Gale Warning 702, NWS Anchorage, AK

163 
FZAK52 PAFC 191251
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-200130-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

Low pressure over the western Aleutians will move over the Alaska
Peninsula Tue morning. A front moves over the western Aleutians
Tue evening. 

$$

PKZ150-200130-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ155-200130-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SW wind 20 kt
becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ160-200130-
Bristol Bay-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-200130-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt except W 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
9 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-200130-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ171-200130-
Unalaska Bay-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-200130-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-200130-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-200130-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ175-200130-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ176-200130-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ177-200130-
Adak to Kiska-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ178-200130-
Kiska to Attu-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ179-200130-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ180-200130-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-200130-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-200130-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.  Snow and rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

365 
FZAK52 PAFC 200037
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-201315-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A front over the central Aleutians Mon afternoon will move over 
Bristol Bay and the Alaska Peninsula through Wed afternoon. A 
second front moves over the western Aleutians by Wed afternoon 
associated with a 963 mb low 380 nm west of Shemya.

$$

PKZ150-201315-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. E of Chirikof Island, W wind 25 kt
diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. E of Chirikof
Island, SW wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. E of Chirikof Island, NW wind 15 kt in 
the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ155-201315-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt, except W 25 kt from the Shumagin Islands
E. Seas 11 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SW wind 20 kt
becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ160-201315-
Bristol Bay-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-201315-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt except W 20 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. From Port Moller E, W 20 kt becoming NW 30 kt.
Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-201315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 12 ft. 
Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ171-201315-
Unalaska Bay-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 
ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-201315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 14 ft. 
Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-201315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-201315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ175-201315-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 
11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-201315-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ177-201315-
Adak to Kiska-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Bering
side, variable wind 10 kt in the evening becoming E 25 kt. Seas 8 
ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-201315-
Kiska to Attu-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ179-201315-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ180-201315-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers and snow 
showers.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ181-201315-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers and snow 
showers.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-201315-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
337 PM AKST Mon Nov 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas 11
ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow and rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

843 
FZAK52 PAFC 201256
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-210200-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A front over the eastern Aleutians will weaken Wed morning. A 
second Front will move over the western Aleutians Tue night then 
it will move over the central Aleutians Thu morning. 

$$

PKZ150-210200-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ155-210200-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ160-210200-
Bristol Bay-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-210200-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ170-210200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ171-210200-
Unalaska Bay-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ172-210200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ173-210200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-210200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ175-210200-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-210200-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ177-210200-
Adak to Kiska-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ178-210200-
Kiska to Attu-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Bering
side, seas 6 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Pacific side,
seas 10 ft building to 18 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ179-210200-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-210200-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W wind 30 kt by noon. Seas
building to 11 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ181-210200-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ185-210200-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
356 AM AKST Tue Nov 20 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.  Snow and rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... N 15 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
455 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Most of the state this morning is dominated by a deep upper-level
longwave trough, which covers most of the Bering and Mainland
Alaska and extends well south of the Aleutian Island chain. The
trough is supported by a strong jet stream which dives south
across the Western Aleutians and turns north over the Northern
Pacific into the Gulf of Alaska. The eastern portion of the jet is
pumping warm and moist air north into mainland Alaska with most
locations seeing temperatures above the freezing mark, though the
Copper River Basin is still holding on to surface temps in the
teens. A long plume of moisture is seen on satellite extending
from the subtropics north into southern Alaska. Radar shows
precipitation associated with the feature moving north up the Cook
Inlet and the Prince William Sound, falling mostly as rain at the
surface. Showery precipitation is also seen over the Southwest
Mainland tonight as a weak front pushes north. Some locations in
the Lower Kuskokwim River Valley and Kuskokwim Delta are at or
below the freezing mark, leading to pockets of freezing rain as
mid-level temperatures are mostly above freezing.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Model agreement has improved since the previous forecast package,
now mostly locking onto the major synoptic level features showing
the upper level trough migrating east over time as a ridge over
the Bering builds in behind it. There is some disagreement during
the day on Sunday regarding the spatial coverage of precipitation
over Southcentral as the next shortwave trough pushes into the
area. The NAM and Canadian both show a more pronounced dry slot on
the lee of the Kenai and Chugach Mountains while the GFS/EC have
more uniform coverage of precipitation. Leaned more towards the
wetter solution with weaker cross barrier flow and strong
southerly flow.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Rain will continue to spread over the terminal this morning
though cigs and vis should stay VFR as weak downsloping will
prevent lower ceilings from developing. At the same time, the
stronger southeasterly winds aloft will lead to periods of low
level wind shear through the early afternoon as surface winds
should stay out of the NW to NE at the terminal.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Broad moist southerly flow continues aloft across much of
Southcentral through today before becoming somewhat more
negatively tilted tonight. Strong low level cross-barrier flow
will be overwhelmed by the southerly moisture fetch allowing
moisture to spread across typically downsloped areas of the
Anchorage Bowl and MAT-SU today. The flow becomes more
southeasterly aloft tonight and Monday, so precipitation in these
areas should lessen. Generally the brunt of precipitation in the
form of rain should continue along the coasts. Generally high
freezing levels (over 4000 ft on Anchorage's morning sounding)
and warm temps should keep most of the precipitation in the form
of rain across the Kenai Peninsula, Anchorage Bowl, and lower
elevations of the MAT- SU through Monday. Precipitation types will
be more problematic over the Copper River Basin as low level cold
air will likely hold in place and potentially produce mixed
precipitation types. The good news at this point is that much of
the QPF will be confined to the Southeast Copper Basin and should
not be very widespread. Will take another look on the next model
run, especially with for tonight and Monday with the next frontal
trough heading north tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
(Tonight through Monday)

A mix of precipitation types continue to fall across most of the
lower Kuskokwim River and nearby valleys, also for locations north
of the river through the Delta region. Area web cams did show ice
accumulations today for these areas, and given little change in
the pattern through midday expected, left the advisory going
through noon. South of these locations, look for scattered showers
to persist, with some freezing rain remaining possible for some of
the interior valleys north of the Nushagak Hills, as low-level
cold air remains in place.

Heading into the evening and tomorrow, the mid-level and surface
lows that have anchored the northern Bering, keeping a southeast
to southwest flow across the region, will begin to weaken as it
gets "kicked" eastward by short-wave energy diving into the
northern Bering from Siberia. Meanwhile, a lead vort max will dive
into the base of the trough that has been in place from the
northern Bering towards Bristol Bay by evening, causing surface
cyclogenesis (the development of low pressure) near Kodiak Island.
Both the mid and surface level reflections will then move north
from Kodiak towards the northern Cook Inlet. This results in a
shift to a westerly wind direction, with colder and drier air
advecting (to advect is the horizontal movement of an airmass)
into southwest Alaska. Although this will cause a gradual decrease
in precipitation coverage by Monday, the cooling temperatures
will allow for some increase in wintry precipitation, although
amounts look to be light at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
(Tonight through Monday)

As a persistent northern Bering low moves east through the day
into western Alaska, short-wave transient ridging will build from
western portions of the Bering/Aleutians this morning, to the
central Bering/Aleutians by Monday morning while weakening.
However, with this ridge flattening through time, given the lack
of significant height rises, showery type precipitation will
likely continue with just some decrease in coverage compared to
yesterday.

Our attention then turns to the next disturbance diving southeast
from eastern Siberia towards Bristol Bay. This system will send a
weak surface reflection of a front eastward, with sustained winds
briefly increasing to gales, with an uptick in precipitation
coverage and amounts expected. This front will then weaken by
later Monday afternoon/evening, as the energy is absorbed by a
new low forming near Kodiak Island.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7/Tuesday night through
Saturday)...

Some change for the positive today in the long term, in that
models are finally showing a decent picture of what might happen
next week. Going with a GFS/ECMWF solution for the long term as
those have been consistent enough the past few days to put some
trust in them. Both show troughing over Southcentral AK through
Wednesday and ridging over the western and central Aleutians
through the middle of the week.

As with yesterday, ridging slowly works its way across the
Aleutians, to be over SW AK on Friday. This was similar to
yesterday's solution, so am able to put some stock in it. This
means a general cooling trend and finally perhaps some clearing of
weather later next week for Southcentral and SW AK, as the ridge
will bring in some cool, dry air from the north. Confidence still
needs to grow with the above. With the way models have been
handling the weather lately, need to see this same solution for
another day or two to really buy it. The western Aleutians are
also a wash after the middle of next week, with models varying
widely with the track of the next low after ridging moves east out
of the area midweek.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory...152.
MARINE...Gales 119 125 130 131 132 170 171 172 176 177.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KVP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...BB