Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018

Gale Warning 736, NWS Anchorage, AK

December 5, 2018

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Dec 5, 2018, 3:11 PM AKST. It was in force for 8 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 5, 2018, 3:11 PM AKST (00:11 UTC)
Expired
Dec 13, 2018, 3:44 AM AKST
In force
8 days
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

666 
FZAK61 PAFC 060011
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
311 PM AKST Wed Dec 5 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-061345-
311 PM AKST Wed Dec 5 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A front in the western Gulf will dissipate Thu afternoon. A 986 mb
North Pacific low will move to 55N 152W Thu afternoon then it 
will dissipate Fri morning. A 972 mb Pacific low will move to 56N 
142W Fri afternoon. 

$$

PKZ351-061345-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
311 PM AKST Wed Dec 5 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind up to 20 kt increasing to 15 to 25 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 to 35 kt increasing to 30 to 45 kt after
midnight. Seas 9 to 16 ft building to 15 to 22 ft after midnight.
Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.

$$

PKZ352-061345-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
311 PM AKST Wed Dec 5 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 12 to 15 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 to 20 kt increasing to 15 to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 18 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 14 to 29 ft.

$$
16 follow-up statements
371 
FZAK61 PAFC 061257
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
357 AM AKST Thu Dec 6 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-070200-
357 AM AKST Thu Dec 6 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 994 mb low at 52N 152W Thu morning moves to 56N 151W at 977 mb
by Fri morning and remains nearly stationary through Sat morning.
A front associated with a North Pacific low moves to the north 
Gulf coast by Fri morning.

$$

PKZ351-070200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
357 AM AKST Thu Dec 6 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 to 35 kt becoming SE 30 to 40 kt after
midnight. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 16 to 24 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.

$$

PKZ352-070200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
357 AM AKST Thu Dec 6 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 25 to 40 kt becoming SW 15 to 30 kt in the
afternoon.
Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 18 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 19 to 34 ft.

$$
259 
FZAK61 PAFC 070049
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
349 PM AKST Thu Dec 6 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-071445-
349 PM AKST Thu Dec 6 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 980 mb low at 55N 152W will move into the northwestern Gulf Sat
morning at 978 mb. A gale force low will move into the northern 
Gulf and cover the central Gulf early Fri morning. The front will
peak in intensity Fri afternoon. 

$$

PKZ351-071445-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
349 PM AKST Thu Dec 6 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 to 30 kt increasing to 30 to 45 kt after 
midnight. Seas 10 to 15 ft building to 16 to 23 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 16 to 24 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 20 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 12 to 18 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 16 to 30 ft.

$$

PKZ352-071445-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
349 PM AKST Thu Dec 6 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 to 25 kt...increasing to 30 to 45 kt after 
midnight east of 148W. Seas 8 to 12 ft except 14 to 23 ft east of 
148W. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 25 to 40 kt becoming SW 15 to 25 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 18 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 18 to 33 ft.

$$
302 
FZAK61 PAFC 071314
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
414 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-080215-
414 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 980 mb low at 55N 143W Fri morning will move to 60N 149W at 
976 mb by Sat morning. The associated front will move to the 
North Gulf coast through Sat morning. A 981 mb low at 56N 143W 
Sat afternoon will move to the North Gulf coast by Sun morning.

$$

PKZ351-080215-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
414 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 16 to 24 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 14 to 26 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 19 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 19 to 31 ft.

$$

PKZ352-080215-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
414 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E of 147W, SE wind 30 to 45 kt becoming W 15 to 30 kt in 
the afternoon. W of 147W, S wind 15 kt becoming W 15 to 25 kt by
afternoon. Seas 12 to 20 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 19 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 14 to 29 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 19 to 32 ft.

$$
298 
FZAK61 PAFC 080053
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
353 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-081430-
353 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 969 mb low at 55N 141W will move to 60N 147W at 970 mb Sat
morning. The low will then move inland over western Prince William
Sound Sat afternoon. A second 981 mb low develops at 56N 142W Sat
afternoon then it will move inland over eastern Prince William
Sound at 976 mb Sun morning. A front will move into the
southwestern Gulf Sun afternoon. 

$$

PKZ351-081430-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
353 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE to SW wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 16 to 26 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt becoming W up to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 to 30 kt becoming W 25 to 35 kt after
midnight. Seas 11 to 18 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 15 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 19 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 16 to 31 ft.

$$

PKZ352-081430-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
353 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 14 to 29 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 19 to 32 ft.

$$
562 
FZAK61 PAFC 081315
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
415 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-090200-
415 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 972 mb low near 60N 146W Sat morning moves inland over western 
Prince William Sound by late morning. A 983 mb low at 56N 144W 
Sat afternoon moves inland across Prince William Sound Sat night. 
A front will move into the southwestern Gulf by Mon morning.

$$

PKZ351-090200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
415 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 to 40 kt becoming W 10 to 25 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 15 to 25 kt becoming S 25 to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 12 to 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 17 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 18 to 30 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.

$$

PKZ352-090200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
415 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 17 ft.
.MON...SW wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 16 to 24 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 19 to 31 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.

$$
187 
FZAK61 PAFC 090057
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
357 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-091445-
357 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 980 mb low at 59N 145W moves inland Sat evening. A front enters
the western Gulf Sun morning and reaches the central Gulf Sun
evening. The associated 964 mb low moves to 59N 144W Mon
afternoon.

$$

PKZ351-091445-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
357 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 15 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 to 18 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 16 to 30 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.

$$

PKZ352-091445-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
357 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 16 to 24 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 19 to 30 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 15 to 27 ft.

$$
336 
FZAK61 PAFC 091301
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
401 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-100230-
401 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A front enters the Southwestern Gulf Sun morning and moves onshore 
of the north Gulf coast Sun night. A second front enters the Western
Gulf Mon morning and moves to the north Gulf coast by Tue morning. 
A 967 mb low at 56N 156W Mon afternoon moves to 59N 150W at 970 mb 
for Tue morning.

$$

PKZ351-100230-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
401 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 15 to 25 kt becoming SE 20 to 35 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 10 to 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SE wind up to 15 kt becoming SW 15 to 30 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 9 to 13 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 14 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.

$$

PKZ352-100230-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
401 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE to SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 to 30 kt becoming S 10 to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 12 to 15 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 14 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 17 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 13 to 28 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 to 27 ft.

$$
624 
FZAK61 PAFC 100023
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
323 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-101430-
323 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A front in the central Gulf moves to the eastern Gulf Mon morning.
A 966 mb complex low in the Bering moves to 59N 150W at 966 mb Mon
evening. The low then moves to 60N 147W at 970 mb Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ351-101430-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
323 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt becoming SW 10 to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft.

$$

PKZ352-101430-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
323 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 to 30 kt becoming S 10 to 20 kt after
midnight. Seas 11 to 14 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming W 40 kt after midnight. Seas 13 
to 21 ft. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 17 to 27 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 27 ft.

$$
355 
FZAK61 PAFC 101304
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
404 AM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-110230-
404 AM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A front enters the southwest Gulf this morning and moves onshore
along the north Gulf coast tonight. A 969 mb low at 58N 154W 
midday Mon moves to 60N 148W at 982 mb by Wed morning.

$$

PKZ351-110230-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
404 AM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 to 40 kt increasing to 35 to 45 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft.

$$

PKZ352-110230-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
404 AM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE to SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 to 30 kt becoming W 25 to 40 kt after
midnight. Seas 14 to 18 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 16 to 27 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 20 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft.

$$
162 
FZAK61 PAFC 110012
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
312 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-111330-
312 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A front enters the southwest Gulf this morning and moves onshore
along the north Gulf coast tonight. A 969 mb low at 58N 154W 
midday Mon moves to 60N 148W at 982 mb by Wed morning.

$$

PKZ351-111330-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
312 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 to 40 kt increasing to 35 to 45 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft.

$$

PKZ352-111330-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
312 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE to SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 to 30 kt becoming W 25 to 40 kt after
midnight. Seas 14 to 18 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 16 to 27 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 20 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft.

$$
785 
FZAK61 PAFC 110046 CCA
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-111330-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 965 mb low at 58N 145W will move to 60N 147W at 957 mb Tue
morning, moving inland Tue afternoon. A strong front will enter 
the southwestern Gulf Tue morning then it will dissipate in the 
northern Gulf Tue night. A 966 mb North Pacific low will move near
56N 144W Wed afternoon. 

$$

PKZ351-111330-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 to 40 kt increasing to 35 to 45 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft.

$$

PKZ352-111330-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
346 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE to SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 to 30 kt becoming W 25 to 40 kt after
midnight. Seas 14 to 18 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 16 to 27 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 20 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft.

$$
997 
FZAK61 PAFC 111237
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
337 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-120145-
337 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 965 mb low at 61N 148W will remain nearly stationary and dissipate
Wed afternoon. A 970 mb low near 54N 151W Wed morning moves to 57N 
137W at 974 mb early Thu morning. 

$$

PKZ351-120145-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
337 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 26 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 to 40 kt diminishing to 15 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 16 to 24 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Widespread rain
showers and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 22 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.

$$

PKZ352-120145-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
337 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 17 to 27 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 16
to 24 ft.
.WED...N wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 15 to 30 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 16 to 31 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.

$$
837 
FZAK61 PAFC 120056
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
356 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-121330-
356 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...A 972 mb low over
Prince William Sound will remain nearly stationary through Thu 
morning. A 971 nm North Pacific low will move to 54N 178W Wed morning
then it will move to the eastern Gulf Wed afternoon. The associated 
front will persist over the Gulf through Thu.

$$

PKZ351-121330-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
356 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 to 40 kt diminishing to 15 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 to 25 kt increasing to 20 to 35 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 10 to 16 ft. Widespread rain showers and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.

$$

PKZ352-121330-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
356 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt becoming N 10 to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 to 35 kt becoming NW 40 to 55 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 13 to 21 ft. Widespread rain showers and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 40 to 55 kt becoming W 25 to 40 kt after
midnight. Seas 14 to 22 ft. Snow.
.THU...W wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 15 to 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 11 to 16 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.

$$
530 
FZAK61 PAFC 121250
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
350 AM AKST Wed Dec 12 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-130200-
350 AM AKST Wed Dec 12 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 979 mb low near 61N 147W will remain nearly stationary and dissipate
Thu morning. A 976 mb low near 53N 148W moves to 57N 136W at 979 
mb Thu morning. A 991 mb low at 57N 157W Wed afternoon moves to 
58N 137W at 999 mb Fri morning. Its front extends back to a 984 mb
low at 58N 150W through Fri morning.

$$

PKZ351-130200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
350 AM AKST Wed Dec 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind up to 20 kt increasing to 15 to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 10 to 17 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 to 35 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 12
to 20 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 19 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.

$$

PKZ352-130200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
350 AM AKST Wed Dec 12 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 to 35 kt becoming NW 30 to 45 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 13 to 21 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.

$$
000 
FZAK61 PAFC 130028
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
328 PM AKST Wed Dec 12 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-131530-
328 PM AKST Wed Dec 12 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A low at 57N 143W will move into the eastern Gulf Thu morning. A
987 mb Bering low will move near 58N 155W at 987 mb Thu night 
then it will move inland over the Kenai Peninsula and dissipate 
Fri morning. A front associated with a North Pacific low will move
into the Gulf Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ351-131530-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
328 PM AKST Wed Dec 12 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.THU...W wind 10 to 25 kt becoming SW 20 to 35 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 11 to 18 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 18 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.MON...SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft.

$$

PKZ352-131530-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
328 PM AKST Wed Dec 12 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.

$$
212 
FZAK61 PAFC 131244
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
344 AM AKST Thu Dec 13 2018

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-140200-
344 AM AKST Thu Dec 13 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A trough extends across the North Gulf Coast through Sat morning.
A 955 mb low near 51N 157W moves to 54N 151W at 959 mb Sat 
morning.

$$

PKZ351-140200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
344 AM AKST Thu Dec 13 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 20 to 30 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.MON...SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft.

$$

PKZ352-140200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
344 AM AKST Thu Dec 13 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 16 to 20 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 to 35 kt diminishing to 15 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 11 to 18 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 to 25 kt becoming SE 25 to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 15 to 29 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 20 to 30 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 15 to 22 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 5, 4:56 AM AKST, 10 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 5, 4:56 AM AKST, 10 hours 15 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
456 AM AKST Wed Dec 5 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A large vertically stacked low remains nearly stationary as it
spins over the Aleutians between Atka and Dutch Harbor. The low is
weakening, as any temperature advection near the center of the low
has long since ended. Nevertheless, winds of 25-35 mph out of the
south continue over the eastern Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula,
while an area of gales continues on the cold side of the low over
the central and western Aleutians. The low is tapping some
subtropical moisture, and directing it northward into Bristol Bay
and the Lower Kuskokwim Valley this morning. It still has some
decently warm air with it, and as such moderate rain with
temperatures in the lower 40s continues over portions of Bristol
Bay. Sub-freezing temperatures are being scoured out over the
Lower Kuskokwim Valley as most areas have risen into the mid 30s
and changed over to rain. The Susitna Valley is on the eastern
edge of the plume of moisture and precipitation over Bristol Bay.
Thus, Skwentna and portions of the northern and western Susitna
Valley are occasionally getting snow, but most inland areas east
of there are otherwise seasonably cold and dry. Scattered rain
shower activity continues along the coast through Prince William
Sound, with a snow/wintry mix being reported in Valdez. The
strongest winds near mainland Alaska are over Kodiak and Bristol
Bay generally out of the southeast at 15-25 mph with higher gusts.

Through the upper levels, the upper level low and associated
troughing is slowly beginning to move eastward as a westerly jet
streak approaches the upper level low south of the western
Aleutians. East of the trough is a continuation of the typical
strong ridging that has been very common across southern mainland
Alaska so far this winter. This pattern continues to bring mild
conditions with above average temperatures across the mainland,
resulting in more precipitation-type issues and forecast
challenges determining where the rain-snow line will be.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Unsurprisingly, model agreement has taken a turn for the worse
regarding how this large low in the Bering ultimately meets its
demise as it moves eastward south of the Alaska Peninsula on
Thursday. All of the models suggest a triple point low feeding off
an upper level shortwave rounding the base of the longwave trough
will develop and track to near Kodiak Island late Thursday night
into Friday. However, how quickly this low moves, how strong it
will be, and where its eventual track takes it are questions that
simply cannot be answered at this time. The models are still
trying to pin down how the energy transfer from the Aleutians low
to the new low occurs and how deep the new low can get. There is
somewhat better agreement on the frontal position and increasing
southeasterly winds developing across the northern Gulf Thursday
night, but the maximum strength of those winds and where they
occur will be highly dependent on the low track. The relatively
dry weather over Prince William Sound and the coast of the Kenai
Peninsula will end Thursday as the front and associated winds move
into the coast, but disagreements between the models are still
large regarding where the heaviest rains will be seen. At this
point nearly all of the north Gulf Coast looks likely to see at
least some period of heavy rains until the models better decide
where the plume of moisture will set up. This pattern favors a
continuation of downsloping conditions further inland through
Friday, which once again will favor windy conditions along
Turnagain Arm and the Hillside on Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist. Wind shear
will diminish this morning as the stronger winds coming across the
Chugach diminish. Note the Turnagain Arm wind is likely to persist
south of Anchorage for much of the day into the night with
variable strength.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2/Today
through Thursday night)...

Deep southerly flow up the west side of a high amplitude ridge
will transport a series of short-waves northward across the Gulf
to Southcentral over the next couple days. These waves will
primarily travel overhead of existing surface fronts, generally
following the same general lines of longitude. In other words,
there will be north-south oriented areas of precipitation. The
first will be aligned over the far western Gulf, including Kodiak
Island. The second will be across the central Gulf up to eastern
Prince William Sound and into the Copper River Basin. Areas in
between, including the population centers of the Kenai Peninsula,
Anchorage, and the Mat-Su will remain mostly dry. Precipitation
will primarily be in the form of rain along the coast and snow
inland and in the mountains.

All model guidance is now pointing to an intensifying low moving
up from the Pacific Thursday night, with a track toward Kodiak
Island. This will bring widespread strong winds and heavy
precipitation to the Gulf waters and Gulf coastal zone. Have gone
max gales with this storm, but there is a good chance it may be
strong enough to produce storm force winds over the northern Gulf.
The track of the storm favors western Prince William Sound/eastern
Kenai Peninsula for some of the heaviest precipitation with strong
east to southeast upslope flow. Warm air accompanying the low
means most of this will be in the form of rain. Meanwhile, the
strong low level flow means inland areas will remain drier thanks
to downslope flow.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2...Wed and Thu)...

While the most dynamic synoptic feature move through the area on
Tue, the area will remain quite wet through the middle of the
week. A potent 85 kt upper-level (30,000') jet continues to push
very moist air into the region from the North Pacific. This
moisture is caught between a building mid-level ridge over the
ALCAN border and the massive low over the Central Aleutians. The
net effect is a band of moderate rain across parts of Bristol Bay.
This band is nosing all the way up into the Lower Kuskokwim Valley
where temperatures are cold enough (at higher elevations too) to
turn things over to snow, or at least of a rain snow mix. We do
expect several inches of wet snow to accumulate across the Lower
Kuskokwim Valley. While the airmass is still relatively warm
overall, some colder air is wrapping back into the area. This is
making for a rather tricky forecast as places on the west side of
the precipitation band could trend towards snow while places in
the middle of and east of the band will generally be rain.

As we go into tonight, the first piece of precipitation will move
off to the north. However, another developing wave will almost
immediately take its place. This one will hug a bit closer to the
Alaska and Aleutian Ranges, but will still highlight rain to the
south and better chances for snow to the north.

A deeper trough of cold air will develop off the YK-Delta coast on
Thu. This will cause a new surface low to develop near the Seward
Peninsula. This feature looks to track a band of snow into the
Delta by Thu evening into Fri morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2...Wed and
Thu)...

The broad, warm low will continue to weaken as a new front slides
in from the west. First, the sprawling low center just west of
Dutch Harbor continues to keep cyclonic (counter-clockwise) flow
across the area. This means warmer, more steady rain in southerly
flow on its eastern flank, while colder, showery, and gusty
conditions persist to its west. This low will continue to fill
today as it drifts east.

It will open the door for a new warm front to push into the
Western Aleutians starting this afternoon. This will cause winds
to shift to more of a southeasterly direction initially. However,
those winds will be short lived as a stronger upper-level
shortwave will dive in right behind this front late tonight. This
shortwave will usher in some potent cold air under gusty westerly
winds and change any rain back over to snow. This frontal boundary
then elongates over the Western and Central Aleutians through the
end of the week.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
(Friday through Tuesday)

The numerical guidance continues to come into better agreement,
which shows a wet and stormy pattern looks to continue through
early next week for the region. The first system of significance
will be a rapidly strengthening low that moves north to near
Kodiak Island, as a piece of energy from the current central
Aleutians low phases with energy ejecting north in the front edge
(of the trough) southerly flow. The strengthening low will also be
positioned close enough to the rear entrance region of a 70 knot
upper jet to our north/northeast, and in the left exit region of
an incoming 130 knot jet streak. Although these two jets are
somewhat more displaced that one would normally prefer to maximize
a coupled jet dynamics, they appear close enough to have some
degree of interaction, increasing the amount of lift available for
the developing storm.

Adding to the mix is a strong mid-level disturbance dropping
southeast to near Nunivak Island. This system will bring down a
shot of much colder air from the Arctic, which looks to encompass
the eastern two-thirds of the Bering/Aleutians and southwest
Alaska through Friday, spilling into Southcentral on Saturday,
and the Copper Basin (at least the northern part) on Sunday. With
colder air in place, some wintry type precipitation will likely
develop. It'll be interesting to see how much of the tropical
moisture affecting the coastal locations gets advected into this
colder airmass, as current indications are moisture values being
400 percent above normal or more.

Then, the Bering trough will get kicked eastward for the weekend
as both the Nunivak disturbance and a strong storm near the
Kamchatka Peninsula move east. This transient trough will absorb
another disturbance moving into the Gulf from near the tropics,
helping to bring added warmth and moisture into yet another
developing cyclone that rapidly deepens as it tracks from the
eastern Gulf towards Prince William Sound (PWS) in the Friday
afternoon into Saturday time frame. Then, as the PWS low wobbles
in place as it slowly fills, a third and fourth storm eject
northward while phasing, reaching eastern PWS for the end of the
weekend.

This whole entourage of systems finally gets shoved east as a
pair of systems move into the western Bering and Aleutians. The
first feature of interest here is a strong front attached to
another Kamchatka low, as it rapidly sweeps eastward across the
Bering/Aleutian chain during the weekend. Following quickly on its
heels is a strong storm that enters the picture south of Adak on
Sunday, riding the island chain eastward to Kodiak by Monday. Both
of these systems will have at least sustained gales, with the
latter likely being of storm force strength and widespread
precipitation.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning: 177 178 185 412 413.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JPW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MO
LONG TERM...PD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 5, 3:11 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC13 hr
Dec 5, 3:11 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC13 hr
Dec 5, 3:14 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC13 hr
Dec 6, 3:56 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Dec 6, 3:56 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Dec 6, 4:05 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Dec 6, 4:05 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC9 days

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2018Every gale warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.