Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018

Gale Warning 799, NWS Anchorage, AK

December 14, 2018

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Dec 14, 2018, 3:56 AM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 14, 2018, 3:56 AM AKST (12:56 UTC)
Expired
Dec 15, 2018, 3:51 AM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

146 
FZAK51 PAFC 141256
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-150145-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A North Gulf Coast front pushes into Southeast Alaska Sat morning. A
956 mb low 290 nm south of Dutch Harbor moves to 380 nm southeast of
Kodiak City at 968 mb late Sat night. A 960 mb low forms 275 nm 
southeast of Chignik Sat morning and moves to 75 nm south of 
Middleton Island at 967 mb Sat night.

$$

PKZ119-150145-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-150145-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft.
Snow with rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Snow with rain.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-150145-
Resurrection Bay-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-150145-
Prince William Sound-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...South wind 15 kt increasing to E 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-150145-
Port Valdez-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-150145-
Valdez Narrows-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-150145-
Valdez Arm-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-150145-
Passage Canal-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Snow.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-150145-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-150145-
Barren Islands East-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ132-150145-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft building to 25 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-150145-
Chiniak Bay-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Snow and
rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-150145-
Marmot Bay-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Widespread rain showers and
snow.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-150145-
Shelikof Strait-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow with rain.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ139-150145-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-150145-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-150145-
Kachemak Bay-
356 AM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
2 follow-up statements
593 
FZAK51 PAFC 150052
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-151400-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A strong front continues across the Gulf through
Sun afternoon. The associated 953 mb low 270 nm southeast of Sand 
Point Fri afternoon moves into the southern Gulf by Sat afternoon at 
960 mb and then moves near Middleton Island at 969 mb by Sun 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-151400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt early becoming E wind 35 kt. Seas building 
to 14 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-151400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft early building to 16 ft.
Rain. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-151400-
Resurrection Bay-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ125-151400-
Prince William Sound-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow with rain.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-151400-
Port Valdez-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-151400-
Valdez Narrows-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-151400-
Valdez Arm-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-151400-
Passage Canal-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt early becoming E wind to 15 kt after 
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-151400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas building to 14 ft. 
Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow and rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-151400-
Barren Islands East-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 19 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt becoming N 35 kt after midnight. Seas
24 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-151400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt in the evening increasing to 45 kt. Seas 19 
ft building to 26 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-151400-
Chiniak Bay-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft early building to 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 7 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-151400-
Marmot Bay-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft early building to 10 ft. Rain and
snow.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight. Snow.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-151400-
Shelikof Strait-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
up to 13 ft...highest over the southern strait. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft after
midnight. Snow.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-151400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 11 ft. 
Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 6 ft after
midnight. Freezing spray.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-151400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
Snow.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight. Freezing spray.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-151400-
Kachemak Bay-
352 PM AKST Fri Dec 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
085 
FZAK51 PAFC 151251
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-160145-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 959 mb low 520 nm South of Kodiak City moves to 20 nm West of 
Middleton Island at 970 mb for Mon morning. Its strong front spreads 
over the Northern Gulf through Sun night.

$$

PKZ119-160145-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
23 ft. Widespread rain showers and snow.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-160145-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain with snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-160145-
Resurrection Bay-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-160145-
Prince William Sound-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-160145-
Port Valdez-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-160145-
Valdez Narrows-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-160145-
Valdez Arm-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-160145-
Passage Canal-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-160145-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-160145-
Barren Islands East-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-160145-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Snow showers.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-160145-
Chiniak Bay-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 6 ft after
midnight. Rain with snow.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-160145-
Marmot Bay-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 6 ft after
midnight. Snow and rain.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-160145-
Shelikof Strait-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain with snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft after
midnight. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-160145-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-160145-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-160145-
Kachemak Bay-
351 AM AKST Sat Dec 15 2018

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 13, 5:01 PM AKST, 10 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 13, 5:01 PM AKST, 10 hours 55 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
501 PM AKST Thu Dec 13 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

An elongated trough that has encompassed the central Bering
and Gulf has started to become unorganized as it shears into a
a series of short waves. One shortwave is associated with a
northward migrating meso-low over Southcentral. While snow has
been persistent over the last few days, now that the shortwave is
shifting northward inland, there is a brief reprieve in snow this
afternoon. A front still remains active through the central
Bering. The frontal passage, isobaric packing ahead of the front
over the western Gulf, combined with strong cold air advection is
encouraging convective activity. This is manifesting as very cold
cloud tops, widespread cumulus clouds and lightning throughout
the Gulf. The other two shortwaves are coupled with a double-
barrel low system forming in the west. The first low is over the
central mainland. The second, and more impactful vertically
stacked low sits between mainland Alaska and the Pribilofs. This
low is wrapped in cold air and continuing the northerly flow over
the Bering. A broad band of increased vorticity is also present
over much of the eastern Bering and AK-PEN. The jet stream
continues to flow in a meridional pattern with a branch of higher
winds northwesterly oriented along the eastern Aleutians near Cold
Bay. This arm of the jet coincides with a front moving over the
central Aleutians which is bringing gusty conditions to the chain
and snow, and a few small lightning strikes through the eastern
Aleutians. This front is associated with a North Pacific low that
is skirting the western Aleutians.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models remain in good agreement through the period regarding the
track of the North Pacific low as it moves toward the Gulf
through the weekend. There is some slight discrepancy regarding
the strength of this low. The NAM and GFS are very similar
regarding the weather impacts while the EC and Canadian take a bit
weaker approach. On Sat afternoon, a front advances towards the
western Aleutians which guidance also is handling well.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions will persist through the evening with light
winds. Light snow should be coming near the terminal overnight [10
to 12z] but not expecting vis to drop below mid mvfr and clouds
should remain vfr. Snow will return Friday afternoon with better
chances of IFR cig and vis going into the early Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The upper level trough that was over Southcentral today is moving
north of the area, leaving a break in snowfall this afternoon and
evening. Another shortwave will move across the area later
tonight. This is bringing chances of snow to Cook Inlet and the
Anchorage Bowl, as well as other portions of Southcentral. Amounts
are expected to be light with this fast moving system. Below
freezing temps will also keep the precipitation type as snow along
coastal areas including Kodiak Island.

The weather pattern that has been seen the past few days will
begin to change as a strong upper low south of the Aleutian Chain
moves into the Gulf Friday and Friday night. This low will push
a weather system over the Gulf northwestward across the area
Friday afternoon and evening, bringing some snow to the area.
Friday night and Saturday, Storm force winds associated with this
low will move into the Gulf from the south.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Thursday
night through Sunday)...
A compact low is pushing into King Salmon right now, which is well
depicted on satellite and RADAR. Meteorologically, it is an
interesting feature to watch though it is not having much of an
impact. Outside of this low, weather will be quiet until a
deformation band moves over the western AK range on Saturday.
Looking at eastern 152 and 161 picking up some snowfall with this.
The GFS is attempting to hone in on the band of precipitation.
While the GFS solution doesn't look bad, held off on detailing
this band of precipitation for now, as there can be uncertainty
of where exactly these bands set up. So, will wait another model
run or two before making a call.

The coldest air yet this winter is still expected to arrive in
southwest AK this weekend. An arctic airmass in interior AK will
feed cold air southwest down the Kuskokwim River Valley. Due to
the nature of this cold air, it is not expected to moderate until
it reaches the coast. This means deep cold for many inland areas,
with minus 20F in the forecast for Bethel. When the deformation
band sets up Saturday,some temps may warm under it. Otherwise, a
cold weekend, though light winds will prevent windchill from being
an issue.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through
3/Thursday night through Sunday)...

The Bering Sea continues to see northerly flow. This pattern is
expected to continue through the weekend. The compact low that was
skirting along the north side of the Aleutians is pushing inland,
leaving weather pretty quiet in the Bering. Only snow showers and
freezing spray continue with the northerly flow.

The large low moving west to east along the south side of the
Aleutians is progressing as forecasted. We have been getting some
good scatterometer imagery today, showing storm force winds with
this low. However, they are on the southern side of the low and
will not enter into our forecast zones. Gales are well depicted on
the northern side and and still forecasted to reach into the
Aleutian Islands.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...

The forecast period commences with the longwave trough extending
from Southwest Alaska to the Gulf Of Alaska. Meanwhile upstream
there is an upper level ridge that spans from Hawaii to the
Eastern Aleutians. As the forecast period evolves, another vortex
of brutally cold air will descend from Siberia and the longwave
pattern will become more highly amplified. The deterministic
models have depicted a series of lows impacting the Aleutians,
the Gulf of Alaska and the Prince William Sound. However, the
precise tracks of these lows remains uncertain. The models have
been struggling this winter locking onto a solution past 72 hrs
and that trend will continue for this forecast package.

PJS
&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storm 352. Gales 119 120 130-132 138 129 150 155 172 174
176 177 None.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL/AH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...BB
LONG TERM...PS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 13, 3:12 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Dec 13, 3:12 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days
Dec 13, 3:49 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC7 days
Dec 13, 3:49 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC7 days
Dec 14, 3:37 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Dec 14, 3:37 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC6 days
Dec 14, 3:52 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC48 hr
Dec 14, 3:56 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2018Every gale warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.