Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018
Gale Warning 689, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 12, 2018, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 12, 2018, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 14, 2018, 3:55 AM AKST
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
476 FZAK52 PAFC 121300 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-130145- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A front over the central Aleutians will weaken Tue morning. A 969 mb low 70 nm east of Dutch Harbor Mon morning moves into the North Pacific Mon night. A second 972 mb low 70 nm west of Akhiok Tue morning moves to near Chirikof Island Tue afternoon at 983 mb, then is absorbed into a Gulf low by late Tue night. $$ PKZ150-130145- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...NE 20 kt in the evening becoming W 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ155-130145- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt in the evening becoming NW 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ160-130145- Bristol Bay- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding. .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft in the evening building to 8 ft. .TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ165-130145- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ170-130145- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ171-130145- Unalaska Bay- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt early becoming E wind 15 kt. Gusts to 40 kt in the morning. Seas 7 ft subsiding. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ172-130145- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ173-130145- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt early increasing to 45 kt. Seas 18 ft early building to 27 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 23 ft subsiding to 17 ft after midnight. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ174-130145- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 15 ft early building to 22 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft after midnight. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ175-130145- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ176-130145- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ177-130145- Adak to Kiska- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft Bering side...14 ft Pacific side. .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft Bering side...13 ft Pacific side. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ178-130145- Kiska to Attu- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ179-130145- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 50 kt becoming NE 35 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 60 kt early. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ180-130145- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Snow showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ181-130145- North and West of Nunivak Island- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft. Snow showers. .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ185-130145- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 45 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...N 40 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 19 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$
5 follow-up statements
644 FZAK52 PAFC 122359 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-131245- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 967 mb North Pacific low 180 nm southeast of Dutch Harbor moves into the Gulf Tue afternoon. A 980 mb low moves over Bristol Bay Tue morning and then returns to the Gulf and dissipates Tue night. A front approaches the western Aleutians Wed afternoon. $$ PKZ150-131245- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ155-131245- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, N wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ160-131245- Bristol Bay- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ165-131245- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ170-131245- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ171-131245- Unalaska Bay- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ172-131245- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ173-131245- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 23 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ174-131245- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft after midnight. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. $$ PKZ175-131245- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ176-131245- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ177-131245- Adak to Kiska- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft Bering side...13 ft Pacific side. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ178-131245- Kiska to Attu- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ179-131245- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ180-131245- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. .TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ181-131245- North and West of Nunivak Island- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ185-131245- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$
444 FZAK52 PAFC 130826 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-132115- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 967 mb North Pacific low 180 nm southeast of Dutch Harbor moves into the Gulf Tue afternoon. A 980 mb low moves over Bristol Bay Tue morning and then returns to the Gulf and dissipates Tue night. A front approaches the western Aleutians Wed afternoon. $$ PKZ150-132115- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E of Chirikof Island...W wind 35 kt...except NE out of Shelikof Strait...becoming S wind 40 kt by morning. W of Chirikof Island...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ155-132115- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, N wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ160-132115- Bristol Bay- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ165-132115- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ170-132115- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ171-132115- Unalaska Bay- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ172-132115- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ173-132115- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 23 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ174-132115- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft after midnight. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. $$ PKZ175-132115- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ176-132115- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ177-132115- Adak to Kiska- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft Bering side...13 ft Pacific side. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ178-132115- Kiska to Attu- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ179-132115- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ180-132115- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. .TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ181-132115- North and West of Nunivak Island- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ185-132115- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$
800 FZAK52 PAFC 131246 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-140130- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A 978 mb low over Pilot Point Tue morning moves to 120 nm south of Kodiak Island at 993 mb by Wed morning and then dissipates. A new 999 mb low forms 70 nm northwest of Cold Bay Wed morning then moves to 60 nm north of St Paul at 1004 mb by Thu morning. $$ PKZ150-140130- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 35 kt early diminishing to 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ155-140130- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind increasing to 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, W wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ160-140130- Bristol Bay- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 35 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 45 kt along the coast in the morning. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ165-140130- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ170-140130- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ171-140130- Unalaska Bay- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas building to 10 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. .WED...NW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ172-140130- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ173-140130- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ174-140130- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ175-140130- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ176-140130- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ177-140130- Adak to Kiska- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ178-140130- Kiska to Attu- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ179-140130- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ180-140130- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ181-140130- North and West of Nunivak Island- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ185-140130- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$
812 FZAK52 PAFC 140040 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-141400- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A front over the central Bering weakens and moves into the Gulf. A front enters the western Bering Wed morning and the associated low moves 330 nm southwest of Shemya at 985 mb Thu afternoon. $$ PKZ150-141400- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ155-141400- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ160-141400- Bristol Bay- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ165-141400- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ170-141400- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ171-141400- Unalaska Bay- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain showers. .WED...NW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. .THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ172-141400- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt through Unimak Pass in the evening. Seas 8 ft. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ173-141400- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ174-141400- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ175-141400- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ176-141400- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ177-141400- Adak to Kiska- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ178-141400- Kiska to Attu- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. .THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ179-141400- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow showers and rain showers. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers and rain showers. .WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ180-141400- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ181-141400- North and West of Nunivak Island- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ185-141400- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Widespread snow showers. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$
077 FZAK52 PAFC 141255 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-150200- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A front enters the western Bering Thu morning associated with a 985 mb low 370 nm west of Shemya that moves to 345 nm southwest of Shemya at 985 mb by Fri morning. A 987 mb North Pacific low Wed morning moves to 530 nm south of Sand Point at 984 mb by Thu morning and then to 430 nm southeast of Sand Point at 997 mb by Fri morning. $$ PKZ150-150200- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY... .TODAY...N wind 15 kt...except NE 25 kt out of Shelikof Strait through the morning. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ155-150200- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ160-150200- Bristol Bay- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ165-150200- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt except E 25 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ170-150200- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ171-150200- Unalaska Bay- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ172-150200- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 .TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ173-150200- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ174-150200- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ175-150200- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ176-150200- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ177-150200- Adak to Kiska- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ178-150200- Kiska to Attu- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft. .THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain with snow. .THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ179-150200- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 10 ft. Snow and rain showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ180-150200- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ181-150200- North and West of Nunivak Island- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow showers. .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ185-150200- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 355 AM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Widespread snow showers. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 11, 4:33 PM AKST, 11 hours 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 11, 4:33 PM AKST, 11 hours 27 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
433 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A broad baroclinic zone with abundant moisture extends north from
below 40N to across the Gulf and Southcentral Alaska. Widespread
rain is occurring at lower elevations across the Gulf with snow
mixing in at higher elevations along the road system. Rain has
been pretty steady across the Anchorage Bowl and the Matanuska
Valley where temperatures hovering around freezing with road
temps below, producing widespread areas of freezing rain. Rain has
even started spreading as far north as Talkeetna. Precipitation
is generally snow across the Copper River Basin with a mix of
freezing rain over the southern basin. Precipitation was pretty
sparse over Southwest Alaska. However, rain associated with a
frontal wave was starting to work into Bristol Bay this afternoon.
Northerly storm to gale force winds on the backside of the surface
trough were observed over the eastern and central Bering Sea.
Gales were evident across the northern and western gulf ahead of a
frontal wave.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in relatively good agreement trough tonight. There is
still some disagreement on the handling of the next low heading
into the Northern Gulf Monday/Monday night. The ECMWF continues
to be the fastest and further West solution, with the NAM as the
slowest (though a little faster on the 18z run). Will lean toward
a middle ground GFS solution for now which still maintains
another batch of moderate to heavy rain along the Southern Kenai
Peninsula and and areas of storms over the GUlf as well in the
Bering Sea.
&&
.AVIATION...
PANC...MVFR conditions should slowly improve to VFR during the
night as rain diminishes. Ceilings, though, may hold at or just
below 5000 ft.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The active weather will continue through the next 48 hours, as
our current storm is moving towards the AKPEN (pressure at 983mb).
Several disturbances seen in satellite imagery and numerical data
are heading north, crossing our neck of the woods overnight and
through Monday morning. The precipitation will become more showery
in nature from south to north as we head through the evening,
with temperatures holding steady to slowly climbing as we head
through the night. This will allow most precipitation to change
over to all rain, with the exceptions being the northern Susitna
valley and the Copper Basin, where the cold air will remain
entrenched a bit longer. In fact, some of the Copper Basin valleys
from the Glen Allen area and north may see a prolonged period of
freezing rain and snow potential through the day tomorrow, as
essentially the colder air remains locked in place even longer
(almost like a cold air damming effect). This looks to remain
below Advisory thresholds, however.
Then as we head through Monday, multiple pieces of energy diving
into the backside of the trough will allow several surface
lows to rotate around each other in a Fujiwhara-like fashion,
while along one disturbance embedded in the southerly flow to
rapidly deepen to below 970 mb.
So what does this mean for us? Overall, look for steady to slowly
rising temperatures to continue through Tuesday for most areas,
with precipitation mainly falling as rain. With strong southeast
flow aloft, the Anchorage Bowl will likely see the "rain shadow"
effect during the afternoon Monday, as the related down-sloping
winds help wring out the low-level moisture due to compressional
warming. However, as the next storm approaches Monday night, look
for rainfall coverage and intensity to ramp up once again.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Disorganized low pressure systems will continue to pinwheel
through the area for the next couple of days. These smaller
systems and associated fronts are embedded within a larger, broad
area of low pressure that will remain largely stationary the next
few days, keeping weather active throughout SW Alaska.
The next round of weather associated with this system will move
through SW Alaska tonight. This round will be in the form of a
warm front, which is expected to bring precip between about
midnight and mid morning tomorrow. Warm air will override cold in
in place at the surface, so winter weather advisories mainly for
freezing rain have been issued for zones 152, 161 (north of
Dillingham) and 155. Snow is also in the forecast with these
advisories, with specific amounts depending on location. However,
the main emphasis is the freezing precipitation. Gusty off shore
winds will also continue for SW Alaska. A brief break in the
weather will occur after this system passes through. Tuesday looks
like the day for the next weather event, though the forecast for
this is uncertain as of now and still being dialed in.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
As with the past few days, weather over the eastern Bering will
be affected by the same low broad pressure system that is
impacting the rest of souther Alaska. Several smaller systems will
spin through the eastern Bering as they exit SW Alaska, bringing
rain shower and Gale to Storm force winds for the eastern Bering.
When it comes to precip, it should be noted that due to warm
temps with the low it will fall mainly as rain. The actual low
center sits right along the eastern Aleutians, so winds will be
lighter there.
The western Aleutians are on the backside of this low, which means
they will continue to see strong northerly (storm force) winds and
high seas with a cold air push from the north. Winds taper and
conditions improve Monday.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The long-term forecast begins Tuesday night with a double-barrel
surface low situated in the Gulf with one center of circulation
south of the AKPEN and the second drifting slowly northeast toward
the Alaska Panhandle. As has been the theme, there are subtle
differences in placement and strength of these features; however,
the various guidance (NAM, EC, GFS, and Canadian) show the double-
barrel system and indicate a weakening trend with said features.
Support for these features is also lacking in the upper levels,
with the jet is well south of the surface lows and little if any
thermal gradient or advection in the mid-levels.
Guidance begins to breakdown further heading into the late
Wednesday/early Thursday time frame. The GFS and EC both indicate
an upper-level shortwave digging south across the Aleutians,
helping amplify the pattern over the north Pacific. This, in turn,
strengthens and steers another strong north Pacific low northward.
The GFS and Canadian are the more bullish solutions, with a low
approaching Kodiak Island late Thursday. The EC, however, slows
the track of the low, stalling it in the southern Gulf until
Friday before a low upstream finally pushes the Gulf low toward
the southcentral coast.
Upstream, guidance is holding tight to the building of a ridge
over eastern Russia and keeping it in place through the long term.
This will keep the jet, and surface low track, south of the
Aleutians. Here, the GFS, Canadian, and EC all develop a low
southwest of Shemya Wednesday with a front across the western half
of the Aleutians. Solutions then diverge greatly with the forward
progression of not only the low, but the front and development of
a subsequent triple point low Thursday into Friday. Again, the GFS
and Canadian are more similar than the EC.
By the weekend, guidance is all over the place with the upper-
level and surface features. However, the common denominator
between each solution is the continuation of the broad low
centered over the eastern Aleutians. This setup would keep a
moist, southerly flow over the Gulf and across southcentral and
southwest Alaska with clouds and precipitation wrapping around
the low over the Bering and Aleutians.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory (mixed precip) 145 152 155 161.
MARINE...Storm Warning 119 131 132 138 175 176 179>181 185.
Gale Warning 120 125 130 136 137 139 150 160 165 170 173 174
177.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...BB
LONG TERM...TMThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 3:33 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Nov 11, 3:33 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 11, 3:33 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 11, 3:33 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Nov 11, 3:57 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 11, 3:57 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 12, 3:51 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Nov 12, 3:51 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Nov 12, 3:51 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 4 days | |
| Nov 12, 2:59 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Nov 12, 2:59 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 25 hr | |
| Nov 12, 2:59 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.