Gale Warning 695, NWS Anchorage, AK

501 
FZAK52 PAFC 150038
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-151330-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1002 mb low 90 nm West of Dutch Harbor moves to 90 nm North of
St Matthew Island at 999 mb for Fri afternoon. Its front extends 
over the Eastern Bering through Fri afternoon. High pressure 
sweeps the Aleutians to the Alaska Peninsula by Fri afternoon. A 
986 mb low 310 nm South of Shemya extends a front into the 
Eastern Aleutians by Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-151330-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-151330-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, E wind 30
kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ160-151330-
Bristol Bay-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ165-151330-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt except E 25 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 5 ft.
Rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt except NE 30 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ170-151330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ171-151330-
Unalaska Bay-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-151330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-151330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ174-151330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ175-151330-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ176-151330-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain with snow.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ177-151330-
Adak to Kiska-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-151330-
Kiska to Attu-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft.
.THU...E wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Bering side, E wind 40 kt. Pacific side, SW wind 30
kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-151330-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow and rain.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ180-151330-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ181-151330-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow and rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-151330-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
338 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...N 25 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt
in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, NE wind 20 kt. Seas
7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...NW 20 kt W of 
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

591 
FZAK52 PAFC 151244
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-160145-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 984 mb North Pacific low 530 nm south of Sand Point Thu morning
moves to 350 nm southeast of Sand Point at 995 mb by Fri morning 
and moves over the Alaska Peninsula and dissipates by Sat morning.
A 983 mb low Fri morning 330 nm southwest of Shemya moves over
Adak at 990 mb by Sat morning. 

$$

PKZ150-160145-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt this afternoon. Seas 13 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-160145-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, E wind 30 kt
becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. From
the Shumagin Islands E, variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ160-160145-
Bristol Bay-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and light freezing rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-160145-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt except E 25 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 5
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt except NE 25 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ170-160145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ171-160145-
Unalaska Bay-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-160145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ173-160145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-160145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ175-160145-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-160145-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
Isolated thunderstorms possible after midnight.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ177-160145-
Adak to Kiska-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. Isolated thunderstorms
possible Pacific side.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Isolated thunderstorms possible.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ178-160145-
Kiska to Attu-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt except E 30 kt from Shemya W. Seas 13 ft.
Rain. Isolated thunderstorms possible.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ179-160145-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-160145-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-160145-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-160145-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
344 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...NW 15 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 6 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

700 
FZAK52 PAFC 160050
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-161330-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1006 mb low 75 nm Northeast of St Matthew Island loops to 75 nm
Southwest of Gambell at 1000 mb and dissipates Sat morning. Its 
front pushes into Western Alaska through Sat afternoon. A 975 mb 
low 495 nm Southwest of Attu swings to 180 nm South of Dutch
Harbor at 991 mb for Sat afternoon. Its front rides over the 
Aleutians to the Alaska Peninsula by Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-161330-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-161330-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. From
the Shumagin Islands E, variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-161330-
Bristol Bay-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-161330-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt except E 30 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt except variable 10 kt from Port Moller
E. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ170-161330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-161330-
Unalaska Bay-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-161330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-161330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-161330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ175-161330-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-161330-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ177-161330-
Adak to Kiska-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ178-161330-
Kiska to Attu-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Bering side, E wind 40 kt. Pacific side, SW wind 30 kt
becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-161330-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ180-161330-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ181-161330-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-161330-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
350 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 25 kt in the evening
becoming variable 10 kt. W of Saint Matthew Island, NW wind 15 kt.
Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

903 
FZAK52 PAFC 161221
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-170115-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 992 mb low at 53N 154W Fri morning moves over the Alaska 
Peninsula by Sat morning and weakens. A 982 mb low Fri morning at
49N 169E moves near 52N 175W at 989 mb by Sat morning and then to
58N 160W at 988 mb by Sun morning.

$$

PKZ150-170115-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ155-170115-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ160-170115-
Bristol Bay-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-170115-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ170-170115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ171-170115-
Unalaska Bay-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-170115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ173-170115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ174-170115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. Isolated thunderstorms Pacific
side.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ175-170115-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ176-170115-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. Isolated
thunderstorms Pacific side.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ177-170115-
Adak to Kiska-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Isolated thunderstorms Pacific 
side.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Isolated thunderstorms Pacific side.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ178-170115-
Kiska to Attu-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...Bering side, E wind 40 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the
afternoon. Pacific side, SE wind 20 kt becoming NE in the
afternoon. Seas 13 ft. Rain. Isolated thunderstorms Pacific side.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft.

$$

PKZ179-170115-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ180-170115-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ181-170115-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-170115-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
321 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, variable wind 10 kt becoming
NE 15 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 20 kt.
Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
427 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A weakening north moving front which brought strong winds and rain
to the Gulf and mixed precipitation to western Alaska is still
producing a little light rain over the northern Susitna Valley.
Cloud breaks developed across Southcentral with frontal passage
though a few showers continue across the Gulf Coast. A trough
along with the onset of easterly winds brought renewed
rain/showers to Kodiak Island. A weakening low south of Cold Bay
is drifting south. The pinch in the pressure gradient between this
low and ridge over eastern Russia is producing strong northerly
winds across the eastern/central Bering Sea/Aleutians. Rain was
located over the AK Pen with showers over the Aleutians.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in generally good agreement through Thursday.
Differences creep in Thursday night and Friday between model
solutions in the upper levels and progression of the surface front
heading north toward the southern Mainland The EC appears to be
the slowest pushing moisture north with the front.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds are most likely. There is
however a chance that some shallow ground fog could develop near
the airport complex Wednesday morning. Due to uncertainty, VCFG
was utilized in the TAF.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A ridge builds across the Alcan border, bringing drier conditions
across Southcentral through Thursday. Patchy fog will be the main
weather challenge over the next two nights as temperature
inversions steepen overnight while surface temperatures drop close
to dew point values. A weak boundary across the northern Susitna
Valley supports areas of fog tonight. Offshore flow develops
across the southern mainland as the ridge builds and low pressure
dominates over the gulf...expect gusty conditions at times for
gap locations along the coasts. Across the Gulf, a front along the
southern waters stalls this evening, bringing rain to Kodiak Island
before diminishing Wednesday morning. Isolated thunderstorms are
possible around the core of the low as it tracks across the southern
waters tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
After the most recent storm cycle, the weather will remain quiet
for the next couple of days. In comparison, as offshore flow
keeps the mainland dry. Combined with weak upper ridging, temps
will cool back down, especially in valleys. The only threat for
precip will be over the Kuskokwim Delta tonight where a small
deformation band associated with the once strong warm front
remains. Otherwise, expect some areas of fog in low lying
valleys, but the normal fog capital of the Kuskokwim Delta should
remain free for the next couple days given the dry and strong
offshore flow.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The pressure gradient remains tight enough to support strong 30
knot northerly winds over a large part of the Bering Sea along
with some areas of rain/snow showers. The low over the Alaska
Peninsula will weaken and shift east with a new low center forming
underneath an upper low over the central Bering Sea. This will
begin to induce a south/southeasterly flow over the eastern Bering
Sea along with increasing chances for rain Thursday. Meanwhile,
over the western Bering, a warm front will move into the region
then quickly occlude and elongate, reaching gale force over the
Western Aleutians before it weakens.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The long-term forecast begins Thursday night with an amplifying
upper-level ridge moving from the Gulf over the Alaska Peninsula.
Upstream, a negatively-tilted trough persists from the eastern
Bering south to the western Gulf while a second trough deepens
over the western Aleutians as a strengthening jet rounds its base.
Through the first half of the weekend, the longwave pattern
remains fairly progressive, with the leading ridge moving well
inland over Canada as the main trough axis settles along the west
coast of Alaska. Moving into early next week the eastward
progression of the trough slows as it anchors over the eastern
half of the state. Model agreement breaks down significantly after
Monday, especially with their respective solutions upstream of
the trough axis. The GFS is the more amplified solution, trying to
build a ridge over the Bering ahead of the next trough exiting
eastern Russia. The EC, on the other hand, keeps the pattern zonal
with an active jet south of the Aleutians and a broad low over
the Bering. The Canadian takes the middle ground with weak ridging
over the Bering quickly replaced by a trough. What this means is
that guidance in the medium and near long-term range (through the
weekend) remains in good agreement with a wet and active pattern
across much of the forecast area. Beyond that, there is some
agreement of a trough/ridge/trough setup from the western Bering
to the eastern Bering to the Gulf. But confidence on placement and
intensity of these features is slim to none.

At the surface, this translates to a low approaching Kodiak Island
late Thursday with a trough extending across the Bering keeping
things unsettled over Southwest Alaska. The low moves into the
northern Gulf with its occluded front draped across the
southcentral coast by early Friday. Farther west, a second surface
low slides across the Aleutians Thursday into Friday with its
occluded front nearing the southwest coast late Friday. A triple
point low is also expected to form south of the AKPEN late Friday,
moving into the western and northern Gulf through the weekend.
This will keep conditions quite wet an unsettled over much of the
mainland through the weekend with some drying likely for southwest
Alaska by late Monday into Tuesday as a weak surface ridge tries
to develop.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning 178 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...TM