Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018

Gale Warning 499, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 13, 2018

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 13, 2018, 3:46 AM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 13, 2018, 3:46 AM AKDT (11:46 UTC)
Expired
Sep 14, 2018, 3:50 PM AKDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

801 
FZAK52 PAFC 131146
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-140100-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 990 mb low 445 nm South of Kiska anchors a low complex that 
merges and moves into Northern Kamchatka at 992 mb for Fri 
morning. Its front trails across the Eastern Aleutians and Bering 
through Sat morning. A 1002 mb low forms along the front 40 nm 
East of St Matthew Island by Sat morning.

$$

PKZ150-140100-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E of Chirikof Island, W wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 
kt after midnight. W of Chirikof Island, SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E of Chirikof Island, variable wind less than 10 kt. W of
Chirikof Island, SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-140100-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt, except S 20 kt from the Shumagin Islands E.
Seas 10 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SW wind 20
kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt, except SW 15 kt from the Shumagin Islands E.
Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ160-140100-
Bristol Bay-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 1 foot. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-140100-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt, except S 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
4 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt, except S 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-140100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-140100-
Unalaska Bay-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-140100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ173-140100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ174-140100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ175-140100-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ176-140100-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ177-140100-
Adak to Kiska-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft
Bering side...10 ft Pacific side.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft Bering side...14 ft Pacific
side. Rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt in the morning becoming NW. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ178-140100-
Kiska to Attu-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt in the evening increasing to 35 kt. Seas 9 
ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ179-140100-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-140100-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-140100-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-140100-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
346 AM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$
3 follow-up statements
561 
FZAK52 PAFC 132318
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-141215-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 992 mb low 190 nm south of Shemya moves over Saint Paul Fri night 
at 1004 mb and then moves inland Sat afternoon. A ridge of high 
pressure approaches the western Aleutians Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-141215-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ155-141215-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ160-141215-
Bristol Bay-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 1 foot. Patchy fog.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-141215-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt except S 15 kt from Port Moller E. 
Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-141215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ171-141215-
Unalaska Bay-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-141215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ173-141215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ174-141215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ175-141215-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ176-141215-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ177-141215-
Adak to Kiska-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ178-141215-
Kiska to Attu-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight.
From Shemya W, NW wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 9 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ179-141215-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ180-141215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-141215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-141215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... S 25 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$
526 
FZAK52 PAFC 141146
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-150115-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 993 mb low 120 nm North of Kiska moves into Northern Kamchatka 
Fri afternoon. Its front wraps around the Bering through Sun 
morning. A 1002 mb low forms along the front 125 nm North of Atka 
and moves to 75 nm Southwest of Cape Newenham at 1008 mb then 
dissipates over Southwest Alaska Sat afternoon. Its front sweeps 
the Bering through Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-150115-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-150115-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt except S 15 kt from the Shumagin Islands
E. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ160-150115-
Bristol Bay-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-150115-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt except SE 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 4
ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-150115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ171-150115-
Unalaska Bay-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-150115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ173-150115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ174-150115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ175-150115-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ176-150115-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ177-150115-
Adak to Kiska-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ178-150115-
Kiska to Attu-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ179-150115-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
Patchy fog.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-150115-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-150115-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-150115-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
346 AM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...S 25 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...W 25 kt W of Saint
Matthew Island. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$
941 
FZAK52 PAFC 142350
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-151245-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A front in the western Bering and Aleutians associated with a 
Kamchatka low moves eastward towards the Alaska Peninsula through Sun
afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-151245-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-151245-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ160-151245-
Bristol Bay-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-151245-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-151245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ171-151245-
Unalaska Bay-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.

$$

PKZ172-151245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ173-151245-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ174-151245-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ175-151245-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ176-151245-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ177-151245-
Adak to Kiska-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ178-151245-
Kiska to Attu-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ179-151245-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
Patchy fog.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-151245-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-151245-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-151245-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
350 PM AKDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...S 25 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...E of Saint Matthew Island, variable wind 10 kt becoming W
25 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, W wind 25 kt.
Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 12, 4:54 PM AKDT, 10 hours 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 12, 4:54 PM AKDT, 10 hours 52 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
454 PM AKDT Wed Sep 12 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The strong upper level Omega blocking pattern continues with a
ridge across the Alaska Peninsula/eastern Bering Sea with
flanking lows either side (southwest and southeast). Widespread
low stratus and fog, under strong subsidence, continues over the
Kuskokwim Delta, Alaska Peninsula, and eastern Bering Sea. Cloudy
conditions with areas of rain, associated with a frontal system,
is evident over the central and western Aleutians. A fairly
pronounced area of instability has given rise to isolated to
scattered thunderstorms over the central Aleutians. Some cirrus
sliding south along the forward side of the ridge is bringing
some cloud cover. However, unseasonably warm temperatures are
developing across portions of Southcentral, especially in areas
with outflow conditions across the eastern Kenai and northern
Gulf.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in good agreement through the short-term.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The above normal temperatures will continue across Southcentral
Alaska as ridge remains steadfast. The ridging will inch its way
eastward resulting in widespread subsidence and more northerly
flow aloft. Expect more dry conditions through Friday. Friday
night a shortwave will approach Kodiak from the southwest
bringing low clouds and a chance for rain to the island. The last
time Anchorage had a dry streak from August 27-Sept 12th was in
1984. The past couple of days multiple records have been broken,
primarily along coastal locations which have been experiencing
gusty offshore winds. Seward reached 75F again today which makes
back to back 75Fs at Seward in September which is no small feat.
The last time this occurred in Seward was 1910.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
(Tonight through Saturday)
Warm and dry conditions will continue for another 24 hours. Some
fog will likely form across portions of the Kuskokwim Delta and
near the Bristol Bay coast. A warm front will push across the
AKPEN Thursday morning, before occluding and then weakening near
the Kuskokwim Mountains Thursday evening. A secondary front
(likely a surface trough) will push across the AKPEN early Friday
morning, reaching the southwest coast by evening. Yet a third
surface front will reach the AKPEN early Saturday morning,
reaching the southwest mainland during the afternoon. Each of
these fronts will be accompanied by an increase in showers.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
(Tonight through Saturday)
An unsettled period will persist through the start of the weekend,
as a series of storms and their associated fronts push across the
region. The first area of low pressure will cross the western
Aleutians into the Bering tonight, sending it's warm front
northward. Its associated cold front will begin to sweep from the
western portions of the chain tonight, to the AKPEN by Thursday
morning. A surge of tropical moisture is already encompassing much
of this region, while it sits under an upper-level trough. This
has proven instrumental in a fairly robust lightning output this
morning, and it has continued through this evening with some
decrease in coverage. As such, thunderstorms were added to much
of the Bering and Aleutians to account for this.

For your Thursday, as the first storm continues to push north, a
second low will approach from south to southeast of Shemya,
sending another pair of fronts northward and eastward. This will
keep enough instability for a continued thunder mention, as this
system will also have a tropical connection. By Friday evening,
the system will occlude and fill over the northern Bering, keeping
much of the region in a broad cyclonic flow with showers persisting.
Winds and waves will remain at small craft criteria conditions or
less through the period.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Long-term models continue to gradually converge on a common
solution for the breakdown of the blocking ridge and accompanying
return of cloudy, rainy, and cooler conditions for Southwest and
Southcentral Alaska. The timing of large scale features in the
most recent model runs is remarkably similar. Over the weekend,
a short-wave moving up the west side of the ridge will push into
the interior, with some showers making it into the area, over the
top of the ridge. Models indicate enough weakness in the ridge by
this point in time to allow the front to cross Southwest Alaska
Friday night through Saturday, bringing rain and cooler conditions.
However, as it tries to cross Southcentral Saturday through
Sunday it will encounter some remnant of the upper level ridge. So
at a minimum, the front will continue to weaken as it arrives in
Southcentral. Certainly expect cloudier and cooler conditions as
we head through the weekend, but rain chances are much more
uncertain. Do not expect a washout by any means; rainfall will
likely be light and focused along and near the mountains.
Meanwhile, the Bering Sea and Aleutians can expect wet and windy
conditions as a series of fairly fast moving storm systems cross
the region.

The next storm system tracking north near the Kamchatka peninsula
will send a front through the western Aleutians and Bering by
Wednesday morning, weakening as it tracks eastward through the
remainder of the Aleutians and Bering. A secondary system will
cross the central Aleutians from the north Pacific late Thursday
night, and strengthen as it tracks into the eastern Bering by
Friday morning.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...TP/SEB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 13, 3:46 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2018Every gale warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.