Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018

Gale Warning 411, NWS Anchorage, AK

June 17, 2018

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jun 17, 2018, 4:01 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 17, 2018, 4:01 PM AKDT (00:01 UTC)
Expired
Jun 18, 2018, 3:47 PM AKDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

538 
FZAK51 PAFC 180001
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-181245-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 992 mb low 470 nm southeast of Chignik hooks over to 135 nm
southwest of Togiak at 1001 mb for Tue afternoon. Its front 
spreads from Southwest Alaska across the North Gulf Coast to 
Southeast Alaska with its trailing front over the North Pacific 
by Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-181245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ120-181245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 
ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ121-181245-
Resurrection Bay-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-181245-
Prince William Sound-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-181245-
Port Valdez-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-181245-
Valdez Narrows-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-181245-
Valdez Arm-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-181245-
Passage Canal-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 
ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-181245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft
subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-181245-
Barren Islands East-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-181245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ136-181245-
Chiniak Bay-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-181245-
Marmot Bay-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-181245-
Shelikof Strait-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-181245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 7 
ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-181245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-181245-
Kachemak Bay-
401 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
3 follow-up statements
380 
FZAK51 PAFC 181153
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-190115-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

An elongated trough in the central Gulf remains nearly stationary
through Wed night. A 1011 mb low forms 300 nm southeast of
Middleton Island Wed night.

$$

PKZ119-190115-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ120-190115-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-190115-
Resurrection Bay-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-190115-
Prince William Sound-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-190115-
Port Valdez-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-190115-
Valdez Narrows-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-190115-
Valdez Arm-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-190115-
Passage Canal-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-190115-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft
subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-190115-
Barren Islands East-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-190115-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ136-190115-
Chiniak Bay-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-190115-
Marmot Bay-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-190115-
Shelikof Strait-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-190115-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-190115-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-190115-
Kachemak Bay-
353 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
298 
FZAK51 PAFC 181419 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

Updated area 121

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-190315-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

An elongated trough in the central Gulf remains nearly stationary
through Wed night. A 1011 mb low forms 300 nm southeast of
Middleton Island Wed night.

$$

PKZ119-190315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 16 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ120-190315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 17 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-190315-
Resurrection Bay-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Wind diminishing to 15
kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt in the evening becoming S 10 kt. Seas 3 
ft. Rain. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-190315-
Prince William Sound-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-190315-
Port Valdez-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-190315-
Valdez Narrows-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-190315-
Valdez Arm-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5  ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-190315-
Passage Canal-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-190315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-190315-
Barren Islands East-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-190315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ136-190315-
Chiniak Bay-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-190315-
Marmot Bay-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-190315-
Shelikof Strait-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-190315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-190315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-190315-
Kachemak Bay-
619 AM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
228 
FZAK51 PAFC 182347
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-191315-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front bisects the Central Gulf through Wed afternoon. A 1015 mb
North Pacific low tracks along the front to 395 nm south of
Yakutat at 1012 mb for Wed afternoon. Weak high pressure 
stretches over the Eastern Gulf through Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-191315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 16 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ120-191315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ121-191315-
Resurrection Bay-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-191315-
Prince William Sound-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-191315-
Port Valdez-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-191315-
Valdez Narrows-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-191315-
Valdez Arm-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Gusts to
30 kt in the evening. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-191315-
Passage Canal-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt in the evening diminishing to 10 kt. Seas 4 
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-191315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ131-191315-
Barren Islands East-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ132-191315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ136-191315-
Chiniak Bay-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-191315-
Marmot Bay-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ138-191315-
Shelikof Strait-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-191315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-191315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 1 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-191315-
Kachemak Bay-
347 PM AKDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jun 17, 4:12 AM AKDT, 11 hours 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 4:12 AM AKDT, 11 hours 49 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
412 AM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Widespread rainfall continues across much of Southern Alaska this
morning. Portions of the western Kenai Peninsula up to Anchorage
have some downsloping keeping that area dry, which also holds true
for the Copper River Basin. Nearly everywhere else in Southcentral
is getting rain. This is largely the result of a strong vertically
stacked low now over the southeastern Bering midway between the
Pribilofs and Bristol Bay cycling a nearly continuous feed of
moisture from the Pacific into southern mainland Alaska. This
moisture is moving in primarily from the southwest, which
parallels the axes of most of southern Alaska's mountain ranges.
The result is only small areas of downsloping winds, as mentioned
above, with most of the rest of the area either getting upslope
enhanced precipitation or the lift is being generated from the
Bering low itself, which is more so the case across Southwest
Alaska. Along with the downsloping comes the strong gap winds. The
Turnagain Arm Jet continues impacting Anchorage and the Hillside
with gusty southeast winds, the Knik River wind is gusting into
Palmer, and strong southerly winds continue in the Copper River
Basin near Glennallen as well.

The upper level pattern consists of a highly amplified upper
low/trough that is nearly stationary over the eastern Bering. With
the downstream ridging centered over the southern Panhandle, the
entire area of real estate in between, essentially covering the
entire Gulf Coast is under broad southwest flow aloft. The flow
is bringing tropical moisture northward from the Pacific, causing
the cloudy, wet pattern ongoing over southern Alaska.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The models are in decent agreement through Monday night. As
expected with each low moving north into Alaska out of the data-
sparse Pacific, the models differences appear relatively quickly.
The model consensus once again has been to slow down the track of
the next low, the center of which will be approaching southern
Kodiak Island early Monday morning. The NAM has been faster with
this low and as such is far enough away from the model consensus
of EC/GFS that it was thrown out for winds along the coast and
marine areas. Further north in Southcentral however, that
difference disappears, so its high resolution solution was
preferred for the gap winds through Turnagain Arm and the Knik
River Valley. Forecast confidence is a bit above average as the
pattern is consistent, though small details as usual remain
uncertain.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Continuous gusty south to southeast winds will continue for
much of the day with the Turnagain Arm Jet. As a front approaches
the coast, the Turnagain Wind will shift southward out of
Anchorage. However, strong southeast flow will continue aloft as
the surface winds turn more northerly in response to the front's
approach, resulting in LLWS. Rain is possible resulting in
potential MVFR conditions Sunday night as the front moves inland.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Southerly flow aloft will continue for Southcentral Alaska for the
next couple of days as the main upper low remains in the Bering
Sea, with a ridge to the east. An upper level short-wave trough
and associated surface low will move northward towards the Gulf.
The leading front will reach Kodiak Island and the Gulf coast this
afternoon bringing increasing rain to those areas through Monday
morning. Inland areas will also see an increase in rain chances,
but considerably less than along the coast as strong downslope
winds develop. This system will also bring stronger surface winds
for many channeled areas like Turnagain Arm late tonight through
Monday morning, as well as fairly strong winds to the Copper River
area Monday afternoon and evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
As the weakening low remains stationary over the eastern Bering,
the associated front over the southwest Mainland will also show
signs of weakening throughout the day today. Rain over the area
will briefly tapper down through this afternoon, as forcing
decreases over the area. Rain will pick back up over the southwest
Mainland later tonight through Monday night, as a reinforcing
north Pacific low tracks north and phases with the weakening
system over the southeast Bering. Mildly gusty southeast winds
will persist over the southwest Mainland through tonight, with the
strongest gusts through channeled terrain along the Alaska and
Aleutian Ranges.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The Alaska Peninsula and eastern Bering will continue to see an
active wet and windy pattern through Monday night, as low pressure
over the eastern Bering remains stationary over the area and is
reinforced by another north Pacific low tonight. A ridge builds
across the western waters behind the main low, with more showery
conditions expected over the central and eastern Bering/Aleutians
under slightly cooler northerly flow. Along with this ridging and
more stable conditions over the western half of the Bering and
Aleutians, low clouds and fog are expected to spread across much
of the western Bering and Aleutians through Tuesday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

The long term forecast begins Tuesday evening with the dominant
upper air feature being a large and sprawling closed low center
over the eastern Bering/Alaska Peninsula. Cloudier and showery
conditions will me the dominant weather mode over Southern Alaska.
After Wednesday the low slowly weakens and falls apart as weak
upper ridging looks to build in. The ECMWF is more in favor of
this scenario, but the GFS model is now trending in that direction
as well. By Friday and into the weekend, slow warming should
ensue, but plenty of lingering moisture and the intense solstice
sun should still support rather widespread shower activity.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale: 119 125 351 352.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JPW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...JA

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 17, 3:57 PM AKDT, 4 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
357 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

AKZ101-125-131-135-145-190300-
Anchorage-Western Prince William Sound-
Northeast Prince William Sound-Southeast Prince William Sound-
Susitna Valley-
Including the cities of Anchorage, Eagle River, Indian, Eklutna,
Whittier, Seward, Girdwood, Moose Pass, Valdez, Thompson Pass,
Cordova, Talkeetna, Willow, and Cantwell
357 PM AKDT Sun Jun 17 2018

...HEAVY RAIN TO BRING RISING WATER LEVELS TO THE NORTH GULF COAST
AND WESTERN SUSITNA VALLEY MONDAY AND TUESDAY...

Another wave of heavy rain will be impacting the north Gulf coast
starting with the southern Kenai peninsula early Monday morning,
moving east to Cordova Monday through early Tuesday. Highest
rainfall accumulations are expected for Prince William Sound with
greater than 5 inches possible through Tuesday.

Some of this precipitation will reach the western Susitna Valley,
bringing 2-3 inches to the headwaters of the Yentna and Skwentna
rivers.

In addition to heavy rain, unseasonably strong easterly winds
will accompany this storm with winds gusting up to 70 MPH for
Turnagain Arm and Portage Valley. Motorists with high profile
vehicles should exercise caution.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 17, 4:01 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Jun 17, 4:06 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC72 hr
Jun 17, 4:24 PM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAFC40 hr
Jun 18, 3:53 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Jun 18, 3:53 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Jun 18, 3:53 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jun 18, 6:19 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC9 hr
Jun 18, 3:42 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Jun 18, 3:47 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2018Every gale warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.