Gale Warning 441, NWS Anchorage, AK

020 
FZAK62 PAFC 281158
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
358 AM AKDT Tue Aug 28 2018

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-290145-
358 AM AKDT Tue Aug 28 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 996 mb low at 49N 179W moves to 57N 179E at 987 mb tonight. The
low then moves to 59N 175W at 989 mb Wed night.

$$

PKZ411-290145-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
358 AM AKDT Tue Aug 28 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.WED...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.

$$

PKZ412-290145-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
358 AM AKDT Tue Aug 28 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 10 to 20 kt becoming E 15 to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 4 to 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 19 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.

$$

PKZ413-290145-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
358 AM AKDT Tue Aug 28 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 to 18 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.

$$

PKZ414-290145-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
358 AM AKDT Tue Aug 28 2018

.TODAY...E wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

893 
FZAK62 PAFC 282336
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
336 PM AKDT Tue Aug 28 2018

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-291415-
336 PM AKDT Tue Aug 28 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 991 mb low at 52N 178E will move to 58N 180E at 987 mb Wed
morning. The low will then move near 59N 171W at 999 mb Thu
afternoon. 

$$

PKZ411-291415-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
336 PM AKDT Tue Aug 28 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain.
.THU...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 8 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 to 8 ft.

$$

PKZ412-291415-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
336 PM AKDT Tue Aug 28 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 to 35 kt becoming S 15 to 25 kt 
after midnight. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 19 ft. Rain.
.THU...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.

$$

PKZ413-291415-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
336 PM AKDT Tue Aug 28 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 to 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 to 18 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ414-291415-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
336 PM AKDT Tue Aug 28 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 16 to 22 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

505 
FZAK62 PAFC 291205
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
405 AM AKDT Wed Aug 29 2018

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-300215-
405 AM AKDT Wed Aug 29 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 985 mb low at 56N 177E moves to 59N 177W at 990 mb Wed night.
The low then moves to 58N 170W at 1008 mb Thu night.

$$

PKZ411-300215-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
405 AM AKDT Wed Aug 29 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 to 40 kt...except E 35 kt becoming variable 15 kt
N of 58N in the afternoon. Seas 11 to 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft. Rain.
.THU...NW wind 20 to 35 kt becoming 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 to 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.

$$

PKZ412-300215-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
405 AM AKDT Wed Aug 29 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 to 30 kt becoming SW 25 to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 11 ft building to 10 to 18 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ413-300215-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
405 AM AKDT Wed Aug 29 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 19 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 to 40 kt diminishing to 20 to 35 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 12 to 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ414-300215-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
405 AM AKDT Wed Aug 29 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.

$$

493 
FZAK62 PAFC 300000
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
400 PM AKDT Wed Aug 29 2018

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-301315-
400 PM AKDT Wed Aug 29 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 987 mb low at 58N 178E will move to 60N 173W at 998 mb by Thu 
afternoon and then to 57N 168W at 1012 mb by Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ411-301315-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
400 PM AKDT Wed Aug 29 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.

$$

PKZ412-301315-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
400 PM AKDT Wed Aug 29 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft.

$$

PKZ413-301315-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
400 PM AKDT Wed Aug 29 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 20 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft.

$$

PKZ414-301315-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
400 PM AKDT Wed Aug 29 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind up to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

456 
FZAK62 PAFC 301110
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
310 AM AKDT Thu Aug 30 2018

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-310145-
310 AM AKDT Thu Aug 30 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 991 mb low at 59N 176W moves to 58N 171W at 1004 mb Thu night.
The low then weakens to a trough and moves over Bristol Bay Fri
night.

$$

PKZ411-310145-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
310 AM AKDT Thu Aug 30 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 to 35 kt becoming 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 11 to 15 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.

$$

PKZ412-310145-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
310 AM AKDT Thu Aug 30 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind up to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ413-310145-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
310 AM AKDT Thu Aug 30 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind up to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ414-310145-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
310 AM AKDT Thu Aug 30 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 18 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

365 
FZAK62 PAFC 302350
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
350 PM AKDT Thu Aug 30 2018

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-311430-
350 PM AKDT Thu Aug 30 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 998 mb low at 59N 173W loops to 57N 161W at 1020 mb dissipating
Sat afternoon. Its front wraps over the Bering into Western 
Alaska for Sat afternoon. A second front crosses the Pacific South
of the Aleutians through Sat afternoon. High pressure builds into
the Western Aleutians and Bering by Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ411-311430-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
350 PM AKDT Thu Aug 30 2018

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...W wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.

$$

PKZ412-311430-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
350 PM AKDT Thu Aug 30 2018

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 15 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.

$$

PKZ413-311430-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
350 PM AKDT Thu Aug 30 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft.

$$

PKZ414-311430-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
350 PM AKDT Thu Aug 30 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
522 AM AKDT Mon Aug 27 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The Norton Sound low has weakened and moved inland over the North
Slope while a large upper level area of high pressure remains
parked over the Gulf this morning. A weak upper level shortwave
has formed in the southern Bering over the Bristol Bay area and
its corresponding surface low has developed south of Sand Point.
Ahead of the surface low, a leading front is entering the western
Gulf. This has generated a few showers observed on radar this
morning over the northern AKPEN, Shelikof Strait, and Kodiak
Island. Behind the front, low level stratus clouds and patchy fog
are filling in along the coastal areas of Southwest. Lingering
rainfall continues to dissipate across the eastern coast of Prince
William Sound and the northeastern Gulf coast.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Model solutions remain in generally good synoptic agreement
through the next 24 hours. While there was some uncertainty with
the timing of the upper level shortwave trough moving over
Southcentral this evening, all solutions now seem to be in good
agreement. Looking further out, models indicate a North Pacific
low approaching the western Aleutians Tue afternoon. There is some
disagreement on the exact position of this low as it enters the
Bering Wed morning. At this time, the GFS is showing a faster
solution with the low moving further east while the NAM and EC
solutions keep the low further west. The NAM/EC solution was
preferred for this morning's forecast package.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail for the forecast period as an upper
level trough moves east out of the area leading to drier
conditions. The main impact today will be gusty southeasterly
winds as Turnagain Arm winds combine with strong up-inlet flow.
Winds will diminish this afternoon as the pressure gradient
weakens. Looking to tomorrow night/morning, high pressure will
move into the area leading to light winds and clearing skies,
promoting potential fog development. Recent rainfall should
provide plenty of surface moisture though drier offshore flow may
inhibit widespread fog development over the region. For now,
there is higher confidence fog will develop over the Cook
Inlet/Knik Arm, possibly advecting inland, thus vicinity fog was
included in the TAF.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Today through Wednesday)...
Even as the upper level low over the interior begins to lift
northward through the interior, a separate system will race
northward from the North Pacific into the Gulf today. The models
have been struggling with how far west to bring this low over the
last few days, but they now are coming into agreement that this
low will track far enough to the west to bring widespread rains to
Prince William Sound today. This resulted in some large changes
to the rainfall forecast over Kodiak Island as well as the Gulf
coast from Prince William Sound eastward, where widespread heavy
rain was added for this afternoon. The good news for areas further
west into Southcentral is that there remains good consensus that
most of the rainfall from this low will not reach as far west as
the Kenai Peninsula, leaving a cloudy but dry day for most other
areas today.

One forecast concern around Cook Inlet tonight will be for
the possible development of fog/stratus as winds diminish and
skies clear late tonight. This will also occur as offshore flow
begins to develop along much of the Gulf Coast behind the incoming
low, however without high pressure over the Mainland this is not
expected to bring significant down-inlet flow. Because of this
patchy fog and status was introduced from Cook Inlet northward
into the Susitna Valley for the next 2 nights, where generally
light winds will be present with increasing low level stability.
Other than this potential for patchy morning fog/stratus, most
areas will see a well deserved break in the active weather for
Tuesday and most of Wednesday as weak riding moves in. This will
allow for sunny skies to develop over much of Southcentral and
temperatures to rise back into 60's to lower 70's.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Today through Tuesday)...
Residual showers behind the occluded front that moved inland over
Bristol Bay yesterday continue to taper off early this morning
along the coast. A weak upper level trough currently over Saint
Paul will traverse the northern AKPEN this evening and move into
the Gulf. An upper level ridge of high pressure will fill in
behind this trough, providing generally fair conditions for Tue
though associated subsidence will likely allow for a low level
stratus deck and areas of patchy fog to persist along the coasts.
This area of high pressure will quickly move inland allowing for
another east-bound front to arrive over Kuskokwim Delta by Tue
evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Today through Tuesday)...
High pressure over the central Bering Sea will shift east as a
warm front strengthens into a gale force low over the northern
Bering Sea Mon night through Tue night. This low will impact the
entire Bering Sea and Aleutians, but the strongest core of winds
will generally be over the Bering Sea and Pribilof Islands.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Wednesday through Sunday)...
By Wednesday afternoon the next frontal system will be
approaching the Kuskokwim Delta coast with the associated strong
parent low located in the central Bering. With the this low
continuing to deepen, strong westerly gales associated with the
wrap around occlusion to its south and west are likely through
Wednesday night with the swath of gales tracking east following
the upper trough on Thursday. Additionally, strong west to
northwesterly winds are possible through the gaps and passes in
the western Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula Thursday night and
Friday as the upper trough swings through those areas.

Further inland, additional abundant rainfall will be the biggest
impact from the frontal system as well as the following upper
level troughs. The initial front will cross Southwest Alaska
Wednesday night and then move through Southcentral Alaska on
Thursday. An upper level shortwave trough with accompanying
moderate to heavy showers will push into Southwest Alaska Thursday
and Southcentral Alaska Thursday night to be followed by a
broader upper low/trough Thursday night through Friday. Snow
levels with the coldest portion of the upper level trough
additionally will briefly fall into the 4000 to 5000 ft range.

The general troughy pattern with cool breezy northwesterly flow
will continue through Saturday before a transient flat ridge
builds in from west to east. The next North Pacific frontal system
will cross the Aleutians around Sunday tracking northeast through
Bering on Monday and into Southwest Alaska Monday night or
Tuesday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KO/KVP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DEK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KO/JA
LONG TERM...JR