Small Craft Advisory 211, NWS Anchorage, AK

443 
FZAK51 PAFC 122331
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-131245-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 990 mb Pacific low will move into the southcentral Gulf 
Tue morning then move into the southeastern Gulf Wed morning.

$$

PKZ119-131245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming E 25 kt by midnight. Seas 9 ft. 
Rain and snow.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-131245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ121-131245-
Resurrection Bay-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt 
after midnight. Seas building to 3 ft. Snow.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-131245-
Prince William Sound-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-131245-
Port Valdez-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow with rain.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-131245-
Valdez Narrows-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Snow with rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-131245-
Valdez Arm-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft. Snow with rain.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and
snow.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-131245-
Passage Canal-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-131245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming N 20 kt. 
Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-131245-
Barren Islands East-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ132-131245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt except N 25 kt N of Dangerous Cape. 
Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-131245-
Chiniak Bay-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-131245-
Marmot Bay-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after 
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-131245-
Shelikof Strait-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt except NE 15 kt S of Afognak Island. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-131245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-131245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.THU...N wind 10 kt.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-131245-
Kachemak Bay-
331 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt except 15 kt over the outer bay. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt except 15 kt over the outer bay. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

402 
FZAK51 PAFC 131101
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-140015-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 983 mb low 300 nm southeast of Middleton Island moves 200 nm
south of Sitka at 997 mb tonight. The low then weakens and exits 
the Gulf to the southeast Wed night. A front enters the western 
Gulf Wed night.

$$

PKZ119-140015-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-140015-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt by late morning. Seas 7 ft
building to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-140015-
Resurrection Bay-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt by afternoon. Seas 5 ft 
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-140015-
Prince William Sound-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-140015-
Port Valdez-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow with rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and
snow.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers and
snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-140015-
Valdez Narrows-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-140015-
Valdez Arm-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-140015-
Passage Canal-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-140015-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-140015-
Barren Islands East-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 13 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-140015-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-140015-
Chiniak Bay-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-140015-
Marmot Bay-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-140015-
Shelikof Strait-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-140015-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters
1 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-140015-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.THU...N wind 10 kt.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-140015-
Kachemak Bay-
301 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

491 
FZAK51 PAFC 132356
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-141245-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 992 mb low in the central Gulf will move into the southeastern 
Gulf Wed morning. A front enters the southwestern Gulf Wed night 
then moves into the northeastern Gulf Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-141245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 8 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-141245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 8 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-141245-
Resurrection Bay-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt in the evening becoming N 
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-141245-
Prince William Sound-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-141245-
Port Valdez-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-141245-
Valdez Narrows-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening diminishing to 10 kt. Seas 2
ft. Snow.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-141245-
Valdez Arm-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-141245-
Passage Canal-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Gusts to 20 kt near Whittier. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-141245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-141245-
Barren Islands East-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-141245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-141245-
Chiniak Bay-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-141245-
Marmot Bay-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-141245-
Shelikof Strait-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-141245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters
1 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after
midnight. Seas in ice free waters building to 3 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-141245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.THU...N wind 10 kt.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-141245-
Kachemak Bay-
356 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
456 PM AKDT Sun Mar 11 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Snow from a low moving northward across the Gulf has developed
along the North Gulf Coast from Cordova to Valdez, and is beginning
to spread further westward toward the Kenai Peninsula. This low
is also bringing a brief round of gusty outflow winds to areas
such as Resurrection Bay and Passage Canal, but these should all
diminish this evening as the low makes landfall. Just to the west
of this low, a narrow area of high pressure has allowed for the
development of widespread stratus and some patchy fog over much of
the Southwest Mainland, which is beginning to break up as a gale
force front over the Eastern Bering begins to make landfall. This
front will be the focus for snow and blowing snow that will spread
into the Southwest this afternoon and evening. This front has
pushed through the Aleutians and AKpen today, bringing rain and
snow (which has been heavy at times) along with gusty southerly
winds. Behind the front, strong cold air advection can be seen
moving from the Western Bering into the Central Bering with broad
northwesterly flow.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Now that the models have come into better agreement with the track
of the low into Prince William Sound this evening, confidence has
begun to increase that much of the Anchorage Bowl and Matanuska
Valley (especially as you move further east) will see a brief
period of light snowfall late this afternoon/early this evening.
Afterwards the models are in very good synoptic agreement through
Monday, and have improved significantly in the track of the next
trough crossing the Gulf late Monday-Tuesday, and as a result
confidence is increasing that another round of rain and snow will
spread back into the North Gulf Coast and Copper River Basin.
Confidence is much lower however over Southcentral as differences
begin to arise in how quickly a front over the Southwest Mainland
will lift northward into the interior, and how far west this will
allow the precip to reach. Overnight the models were in good
agreement that precip would struggle to reach any further west
than Whittier, but the daytime runs today are beginning to trend
slightly further west.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Potential for MVFR snow will be the primary concern this
afternoon/evening as snowfall moves into the area from the east.
The terminal will likely be on the very western edge of this
snowfall, so at this point it appears that the greatest impact
of the MVFR conditions will be for operations to the east of the
airport.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The low moving rapidly into Prince William Sound will continue
to produce snow across the North Gulf Coast tonight, with snow
eventually spreading as far west as Anchorage and the Mat Valley
through late evening before the low dissipates. Accumulations
should remain minimal for most areas, although several inches will
be possible in the Valdez area. Precipitation should continue to
fall as mostly rain towards Cordova where surface temperatures are
a bit warmer. A rather quiet day is on tap for Monday, with a
just a few showers lingering along the Gulf Coast in the wake of
this system. A somewhat complex scenario then looks to take shape
Monday night into Tuesday as a weak upper level trough and a
dissipating front approach the Cook Inlet region from the
southwest while another stronger front moves into the Gulf from
the southeast. This stronger front will spread snow back into
Prince William Sound and the Copper River Basin, with rain once
again mixing in closer to sea level. Meanwhile, the passage of the
upper trough looks to be mostly dry for Cook Inlet and the Mat-Su.
The primary forecast question then becomes the extent to which
the eastward moving trough impedes the westward progress of the
more robust precipitation associated with the front over the Gulf.
Trending towards keeping Anchorage and surrounding areas dry
through Tuesday for now, but there is lower confidence in the
forecast moving into the end of the short term.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Snow will spread over the mainland from the coast this evening.
While the the system is weakening as it moves ashore, winds will
remain just strong enough for blowing snow and reduced visibility
along the coast, where an advisory for blowing snow has been
issued through early Sunday morning. The front slowly falls apart
as it moves inland, lingering light snow through late Monday for
Bristol Bay and the Kuskokwim Valley.

Another system is in the progressive flow as a trough from east
Asia impinges on the frontal boundary draped over the Bering Sea.
The interaction will develop another compact quick moving system
that will move ashore the mainland late Tuesday, with another
round of snow.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The warm front currently over the Alaska Peninsula will continue
to moves eastward, ushering in a short period of showery northwest
flow for the Bering Sea. However, another small and compact system
will move from the Adak/Atka area late tonight toward the mainland
with another shot of snow for the Pribilof Islands. Winds should
remain below gale-force, but not far off.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The long term forecast begins Wednesday with a broad upper level
trough extending down from Northeastern Russia across the Bering
Sea. Short-waves rotating around the base of the trough will spin
up several systems through the end of the week and into next
weekend, continuing the active pattern seen recently across the
region. At the surface, a short-wave trough will push east across
mainland Alaska Wednesday, bringing accumulating snowfall to the
southwest mainland before crossing the Alaska Range and weakening
some as it makes its way into Southcentral, where the prospect of
accumulating snowfall is less certain. On Thursday, a stronger
upper level trough digs down across the Western Aleutians which
looks to spawn the development of a surface low south of the
Central Aleutian chain. The models begin to heavily diverge at
this point with the Euro/Canadian models keeping the low embedded
within the main SW'ly jet, bringing the system, and a decent
amount of precipitation and warmer air, NE across the AKPEN and
into southcentral by Friday. The GFS cuts the low off from the
SW'ly jet by the time it reaches the Aleutians and retrogrades the
system back into the Bering Sea on Friday. Obviously, these two
solutions will have wildly differing impacts of the sensible
weather seen on the ground, especially over Southcentral.

The deterministic models have been struggling lately with the
progressive pattern, and the predictability of individual systems
has been around 120 hrs or less due to poor upstream initialization.
Therefore, the long range forecast has trended more toward the
ensemble means past day 5, which have been more consistent with
the Euro model.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 155 161.
MARINE...Gale Warning 180 185.
         Heavy Freezing Spray 180 181.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DEK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MTL
LONG TERM...KVP