Gale Warning 669, NWS Anchorage, AK

125 
FZAK52 PAFC 070026
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-071315-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 994 mb low 330 nm north of Saint Paul moves inland Wed morning.
A 990 mb Kamchatka low moves 340 nm northwest of Saint Paul Thu 
afternoon at 983 mb.

$$

PKZ150-071315-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming N 35 kt after midnight. Seas 
building to 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-071315-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-071315-
Bristol Bay-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-071315-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight.
From Port Moller E, NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ170-071315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft
subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ171-071315-
Unalaska Bay-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ172-071315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-071315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft in the evening subsiding to 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt becoming SW wind 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-071315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft in the evening subsiding to 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas 
7 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ175-071315-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ176-071315-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ177-071315-
Adak to Kiska-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft 
building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft after
midnight.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ178-071315-
Kiska to Attu-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...S wind 35 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. 
Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ179-071315-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 15
ft subsiding to 9 ft after midnight.
.WED...W wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas 7
ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ180-071315-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ181-071315-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 
12 ft subsiding to 9 ft after midnight.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ185-071315-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
326 PM AKST Tue Nov 6 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.WED...E of Saint Matthew Island, W wind 15 kt. W of Saint Matthew
Island, SW wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9
ft.
.WED NIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 20 kt becoming SE
30 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 35 kt.
Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

143 
FZAK52 PAFC 071252
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-080130-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 997 mb low 375 nm Northwest of Attu moves to 180 nm West of
Hooper Bay at 989 mb for Fri morning. Its front pushes across the
Bering into Western Alaska and across the Alaska Peninsula by Fri
morning. Several troughs slide over the Western Bering through 
Fri morning.

$$

PKZ150-080130-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-080130-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, W wind 20 kt
becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-080130-
Bristol Bay-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-080130-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ170-080130-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 14 ft in the
afternoon. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ171-080130-
Unalaska Bay-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ172-080130-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-080130-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind becoming SW 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 18 ft in the
afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-080130-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ175-080130-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ176-080130-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ177-080130-
Adak to Kiska-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft Bering side...13 ft Pacific side.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ178-080130-
Kiska to Attu-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft in the
afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...NW wind 40 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 24 ft
Bering side...17 ft Pacific side.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ179-080130-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 19 ft in the afternoon. 
Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ180-080130-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ181-080130-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ185-080130-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
352 AM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, W wind 15 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, SW wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 20 kt becoming SE 35
kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 35 kt. 
Seas 12 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 23 ft in the afternoon. 
Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

376 
FZAK52 PAFC 080015
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-081300-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 988 mb low Wed afternoon 325 nm northwest of Shemya moves to 
340 nm northwest of St Paul at 985 mb by Thu afternoon and then 
to 360 nm north of Shemya at 1000 mb by Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-081300-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. From Chirikof Island W, NW wind 20 kt becoming
W 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ155-081300-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, W wind 20 kt
becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-081300-
Bristol Bay-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
Widespread rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-081300-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. From Port Moller W, NW wind 10 kt becoming
SW 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. From Port Moller E, W wind 20 kt in the morning
becoming SW 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ170-081300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming S 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
Rain.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft in the evening building to 21 
ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ171-081300-
Unalaska Bay-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. 
Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt in the morning becoming W. Seas 4 ft. Widespread
rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 
3 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-081300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
Widespread rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 
9 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-081300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ174-081300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 
13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ175-081300-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt in the evening becoming W 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 21 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ176-081300-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt in the evening becoming W 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
Widespread rain showers.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ177-081300-
Adak to Kiska-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft Bering side...12 ft Pacific side.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft Bering side... 12 ft Pacific
side.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ178-081300-
Kiska to Attu-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft Bering side...16 ft Pacific
side.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft Bering side...16 ft Pacific side.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ179-081300-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 7 
ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 18 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ180-081300-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 17 ft after
midnight. Rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ181-081300-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. 
Widespread rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ185-081300-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 20 kt becoming SE 35
kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 25 ft in the afternoon. 
Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...SW 45 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 30 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
633 PM AKST Mon Nov 5 2018

Update to Longterm Discussion

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The axis of the upper level ridge is moving over Southcentral
Alaska late this afternoon with and upper level low close to the
Gulf of Anadyr in eastern Russia. A decent jet streak which is
running a little over 100 KT (from the south-southwest) is in
between these two features.
At the surface, high pressure remains over the mainland part of
the state including Southcentral ALaska. Southwest Alaska is
beginning to be impacted by the front associated the a fairly
strong low in the northwest Bering Sea which is moving eastward.
This low and the front will have a difficult time progressing too
far eastward due to the ridge, but will also weaken it to set the
stage for a low, which is currently over 500 miles south of Sand
Point, to move into the Gulf of Alaska later in the week and
eventually displace the ridge.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in good synoptic agreement through mid-week, but there
are some differences emerging by the time Thursday arrives that
are worth noting. There are still some small differences with the
timing and track of the low approaching the Gulf of Alaska
Wednesday and Thursday as noted on the early morning discussion.
However, the differences seem to have lessened and models are
converging an a common solution increasing forecast confidence
with this low.
The low currently moving through the Bering Sea looks to be
locked-on by all models. It is the second low moving through a
similar track Wednesday night through Friday in which there is
much larger disagreement. In particular, the EC is a bit faster
and farther to the southeast than other models. The GFS and NAM
solutions are very similar to each other and taking a more
favorable northerly track so forecasts are more reflective of
those solutions.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist. There may be
some small areas of stratus overnight in the vicinity, but a
ceiling at the airport is not expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A ridge persists across the southern mainland through mid week,
keeping inland areas cool and dry. A front moves up to the
southern Gulf Tuesday afternoon spreading rain across Kodiak
Island Tuesday night through Wednesday. Gale easterly winds are
expected along the boundary across the Gulf with northerly flow
for the Cook Inlet and Shelikof Strait on the backside of the
occlusion.

Precipitation type is challenging along the eastern Kenai
Peninsula as models are showing slight differences in the track
of the low. The front is expected to push across the eastern coast
of the Kenai Peninsula Wednesday morning; with a cold air mass in
place at the onset of the front, precipitation is expected to
start as snow. The low level temperatures slowly moderate to just
above freezing during the afternoon which may change precipitation
briefly over to rain.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Scattered light rain showers will continue to fall over the
Kuskokwim Delta in advance of a front sliding toward the coast
from the eastern Bering. This front will move onshore overnight,
pushing into the interior tomorrow before slowing and shearing
apart tomorrow night as a low south of the AKPEN tracks north
toward Kodiak Island. A few rain and snow showers will linger
into Wednesday, especially along the higher terrain of the Alaska
and Aleutian Ranges. A fast-moving ridge then slides over the
southwest late Wednesday remaining in place over the interior
through Thursday. The next frontal system slides toward the coast
Thursday as a deep low moves east across the Bering. This front
will race onshore quickly, so precipitation amounts will be rather
light. However, with colder air in place, precipitation with this
frontal system will fall primarily as snow. Accumulations of
around one inch are possible for locations such as Bethel and
Dillingham. Scattered snow showers will linger behind the front
for Thursday night into early Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

A storm-force low continues to track northeast toward the central
Bering this afternoon. As it does, the storm-force winds will
subside, but a wide area of gales will remain west of the
Pribilofs. Steep lapse rates due to colder air aloft wrapping
around the low combined with strong instability accompanying the
upper low will also bring the potential for some isolated
thunderstorms along the southern periphery of the low. This system
then weakens as it becomes vertically stacked and gradually lifts
toward Saint Lawrence Island tomorrow. The next Kamchatka low
then moves away from eastern Russia by late Tuesday swinging a
frontal system across the western Aleutians. The front then
quickly occludes as it races east, sweeping over the central
Aleutians by Wednesday and the eastern Aleutians Wednesday night
into early Thursday. Southerly gales will accompany the front as
it moves over the Aleutians and Pribilofs through the forecast
period. Storm-force winds will also develop over the western
Bering late wednesday into Thursday as the low deepens and tracks
toward Saint Matthew Island.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

An active pattern will be on tap for the west domain Thursday to
Monday. At the onset of the forecast period, there is a storm
south of the Aleutian chain and a mature system with a triple
point low in the Bering. Additionally, there is a disturbance near
Kodiak. There are some minor differences with timing and the
tracks of of the lows as early as F72 and F96. However, as time
elapses, the differences significantly amplify. With the longwave
trough in place over the Bering and the North Pacific, very
confident in the level of persistent unsettledness for the Bering,
the Aleutians and Southwest Alaska. However, given the lack of
run to run continuity there seems to be more uncertainty in the
longterm for Southcentral Alaska including Prince William Sound.
Waiting for the details to flesh out beyond F96.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storm 411. Gales 132 178 181 185 351 352 412 413.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TM
LONG TERM...PS