particular, there is increasing agreement that this trough will spread even further southward into the Chugach, allowing for chances for thunderstorms brought further southward, including into mountains surrounding the Anchorage Bowl. Model agreement is also very good with the timing of the next low to push through the Bering for late this weekend. In general forecast confidence for most of the area is above normal. && .AVIATION... PANC...VFR conditions will persist through Saturday with the primary concern being the timing and intensity of Turnagain Arm winds moving into the area this evening. There is stronger down- inlet flow that yesterday which should prevent these winds from developing as strong as they did on Thursday, however likely not strong enough to limit them from moving into town at all. Winds are then expected to remain light and variable for Saturday as the pressure gradient along the Gulf Coast weakens. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)... A decaying surface trough extending from Marmot Bay south of Prince William Sound will continue to drift slowly westward throughout the evening hours. The widespread showers associated with this trough will lessen Saturday morning as a drier, offshore flow develops. At the upper levels, a building ridge over southwest Alaska will shift the thermal trough currently in place over central Alaska south of the Alaska Range. This sagging trough, combined with daytime surface heating, will build the convective potential over the region. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop over the Talkeetna and Alaska Ranges Saturday afternoon and evening, with the Chugach and Kenai Ranges getting in on the action Sunday afternoon and evening. An isolated shower or thunderstorm is not out of the question for the Anchorage bowl and the Mat- Su Valleys late Sunday as a northeasterly steering current aloft could drive cells developing off the mountains into the valleys. The threat for showers and thunderstorms diminishes on Monday as westerly flow develops ahead of the next trough. This will usher in more maritime air, inhibiting convective potential. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 3)... Diurnal convection will focus along a weak thermal trough from the Kuskokwim Valley to Bristol Bay this afternoon and evening. Maintained a slight chance of thunderstorms, but don't think conditions are quite unstable. This is evident by the lack of vertical growth in clouds as indicated by the relatively warm Infrared Satellite cloud top temperatures. The thermal trough will strengthen on Saturday, so expect an increase in both showers and thunderstorms. The storm motion will be from north to south on Saturday, so any thunderstorms which do form in the more unstable interior portions of Bristol Bay may drift into the inner portion of the Bay, between Dillingham and King Salmon. Meanwhile, cooler and more stable air will advect southward along the east side of a ridge over the Bering Sea. This air mass will move into the Kuskokwim Delta Saturday then continue eastward across Southwest Alaska on Sunday. This will confine any showers and thunderstorms to right along the west side of the Alaska Range on Sunday. The ridge will move overhead on Monday leading to a dry mostly sunny day across most of the region. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 3)... A ridge of high pressure will continue to build eastward across the Bering Sea and Aleutians tonight through Saturday resulting in benign conditions. Cold advection on the front side of the ridge will lead to gusty northerly winds across the far eastern bering Sea southward to the eastern Aleutians and southern Alaska Peninsula. This ridge will be transitory, continuing on to the eastern Bering Sea on Sunday. A fairly weak frontal system will move to the western Aleutians Saturday night. However, a digging trough over the northwest Pacific will quickly lead to a strengthening upper level jet and surface cyclogenesis. This will serve to both invigorate the frontal system along the Aleutians and track the new stronger storm to the central Aleutians on Sunday. Have trended stronger with winds in the new forecast, with gales likely across the central to eastern Aleutians Sunday night into Monday. The larger frontal system will continue eastward across the Bering Sea through Monday, bringing widespread rain and winds to the entire region. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)... Beginning Memorial Day, models are in good agreement in the overall longwave pattern with a ridge of high pressure over Southcentral while a low pressure system is located over the Western Bering with its associated front moving east across the Central and Eastern Bering Sea. Therefore, there is decent confidence that most of mainland Alaska will see pleasant weather for the holiday with the exception of diurnally driven convection over higher terrain and the Northern Susitna Valley. The frontal system out west looks to move over the west coast and AKPEN by Monday night spreading a wide swath of rain and wind across the area. The front looks to shear apart and weaken by the time it crosses the Alaska Range and moves into Southcentral Tuesday as it runs into an area of high pressure to the east. Typical upslope/windward locations along the Gulf Coast and Kodiak should still see precipitation with downslope areas seeing lighter precip or even none at all. Looking past mid-week, there is very little model consensus in the sensible weather at the surface with models becoming completely out of phase with each other by the end of the week (trough over ridge). Thus, the long term forecast stuck with the WPC solution which keeps an upper level low over the Bering and unsettled weather over most of the region. && .AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...None. MARINE...None. && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DEK SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TM SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...SEB LONG TERM...KVP
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 5:35 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 10 hr | |
| May 26, 3:34 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| May 26, 3:35 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 72 hr | |
| May 26, 3:46 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| May 26, 3:46 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 6 days |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2018Every small craft advisory in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.