Gale Warning 766, NWS Anchorage, AK

872 
FZAK51 PAFC 031222
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-040115-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front in the western Gulf Tue morning moves east and weakens by
Tue night. A second front moves into the Gulf Wed morning.

$$

PKZ119-040115-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ120-040115-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ121-040115-
Resurrection Bay-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-040115-
Prince William Sound-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-040115-
Port Valdez-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-040115-
Valdez Narrows-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-040115-
Valdez Arm-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-040115-
Passage Canal-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

.TODAY...W wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-040115-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 9 
ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-040115-
Barren Islands East-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15
ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-040115-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning increasing to 20 kt. Seas 11 
ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas 12
ft building to 17 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-040115-
Chiniak Bay-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-040115-
Marmot Bay-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-040115-
Shelikof Strait-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-040115-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-040115-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-040115-
Kachemak Bay-
322 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

712 
FZAK51 PAFC 040046
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-041330-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front enters the Western Gulf Mon night and pushes towards the 
North Gulf Coast and Southeast Alaska through Wed afternoon. A 1019 
mb low 40 nm Southeast of Middleton Island forms along the front Tue 
night and moves to 115 nm Southwest of Yakutat at 1015 mb by Wed 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-041330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-041330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-041330-
Resurrection Bay-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Gusts to 20 kt during the evening. Seas 2 
ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-041330-
Prince William Sound-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-041330-
Port Valdez-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-041330-
Valdez Narrows-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-041330-
Valdez Arm-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-041330-
Passage Canal-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-041330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft
subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-041330-
Barren Islands East-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15
ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-041330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 17 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, S wind 35 kt diminishing
to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft except 13 ft N of Dangerous
Cape.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-041330-
Chiniak Bay-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft 
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft after
midnight.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-041330-
Marmot Bay-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft 
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-041330-
Shelikof Strait-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-041330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-041330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-041330-
Kachemak Bay-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

278 
FZAK51 PAFC 041253
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-050200-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front moves into the northern Gulf coast through Tue night. A
second front moves into the western Gulf Wed morning. The
associated 989 mb low moves to 250 nm southeast of Sand Point by 
Thu morning.

$$

PKZ119-050200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Near the coast, E wind 30 kt diminishing to
20 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Near the coast, E wind 30 kt becoming
SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ120-050200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-050200-
Resurrection Bay-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-050200-
Prince William Sound-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-050200-
Port Valdez-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-050200-
Valdez Narrows-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-050200-
Valdez Arm-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-050200-
Passage Canal-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-050200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16
ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-050200-
Barren Islands East-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-050200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, S wind 35 kt
diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft except 13 ft N of Dangerous
Cape.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-050200-
Chiniak Bay-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-050200-
Marmot Bay-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-050200-
Shelikof Strait-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-050200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
11 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-050200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-050200-
Kachemak Bay-
353 AM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt in the evening increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 
ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

555 
FZAK51 PAFC 050045
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-051345-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front in the northern Gulf will move into the northeastern Gulf
Wed morning. A second front will move into the western Gulf Tue
night then it will weaken Thu morning. A North Pacific low will
move into the southwestern Gulf Thu afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-051345-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt except E 30 kt near the coast. Seas
10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-051345-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-051345-
Resurrection Bay-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and
rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-051345-
Prince William Sound-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-051345-
Port Valdez-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and
rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-051345-
Valdez Narrows-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow and rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-051345-
Valdez Arm-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-051345-
Passage Canal-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.WED...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Snow.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-051345-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-051345-
Barren Islands East-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-051345-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft except 13 ft N of Dangerous
Cape.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-051345-
Chiniak Bay-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-051345-
Marmot Bay-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-051345-
Shelikof Strait-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-051345-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt except SE 30 kt S of Anchor Point. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-051345-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-051345-
Kachemak Bay-
345 PM AKST Tue Dec 4 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
456 AM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

An area of low pressure located off the coast of Cape Newenham is
bringing a push of warmer air across southwest Alaska as showery
precipitation spreads across the area. Most stations around
Bristol Bay are above freezing, and most areas that are seeing
precipitation this morning are reporting rain. The low is being
supported by a negatively tilted trough which is enhancing the
lift out ahead of it, helping to cause the precipitation. This
feature is forecasted to push eastward today and cause tonight's
snow event across Southcentral. More on that below.

A strengthening, expansive low over the North Pacific well south
of Shemya will be the primary weather maker across the Bering for
the next several days.

The warming winds from yesterday that diminished overnight have
allowed temperatures to fall back into the 30s for most areas
around Anchorage, with 20s being reported further north.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The models are in good agreement with the tracks of the low and
precipitation timing with the next snow event moving into
Southcentral this evening. However, differences that are causing
big challenges continue to be timing the changeover of
precipitation from rain over to snow, when the heaviest snow moves
into different parts of Southcentral, how quickly it ends, and
where and how strong the strongest winds will be around the low
moving into the Aleutians. Thus, while confidence is high on a
continuing active weather pattern, confidence in the
aforementioned details remains fairly low.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC... The winds will increase again this morning out of the
southeast off of the mountains. While these are expected to remain
below wind shear criteria and above 2,000 ft, they may approach
the criteria at times today. This evening, the winds will taper
off as precipitation moves in. It appears most likely to begin as
a rain and snow mix this evening, then turn to all snow and
increase in intensity overnight before diminishing early Monday
morning. IFR to briefly LIFR conditions are possible during the
heaviest snow.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A front associated with the low in the eastern Bering is tracking
toward Southcentral Alaska with it impacting the Kenai Peninsula
by this afternoon. Many of the southern areas of Southcentral
Alaska will start as rain when the front moves in. However, they
will gradually transition over to snow with coastal locations
holding on to warmer temps through much of tonight. The most
challenging part of the forecast is identifying when the rain will
fully transition to snow.

The track of the front makes for a good setup for potentially
heavy snow in areas from Anchorage north into the Susitna Valley.
The heaviest snowfall looks to be in the late evening but will
last into Monday morning before tapering off for these areas. Snow
will last through the morning for eastern portions of
Southcentral Alaska before ridging builds in from the west.
Clearing caused by the ridging will be short lived as another
front will push up from the southwest Monday night, when it will
bring rain to Kodiak Island.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2/Sunday and
Monday)...
Currently, the last low of the quick succession of lows is moving
through southwest AK, bringing rain showers and warmer temps with
it. Temperatures will cool down after the exit of this frontal system,
with highs back below freezing for inland areas tomorrow. This is
due to a shortwave ridge that will work its way across the region
later today and tonight, offering a break in the weather.

Monday will again see the influence of low pressure, with winds
becoming strong out of the southeast. Precipitation will also
move in, as the outer band of a large low pressure system moving
into the central Aleutians reaches the coast. Temperatures are
such that the rain/snow line will setup right along the coast,
with a chance of freezing precip in some coastal areas.
Temperatures will stay cold enough inland to keep precip as snow.
This low will be the dominant weather feature for early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2/ Sunday
and Monday)...
The compact low moving through the eastern Bering will quickly
exit today. Behind it, a shortwave ridge of high pressure will
slide eastward across the Aleutians and Bering Sea the next couple
of days, offering some respite from the succession of lows that
has been passing over the eastern Aleutians.

However, a large and powerful low will be moving into the Bering
Sea the next couple of days. Its impacts will begin to be felt
later today in the western Aleutians, with storm force winds and
gusts to 75mph in the forecast for tonight. This storm will
slowly work eastward through Monday, with the low center tracking
right along the Aleutian Islands. The storm will slowly weaken as
it goes, but large swaths of gale force winds can be expected
through most of the Bering Sea and all along the Aleutian Island
Chain. This low will be the dominant weather feature for the next
several days.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The forecast period commences with a longwave trough spanning
from the central Bering to the North Pacific and a high amplitude
ridge over the Gulf Of Alaska extending into the Yukon Territory.
The GFS/ECMWF and Canadian all ping into several potent
shortwaves embedded in the upper level trough. At the surface,
there is a deep mature low near the central Aleutians, however the
GFS has the surface low south of Nikolski at 12Z Wednesday and
the ECMWF has the surface low near St. Paul at 12Z Wednesday.
Additionally, to the west, the same models are out of sync with
the cyclone over the Sea of Okhotsk. As time elapses, expect this
eastern low to rapidly decay. The GFS continues to keep the
remnants south of the Chain and the ECMWF keeps it quasi-
stationary over the Bering. With the cyclone near Russia, the GFS
is more bullish bringing it into the Bering. By late
Thursday/Friday the next round of cyclogenesis is well under way
in the vicinity of the Gulf of Alaska. The intensity and the
track of this new low is present on both the GFS and ECMWF but the
timing is slightly off. Generally expecting a progressive and
active pattern.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 101 111 145
MARINE...Gale 150 155 160 165 170 171 179>181 185 411 412.
		  Storm 172>178 413 414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JPW
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...BJB
LONG TERM...PJS