Gale Warning 561, NWS Anchorage, AK

720 
FZAK52 PAFC 081501
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-090330-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 982 mb low 220 nm northeast of Shemya this morning moves to 215 nm
northwest of Adak at 985 mb by Tue morning and then to 105 nm west 
of St Paul at 987 mb by Wed morning. A 996 mb North Pacific low 460 
nm south of Dutch Harbor Tue morning moves inland 50 nm east of Pilot
Point at 981 mb by Wed morning.

$$

PKZ150-090330-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft.
Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 55 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ155-090330-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 12 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt except SW 25 kt from the Shumagin Islands E.
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-090330-
Bristol Bay-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-090330-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of bays and passes
early. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-090330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 50 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-090330-
Unalaska Bay-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts up to 50 kt in the morning. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-090330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-090330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ174-090330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ175-090330-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ176-090330-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ177-090330-
Adak to Kiska-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ178-090330-
Kiska to Attu-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-090330-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ180-090330-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ181-090330-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ185-090330-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
701 AM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

088 
FZAK52 PAFC 082323
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-091245-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 982 mb low 230 nm North of Kiska moves to 65 nm Northeast of St
Paul Island at 987 mb for Wed afternoon. Its front wraps over the
Bering into Western Alaska and Eastern Bering through Wed 
afternoon. 

$$

PKZ150-091245-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming W 50 kt after midnight. Seas 14 
ft building to 25 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ155-091245-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 12 
ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, NE wind
30 kt becoming W 40 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft 
after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-091245-
Bristol Bay-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-091245-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt out of bays and passes
in the evening. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-091245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-091245-
Unalaska Bay-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-091245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-091245-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ174-091245-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ175-091245-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ176-091245-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ177-091245-
Adak to Kiska-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ178-091245-
Kiska to Attu-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt decreasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ179-091245-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-091245-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
Rain.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-091245-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-091245-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. South and west of Saint Matthew Island, S 
wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. South and west of Saint Matthew Island, S 
wind 10 kt.  Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

607 
FZAK52 PAFC 091125
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-100030-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 986 mb low 235 nm northwest of Adak Tue morning moves to 65 nm
west of St Paul at 989 mb by Wed morning and then to 70 nm
northwest of Hooper Bay at 987 mb by Thu morning. A 997 mb low 450
nm south of Dutch Harbor Tue morning moves inland near Pilot Point 
at 985 mb by Wed morning.


$$

PKZ150-100030-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 50 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft building to 22 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 22 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-100030-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, NE wind 45
kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-100030-
Bristol Bay-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-100030-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-100030-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-100030-
Unalaska Bay-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-100030-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-100030-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ174-100030-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ175-100030-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ176-100030-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ177-100030-
Adak to Kiska-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ178-100030-
Kiska to Attu-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ179-100030-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-100030-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-100030-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-100030-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
325 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...E 25 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

275 
FZAK52 PAFC 091548 AAA
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-100330-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 986 mb low 235 nm northwest of Adak Tue morning moves to 65 nm 
west of St Paul at 989 mb by Wed morning and then to 70 nm 
northwest of Hooper Bay at 987 mb by Thu morning. A 997 mb low 450
nm south of Dutch Harbor Tue morning moves inland near Pilot 
Point at 985 mb by Wed morning.


$$

PKZ150-100330-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 50 kt after midnight.  
Seas 13 ft building to 22 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.WED...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon.  
Seas 22 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-100330-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, NE wind
45 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-100330-
Bristol Bay-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon.  
Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight.  
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-100330-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight.  
Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-100330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 13 ft after
midnight.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-100330-
Unalaska Bay-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-100330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-100330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ174-100330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ175-100330-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ176-100330-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ177-100330-
Adak to Kiska-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ178-100330-
Kiska to Attu-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ179-100330-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-100330-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-100330-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-100330-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
748 AM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...E 25 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 12 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

736 
FZAK52 PAFC 092344
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-101230-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 992 mb low 250 nm south of Sand Point will move near King Salmon
at 985 mb early Wed morning and then move northwest and weaken.
A 987 mb low 240 nm southwest of St Paul Island will merge with
the previously mentioned low 70 nm South of Savoonga Thu 
afternoon. A 987 mb low 405 nm north of Attu moves to 45 nm 
southwest of Atka at 996 mb for Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-101230-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW 50 kt after midnight. Seas 13 
ft building to 22 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
22 ft subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-101230-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, NE wind 45
kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-101230-
Bristol Bay-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-101230-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-101230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 13 ft after
midnight.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 14 ft subsiding
to 10 kt.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-101230-
Unalaska Bay-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-101230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-101230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-101230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ175-101230-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14
ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-101230-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ177-101230-
Adak to Kiska-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 15
ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ178-101230-
Kiska to Attu-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ179-101230-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-101230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-101230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-101230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
344 PM AKDT Tue Oct 9 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NW 20 
kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

512 
FZAK52 PAFC 101143
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-110015-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 982 mb low Wed morning over Pilot Point moves to 100 nm north of
Hooper Bay by Thu morning. A 992 mb low 130 nm west of Dutch
Harbor Thu morning moves and merges with the first low 105 nm west
of Toksook Bay at 990 mb by Fri morning. A 990 mb low 290 nm north
of Shemya Wed morning moves to 200 nm northeast of Shemya at 992 
mb by Thu morning and then to 205 nm southwest of Adak at 1000 mb
by Fri morning.

$$

PKZ150-110015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-110015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-110015-
Bristol Bay-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-110015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft in the
afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-110015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 14 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-110015-
Unalaska Bay-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-110015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ173-110015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-110015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ175-110015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-110015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ177-110015-
Adak to Kiska-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft.

$$

PKZ178-110015-
Kiska to Attu-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ179-110015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-110015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the
afternoon. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ181-110015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ185-110015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
343 AM AKDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
440 PM AKDT Sun Oct 7 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The weather pattern over the state and nearby North Pacific
waters is rather complex today with a strong upper level wave
over Southcentral ALaska which is detached from the surface low
which is in the Gulf of Alaska. In the Bering, a moderately strong
low is near the Central Aleutians with a Gale-force front ahead
of it moving through the Eastern Aleutians. This low will anchor
itself in the central Bering Sea the next few days and become a
major steering component for other systems this week. What also
makes this low system challenging is the presence of a short wave
low embedded in the front south of the Aleutians. While this wave
will not amount to much, it may impact the way a triple point low
farther south develops and moves toward the Gulf Monday night. In
addition to all this, the remnants of former typhoon Kong-rey can
be seen on satellite tracking well south of the Western Aleutians
near 50N 170E. The interplay of this former-typhoon and the
anchor-low in the Bering Sea will be the crux of the forecast
challenge for the middle of the week. More information on this in
the model discussion section below.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models have struggled with the upper level wave moving up Cook
Inlet and across Prince William Sound today. This feature moved
faster than even yesterday afternoon's models showed and it was
not until overnight, when it was almost model initialization time,
that the NAM and GFS finally hit upon it. The good news is that
now that this feature is adequately resolved, the other features
in the short term look to be handled very reasonably. There are
two items to watch through the middle of the week that may cause
model difficulties. The first is a triple-point low that will
develop south of the Alaska Peninsula Tuesday and move over Kodiak
Island by early Wednesday. While this low looks to be resolved in
a similar manner across models, its anticipated structure may
change as it gets closer.

An even bigger challenge will be in the Tuesday through Wednesday
night time period when the remnants of former typhoon Kong-rey
arrive on scene. This low will be strengthening again in its
extra-tropical phase, but the anchored low in the Bering Sea is
cutting off the cold air source which will limit the amount it
strengthens. The amount it strengthens will have an impact on the
exact track it takes, as the stronger it becomes, the farther
west it should track. Therefore there is quite a spread on tracks
with the Canadian model being 15 mb and 275 miles farther west
than the NAM on Tuesday night. At this time, the GFS and ECMWF
models have a very similar solution in both track and strength (in
between the Canadian and NAM) which takes it through Shelikof
Strait and the into Cook Inlet Wednesday. We are adjusting
forecasts toward this solution for the afternoon forecast package.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...The biggest question concerning the TAF will be whether
some fog or stratus develops late tonight. The rain today and a
light southerly wind expected most of the night will keep the
lowest levels of the atmosphere mostly saturated which does favor
the development of fog and/or stratus, so some was introduced
into the forecast.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
A few showers will linger through the early evening hours for the
MAT-SU Valleys south and east to Prince William Sound as an
upper-level shortwave continues to slide east. A low situated in
the northern Gulf will weaken as it slides toward the Alaska
Panhandle with small-craft winds diminishing by midnight. As a
ridge builds in from the west tonight and remains in place Monday,
the mainland will begin to see some drying and clearing
conditions. Patchy fog across the Cook Inlet north into the MAT-SU
Valleys is also possible tonight through Monday morning. In
addition, the building ridge will help establish offshore flow
with brisk gap winds overnight through Monday evening, especially
along the east coast of the Kenai Peninsula, Passage Canal, and
areas from Valdez on east.

A triple-point low will move into the western Gulf late Monday
bringing rain and gales along its occluded front. This system
will slow its forward progress, quickly weaken, and transition to
an open wave as it enters the northern Gulf and approaches the
Southcentral coast with the majority of precipitation and
easterly wind gusts confined to the coast. A second, more
organized low (the extra-tropical remnants of typhoon Kong-rey, to
be specific) then follows the first with rain overspreading
Kodiak Island and gales developing across the western and northern
Gulf by late Tuesday. A 140kt jet streak over the western Gulf
will allow this low to deepen as it moves into Shelikof Strait
Tuesday night and into Cook Inlet by Wednesday. As it does,
widespread rain will fall across coastal locations along the
associated warm front. A southeasterly flow aloft, however,
should limit rainfall for locations in the lee of the Chugach,
Kenai, and Talkeetna Mountains due to downsloping conditions. In
addition, the deepening low will act to tighten the pressure
gradient, resulting in rapidly strengthening southeasterly gap
winds for Turnagain Arm, Passage Canal, and the Copper River
Basin. For Anchorage, winds along the hillside will increase
beginning Tuesday afternoon. Gusts of 45 to 55 mph are possible
overnight Tuesday through the first half of Wednesday before
steadily diminishing Wednesday evening as the low weakens and
tracks inland.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tonight
through Wednesday)...
Scattered showers occurring across the area this afternoon will
diminish after sundown. During the overnight, nearly calm winds
inland after a day with onshore flow is expected to lead to a new
round of fog across much of the lower elevations of Southwest
Alaska tonight. Winds will slowly increase along the coast tonight
ahead of the next front. The front is a slow mover, and as such
most of the day Monday looks dry across all of Southwest Alaska
with high pressure in place inland. On Monday night, a low moving
northward along the Alaska Peninsula will help the front spread
inland, bringing rain to Bristol Bay and the Kuskokwim Delta,
along with breezy southeast winds. Those winds should help keep
the lee of the Aleutian and Kuskokwim Mountains relatively dry. On
Tuesday morning the front moves inland and the low diminishes,
which with the diminishing winds should mean most of Southwest
Alaska sees widespread rains during the day.

Another much stronger low, the remnants of former Super Typhoon
Kong-Rey will also approach the area south of the Alaska Peninsula
Tuesday night, bringing another round of heavier rain to Bristol
Bay and the Kuskokwim Valley, with the rain holding off in the
Kuskokwim Delta until the day Wednesday. The center of the strong
low looks to track up Shelikof Strait and into Cook Inlet, so
being on the cold side of the center, Southwest Alaska will get a
cold rain with gusty winds throughout the day Wednesday as the
storm tracks inland. With most of the warm air shunted well off to
the east, there is some potential for higher elevation snow with
this storm as well.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)
There are two big low pressure systems that will impact the
Bering Sea and Aleutians through Wednesday. The first is the low
currently centered west of Adak. It is producing gale force winds
and steady rains around it as it tracks northward towards the
western Bering. Its warm front to the east is also producing gale
force winds, which will impact the central Aleutians and the
Pribilofs during the day Monday with strong winds and soaking
rains. Meanwhile the low in the western Bering will become nearly
stationary before beginning a slow eastward drift Monday night and
Tuesday. The warm-turned-occluded front associated with the low
will move into Southwest Alaska on Tuesday. The much weakened low
will once again stall over the central Bering during the day
Wednesday, causing widespread showers over much of the Bering Sea.

On Tuesday afternoon the second stronger low, the remnants of
former Super Typhoon Kong-Rey, will approach the southern Alaska
Peninsula. The low itself will be strengthening as an
extratropical low, causing widespread gales and even some storm
force winds Tuesday night and Wednesday morning across the waters
between the Shumagin Islands and Kodiak Island. Small craft to
minimal gales are expected in Bristol Bay during the day Wednesday
as the center of the low tracks up Shelikof Strait.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The long term, beginning Wednesday night, has a pattern with a low
over the Bering and ridging east of the Gulf. This setup will last
through the rest of the week and will result in multiple
shortwaves rotating around the Bering low that will swing in over
the southern mainland. More rain is expected with each wave moving
through. This pattern looks as though it could break up over the
weekend but there is a fair amount of model disagreement for this
timeframe. With the wide spread of operational guidance, the
ensembles were preferred.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning 132 170 172>175 179 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TM
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JW
LONG TERM...DK