Gale Warning 507, NWS Anchorage, AK

045 
FZAK51 PAFC 232353
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-241315-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 999 mb low 50 nm south of Sand Point moves inland Mon morning. 
The associated front in the western Gulf moves to the northeastern
Gulf Mon morning and then lifts inland Mon afternoon. A 1009 mb 
low approaches the southwestern Gulf 220 nm south of Sitkinak Tue 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-241315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 14 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-241315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-241315-
Resurrection Bay-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-241315-
Prince William Sound-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-241315-
Port Valdez-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-241315-
Valdez Narrows-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-241315-
Valdez Arm-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. 
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt by midnight. Seas 5 
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-241315-
Passage Canal-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-241315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 40 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 19 ft in the
afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 14 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-241315-
Barren Islands East-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 6 
ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-241315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt by midnight. Seas 10 ft 
building to 18 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-241315-
Chiniak Bay-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft 
building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-241315-
Marmot Bay-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-241315-
Shelikof Strait-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ139-241315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 17 ft in the
afternoon. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-241315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
10 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-241315-
Kachemak Bay-
353 PM AKDT Sun Sep 23 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft. 
Rain.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 35 kt in the afternoon with gusts 
up to 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.


$$

600 
FZAK51 PAFC 241145
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-250015-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A strong front in the western Gulf will dissipate as it moves 
onshore along the north Gulf coast today. A second front associated 
with a Pacific low will move into the southern Gulf Tue night.

$$

PKZ119-250015-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Near the coast,
SE wind increasing to 35 kt late this morning, then becoming S 25 kt
in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-250015-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming SW by late morning. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-250015-
Resurrection Bay-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S this morning, then 
increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 5 ft. 
Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-250015-
Prince William Sound-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 35 kt by late morning, then 
becoming S 25 kt in the late afternoon. Seas 4 ft building 
to 9 ft by midday. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-250015-
Port Valdez-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt shifting to SW in the late afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-250015-
Valdez Narrows-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TODAY...N wind increasing to 20 kt this morning, then 
shifting to S 20 kt in the late afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-250015-
Valdez Arm-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 30 kt by midday, then becoming 
S 20 kt in the late afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft by 
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-250015-
Passage Canal-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 25 kt by late morning, then 
diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 4 ft, 
then subsiding to 2 ft in the late afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. 
Seas 1 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-250015-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt shifting to SW by late morning. 
Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-250015-
Barren Islands East-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-250015-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-250015-
Chiniak Bay-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt diminishing to SW 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-250015-
Marmot Bay-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. 
Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-250015-
Shelikof Strait-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 15 ft 
in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-250015-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 14 ft 
in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-250015-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-250015-
Kachemak Bay-
345 AM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 35 kt by afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

157 
FZAK51 PAFC 250007
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-251245-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A strong front in the western Gulf will dissipate as it moves 
onshore along the north Gulf coast today. A second front 
associated with a Pacific low will move into the southern Gulf
Wednesday afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-251245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-251245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-251245-
Resurrection Bay-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-251245-
Prince William Sound-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-251245-
Port Valdez-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-251245-
Valdez Narrows-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-251245-
Valdez Arm-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt decreasing to 10 kt by midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-251245-
Passage Canal-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-251245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-251245-
Barren Islands East-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-251245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-251245-
Chiniak Bay-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-251245-
Marmot Bay-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-251245-
Shelikof Strait-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-251245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-251245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-251245-
Kachemak Bay-
407 PM AKDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt subsiding to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8 
ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

316 
FZAK51 PAFC 251141
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-260015-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1008 mb Pacific low will move to 250 nm south of Middleton
Island at 1015 mb tonight. The low will then move into the 
eastern Gulf Wed morning. A front associated with a North Pacific 
low will move into the southern Gulf Wed night then to the 
northwestern Gulf Thu morning. 

$$

PKZ119-260015-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-260015-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming Variable 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-260015-
Resurrection Bay-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-260015-
Prince William Sound-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-260015-
Port Valdez-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-260015-
Valdez Narrows-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-260015-
Valdez Arm-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt 
after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-260015-
Passage Canal-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 15 kt 
after midnight. Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier in the morning. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-260015-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-260015-
Barren Islands East-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt early, then becoming Variable wind 10 kt. 
Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-260015-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-260015-
Chiniak Bay-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-260015-
Marmot Bay-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-260015-
Shelikof Strait-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-260015-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt during the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding. Patchy fog.
.WED...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. 
Patchy fog.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-260015-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt during the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding. Patchy fog.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-260015-
Kachemak Bay-
341 AM AKDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
456 PM AKDT Sat Sep 22 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A 984 mb surface low west and north of Nunavak Island is moving
northeast with gales over the Eastern Bering Sea this afternoon.
This feature is supported by a stacked upper-level low with the
main long-wave trough still west of 180-degrees. An occluded
front was passing over Kodiak Island and moving into the southern
end of the Kenai Peninsula with a warm front preceding it. The
triple-point was working up the west side of Cook Inlet.

A stiff southwest flow aloft is moving along the AK PEN, over
Kodiak Island with the expectation that this flow will continue
into Cook Inlet over the next period.

Despite recent rains in the region from two-tenths to as much as
1.4 inches at Independence Mine at Hatcher Pass, no significant
runoff issues have developed likely due to an record-setting dry
streak which ended yesterday.

Unrelated to local rainfall, the Skilak Lake Glacial Dam release
has crested and conditions will continue to improve along the
river.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models indicate that the next upper-level wave will intensify
around Sand Point and track northeast. Isolated lightning strikes
identify the region of instability nearing 180-degrees West.

Models were in good agreement yesterday. Even better, they have
improved more today with the NAM coming into better alignment
with other models' timing of the vort max and surface features.
This is most notable with the development of the feature along the
Pacific Coast of the AK PEN toward Kodiak Island.

Local pressure difference forecasts along Cook Inlet indicate
Saturday evening gusts should wane after 03z Sunday. But with the
next wave moving in, wind concerns will quickly become the next
challenge for Sunday night into Monday midday for regions west of
the Alaska Range, over Kodiak Island, and up Cook Inlet.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Generally, VFR conditions will persist through tonight and
into Sunday. There are some isolated showers in the vicinity this
afternoon and some of these showers have contained some small
hail. It is unlikely that any hail will fall at the airport, but
there is some in the vicinity. Winds will hold the potential to
be gusty through the period, with better confidence on stronger
winds and gusts developing through the day Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3,
Saturday night through Tuesday night)...
A frontal system that had brought rain to most of the region
overnight has pushed east this afternoon allowing skies to clear
some, especially from Anchorage south. Cold air moving in aloft
behind the front combined with some modest surface heating will
lead to the development of isolated showers this afternoon and
evening, especially over higher terrain and the Susitna Valley.
Some of these showers may also contain small hail or graupel due
to lowered freezing levels between 4,000 and 5,000 ft. In fact, an
observer in South Anchorage reported small hail this afternoon,
with radar imagery confirming the report.

The front will continue to push north and east overnight as a
weak shortwave ridge builds in over the area ahead of the next
system. This will lead to clearing skies over the southern half of
the area tomorrow, though a good push of southerly winds up the
Cook Inlet will continue through the morning before gradually
diminishing in the afternoon.

Attention shifts to the next system coming into the region as a
surface low rapidly develops over the Northern Pacific and moves
north over the AKPEN and Kuskokwim River Valley through Monday.
The rapidly deepening system will swing a warm front north across
the region Monday, which will be accompanied by heavy rain and
strong winds. Winds will be favored through the typical terrain
gaps, including the Turnagain Arm and Upper Hillside, where gusts
up to 65 mph can be expected Monday morning. The lee (western)
side of the mountain ranges will be initially downsloped with
strong cross barrier flow but rain should fill in quickly as the
front pushes north Monday afternoon. As the front progresses
north, a secondary surface low will form in the northern Cook
Inlet area and move north, this will lead to rapid pressure rises
and subsequent strong southerly winds up the Cook Inlet Monday
afternoon through Tuesday morning. Winds could gust as high as
40-50 mph along the Western Kenai Coast Monday evening. For
Tuesday, dry air will again sweep in behind the departing system
leading to decreasing cloud cover across the region and slowly
diminishing winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
(Tonight through Tuesday)

Wet and breezy conditions will continue through the evening,
before the pressure gradient weakens overnight as the Bering low
moves ashore south of Norton Sound while weakening. A moist
onshore flow and disturbances aloft rotating the low will keep
showers going through the period. A separate area of
strengthening low pressure will race up from the north Pacific,
reaching the AKPEN by Sunday evening, then ridge the Alaska Range
on Monday, before stalling as it weakens near McGrath Monday
night. Easterly winds will increase ahead of this system with
sustained winds of 20 to 40 mph possible. This system will bring a
steady and widespread rainfall to much of the eastern half of the
interior, some of which may be moderate to locally heavy at
times.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
(Tonight through Tuesday)

A persistent showery pattern looks to continue across most of the
Bering Sea and Aleutians over the next few days, as disturbances
dive southeast across the region on the back side of a slowly
weakening low along the Yukon Delta/coastal area. Winds will
decrease from low-end gales across the eastern Bering, with small
craft winds along coastal waters of the AKPEN this evening, to
below small craft conditions by morning. The remainder of the area
will see light winds though most of the period.

The exception to this will be for the Bristol Bay region and
coastal waters along either side of the peninsula Sunday night
into Monday, as a rapidly strengthening storm reaches the
peninsula from the North Pacific Sunday evening, riding the Alaska
Range on Monday. This storm will bring gale force winds, seas of
9 to 13 feet, and widespread rainfall (some of which may be
moderate to heavy intensity) to the Bristol Bay and coastal
waters of the AKPEN. Winds and rainfall will then diminish by
Tuesday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday Night through
Saturday)...

The models have come into much better agreement for the first few
days of the long-term forecast as compared to yesterday. An area
of high pressure, centered southwest of Adak, will extend
northeastward into Southern Alaska to start out the forecast
Tuesday night. The center of the high will quickly shift across
Southwest Alaska by Wednesday morning. Thus, nearly ideal
conditions for radiational cooling will be in place (clear skies,
light winds), with the exception of any high cloudiness
associated with a building 110 kt jet in the upper levels moving
over southern mainland Alaska. As such, many inland areas have
their first real chance this fall of seeing their first freeze
Wednesday morning. As the average date of the first freeze in
Anchorage is tomorrow, September 23rd, the growing season is
already on borrowed time. The high pressure system will slowly
lift to the north on Wednesday, but most of the area should
continue to enjoy another beautiful fall day. Despite the expected
continuation of mainly clear skies, warming temperatures in the
mid-levels should reduce the frost threat Wednesday night, though
by no means can it be ruled out.

An area of low pressure in the models has been struggling in
recent days as to what it's going to do may be finally showing its
hand this afternoon. For fans of sunny, dry, fall weather, you'll
be happy about the trend. Previously, the models had brought the
associated front all the way to the Gulf Coast and inland, with
rain associated with the low itself overspreading Southwest Alaska
by Wednesday afternoon. Now, the models have shifted south and
west, strengthening the high pressure over the interior. As a
result, the front now looks to struggle even making it to Kodiak
Wednesday afternoon, and the center of the low looks to track west
of the Pribilofs on Thursday, with doubt even the easternmost
fringe of the precipitation affects the Bering coast. Therefore,
high pressure and increasingly amplified upper level ridging
suggest yet another run of gorgeous, dry weather with above
average afternoon highs and warming overnight lows going right
into the weekend for Southcentral. The models try to bring periods
of rain to the coast of Southwest Alaska Friday and Saturday, but
there is a lot of uncertainty in those details. September will
certainly go down in the record books as an unusually warm and dry
month for all of Southern Alaska.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale 132.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KVP
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...JW